Model Eksponensial

Tahun t Jumlah Penduduk

I II III IV V VI
2009 0 875750 875750 875750 875750 875750 875750 875750
2010 1 833562 833562 859889.4 868553 875981.9 878511.7 880138.5
2011 2 844316 793406.3 844316 861415.2 876213.9 881282.2 884549
2012 3 854336 755185.1 829024.7 854336 876445.9 884061.3 888981.5
2013 4 876678 718805.2 814010.3 847315 876678 886849.3 893436.3
2014 5 889646 684177.8 799267.8 840351.7 876910.2 889646 897913.4
2015 6 902413 651218.5 784792.4 833445.6 877142.4 892451.5 902413
2016 7 914968 619847 770579.1 826596.3 877374.6 895265.9 906935.1
2017 8 927168 589986.7 756623.2 819803.3 877607 898089.2 911479.9
2018 9 939112 561565 742920 813066.1 877839.4 900921.4 916047.4
2019 10 950871 534512.4 729465.1 806384.2 878071.8 903762.5 920637.8

k 1 -0.0493725775302082
2 -0.0182769149858649
3 -0.00825203434810967
4 0.00026477552479892
5 0.00314859374299398
6 0.00499860409846687
7 0.00625834712982445
8 0.00713176460519878
9 0.0077615650936908
10 0.0082297744579253

Tahun BPS I II III IV V VI VII

2009 875750 875750 875750 875750 875750 875750 875750 875750
2010 833562 833562 859889.4 868553 875981.9 878511.7 880138.5 881247.9
2011 844316 793406.3 844316 861415.2 876213.9 881282.2 884549 886780.4
2012 854336 755185.1 829024.7 854336 876445.9 884061.3 888981.5 892347.6
2013 876678 718805.2 814010.3 847315 876678 886849.3 893436.3 897949.7
2014 889646 684177.8 799267.8 840351.7 876910.2 889646 897913.4 903587
2015 902413 651218.5 784792.4 833445.6 877142.4 892451.5 902413 909259.7
2016 914968 619847 770579.1 826596.3 877374.6 895265.9 906935.1 914968
2017 927168 589986.7 756623.2 819803.3 877607 898089.2 911479.9 920712.1
2018 939112 561565 742920 813066.1 877839.4 900921.4 916047.4 926492.3
2019 950871 534512.4 729465.1 806384.2 878071.8 903762.5 920637.8 932308.8

Tahun
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
BPS 875750 833562 844316 854336 876678 889646 902413 914968
I 875750 833562 793406.3 755185.1 718805.2 684177.8 651218.5 619847
II 875750 859889.4 844316 829024.7 814010.3 799267.8 784792.4 770579.1
III 875750 868553 861415.2 854336 847315 840351.7 833445.6 826596.3
IV 875750 875981.9 876213.9 876445.9 876678 876910.2 877142.4 877374.6
V 875750 878511.7 881282.2 884061.3 886849.3 889646 892451.5 895265.9
VI 875750 880138.5 884549 888981.5 893436.3 897913.4 902413 906935.1
VII 875750 881247.9 886780.4 892347.6 897949.7 903587 909259.7 914968
VIII 875750 882018 888330.8 894688.8 901092.3 907541.7 914037.2 920579.2
IX 875750 882573.6 889450.4 896380.8 903365.2 910404 917497.7 924646.6
X 875750 882987 890283.7 897640.8 905058.7 912537.8 920078.8 927682.1
sponensial Galat
VII VIII IX X I II III IV V VI
875750 875750 875750 875750 0 0 0 0 0 0
881247.9 882018 882573.6 882987 0 3.158418 4.19777 5.088993 5.392487 5.587645
886780.4 888330.8 889450.4 890283.7 6.029692 0 2.025211 3.777955 4.378238 4.765155
892347.6 894688.8 896380.8 897640.8 11.60561 2.96269 0 2.587964 3.479349 4.05526
897949.7 901092.3 903365.2 905058.7 18.00807 7.148316 3.349348 0 1.160206 1.911572
903587 907541.7 910404 912537.8 23.0955 10.15889 5.54089 1.431563 0 0.929297
909259.7 914037.2 917497.7 920078.8 27.83587 13.03401 7.642552 2.80034 1.103868 0
914968 920579.2 924646.6 927682.1 32.25479 15.78076 9.658447 4.108707 2.153305 0.877943
920712.1 927168 931851.2 935348.2 36.36679 18.39417 11.57986 5.345419 3.136302 1.69205
926492.3 933804 939112 943077.7 40.20256 20.89122 13.42182 6.524527 4.066673 2.456002
932308.8 940487.5 946429.3 950871 43.78708 23.28454 15.1952 7.65605 4.954248 3.179526
Total Galat 239.186 114.813 72.6111 39.32152 29.82468 25.45445

VIII IX X
875750 875750 875750
882018 882573.6 882987
888330.8 889450.4 890283.7
894688.8 896380.8 897640.8
901092.3 903365.2 905058.7
907541.7 910404 912537.8
914037.2 917497.7 920078.8
920579.2 924646.6 927682.1
927168 931851.2 935348.2
933804 939112 943077.7
940487.5 946429.3 950871

2017 2018 2019

927168 939112 950871
589986.7 561565 534512.4
756623.2 742920 729465.1
819803.3 813066.1 806384.2
877607 877839.4 878071.8
898089.2 900921.4 903762.5
911479.9 916047.4 920637.8
920712.1 926492.3 932308.8
927168 933804 940487.5
931851.2 939112 946429.3
935348.2 943077.7 950871
alat
VII VIII IX X
0 0 0 0
5.720742 5.813121 5.879783 5.929369
5.029442 5.213071 5.345681 5.444375
4.449252 4.723295 4.921346 5.068825
2.426398 2.784868 3.04413 3.237296
1.567028 2.01155 2.333291 2.573138
0.75871 1.288122 1.671594 1.957617
0 0.613265 1.057808 1.389565
0.696299 0 0.505112 0.882277
1.343786 0.565217 0 0.422278
1.952122 1.092004 0.467115 0
23.94378 24.10451 25.22586 26.90474