Ventas (en Promedio Valor Indice

Año Trimestre miles) movil estacional estacional

1 4.8 0.93220048

2 4.1 0.8377592
1 5.35
3 6 5.475 1.09589041 1.09334884
5.6
4 6.5 5.7375 1.1328976 1.14330514
5.875
1 5.8 5.975 0.9707113 0.93220048
6.075
2 5.2 6.1875 0.84040404 0.8377592
2 6.3
3 6.8 6.325 1.07509881 1.09334884
6.35
4 7.4 6.4 1.15625 1.14330514
6.45
1 6 6.5375 0.91778203 0.93220048
6.625
2 5.6 6.675 0.83895131 0.8377592
3 6.725
3 7.5 6.7625 1.1090573 1.09334884
6.8
4 7.8 6.8375 1.14076782 1.14330514
6.875
1 6.3 6.9375 0.90810811 0.93220048
7
2 5.9 7.075 0.83392226 0.8377592
4 7.15
3 8 1.09334884

4 8.4 1.14330514

1 7.08500329

2 6.49045566
5
3 8.63144243

4 9.19400264
 Periodo Indice estacional
5.149107
1 0.93220047731596
4.8940077 2 0.837759204249854
3 1.09334884216068
5.48772704 4 1.14330514266103
Ventas Ecuacion de tendencia para
5.68527137 desestacionalizadas ventas desestacionalizadas
1 5.14910699661988 y = 0.1471x + 5.0996
6.22183762 2 4.89400770436324 R² = 0.9208
3 5.48772703517274
6.20703416 4 5.68527137459673
5 6.22183762091569
6.21942397 6 6.20703416163142
7 6.21942397319577
6.4724628 8 6.47246279569474
9 6.43638374577485
6.43638375 10 6.68449832791076
11 6.85965879396592
6.68449833 12 6.82232564951608
13 6.75820293306359
6.85965879 14 7.04259645262027
15 7.31696938023032
6.82232565 16 7.34711993024809
17 7.6003
6.75820293 18 7.7474
19 7.8945
7.04259645 20 8.0416

7.31696938

7.34711993
 Ventas desestacionalizadas
8

7 f(x) = 0.147138715860177 x + 5.0996100949085

R² = 0.920791119635599
6

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18