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ru

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Times.
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: ? / 25
; . . . ; . . ., 2011. 67 .
ISBN 978-5-905046-12-4

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327.8
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Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2011

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Calamity in the Caucasus. [S.l.]: NYU Press, 1998). 2003. : (de WaalT. Black Garden: Armenia and Azerbaijan Through Peace and War. [S.l.]: NYU Press),
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2010 2011.,
2011 . ,
, .

.
, .
1

, ,
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policy_research/surveys_indices/cpi/2010/results.

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2010 (http://transparency.ge/sites/default/files/post_attachments/ENP_TI_Georgia.pdf).

Election Campaign Funds // Civil Georgia. 2010. June15.

312888 (177223 .)
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10 Martin B., Jordan J. Georgias 1st Dollar Bond Since 2008 to Raise $500 Million //
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47 Economic Feasibility, General Economic Impact and Implications of a Free Trade Agreement
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100. .
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55
(http://eeas.europa.eu/
delegations/georgia/press_corner/all_news/news/2010/20100212_01_en.htm).

64

Summary

Georgia is entering a period of transition, with parliamentary and presidential

elections due in 20122013, after which a new constitution will take effect. The
current government has made good progress in building a functioning state that
delivers services to citizens, but Georgias economic picture is increasingly uncertain.
The governing elite, led by President Mikheil Saakashvili, has no serious
domestic political opposition but faces the challenge of how to re-invent itself. It
suffers from an accountability gap and risks turning Georgia into a one-party state.
After years of governing in an informal and improvisational way, the Georgian
government needs to build institutions and choose a long-term development
model. Three ideas pull Georgia in different directions. One is a conservative
traditional conception of old Georgia, which commands respect but offers little
as an economic or political model. A second idea, envisaging Georgia as another
Singapore open to worldwide investment, has many supporters, especially from
the still influential libertarian group who believe that Georgia needs maximum deregulation. But foreign investment is currently falling in Georgia and this model
would not solve deep problems such as rural poverty and high unemployment.
The European Union offers a third path, with a prospective Deep and
Comprehensive Free Trade Agreement that would offer privileged access to the
EU single market in return for institutional reform. This path would require the
governing elite to surrender both political and economic power. The EU has sold
the idea poorly and will need to offer more foreign technical assistance to ease the
regulatory burden it will impose. But it offers Georgia the best hope of long-term
development and a European anchor.

65

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29.07.2011
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