X Y

-232468993.93 1 1000 ### PDF

-194354404.00 0 140
-156239814.07 0
-118125224.13 1 120
-80010634.20 1
100
-41896044.26 8
-3781454.33 9
80
34333135.60 29
72447725.54 38 60
110562315.47 62
F(x)

148676905.40 71 40
186791495.34 86
224906085.27 99 20
263020675.21 112
301135265.14 128 0
-23246899...

-19435440...
-15623981...

-11812522...
-8001063...

-4189604...

11056231...

14867690...
18679149...

22490608...
26302067...
30113526...
33924985...

37736444...

41547903...
-3781454.33

34333135.60

72447725.54
339249855.07 96
377364445.01 76
415479034.94 63 X
453593624.87 41
491708214.81 29
529822804.74 19
PDF
567937394.68 14
140
606051984.61 11
644166574.54 2
120
682281164.48 4 Value
150.00
100

80

60
F(X)

40

20

0
-23246899...

-19435440...
-15623981...

-11812522...
-8001063...

-4189604...

3433313...

7244772...
11056231...

14867690...
18679149...

22490608...
26302067...
30113526...
33924985...

37736444...

41547903...
-3781454.33

CDF (S)
100%

90%

80%

70%
 CDF (S)
100%

90%

80%

70%

60%

50%

P(X)
40%

30%

20%

10%

0%
-270583583.8669 -70583583.8669 129416416.1331 329416416.1331
X

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0
F Cell R25C2
Name VAN
Number of Datapoints 1000
Mean 256202004.8234
Median 255204946.9077
Standard Deviation 136979073.9546
Variance ###
Coefficient of Variation 0.5347
Maximum 682281164.4767
Minimum -270583583.8669
Range 952864748.3436
Skewness 0.1425
Kurtosis 0.1051
25% Percentile 160444001.5103
75% Percentile 342308220.0950
22490608...

26302067...
30113526...

33924985...
37736444...

41547903...

45359362...
49170821...

52982280...
56793739...

60605198...
64416657...

68228116...

Error Precision at 95% 95.0000

0% -270583583.8669
5% 35901817.0326
10% 84710820.5369
20% 139593432.8708
30% 182962883.1069
F
40% 223780718.8360
50% 255204946.9077
60% 283026587.1362
70% 319738463.5354
80% 368449741.8604
90% 429735720.7242
95% 488893187.2899
99% 587457476.6796
100% 682281164.4767
22490608...

26302067...
30113526...

33924985...
37736444...

41547903...

45359362...
49170821...

52982280...
56793739...

60605198...
64416657...

68228116...

(S)
(S)

31 329416416.1331 529416416.1331

Left Bin # Line Right Bin # Line

11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
11 20
Escenario 1:
Condición Cumplimiento
4 medianos productores si

Municipios beneficados Inversión Sobrecostos Inversión total

San Vicente del Caguán (49,5%) $ 500,000,000 $ 500,000,000
Florencia (20,1%) $ 350,000,000 $ 350,000,000
El Paujil (18,0%) $ 200,000,000 $ 200,000,000
Morelia (6,7%) $ 200,000,000 $ 200,000,000
Total $ 1,250,000,000

Meses Periodo Inicial (0) Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22

Ingresos netos $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000
Flujo de inversión -$ 1,250,000,000 -$ 300,000,000 $ 8,823,529
Flujo de Financiación $ 100,000,000
Flujo de evaluación -$ 1,250,000,000 $ 50,000,000 -$ 150,000,000 $ 58,823,529

TIO efectiva anual 19.62% Efectiva Anual

Tasa Nominal 18.05% Nominal
TIO efectiva Mensual 1.50% mensual

VAN $257,418,551.18
TIR 2.58% mensual
El VAN es cero cuando
 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22
$ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000
$ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529
$ 100,000,000
$ 58,823,529 $ 158,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529
 Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23
$ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000
$ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529

$ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529

 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23
$ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000
$ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529

$ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529

 Dec-23 Jan-24 Feb-24 Mar-24 Apr-24 May-24
$ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000
$ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529

$ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529

 Jun-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24
$ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000
$ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529

$ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529

 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25
$ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000 $ 50,000,000
$ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 8,823,529 $ 300,000,000

$ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529 $ 58,823,529