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FY11 Update
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Agenda
Business Update
Domestic International
Performance Highlights
The pace of growth was accompanied by challenges for the company given the integration of Air Deccan, an astronomic rise in fuel prices & the economic slowdown
Given these challenges, the company did not deem it appropriate to raise capital over the last 1-2 years. The economic environment is now buoyant with strong demand in the aviation industry
Kingfisher operations have stabilized through various turnaround initiatives; EBITDA margins have improved from -32.9% in FY09 to +2.2% in FY11
Debt recast has been completed and received shareholders approval to raise additional capital through equity based securities
Route Network
66 aircraft* aircraft 59 domestic & 8 international destinations* 383 flights a day*
With 59 domestic destinations to offer, KFA has the widest reach in India
Flying to all major business & leisure destinations in the country covering > 95% of the addressable passenger base
Capacity in the industry grew by 11% for the same period and continued to lag behind demand
The demand growth coupled with capacity lag has led to increase in industry load factors to 78% (6 percentage points over last year)
Yields have remained stable over the year and premium traffic has continued to grow. Domestic Passenger RASK is up by 8% Q4 FY11 over Q4 FY10 despite some aggressive pricing by competitors
Crude oil price has been on upward trend increasing from USD 85/bbl to more than USD 110/bbl over the last fiscal year
Kingfisher has consistently increased load factors since Q2 FY09 & maintained a steady effective market share
Domestic LoadFactor
90% 85% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 76% 68% 66% 67% 61% 62% 65% 61% 54% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4FY09 Q1 KFLF% Q2 Q3 Q4FY10 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4FY11 70% 70% 72% 75% 68% 73% 81% 74% 80% 69% 81% 76% 82% 87% 83%
IndustryLF%excludingKF
'EffectiveMarketShare' MarketShare/CapacityShare
1.50 1.40 1.30 1.20 1 20 1.10 1.00 0.90 0.80
1.15 1.01 0.91 0.99 1.01 1.00 1.04 1.00 1.01 1.01 1.06
1.08
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4FY09
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4FY10
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4FY11
Capacity
4,500 , 4,201 4,000 3,598 3,534 3 534 ASKMs(mn) 3,500 3,392 3,253 2,830 2,950 2,776 2,861 2,617 2,500 2,332
Second round of capacity rationalization to balance demand supply Aircraft grounded due to technical considerations 10 out of 14 A320 family g ou ded a y grounded aircrafts flying as of 31st March 2011 Entire Capacity Flying
3,157 2,777
3,000
Aircraft utilization has been enhanced by > 10% to offset capacity loss due to grounded aircraft Current utilization of the Airbus A320 family stands at 11.6 hrs/day & of the ATR family stands at 10.9 hrs/day
Source: DGCA
10
Kingfisher has shown a steady revenue growth over the last few years and has managed to outpace competition
Domestic Domestic Passenger RASK
FY09 RASK 3.27 YOY % 3.61 4.17 4.26 4.13 4.19 4.08 FY10 FY11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4FY11
Market Share
6.4% 15.4% 13.6% 7.3% 7 3% 17.5% GoAir AirIndia Spicejet Jetlite JetAirways Indigo Kingfisher
19%
10%
16%
22%
25%
9%
8%
19.7% 20.0%
Apr11
Kingfisher has retained the largest market share of all Indian carriers domestic operations per DGCA
Pax RASK
4.50 4.00 3.50 3.50 3.00 2.50 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4FY09 Q1 Q2 KFA
Source: DGCA ; *Jet+Jetlite data is provided in the investor reports on the website Note: Jet+Jetlite Pax Revenue = RRPKM * RPKM
4.09 3.74
4.07 3.67 3.48 3 48 3.72 3.27 3.35 3.31 3.70 2.75 3.86 3.79 3.68
4.26
4.13
4.19
4.08
3.73 3.23
4.03 3.51
3.19
Q3 Jet+Jetlite*
Q4FY10
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4FY11
11
As a result, Kingfisher has steadily bridged the financial performance gap on domestic operations as compared to peers
All Figures in INR
Domestic PaxRASK/NonFuelEBITDARCASK
1.67 1.33 1.51 1.29 1.33 1.34 1.28 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.51 1.00 0.50 FY09 KF Jet+Jetlite*
Jet+Jetlite (Rs.) EBITDAR Margin
EBITDA Margin Pax RASK
PaxRASK/NonFuelEBITDACASK
2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 1.25 1.29 1.45 1.39 1.21 1.22 1.61
FY10
FY11 KF
Q1 Jet+Jetlite*
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4FY11
KFA (Rs.)
EBITDAR Margin
FY09
FY10
FY11
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4FY11
Q2
Q3
Q4FY11
-5%
2% 23% -9% 5%
EBITDA Margin -25% Pax RASK Non-Fuel EBITDA CASK Non-Fuel N F l EBITDAR CASK
3.89 3.38
Non-Fuel 3.10 2.62 EBITDA CASK Non-Fuel Non Fuel EBITDAR 2.57 2.11 CASK
12
*Source: Jet+Jetlite published financials EBITDAR & EBITDA margins calculated on Total Revenue for both carriers
TotalRASK
6.00 5.00 4.00 INR 3.00 2.00 1.00 FY09 FY10 FY11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4FY11 Rs.incrs 400 200 (200) (400) (600) (800) ( ) 4.78 4.50 4.36 4.22 4.16 4.56 4.52 (1,000) (1,200) (1,400) (1,292) FY09 FY10 (260) FY11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4FY11 3.49 3 49 4.76 4.00 4.68 4.97 4.88 4.53
EBITDA
271 150 96 94 (70)
13
And has demonstrated the ability to counter recent unexpected fuel price hike with Fuel Surcharges
Domestic
The healthy supply/demand gap has allowed Kingfisher to increase the fuel surcharge twice in the last 60-90 days to offset the recent spike in crude Increase of crude from $90/bbl to $120/bbl is offset by a Fuel Surcharge hike of Rs. 600 per ticket The surcharge hikes were taken on 01 March 2011, and again on 25 March 2011 and ranged from 200 to 400 rupees for all sectors (attached a sample of published fuel surcharge for key metro markets)
014DayAdvancePurchaseFuelCharge(INR)
BOMDEL BOMBLR BOMHYD DELMAA BOMCCU 3,200 2,850 1,850 3,450 3,450 3,400 2,950 1,950 3,650 3,650 3,600 3,050 2,050 3,850 3,850 4,000 4 000 3,250 3 250 2,250 2 250 4,250 4 250 4,250 4 250
14
15
Top10InternationalMarketsfrom India
1,400 1,217 1,200 1,000 824 800 600 400 200 0 794 748 701 696 676
Kingfisher has deployed capacity on 8 out of the10 largest international routes from India
Indicates Kingfisher presence
Market Size based on PAX-IS plus data for Apr 10-Mar 11. PPDEW = Pax per day each way Source : DGCA, PAXIS, 9W investor presentation
16
Capacity D l C i Deployed d
2,000 2,000
Additional utilization of A320 capacity with international operations to BKK, DXB, CMB & DAC
Addition of A330 capacity to LHR & A320 capacity to BKK,DXB & KTM
1,500 ASKMs(mn)
Launch of wide body A330 operations to London
1,316 , 1,425
1,408
1,428
792
780
648 648
Q4FY10
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4FY11
Source: DGCA
17
The growing acceptance of the KF product has led to a significant growth in business
LoadFactor Load Factor
90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% Q1 Q2 Q3 KFLF% Q4FY10 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4FY11 60% 69% 71% 69% 72% 71% 72% 72% 77% 74% 74% 73% 78% 71% 78% 73%
International
IndianCarriersLF%excludingKF
Pax RASK
3.00 2.50 2 50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 2.05 2 05 2.14 2 14 2.33 2.31 2.21 2 21 1.96 2.33 1.97 2.43 2.37 1.04 Q1 1.34 1.67 1.91 2.36 2.27
Q2
Q3
Q4FY10 KF
Q1 JetAirways
Q2
Q3
Q4FY11
Kingfisher g No of flights
Q1 831
Q2 1,192
Q3 1,288
Q4FY10 1,268
Q1 2,229
Q2 2,472
Q3 2,487
Q4FY11 2,438
Source: DGCA, Jet Airways published financials Jet Airways Pax Revenue = RPKM * RRPKM
18
PaxRASK/NonFuelEBITDACASK
1.80 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 1.54 1.37 1.48 1.34 1.46 1.46 1.53 1.46 1 46 1.21 1.20 1.48 1.45 1 45 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.67 0.50 0.50 0.24 FY09 FY10 FY11 KF
KFA (Rs.)
FY09 FY10
International PaxRASK/NonFuelEBITDARCASK
1.87 1.65 1.57 1.68 1.01 0.36 FY09 FY10 FY11 KF Q1 Q2 JetAirways Q3 Q4FY11 2.00 1.71 1.73 1.75 1.63 2.02
1.66 1.68
Q1 JetAirways
FY11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4FY11
Q2
Q3 Q4FY11
Q1
Q2
Q3 Q4FY11
4%
5%
15%
18% 23%
-16% -15% -0.8% 16% 15% 0 8% 1.96 1.62 1.14 1 14 1.97 1.63 1.13 1 13 2.37 1.63 1.19 1 19
Non-Fuel EBITDA 4.57 CASK Non Fuel Non-Fuel 3.02 3 02 EBITDAR CASK
Non-Fuel 1.45 1.61 EBITDA CASK Non Fuel Non-Fuel 1.36 1.41 EBITDAR CASK
19
TotalRASK
3.00 2.50 2.00 2 00 INR 1.50 1.00 0.50 FY09 FY10 FY11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4FY11 INRincrs 1.09 (50) (100) (150) (200) (250) (300) (350) (400) (450) 3.26 3 26 ( (500) ) 2.85 2.79 2.79 2.85 2.97 (451) (430) (130) FY09 FY10 FY11 Q1 (51) Q2 (53) Q3 Q4FY11 1.82 1 82 2.62 2.83 2.41 2.42 2.81
EBITDA
(3)
(23)
20
FY11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY12 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY13 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY14 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY15 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY16 A320 ATR A330 Total 34 27 5 66 66 2 2 3 3 2 3 39 27 5 71 71 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 5 5 3 1 1 5 5 2 47 1 31 8 3 86 3 86 1 1 1 3 3 2 1 1 4 4 3 1 1 5 5 3 56 1 35 1 12 5 103 5 103 1 1 1 3 3 4 1 1 6 6 2 1 1 4 4 4 67 1 39 1 16 6 122 6 122 2 1 1 4 4 3 3 2 1 3 1 1 5 5 4 78 42 18 4 138 4 138
FromMarket
Source: Company
21
Kingfisher stays committed to multi-pronged initiatives for cost-cutting, revenue enhancement & capital re-structuring
Capital Recast
One World Alliance Membership with oneworld Alliance when achieved to drive inbound domestic passenger growth Co-branded Credit Cards Re-negotiate King Club Amex co-brand card contract; introduce King Club ICICI cobrand card Kingfisher Express DTD Cargo Express service to tap under penetrated air-cargo delivery service
Rationalizing Distribution Channels Reduction of S&D costs by reviewing distribution channels, negotiating GDS contracts Renegotiating Vendor Agreements Additional airport & fuel discount* Additional discounts from airports* airports E&M costs to reduce with new vendor Renewal of operating leases at a discount to existing rates Control Discretionary Spend Reduce rentals costs of transportation local rentals, transportation, conveyance and communication Optimize space (warehouses, offices, call centres) Operational Efficiency Reduce fuel consumption for Airbus & ATR operations Target E&M spend reduction (in-house Cchecks, controlled redelivery)
* - Subject to capital raising
Debt Re-schedulement Re schedulement Debt recast program of Kingfisher Airlines earlier approved by RBI has now been completed Key Highlights f K Hi hli ht of program Conversion of debt to equity Lower interest rate Moratorium on repayment Equity Infusion Received shareholders approval to raise additional capital through equity based securities
22
1,137.32 6,814.0 75.20 86.15 675.73 7,651.12 (1,398.10) (553.10) (1,398.10) (553.10)
(709.32)
248.42
768.30
6,007.30
As of 31st March 2011, Promoter & Bank debt which were converted to Compulsorily Convertible 2011 Preference Shares, pursuant to the Debt Recast were further converted into equity at INR 64.48 which was higher than the prevailing market price of INR 39.90
23
Agenda
Business Update
Domestic International
Performance Highlights
24
EBITDA profit of Rs. 140 Cr vs. loss of Rs. 690 Cr in FY10 (+830 Cr over FY10)
EBITDA margin improved from -13.1% to +2.2% EBITDAR margin improved from +7.7% to +17.3%
Total RASK improved to Rs. 4.02 from Rs. 3.56 in FY10 (+13%)
Pax RASK growth of +9% over FY10 (Rs. 3.48 from Rs. 3.18)
CASK (EBITDA) reduced to Rs. 3.93 from Rs. 4.03 in FY10 (-2%)
Ex-fuel EBITDA CASK reduced by 10% over FY10 (Rs 2.52 from Rs 2.81)
25
EBITDA profit of Rs. 271 Cr vs. loss of Rs. 260 Cr in FY10 (+531 Cr over FY10)
EBITDA margin improved from -5.5% to +5.4% EBITDAR margin improved from 12.8% to 19.8% in FY11
Total RASK improved to Rs. 4.76 from Rs. 4.00 in FY10 (+19%)
Pax RASK growth of +16% over FY10 (Rs. 4.17 from Rs. 3.61) Load factor up 10 percentage points to 83%
CASK (EBITDA) increased to Rs. 4.50 from Rs. 4.22 in FY10 (+7%)
Ex-fuel EBITDA CASK increased by 1.8% over FY10 (Rs 3.00 from Rs 2.95) Excess costs of Rs 220 Cr borne on account of unplanned grounding of aircraft
26
EBITDA loss of Rs 130 Cr vs. loss of Rs. 430 Cr in FY10 (+300 Cr over FY10)
EBITDAR margin improved to 8.8% vs. loss of -36.6% in FY10
Total RASK improved to Rs. 2.62 from Rs. 1.82 in FY10 (+44%)
Pax RASK improved to Rs. 2.2 from Rs. 1.5 Load factor up 9 percentage points to 77%; ATV improved by 15% over same period last year
CASK (EBITDA) reduced to Rs. 2.85 from Rs. 3.26 in FY10 (-13%)
Ex-fuel EBITDA CASK reduced by 28% over FY10 (Rs 1.62 from Rs 2.26)
27
Appendix
28
Apr'10 Mar'11 Parameters (FY11) No of Departures ASKMs (Million) RPKMs (Milli ) RPKM (Million) Passenger LF% Block Hours Revenue Passengers (Million) Revenue per ASKM (INR) Cost per ASKM (INR) 127,866 16,166 13,101 13 101 81% 229,911 12.0 12 0 4.02 3.93
Apr'09 Mar'10 (FY10) 137,931 14,801 10,625 10 625 72% 230,622 11.1 11 1 3.56 4.03
Average Gross Revenue per passenger in INR Period ended Fleet Size
4,666 66
4,258 67
10% (2%)
29
Variance (%) V i
25% -25% 23%
676 2,274 2,421 1,124 984 6,355 140 241 1,313 7,909 (1,414) (1 414) 91 16 (493) (1,027)
689 1,803 2,376 404 1,094 5,961 (690) 217 1,103 7,281 (2,010) (2 010) 358 50 (771) (1,647)
30
31
Apr'10 Mar'11 Parameters (FY11) No f Departures N of D t ASKMs (Million) RPKMs (Million) g Passenger LF% Block Hours Revenue Passengers (Million) Revenue per ASKM in INR Cost per ASKM in INR 118,240 118 240 10,588 8,819 83% 187,581 10.8 4.76 4.50
Apr'09 Mar'10 (FY10) 133,352 133 352 11,810 8,586 73% 210,262 10.5 4.00 4.22
Better/ (Worse) %
4085
4046
1%
Excess costs of Rs. 220 cr incurred on account of aircrafts on ground (AOG) in FY 2011 Cost per ASKM adjusted to AOG* would be Rs 4.29
Note: (1) Cost per ASKM is calculated at EBITDA cost level (2) *AOG refers to Aircraft on Ground
32
Better/ (Worse) %
8% (25%) 7%
EXPENDITURE Employee Remuneration & Benefits Aircraft Fuel Expenses Other Operating Expenses 581 1,588 1,870 612 1,505 2,005 5% (6%) 7%
EBITDAR
996
604
65%
726 4,765
864 4,985
16% 4%
EBITDA
271
(260)
204%
33
Apr'10 Mar'11 Parameters (FY11) No of Departures ASKMs (Million) RPKMs (Million) Passenger LF% Block Hours Revenue Passengers (Million) Total Revenue per ASKM in INR Cost per ASKM in INR 9,626 5,578 4,282 77% 42,330 1.25 2.62 2.85
Apr'09 Mar'10
Better/ (Worse) %
(FY10) 4,579 2,991 2,039 68% 20,360 0.54 1.81 3.26 110% 86% 110% 9 points 108% 132% 43% 13%
9,704
8,416
15%
34
Better/ (Worse) %
1,460 1,460
546 546
168% 168%
EXPENDITURE Employee Remuneration & Benefits Aircraft Fuel Expenses Other Operating Expenses EBITDAR Aircraft Lease Rentals Total Operating expenditure EBITDA 95 686 551 128 258 1,591 (130) 77 298 370 (200) 230 976 (430) (23%) (130%) (49%) 164% (12%) (63%) 70%
35