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DISCLAIMER
The information contained herein is intended to represent the Companys operating and financial position at a given point in time and may also contain forward looking information which only reflects expectations based on the prevailing geo-political, economic and non-controllable factors. Such information has been obtained from sources believed to be most reliable and the means in analyzing and preparation of such information for disclosure are based on approved practices and principles in the investment industry. The views are based on assumption subject to various risks and uncertainties and no assurance is made as to whether such future events will occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the assumptions here-in are correct. Consequently no assurance is made as to the accuracy or completeness of information presented in this document. This document should not be construed as an investment guide or as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell the Companys stock.
THAI in 2010
MTHB Assets Total Revenue Net Profit 293,760 180,588 15,398 USD mn Equiv. 9,792 6,020 514 % Change 8.1 11.7 107.6
# of Aircraft Destinations Served Countries Served *Excluding 6 B 737-400 leased to Nok Air
90* 72 35
Million Passengers carried (# of people) Available Seat Kilometers (ASK) Freight Transport (tons) Available Ton Kilometer (ATK)
3
Factors of Concern
Factors Affecting Aviation Business
Rapid Rise in Fuel Price
Natural Disasters
FX Fluctuation
Competition from LCCs and Traditional Airlines Availability of New Aircraft Acquisition, Aging Fleet & Seat New Aircraft Technology /Trend
4
Health
Politics
Operating Summary
Units Passenger Production Passenger Traffic Cabin Factor Avg. Passenger Yield
Note : Yield includes fuel surcharge
USD/gallon
2.85
2.13
+33.8
Financial Performance EBIT, EBITDA and Net Profit (Q1/2010 & Q1/2011)
Units : THB mn
Effective fuel hedging policy Impact from Japan High fuel price
EBITDA
Q1'10
Net Profit
Q1'11
Net Profit
(Exclude FX)
Lower # of passenger
Nov-10
Jan-11
Mar-11
May-11
RPK%YoY
Apr. +8.0% 1-23 May +14.6% YTD +0.8%
North Pacific
Europe
Australia
Others
%RPK/day Jan-Apr 11
100.0%
5.7%
1.1%
7.2%
4.3%
23.6%
2.8%
39.3%
12.2%
3.8%
%YoY growth
Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 1-23 May-11
YTD
Asia is No Different. International Destinations International Destinations Domestic Destinations Domestic Destinations
Chiang Rai
Tokyo Osaka
Guilin Guangzhou Taipei Shenzhen Kaohsiung Hong Kong Macau Haikou Luzon Is Manila
Chiang Mai
Made by Ake
Udorn Thani
Dhaka Vientiane Chiang Mai Hanoi Rangoon Chennai Bangalore Tiruchirapalli Bangkok
Made by Ake
Made by Ake
Colombo
Krabi Phuket Hat Yai Banda Aceh Kota Kinabalu Langkawi Tawau Medan Bandar Seri Begawan Penang Kuala Lumpur Miri Kuching Johor Bahru Manado Singapore Pekanbaru Padang Palembang Ujung Pandang Solo City Jakarta Surabaya Bandung Yogyakarta Denpasar Bali
Ubon Ratchathani
Made by Ake
Bangkok
Made by Ake
Darwin Cairns
Perth
Sydney Melbourne
Christchurch
Narathiwat
12
Regional Market
Avg. Growth Rate (2003-2010)
15
25
15.0%
10
20
7.4% Others
15
47.6%
4.4%
32.4%
39.8%
-2.3%
0
42.2%
THAI Airways
33.2%
3.2%
2003
2010
2003
2010
13
A380
es atar irat Q Em
15/75 -/5
d tiha E
-/10
Existing/Awaiting delivery
-/6
-/4
-/6
Investor Relations Department
2009
Strengthen internal organization Build operational stability
e alu er V om s ust nes C e size petitiv ha mp Com mism -E re a nsu Dyn E re nsu -E
16
Ultimate Goal Restore THAI to be the pride of Thailand around the world, as a leading Asian carrier that is consistently among the top 3 carriers in Asia and top 5 in the world for overall customer experience
Investor Relations Department
Customeroriented
Competitive
Dynamic
8 9
17
2009
3 2 4
Norwegian Grand Travel Award 1 8 7 Business Travelers Award 6 5 10 9 TTG Award Best Business Class Best Ground Service Best Lounges Best Intercontinental Airline
Source: Skytrax
18
Low-cost carriers
Source: Team discussion and analysis
Regional FSC
Full-service carriers
20
Bangkok
Singapore
Cost competitiveness is key to developing a robust regional connection to Southeast Asia from Europe, Australia and the Middle East
22
Minimize Time for Baggage Minimize Time for Baggage Claim Claim Premium Lounges Premium Lounges Royal Orchid Plus Royal Orchid Plus
23
Internet check-in with Internet check-in with home print boarding pass home print boarding pass
24
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
Ja n Fe b M ar A pr M ay Ju n Ju l A ug Se p A ug N ov D ec
Year 2011
Year 2010
6 5 4 3
Year 2011
Year 2010
Year 2009
Year 2009
2 1 0
Fe b Ju n Ju l pr M ay Se p M ar ug Ja n ug A ov N A A D ec
25
Total
00 A380-8
First Class Seats Business Class Seats
26
Zim will be providing economy class seats and enabling the 5 new A330-300 aircraft to join the fleet in the following months.
Delivery
March
April
May
June
July
27
# of Aircraft
First
Business
ed fitt tro d tte ofi tr
Economy
Tentative Completion
B777-300 B747-400 No. 7-12 B777-200 B747-400 No. 13-18 Airbus 340-600 Airbus 340-500 B777200ER
6
d itte rof t
Re
Completed May Dec. 2011 Sept. 2011 Jun. 2012 Feb. 2012 Oct. 2012 2013 2014 2014
6 8
Re
Re
d itte rof t Re
28
2014-2017
26 11 37
2018-2022
21+17 = 38 38
Total
47 + 17 = 64 11 75
Avg. F leet Ag e to Dr op
to 7.6
yrs.
29
New Destinations
Haneda BKK-Gaya-Varanasri 3 flts/wk 7 flts/wk
Relaunch
Johannesburg
30
4 flts/wk
Investor Relations Department
100,000
80,000
60,000
2010
Budget
12,000 8,000
THB
3,215
n 0m 0,00 2
6,897
10,697
4,000 0
2010 2011 2012
Was able to reduce non-fuel related cost by THB 252 mn or a 7.8% reduction
31
Fuel Management
Minimum 20% fuel hedging requirement to mitigate risk of rapid fuel cost rise Minimum 20% fuel hedging requirement to mitigate risk of rapid fuel cost rise
Hedging Volume
>80%
>60<=80%
>20<30%
<=20%
Board Authority
1m
2m
3m
4m
5m
6m
7m
8m
9m
10m 11m 12m 13m 14m 15m 16m 17m 18m >18 months
Contract Period
32
Jan-08 0% 0%
Jan-08
57% 65% 62% 56% 51% 51% 61% 65% 69% 72% 72% 63% 123% 131% 163% 199%
Mar-08 0% 0% 3% May-08
May-08
38% 41% 44%
Jul-08
Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09
143% 116% 82% 102% 91% 118%
Sep-08 44% Nov-08 49% 35% 27% 20% 23% 3% 3% 7% 13% 13% 17% 20% Nov-09 27% 30% 44% 44% 44% 47% 47% 47% 69% 69% 69% Sep-10 Nov-10 Jan-11 Mar-11 May-11 Jul-11 Sep-11 Nov-11 19% 19% 19% 69% 69% 69% 51% 51% 51% 50% 50% 50% 59% 59% 59% Jan-10 Mar-10 May-10 Jul-10 Jan-09 Mar-09 May-09 Jul-09 Sep-09
Hedging combined with fuel surcharge greatly mitigates fuel price fluctuation risk
33
Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Aprl10 May10 Jun10 Jul10 Aug10 Sep10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11
112% 102% 110% 104% 116% 98% 74% 94% 106% 111% 103% 109% 101% 102% 98% 87% 88% 73%
Fuel Management
Emissions Control
THAI is the first Asian airline to sign an agreement with IATA to find means to mitigate fuel
1st airline
Determined the carbon foot print of 2 meals and provided labeling for customers to choose
34
Changes Made
Ensuring transparency in all areas of operations Whistle Blower Policy
Senior management having clear cut KPIs and compensation is measured accordingly Geared for BUs to enhance efficiency in decision process & management Signed Service Level Agreements
35
Rescinded all charges against THAI Stopped further proceedings Settled by paying USD 3.5 mn Pending charges is for KW 2.85 mn
36
Raised 15,000 MTHB Raised 15,000 MTHB in new equity in new equity Received additional Received additional borrowing from financial borrowing from financial institutions institutions Obtained Revolving Obtained Revolving Credit Lines Credit Lines 8,000 MTHB Debenture 8,000 MTHB Debenture issued in May 13, 2011 issued in May 13, 2011
2008
2009
2010
3.04
2008
37
2009
2010
Q12011
Resulting Success
THAIs share price reflects the confidence in the improved health of the Company Share price
THB/share 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
MSCI = Morgan Stanley Capital International
Success recapitalization
peaked at THB 57.75 upon being inducted back into the MSCI
137.57 USD/bbl
/09 4/1
/09 4/4
/09 4/7
/09 /10 4
/09 4/1
/09 4/4
/09 4/7
/09 /10 4
38
/10 4/1
/ 4/4
10
4 /7
/10
4 /1
0 0/1
4 /1
/11
4 /4
/11
Financial Performance
39
Jan-Mar (Units : MTHB) Total Revenue Total Expense Foreign currency exchange (Gain) Share of losses of investments by the equity method Profit(Loss) before finance costs, income tax Financial Cost Income tax expense Net profits (losses) Profits (losses) Attributable to: Non controlling interest Equity holders of the parent 2011 51,851 -46,468 -3,358 38 2,063 -1,309 -121 633 -15 618 2010 49,806 -43,061 5,698 -7 12,436 -1,345 -499 10,592 -20 10,572
40
units
(THB) (MTHB) (MTHB) (MTHB) (MTHB) (THB) (Times) (Times) (Times) (Times) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)
Q110
6.22 6,037 11,252 11,750 63,670 37.48 3.90 2.35 2.00 8.40 12.30 21.60 23.00 3.80 20.10
Q111
0.28 4,960 9,755 11,191 76,712 35.14 2.80 1.88 1.50 7.50 9.70 1.20 19.10 0.80 0.20
Investor Relations Department
41
Industry Outlook
42
Industry Outlook
Passenger from / to Thailand Forecast 2011-2017
IATA International Passenger Forecast 2010 (As September 2010) World 7.9% Asia Pacific 11.6% Actual Estimate 2011-2017 International 5.5 % Regional 5.5 % Intercont. 5.5 % Domestic 4.2 %
6.3% 37.2M
TG Forecast
50 45 40 35
5.2%
48.0M
Inter. 3.2%
30 25 20 15 10 5
9.9M 5.3M 25.9M 20.6M
5.2%
37.2M
Reg. 2.7%
23.5M
28.8M
Dom. 5.2%
12.7M
4.0 % 5.3%
17.4M
Intercont. 5.0%
6.8M
10.8M
0 03/04
04/05
05/06
06/07
2008
2009
Appendix
44
Operating Statistics
Passenger Carried
(000)
Year 2010 = 18.2 million (decreased 1.7% YoY) Q1/2011 = 4.9 million (decreased 5.5% YoY)
Year 2010 Year 2011
4,833 4,923
Year 2009
4,684 4,114 4,589 5,088 5,167
3,662
4,371
Q1'09
Q2'09
Q3'09
Q4'09
Q1'10
Q2'10
Q3'10
Q4'10
Q1'11
Freight Carried
(Tons)
Year 2010 = 713,931 tons (increased 30.8% YoY) Q1/2011 = 172,749 tons (increased 4.0% YoY)
Year 2010
167,341 179,329 166,155 180,341 188,109
Year 2009
Year 2011
172,749
190,000 160,000 130,000 100,000 Q1'09 Q2'09 Q3'09 113,735 124,819 140,889
Q4'09
Q1'10
Q2'10
Q3'10
Q4'10
Q1'11
45
Operating Statistics
Passenger
(Million)
Year 2009
75.2 77.2 76.8 75.1 77.0 82.0 82.3 78.8 74.0 76.1 74.3 71.3 71.1 72.1
Year 2010
76.3 74.3 75.3 77.8 74.6 73.1 71.8
Year 2011
77.6 73.0 71.8 63.2
(E)
(%)
56.7
62.2
65.1
65.3
2,000 Oct-09 Nov-09 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-09 Dec-10 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Feb-09 Jun-09 Feb-10 Aug-09 Jun-10 Jan-11 Aug-10 May-09 May-10 Feb-11 May-11 Sep-09 Apr-09 Sep-10 Apr-10 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Apr-11
20.0 -
ASK
RPK
C/F
YoY (Month) May'11(E) May'10 YoY% 6,505 6,171 5.4 MASK 4,111 3,497 17.6 MRPK 63.2 56.7 11.5 Cabin factor%
* (E) = Estimate
YoY (Quarter) Q1'11 Q1'10 YoY% 19,571 19,045 2.8 14,881 15,425 3.5 76.0 81.0 6.1
YoY (Year) Year'10 Year'09 YoY% 75,600 72,031 5.0 55,676 52,593 5.9 73.6 73.0 0.9
Investor Relations Department
46
Operating Statistics
Freight
(Million)
Year 2009
63.9 62.4 61.8 59.3 60.5 58.8 58.3 54.4 52.4
Year 2010
66.9 65.0 60.8 57.9 61.3 62.2 62.5 60.4 53.7
Year 2011
57.5 (E) May-11 60.1 58.0 56.6
(%)
400
200 20.0 Nov-09 May-09 Dec-09 May-10 Nov-10 Apr-09 Dec-10 Apr-10 Aug-09 Aug-10 Mar-09 Mar-10 Jan-09 Mar-11 Sep-09 Jan-10 Sep-10 Jan-11 Jun-09 Jun-10 Apr-11 Feb-09 Feb-10 Feb-11 Jul-09 Oct-09 Jul-10 Oct-10 -
ADTK
RFTK
F/F
YoY (Month) May'11(E) May'10 YoY% 414 378 9.5 238 253 5.9 57.5 66.9 - 14.1
YoY (Quarter) Q1'11 Q1'10 YoY% 1,233 1,096 12.5 698 653 7.0 56.6 59.6 -4.9
YoY (Year) Year'10 Year'09 YoY% 4,708 4,016 17.2 2,895 2,092 38.4 61.5 52.1 18.0
47
Operating Statistics
Passenger Yield (Including Fuel Surcharge)
(THB/Km)
2.21 2.42
2.30 2.45
2.32 2.44
2.44 2.55
2.50
2.00 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Year 2009 Jun Jul Year 2010 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year 2011
1.90 2.03
1.81 1.99
1.92 2.01
2.05 2.11
Aug
1.85 1.97
Sep
Oct
2.14 2.16
Nov
Year 2009
Year 2011
Investor Relations Department
(THB/Km)
2.27 2.40
2.51 2.56
2.64 2.60
3.00
2.84 2.72
Operating Statistics
Freight Yield (Including Fuel Surcharge)
9.74 9.66 9.70 9.17 9.89 8.50 9.30 9.65 8.88 9.84 8.71 9.08 9.45 9.35 9.65
(THB/Km)
9.85
9.65
8.90 9.53
8.02 9.10
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
8.19
Jun
8.61 9.30
Sep
9.04 9.37
Oct
Nov
7.47 7.51
6.98 7.30
7.01 7.37
8.00
6.67 7.18
7.08 7.12
7.48 7.42
7.00
6.00 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Year 2010
49
6.69 6.89
Sep
Oct
Nov
Year 2009