Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
Portfolio structured for positive free cash flow over time Focus on world class execution
Talisman - three core production areas, plus high impact international exploration
Producing areas North Sea
stable production generates free cash flow
Exploration areas
European shale
North America
shale provides long-term growth
Kurdistan
Latin America
building new core area acquisition, development, and exploration
Southeast Asia
self-funded built in growth and exploration
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 1
5%
36% 30% 9%
28% 31%
39%
39%
2P reserves
2P reserves
Portfolio strategy
Base
Free cash flow to invest
North America conventional Flat for a decade at 80-90 mboe/d North Sea Flat production at 110-140 mboe/d until 2020 North America shale Liquids and leading gas plays Southeast Asia ~8% growth from known projects, self-funded
Growth
5-10% sustainable growth
Exploration
Renewal of the firm
Focus Areas Southeast Asia and Latin America Future Options Kurdistan and Poland
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 2
Dispositions
Proceeds
Net acres
(thousand)
220 210 78
Production
International
Retained conventional
Average
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 3
Accretive dispositions
Production
C$/flowing boe
60,000
Reserves
C$/boe
20
15
40,000
10
20,000
5
2P
Total PDP
40 150
30 100 20
50 10
2009
2010
2011-2015 target
2009
2010
2011-2015 target
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 4
1.5x
13
12
Competitive position
Production
Percentage (%)
Netback
C$/boe
PUD percentage
Percentage (%)
100
36
75
75
75
Peer average
60
50
Peer average
50
27
45 25
Peer average
Peer average
25
0 Talisman
18
30
Talisman
Talisman
Talisman
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 5
Reinvestment ratio
300
Decline curve
60
200
40
150
30
100
20
4 Years
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 6
Capital expenditure
Cash capital spend
$ billion 5 Other (incl. Latin America) Exploration North Sea 4 Colombia Southeast Asia North America conventional North America shale
2 HST/HSD Conventional liquids 1 Eagle Ford Montney carry 0 2010 2011 2012
Sustainable growth
Production
mboe/d
Southeast Asia
North Sea
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 7
5.0
Montney JV Montney JV
Horn River
Fayetteville
Average working Average working interest 50% interest 50% Development/pilot Development/pilot
4.5
Marcellus (dry gas) Montney
Barnett
4.0
3.5
Marcellus Marcellus
Average working Average working interest ~80% interest ~80% Development Development
Eagle Ford
3.0
2.5
Source: Wood Mackenzie
Liquids production
$/boe
10.0
mboe/d
100
75
7.5
75
50
5.0
50
25
2.5
25
0.0
2008
2011
2015
Shale production
2008
2011
2015
Opportunity
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 8
10
Total: 46
Montney Heritage Other Montney Montney Farrell Creek/ Cypress A JVs
Other Montney
Opening
Purchases/farm-ins/improved performance Produced/2P/sold/expiries Sasol JV Closing
57
6 (7) (10) 46
Wells drilled to date Net drilling locations remaining
Eagle Ford
0 2,500
Range
Range
Marcellus
Eagle Ford
Marcellus
Eagle Ford
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 9
Key metrics
Net acres Net well locations OGIP/section (bcf)
Pittsburgh
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania
West Virginia
TLM land TLM focus area Basin Major pipelines
~$800 million capital program 2011 Average 2010 production 181 mmcf/d Expect average 2011 production 350-400 mmcf/d range Secured over 600 mmcf/d egress Full cycle break-even <$4.00/mmbtu
Marcellus Shale
Pennsylvania horizontal well type curve
mmcf/d 7 Top 5 wells (first 400 days) 250 day average (57 wells) 6 350 day average (28 wells)
Key metrics
2009
2010
2011 assumptions
~100 350-400
22 29
99 181
3.0-7.5 2.1-5.5
~5 ~5
~5 ~4
\
6 bcf 5 bcf 4 bcf 6 bcf 5 bcf 4 bcf
500
600
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 10
1.2
+67%
0.8 -56%
3
0.4
2008
2010
Key metrics
Net new wells on-stream Average production (mmcfe/d) Horizontal well metrics (TLM operated)
2011 assumptions
~25 55-65
Texas
660 1,200
Oil
Dr
as yg
Corpus Christi
Acreage in liquids rich window, largely evaluated, >50% held by production Ramp from 4 to 10 rigs 2011, manageable land expiries
July 2011
o Pr ti ec sp
Mexico
ay rw fai ve
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 11
Alberta
Contingent resources (tcfe)
Long-life resource with multiple gas monetization options, including liquids Targeting full cycle break-even <$4/mmbtu
Joint Venture
Transaction value (C$ million) Cash (C$ million) Funding commitment (C$ million) Contingent resource (tcfe)
Cypress A
1,050 260 790 11.2 57,000 2015
Total
2,100 520 1,580 20.6 109,000
Alberta
Farrell Creek and Cypress A to be an integrated development area Sasols Cypress A funding commitment may be applied to Farrell Creek development Cypress A transaction closed June 2011
British Columbia
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 12
Key metrics
200 days average (5 wells) Net new wells on-stream Average production (mmcf/d)
2010
20 26
2011 assumptions
~25 50-60
10 8 6 4 2 0 0 100
~6 ~6
~7 ~6
200
300
2011 capital program ~$800 million (gross)/~$100 million (net) Ramp from 4 rigs in 2010 to 10 in 2011 Targeting full cycle break-even <$4.00/mmbtu Secured ~500 mmcf/d egress on Spectra system
Pipeline favoured
2 50 60 70 80
WTI ($/bbl)
90
100
110
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 13
Key metrics
Net acres 756,000 Test rate (mmcfe/d) >0.6 30 day IP (mmcfe/d) 5.3 Under evaluation
Vertical wells Average of vertical wells Horizontal wells St. Edouard Wells 2-3
Canada
USA
Lease expiry tenure of 12-15 years allows sufficient time to adapt to the regulatory environment
Monkman Monkman Ojay Ojay Cardium Cardium Wild River Wild River Sundance Sundance
TLM land Conventional gas Tight gas Liquids rich gas Oil
Area
Product
Oil/ liquids rich gas Oil
Net acres
194,000
950
260,000
400
Chauvin Chauvin
Ojay (Nikanassin) Tight gas Tight gas/ liquids rich gas Gas 87,000 150
Wild River
90,000
1,000
Monkman
326,000
30
Shaunavon Shaunavon
Total
USA
957,000
2,530
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 14
Production
C$/boe
12
75 8
50
20
4 25
2011
2012-2014 average
Liquids opportunity
Sundance Medlodge
13
Evaluating resource potential Strong Talisman infrastructure position Light sweet crude and liquids rich gas
Cardium Oil
Net acres Net well locations
*Company reports, Accumap
Sundance Medlodge
35,000 370
114,000 490
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 15
Wild River
2011 assumptions
8
TLM land Wild River area Gas pipeline Deep cut plant
Key Metrics
Net new wells on-stream Well metrics (TLM operated) EUR per well (mboe) 30 day IP per well (mboe/d)
2009
2010
250 280
450 380
450 380
50
25
90,000 1,000
Current
HST/HSD HST/HSD
OK OK
Indonesia
Stanley Stanley Kitan Kitan Timor Leste Km 0 500 1,000 1,500 Australia
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 16
100
Key development projects Corridor additional gas sales Jambi Merang PM-3 CAA IOR PM-3 CAA infill drilling HST/HSD Kitan
0 2008
729 731
2009
593 644
2010
559 769
2012
2013
2014
2015
Gas to Duri
Corridor Corridor
Infill drilling Infill drilling Dayung facilities upgrade Dayung facilities upgrade Sumpal expansion Sumpal expansion LTRO LTRO Suban Phases 2 & 3 Suban Phases 2 & 3
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
South Sumatra
OK Block OK Block
Infill wells Infill wells
Gas to Java
Strategic core area 2P reserves of 369 mmboe Infrastructure in place Gas price underpinned by demand Demonstrated execution
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 17
$9.41
$3.09 $0.76
$5.55
Realized price
Royalties
Opex/ transportation
3 wells currently producing over 600 mmcf/d (gross) Latest new well capable of 160 mmcf/d (gross)
South Sumatra
12
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Gas to Java
Strategically located next to key infrastructure 2P reserves of 28 mmboe at cost of $8.15/boe Fast track development Leveraging premium domestic market Potential for significant upside
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 18
Production
mboe/d
50
Development
40 30 20
Malaysia
Base
10 0
2015
Stable and reliable production base Substantial cash flow Further organic growth through incremental oil recovery projects
HST HST
Vietnam
15-2/01
Current plan Sanction 2P reserves (mmboe) First oil Peak production (boe/d) IRR
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Vietnam Nam Con Son Basin Nam Con Son Basin Sabah Sabah
Arun LNG
Malaysia
Bontang LNG
North Sumatra
Indonesia
East Indonesia
PNG
Australia
Four-fold increase in footprint Substantial exploration position provides potential long-term growth
Vietnam Nam Con Son Basin Indonesia Makassar Straits PNG Foreland Basin
PNG
2008
2009
2010
Continued access to acreage via regular licensing rounds Talisman is the leading IOC with largest acreage position in Southeast Asia
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 20
Operated position established in underexplored eastern Nam Con Son Basin Planned seismic program in 2011 in preparation for 2012 drilling
NW
Hai Su Den
Ngoc Thach
NT-4-1X NT-4-1X Well path Well path
SE
133/134 133/134
Prospect Prospect
135/136 135/136
Target zone
Km 0 1 2
Major deep water gas potential Drilling Lempuk-1 exploration well in Sageri PSC in 2011
Lempuk-1 prospect
Sadang
Sageri
2011 3D seismic
Lempuk-1 Lempuk-1
Massalima
South Sageri
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 21
Estimated 15-20 tcf (gross) unrisked prospective resource Access to 14 licenses covering >9 million net acres Aggregate 2-4 tcf (gross) Positioned to lead PNG foreland gas aggregation 3 main aggregation hubs Stanley success validates gas aggregation strategy
Strategic partnering
1
Strong interest Value proposition increasing with each success Access to monetization expertise
Discoveries 1Q 2011 2011 drilling Further risked Opportunities (contingent discoveries program (prospective (contingent resources) Stanley/Ubuntu (prospective resources) resources) (contingent resources) resources)
Talisman blocks
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 22
Multiple plays shallow oil potential and deep HPHT gas/condensate potential Acquiring 2,600 km2 3D seismic in 2010-2011 Drilling 2 wells in 2012
SB 310 SB 310
Malaysia
Miocene to Pliocene sedimentary sequence of offshore West Sabah, Malaysia HPHT gas condensate target Oil target
2010
Indonesia
Bravo Romeo
2011
South Makassar Lempuk Nam Con Son
2012
SO-A
Vietnam
Foreland
Stanley-2
Foreland
Stanley-4 Siphon-1 Elevala-2 Awapa-1 Weimang-1 Aiema-1
PNG
Ubuntu-1
Multi-well program
Malaysia
309
310
Seismic
Drilling
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 23
Fulmar hub
150
Grevling
140
110
100
50
2020
Claymore production
mboe/d
Operating efficiency
Percentage (%)
25
100
75
15
50
50 10
66%
25
68%
69%
25 5
2008
2009
2010
2009
2010
1Q 2011
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 24
Percentage (%)
30
Actual Forecast performance
($85/bbl)
1.0
0.5 15 0.0
-0.5
-1.0
2008-2010 average
2011-2014 average
2008-2010 average
*Excludes extraordinary future tax liability charges
2011-2014 average
Flotta
Auk South redevelopment Flotta hub Flotta hub Burghley Burghley 2P reserves (mmboe) First oil MonArb hub MonArb hub Cayley, Cayley, Godwin, Shaw Godwin, Shaw
Aberdeen
ay rw No UK
36 2013
2014-2016
United Kingdom
Fulmar hub Fulmar hub Auk North, Auk North, Auk South, Auk South, Flyndre/Cawdor Flyndre/Cawdor
2012
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 25
Development
Godwin 2012 Cayley 2015 Shaw 2015
Shaw Shaw
Exploration
North Seagull North Seagull
Aberdeen Aberdeen
Base enhancement
Clyde 4 infill wells Maximized recovery Field life extended
Norw ay
Appleton Appleton
Development
Auk Auk North North Clyde Clyde Flyndre/ Flyndre/ Cawdor Cawdor
Auk North on-stream 2010 Auk South redevelopment 2013 Flyndre/Cawdor 2014
Exploration
Appleton Area prospectivity
Aberdeen Aberdeen
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 26
Percentage (%)
10
Actual Forecast performance
($85/bbl)
0.5
0.0
-0.5
2008-2010 average
2011-2014 average
UK
Norway
FPSO
Varg Varg
4-8 infill wells Field extension with 1 well Gas production via Rev Maximized recovery Field life extended
Development
Rev Rev
Grevling tie-back Discovery of 37-50-122 mmboe (gross contingent resources) Oil tested from 3 formations
Isbjrn Isbjrn
Exploration
Isbjrn Wildcat
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 27
20
Resources (mmboe)
Beta
Appraisal well (2010)
Builds 2 new core areas Exploration portfolio renewal in a resource rich area Beta appraisal well tested 10 mboe/d
Grosbeak Norway
Appraisal well (2011)
Stavanger
Discoveries (2C)
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 28
Kurdistan Kurdistan
2011 exploration tests Kurdistan Indonesia South Makassar Early success Poland shale Colombia PNG gas
2012 exploration tests Vietnam Nam Con Son Malaysia Sabah Peru Maraon
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 29
2007
Southeast Asia Latin America North Sea Kurdistan
Future options
2011
Tunisia Netherlands Denmark 250 200 150 100 50 50 100 150 200 250
North Sea
Future options
Southeast Asia
Latin America
Liquids
Gas
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 30
Future options
Southeast Asia
Latin America
Peru Situche Norte Colombia Hurn 2 and 3 appraisal wells Colombia Heavy oil up to 12 wells UK Seagull North, Seagull appraisal
North Sea
Norway Isbjrn, Beta NE, Frode, Veslemy Norway Skalle, Grosbeak, Peking Duck, Outsider 2011 2012 2,013 2,014
Latin America
TLM block Oil/gas discovery Discovery Basin
Llanos Basin
He a vy o il
Colombia Large acreage position in 20 blocks Oil prone Llanos and Putumayo basins
Hurn
Huron discovery in Foothills in 2009 Akacias discovery in Heavy Oil trend in 2010 Minimum of 10 exploration/appraisal wells planned for 2011 Peru Large acreage position in seven blocks Oil prone Maraon basin Under-explored petroleum basin
Chiriguaro
Rubiales
Colombia
Putumayo Basin
Heavy oil
Situche
Peru
Maraon Basin
Successfully appraised the Situche Central discovery in 2009 Exploration seismic and drilling activities in 2011-2012
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 31
TLM block
Guajira
Venezuela
Catatumbo
alen a Mag d
Pacific Ocean
Foothills Foothills
Llanos
Basin
Putumayo
Net acres
(thousand)
Ecuador
Llanos and Putumayo Basins heavy oil trend showing great potential
TLM block Export terminal Oil pipeline Gas pipeline
Llanos Basin
Rubiales Field
CPO 9
CPO 12
CPE 8
CPE 6
Tumaco
Putumayo Basin Putumayo Basin 3 licenses awarded 3 licenses awarded 2010 2010
Colombia
CAG 6 CAG 5 PUT 9
Ecuador
Putumayo Basin
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 32
Company renamed Equin Energia in January 2011 at closing 4 producing fields in Llanos Foothills 12-15 mboe/d (65% liquids) from February 2011 net to Talisman Interest in strategic infrastructure and export oil pipeline (OCENSA/ODC) 2 operated offshore Caribbean exploration licenses
Florea Florea
Hurn
Pauto Pauto Sur Sur Cusiana Cusiana Cupiagua Cupiagua Norte Norte RC-4
RC-5
Caribbean Sea
Akacias-1 Akacias-1
Significant discovery at Akacias, downdip of Chichimene Field Discovery tested at 1,250 b/d heavy oil 2011-2012 program
3D seismic Humadea exploration well 4 Akacias appraisal wells
Chichimene
Humadea-1 Humadea-1
Humadea
Akacias-1
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 33
ODL
CPO 12
y av He
Quifa
2011 program
Complete 6th stratigraphic well Convert to exploration and production licence Acquire 330 km2 3D seismic Initiate further program of stratigraphic wells
nd re lt oi
Guairuro Guairuro
Rubiales Field
Area of pay
CPE 6
OCENSA/ODC 660 mboe/d MONTERREY MONTERREY Apiay-Porvenir 390 mboe/d ODL 340 mboe/d
2010
2013E
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 34
Situche Central Successfully appraised in 2009 and tested in 2010 Demonstrated 1,100 ft oil column Appraisal well tested 5,200 bbls/d Light oil 37 API 80 km from Norperuano pipeline
Situche Complex Situche Norte and Sureste structures identified Further upside in deeper reservoirs Exploration well in Situche Norte planned late 2011
2011
2012
Niscota
Heavy oil
Colombia
CPO 9
Akacias discovery
Stratigraphic
Mapal-1 Situche Norte Situche Norte Situche Sureste Blocks 123/129 Blocks 123/129
Mapal-2
Peru
Northern
Seismic acquisition
Drilling program
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 35
Significant discovery in 2009 Proven gas condensate accumulation with indications of underlying oil leg Major oil and gas condensate potential Drilling Topkhana, Kurdamir-2 and K9 in 2011-2012
Kirkuk Jambor
K39 Topkhana
K9 Baranan
K44
Iran Iran
Kurdamir
Szczawno Szczawno
Poland
250
Marcellus Montney
Seismic program currently underway 3 well program to commence in 3Q 2011 Leveraging North American unconventional shale expertise
www.talisman-energy.com Page 36
July 2011
Appendix
14
12
10
6 4.4 4
2.6 2
January 1, 2008
Disposals
Capital expenditure*
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 37
Balance sheet
Significant liquidity December 31, 2010
$ billion 10 Peer companies
Corporate debt
$ billion 5.0 Cash Net debt
0 Talisman
30 Peer companies
12
Peer companies
20 Average = $15.1
Average = $5.78
10
0 Talisman
Talisman
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 38
1,000
750
700 600
150
50 0
2011
2015
2021
2027
Post 2034
75
25
2Q 2011
2H 2011
2012
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 39
Sustainable base
North America conventional reserves
mmboe
400
200
Projects
Chauvin/ Shaunavon
Wells
~400 ~950 ~1,000 ~150
Projects
200
Yme Auk South MonArb Infill drilling
100
1P
P2
Canada*
100 bbl/d
2,500 bbl/d
16,000 bbl/d
24,000 bbl/d
Sasolburg
Oryx GTL plant
Qatar
Nigeria
1980s
*Feasibility study Source: Sasol
1990s
2000s
2010s
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 40
5 154 159 98 59 12 71 86
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 41
Realized product pricing, before hedging activities Oil & liquids (C$/bbl) Natural gas (C$/mcf)
80.52 5.76
67.36 5.29
96.43 9.01
75.00 6.99
69.82 7.20
62.78 8.30
Please note: These figures are all prior to reporting under IFRS and US currency transition which commenced January 1, 2011. * 2009 restated for continuing operations.
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 42
Advisories
Forward-Looking Information This presentation contains information that constitutes forward-looking information or forward-looking statements (collectively forward-looking information) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. This forward-looking information includes, among others, statements regarding: business strategy, priorities and plans; planned and potential acquisitions; planned drilling, development, redevelopment, piloting, sanctioning, appraisals, upgrades, egress and exploration; potential drilling locations; expected ROACE; number of rigs; estimated planned production and production growth, incremental production and future projects; expected production by region and resource type; net acreage to be acquired on the closing of an acquisition from SM Energy Company; remaining life of field break even; expected liquids exposure; asset life, costs and returns; planned capital expenditures and program; expected timing of the international exploration portfolio transition; expected pipeline capacity in Colombia; expected net production resulting from the acquisition of BP Colombia; the exploration and development plans for Latin America and Southeast Asia; the 2011 plans for Akacias CPO 9 and CPE 6 in Colombia; expected prospective resource and land additions; expected shale free cash flow turning point, expected break-even costs; targeted number of wells onstream; expected development dates of Flyndre/Cawdor, Godwin, Shaw and Cayley; expected reduction to unit operating expenses; expected timing of first production and expected production from startup; expected redevelopment of Auk South; percentage of liquids production and growth; expected sustainability of production in the North Sea; remaining reserves; increases in operational efficiencies; target UK operating efficiency; expected reserves replacement costs and replacement ratio; expected extensions to field life; forecasted cash flow; expected reinvestment ratio and decline curve; planned seismic acquisition; potential cost savings; expected liquids yield of Deep Cut Plant; expected facilities improvement activities; and other expectations, beliefs, plans, goals, objectives, assumptions, information and statements about possible future events, conditions, results of operations or performance. The forward-looking information included in this presentation is based on Talismans 2011 capital program. Talisman has set its 2011 capital expenditure plans assuming: (1) Talismans production in 2011 will be 510% greater than 2010, excluding the BP Colombia acquisition; (2) a WTI oil price US$75/bbl; and (3) a NYMEX natural gas price of approximately US$4/mmbtu. Talisman now believes that base production growth will be closer to 5% in 2011 excluding the BP Colombia acquisition. Information regarding business plans generally assumes that the extraction of crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids remains economic. Forward-looking information for periods past 2011 assumes escalating commodity prices. The Eagle Ford Shale net acres include SM Energy Company acreage to be acquired on the closing of that transaction. Closing of any transactions will be subject to customary conditions including receipt of all necessary regulatory approvals and completion of definitive agreements. Undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information. Forward-looking information is based on current expectations, estimates and projections that involve a number of risks which could cause actual results to vary and in some instances to differ materially from those anticipated by Talisman and described in the forward-looking information contained in this presentation. The material risk factors include, but are not limited to: the risks of the oil and gas industry, such as operational risks in exploring for, developing and producing crude oil and natural gas, market demand and unpredictable facilities outages; risks and uncertainties involving geology of oil and gas deposits; uncertainty related to securing sufficient egress and markets to meet shale gas production; the uncertainty of reserves and resources estimates, reserves life and underlying reservoir risk; the uncertainty of estimates and projections relating to production, costs and expenses; the impact of the economy on the ability of the counterparties to the Companys commodity price derivative contracts to meet their obligations under the contracts; potential delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration or development projects or capital expenditures; fluctuations in oil and gas prices, foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates; the outcome and effects of any future acquisitions and dispositions; health, safety and environmental risks; uncertainties as to the availability and cost of financing and changes in capital markets; risks in conducting foreign operations (for example, political and fiscal instability or the possibility of civil unrest or military action); changes in general economic and business conditions; the possibility that government policies or laws may change or governmental approvals may be delayed or withheld; and results of the Companys risk mitigation strategies, including insurance and any hedging activities. The foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors which could affect the Companys operations or financial results or strategy are included in Talismans most recent Annual Information Form. In addition, information is available in the Companys other reports on file with
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 43
Canadian securities regulatory authorities and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking information is based on the estimates and opinions of the Companys management at the time the information is presented. The Company assumes no obligation to update forward-looking information should circumstances or managements estimates or opinions change, except as required by law. Oil and Gas Information Reserves National Instrument 51-101 (NI 51-101) of the Canadian Securities Administrators imposes oil and gas disclosure standards for Canadian public companies engaged in oil and gas activities. Talisman has obtained an exemption from Canadian securities regulatory authorities to permit it to provide certain disclosures in accordance with the US disclosure standards, in addition to the disclosure mandated by NI 51-101, in order to provide for comparability of oil and gas disclosure with that provided by US and other international issuers. Accordingly, the reserves data and certain other oil and gas information included in this presentation are disclosed in accordance with US disclosure standards. Information on the differences between the US requirements and NI 51-101 requirements is set forth under the heading Note Regarding Reserves Data and Other Oil and Gas Information in Talismans most recent Annual Information Form. A separate exemption granted to Talisman also permits it to disclose internally evaluated reserves data. Any reserves and resources data contained in this presentation reflects Talismans estimates of its reserves and resources. While Talisman annually obtains an independent audit of a portion of its proved and probable reserves, no independent qualified reserves evaluator or auditor was involved in the preparation of the reserves and resources data disclosed in this presentation. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves. In this presentation, Talisman discloses reserves replacement costs (for ease of reference, referred to as replacement costs in this advisory). Replacement costs are used by the Company to determine the cost of reserves additions in a particular time period. Talismans reported replacement costs may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies. Replacement costs may not reflect full cycle replacement costs. Replacement costs predictive and comparable value is limited for the aforementioned reasons. Replacement costs are calculated by dividing exploration and development capital spending (including discontinued operations, but excluding midstream) by proved reserve additions. Further information regarding replacement costs which is required by NI 51-101 can be found on Talisman's website at www.talisman-energy.com. The reserves replacement ratio was calculated by dividing the sum of yearly changes (additions, discoveries and non-price revisions) to estimated proved oil and gas reserves by the Company's production for that year. The Company uses reserves replacement ratios as an indictor of the Company's ability to replenish annual production volumes and grow its reserves. It should be noted that reserves replacement ratio is a statistical indicator that has limitations. As an annual measure, the ratio is limited because it typically varies widely, based on the extent and timing of new discoveries, project sanctioning and property acquisitions. Its predictive and comparative value is also limited for the same reasons. In addition, since the ratio does not include cost, value or timing of future production of new reserves, it cannot be used as a measure of value creation. Production and Reserves Volumes Unless otherwise stated, production volumes and reserves estimates are stated on a Company interest basis prior to the deduction of royalties and similar payments, except for the Corridor well production volumes, which are stated on a gross basis, as that term is defined below. In the US, net production volumes and reserve estimates are reported after the deduction of these amounts. US readers may refer to the table headed Continuity of Net Proved Reserves in Talismans most recent Annual Information Form for a statement of Talismans net production volumes and reserves. The use of the word gross in this presentation means a 100% interest prior to the deduction of royalties and similar payments.
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 44
Resources, In-place Estimates and EURs In this presentation, Talisman also discloses contingent resources, prospective resources, OGIP and EUR as at April 30, 2011. Where not otherwise indicated, the contingent and prospective resources included in this presentation are best estimates. Contingent resources are defined as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. The contingencies that prevent the resources from being classified as reserves are; lack of gas sales contract; additional testing; production and performance appraisal activities; demonstration of economic viability; facilities and egress; access to equipment and services; hydraulic fracturing technology; commodity prices and regulatory approvals. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. Prospective resources are those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered accumulations by application of future development projects. Prospective resources have both an associated chance of discovery and a chance of development. There is no certainty that any portion of the resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. Unrisked prospective resources are not risked for chance of development or chance of discovery. If a discovery is made, there is no certainty that it will be developed or, if it is developed, there is no certainty as to the timing of such development. The reference to "prospect" on slide 57 of this presentation refers to unrisked prospective resources. Risked prospective resource means geologically risked. OGIP is defined as original gas in place and is that quantity of gas that is estimated to exist originally in naturally occurring accumulations. It includes that quantity of gas that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations, prior to production. All OGIP estimates in this presentation are discovered. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. Estimated ultimate recovery (EUR) is a term commonly used in the oil and gas industry. EUR is an estimate of the quantity of oil and gas that is potentially recoverable. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the EUR amount that is contained herein. BOE Conversion Throughout this presentation, barrels of oil equivalent (boe) are calculated at a conversion rate of six thousand cubic feet (mcf) of natural gas for one barrel of oil (bbl). This presentation also includes references to mcf equivalents (mcfes) which are calculated at a conversion rate of one barrel of oil to six thousand cubic feet of gas. Boes and Mcfes may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6mcf:1bbl and an mcfe conversion ratio of 1bbl:6mcf are based on an energy equivalence conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and do not represent a value equivalency at the well head. Forecasted Cash Flow: This presentation also contains discussions of anticipated cash flow. The material assumptions used in determining estimates of cash flow are: the anticipated production volumes; estimates of realized sales prices, which are in turn driven by benchmark prices, quality differentials and the impact of exchange rates; estimated royalty rates; estimated operating expenses; estimated transportation expenses; estimated general and administrative expenses; estimated interest expense, including the level of capitalized interest; anticipated cash payments made by the Company upon surrender of outstanding stock options using the cash payment feature, which in turn is dependent on the trading level of the Companys common shares and the number of stock options surrendered or exercised; and the anticipated amount of cash income tax and petroleum revenue tax. The amount of taxes and cash payments made upon surrender of existing stock options is inherently difficult to predict. Anticipated production volumes are, in turn, based on the midpoint of the estimated production range and do not reflect the impact of any potential asset dispositions or acquisitions. The completion of any contemplated asset acquisitions or dispositions is contingent on various factors including favourable market conditions, the ability of the Company to negotiate acceptable terms of sale and receipt of any required approvals for such acquisitions or dispositions.
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 45
Netbacks Talisman also discloses netbacks for the Company and Southeast Asia in this presentation. Netbacks per boe are calculated by deducting from the sales price associated royalties, operating and transportation costs. US Dollars and IFRS Dollar amounts are presented in US dollars, except where otherwise indicated. Financial information prior to January 1, 2011 was prepared in accordance with Canadian generally accepted accounting principles (CGAAP) then applicable to publically accountable enterprises. The financial information for 2011 is presented in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). Both IFRS and CGAAP may differ from generally accepted accounting principles in the US. See the notes to Talismans Annual Consolidated Financial Statements for the significant differences between CGAAP and U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Non-GAAP Financial Measures Included in this presentation are references to financial measures used in the oil and gas industry such as free cash flow, cash flow, net debt, ROACE and capital expenditure including exploration expensed. These terms are not defined by IFRS. Consequently, these are referred to as non-GAAP measures. Talismans reported results of free cash flow, cash flow, net debt, ROACE and capital expenditure including exploration expensed may not be comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies. Free Cash Flow is used by management to assess the amount of funds available for reinvestment or to reduce debt levels or return to shareholders. Free cash flow is the net of cash provided by operating, investing and financing activities before the repayment or issuance of long-term debt. Cash Flow represents net income before exploration costs, DD&A, impairment, deferred taxes and other non-cash expenses. Cash flow is used by the Company to assess operating results between years and between peer companies using different accounting policies. Cash flow should not be considered an alternative to, or more meaningful than, cash provided by operating, investing and financing activities or net income as determined in accordance with IFRS as an indicator of the Companys performance or liquidity. Net Debt is calculated by adjusting the Companys long term debt per the financial statements for bank indebtedness, cash and cash equivalents. The Company uses this information to assess its true debt position and eliminate the impact of timing differences. ROACE (return on average capital employed) is used to measure returns realized by the Company on capital employed and is calculated for each region by dividing normalized after-tax income by average capital employed. ROACE represents total assets, less current and long-term liabilities, but excluding both long-term debt and the current portion of long term debt, all components being the average between opening and closing balance sheets. Capital expenditure including exploration expensed is calculated by adjusting the capital expenditure per the financial statements for exploration costs that were expensed as incurred. Reserves and Resources Estimates Shale: 2009: 1P 109 mmboe; 2P 203 mmboe NAO: Shale: 2010: 1P 309 mmboe; 2P 479 mmboe Southeast Asia: Block 15-2 HSD/HST: 1P 0 mmboe; 2P 24 mmboe South Sumatra Core: 1P 283 mmboe; 2P 369 mmboe Corridor Committed Gas Contracts 1P 4.3 tcfe Corridor Yet to be Monetized P2 1.2 tcfe Jambi Merang: 1P 19 mmboe; 2P 28 mmboe PNG Aggregate (gross): detail resource split shown Slide 42 UK and Norway: Auk South Redevelopment: 1P 30 mmboe; 2P 36 mmboe Flyndre/Cawdor: 1P 0 mmboe; 2P 6 mmboe; 3P 8 mmboe MonArb Redevelopment : 1P 8 mmboe; 2P 61 mmboe; 3P 92 mmboe Yme: 1P 28 mmboe; 2P 44 mmboe Grosbeak and Beta: 1C 8 mmboe; 2C 32 mmboe; 3C 54 mmboe Grevling Development: 1C 37 mmboe; 2C 50 mmboe; 3C 122 mmboe (100% working interest)
July 2011
www.talisman-energy.com
Page 46
Notes
____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________ ____________________________________________