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Indicator

GDP
(current US$)

Time

Household final
consumption
expenditure (current
US$)

1961

2821006519

1347448354

1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001

3197231425
3502856658
4238218199
5026099956
5947054339
6029751897
5583979280
6250645607
7235141852
8069766829
8945736420
10702842298
13490954944
16413418809
15519319139
14230997983
12162093075
15542640785
20661220078
24966849817
24817438679
19129866511
19845514734
18838400476
17977500454
23905267271
12375610634
20576647135
26294371425
34544482513
36084008139
34834667902
44909998632
53674086051
55876101187
59222879292
56751679594
51509515206
53290390318
53935760985

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41

1534138274
1768908091
2039907480
2372988293
2949291575
3411633053
3586776784
3612403127
4033591740
5093023226
5700258346
6467700099
7366924951
9457363993
12158361488
11494151145
10465337884
8366276453
9488754774
11875994967
14749479088
14503204238
12305661387
13038938781
12349300312
12649700320
16804067091
7401082870
14137159339
19376497105
26675728896
28041418756
26653925922
32485650191
38172214469
40251905609
41744359555
40501022968
36272803490
37922020748

2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009

56772338815
61346725170
69725009965
79385073422
92303809836
107492000000
129109000000
126734000000

42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49

39001598278
40937811655
43426925717
47725787222
52503106493
56998191242
65947578143
81204710366

Gross fixed capital


formation (current
US$)

Net Exports
(current US$)

654911020.6

-1527076.4

859638780
1058704492
1053164648
1081238088
1349739007
1584638303
1408264420
1134366923
1224806196
1067183404
1248061950
1385012829
2124030851
3116278916
3621114883
3209854807
2948335568
2412204941
3224226129
5168593641
7200700900
7375604014
4537639721
4160946132
3429200087
3682200093
4755266787
3867999816
3586063243
4241545847
5717799512
5943971658
6385857375
9522095962
12913892467
12532914853
14087217591
13366211300
11182738728
10767380344

-40327535.4
-65460602.3
-112690095.2
-12464900
-171513735.9
-219985067.9
-294214864.7
-43927667
41343727
136950879
-77519377
-59431503
-222222273
-1002584021
-1820424277
-1269053650
-971244400
81878193
1344912005
616215451
-899791628
-748312011
40525606
781944057
1226500031
-248650007
-418200010
-466703978
27564711
507246371
-635857623
-1025766561
-1332796884
-1548519410
-3037061667
-2712672727
-2501052551
-3062320750
-1248065344
-1148310624

Dependent variable
Independent variable

10014501693
9962534167
10915512795
12471044549
14552915352
17831796103
23254535501
33660297984

-1155322081
-698671227
-47283788
2537263188
4701554309
8007341002
6940080263
777213350

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.99
0.98
0.98
3710439969.67
47

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

4
42
46

Intercept
Time
Household final consumption expenditure
(current US$)
Gross fixed capital formation (current US$)
Net Exports

SS
2.98E+022
5.78E+020
3.04E+022

Coefficients
299362431.33
97555060.2

Standard Error
1331745811.41
112047372.37

1.26

0.17

0.64
2.4

0.48
0.31

Time

Coefficients
Data for 2007

97555060.2
48

4682642889.46

MS
7.45E+021
1.38E+019

Significance F
541.12

t Stat
0.22
0.87

P-value
0.82
0.39

Lower 95%
-2388209391.59
-128565689.14

Upper 95%
2986934254.24
323675809.54

7.27

0.91

1.61

2.35
7.66

0.19
0

-0.32
1.77

1.61
3.03

Net Exports

Forecasted GDP for 2008


(current US$)

Household final
Gross fixed capital
consumption
formation (current
expenditure (current
US$)
US$)

1.26

0.64

2.4

65947578143

23254535501

6940080263

83098170894.33 14961366129.73

###

119401661510.11

Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


###
###
###
###
0.91

1.61

-0.32
1.77

1.61
3.03

Actual GDP for


2008
(current US$)

Deviation

129109000000

7.52%

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.99
0.98
0.98
###
48

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

4
43
47

Intercept
Time
Household final consumption
expenditure (current US$)
Gross fixed capital formation
(current US$)
Net Exports

SS
3.94E+022
6.24E+020
4.01E+022

Coefficients
Standard Error
368036908.34 1366469106.63
58610666.09 112895403.65

MS
###
###

F
679.53

t Stat
0.27
0.52

P-value
0.79
0.61

1.2

0.18

6.88

1.01
2.62

0.45
0.3

2.26
8.86

0.03
0

Time

Coefficients
Data for 2008

Household
final
Gross fixed
consumptio
capital
n
formation
expenditure
(current
(current
US$)
US$)

58610666.09

1.2

1.01

49

###

###

2871922638.25

###

###

Significance F
0

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-2387710644.23
###
###
###
-169064610.87 286285943.04 -169064610.87 286285943.04
0.85

1.56

0.85

1.56

0.11
2.03

1.91
3.22

0.11
2.03

1.91
3.22

Net Exports

Forecasted GDP
for 2009
(current US$)

Actual GDP for


2009
(current US$)

Deviation

###

126734000000

-7.84%

2.62
777213350

2038336632.01

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.99
0.99
0.99
###
49

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Time
Household final
consumption expenditure
(current US$)
Gross fixed capital
formation (current US$)
Net Exports

4
44
48

SS
4.82E+022
6.63E+020
4.89E+022

MS
1.21E+022
1.51E+019

Coefficients
348571424.14
103814785.16

Standard Error
1392550912.4
111585178.31

t Stat
0.25
0.93

1.28

0.17

7.43

0.57
2.72

0.36
0.3

2.16
9.22

Time

Household final
consumption
expenditure (current
US$)

Coefficients
Data for 2008

103814785.16
1.28
50
84493845735
5190739258.12 108156496274.28

Significance F
800.19

P-value
0.8
0.36

Lower 95%
Upper 95%
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-2457930491.94
###
###
###
-121070361.89 328699932.22 -121070361.89
###

0.93

1.63

0.93

1.63

0.13
0

-0.16
2.13

1.29
3.32

-0.16
2.13

1.29
3.32

Gross fixed
capital formation
(current US$)

Net Exports

Forecasted GDP
for 2010
(current US$)

0.57

2.72

32492345869

4091542204

###

###

###

Indicator

GDP
(current US$)

Manufacturing, value
added (current US$)

Services, etc., value


added (current US$)

1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008

23905267271
12375610634
20576647135
26294371425
34544482513
36084008139
34834667902
44909998632
53674086051
55876101187
59222879292
56751679594
51509515206
53290390318
53935760985
56772338815
61346725170
69725009965
79385073422
92303809836
107492000000
129109000000

3568308911
5772547436
2988412551
4355997552
3926473746
5574546433
5820360325
5632749179
7174604318
8105344798
8331488610
8790238814
8080231557
7194020285
7689897279
7906508093
8406984622
8810577380
10367318581
11855983010
13508265717
15671282210

9238717843
11278298046
5838705907
9614327335
14116371175
20499458175
20873224930
19465667487
24168870895
29131783129
30621344321
32520144439
31499114982
28916343936
29965948158
30716251437
32276425967
34545786840
37911160023
42279563107
47269121236
55172886352

2009

126734000000

18770392844

66672779863

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.96
0.92
0.91
6960565808.66
21

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Manufacturing, value added
(current US$)
Services, etc., value added
(current US$)

2
18
20

SS
1.00E+022
8.72E+020
1.09E+022

MS
5.01E+021
4.84E+019

Coefficients
-4326483667.67

Standard Error
5126048717.21

t Stat
-0.84

3.38

2.3

2.17

1.21

0.54

2.23

Manufacturing,
value added
(current US$)

Services, etc.,
value added
(current US$)

Coefficients
Data for 2007

3.38
15671282210

52979904274.09

1.21
55172886352

###

Significance F
103.33

P-value
0.41

Lower 95%
###

Upper 95%
###

0.16

-1.45

8.22

-1.45

8.22

0.04

0.07

2.34

0.07

2.34

Forecasted GDP for


Actual GDP for 2008
2008
(current US$)
(current US$)

119615661953

129109000000

Deviation

7.35%

Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


###
###

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0.97
R Square
0.94
Adjusted R Square
0.93
Standard Error
7199102243.88
Observations
22
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Manufacturing, value
added (current US$)
Services, etc., value added
(current US$)

2
19
21

SS
1.56E+022
9.85E+020
1.66E+022

MS
###
###

F
150.75

Coefficients
###

Standard Error
###

t Stat
-1.92

P-value
0.07

4.88

2.15

2.87

0.04

0.96

0.53

2.13

0.09

Manufacturing,
value added
(current US$)

Services,
etc., value
added
(current
US$)

Forecasted GDP
for 2009
(current US$)

Coefficients
4.88
0.96
Data for 2008 18770392844
###
###
###
155691093816

Significance F
0

Lower 95%
###

Upper 95% Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%


780842481.28
###
###

0.37

9.38

0.37

9.38

-0.16

2.08

-0.16

2.08

Actual GDP for


2009
(current US$)

Deviation

126734000000

-22.85%

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0.97
0.94
0.94
7831240968.16
23

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
Manufacturing, value
added (current US$)
Services, etc., value added
(current US$)

2
20
22

SS
2.03E+022
1.23E+021
2.15E+022

MS
1.01E+022
6.13E+019

Coefficients
-3428311451.02

Standard Error
###

t Stat
-0.83

3.25

2.19

2.48

1.22

0.57

2.15

Gross fixed
capital formation
(current US$)

Net Exports

Coefficients
Data for 2008

3.25
17506977917

###

1.22
65514847088

###

F
165.35

Significance F
0

P-value
0.41

Lower 95%
###

0.15

-1.32

7.82

-1.32

7.82

0.04

0.03

2.4

0.03

2.4

Forecasted GDP for


2010
(current US$)

136503188582

Upper 95%Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%


###
###
5140307902.2