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Interviews with 1,008 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on August 5-7, 2011.

The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 930 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3 percentage points). The sample includes 808 interviews among landline respondents and 200 interviews among cell phone respondents.

FOR RELEASE: THURSDAY, AUGUST 11 AT 6 AM

BASED ON 449 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 19. Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for President in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, businessman Herman Cain, former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman, former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson, Michigan Congressman Thaddeus McCotter, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, Texas Congressman Ron Paul, former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty, Texas Governor Rick Perry, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, or former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum (RANDOM ORDER) Aug. 5-7 2011 Romney Perry Giuliani Palin Paul Bachmann Gingrich Cain Huntsman Pawlenty Santorum Johnson McCotter Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 17% 15% 12% 12% 12% 7% 5% 4% 4% 2% 2% * * 2% 4% 2% July 18-20 2011 16% 14% 13% 13% 8% 12% 4% 6% 1% 3% 2% * * 1% 8% 1%

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August 5-7, 2011

BASED ON 449 REPUBLICANS -- SAMPLING ERROR: +/- 4.5 PERCENTAGE PTS. 19. Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for President in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else (RANDOM ORDER) And who would be your second choice? And who would be your third choice? HORSE RACE WITHOUT RUDY GIULIANI OR SARAH PALIN Aug. 5-7 2011 Romney Perry Paul Bachmann Gingrich Cain Huntsman Pawlenty Santorum Johnson McCotter Someone else (vol.) None/ No one (vol.) No opinion 23% 18% 14% 9% 8% 5% 5% 3% 3% * * 2% 5% 4% July 18-20 2011 22% 17% 12% 14% 5% 7% 1% 4% 2% * * 3% 10% 2%

20. 21.

Data indicates the second choice for respondents who chose Giuliani or Palin as their first choice, and indicates the third choice for respondents who chose both Giuliani and Palin as their first and second choices.

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August 5-7, 2011

QUESTIONS 23 THROUGH 32 ROTATED. NAMES OF CANDIDATES WERE READ IN RANDOM ORDER.

23/24. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Michele Bachmann were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Obama, the Democrat, or Bachman, the Republican? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward? Obama Registered Voters August 5-7, 2011 All Respondents August 5-7, 2011 51% 51% Bachmann 45% 45% Neither (vol.) 3% 3% Other (vol.) * 1% No Opinion 1% 1%

25/26. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Obama, the Democrat, or Giuliani, the Republican? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward? Obama Registered Voters August 5-7, 2011 All Respondents August 5-7, 2011 45% 46% Giuliani 51% 51% Neither (vol.) 3% 3% Other (vol.) * * No Opinion * *

27/28. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Sarah Palin were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Obama, the Democrat, or Palin, the Republican? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward? Obama Registered Voters August 5-7, 2011 Apr. 29-May 1, 2011 Oct. 27-30, 2010 Apr. 9-11, 2010 All Respondents August 5-7, 2011 Apr. 29-May 1, 2011 Oct. 27-30, 2010 Apr. 9-11, 2010
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Palin 41% 38% 44% 42%

Neither (vol.) 4% 2% 4% 3%

Other (vol.) * 1% * *

No Opinion * * * *

55% 59% 52% 55%

54% 59% 54% 57%

40% 38% 42% 40%


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5% 2% 3% 2%

1% 1% * *

* * * *
August 5-7, 2011

29/30. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Rick Perry were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Obama, the Democrat, or Perry, the Republican? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward? Obama Registered Voters August 5-7, 2011 All Respondents August 5-7, 2011 51% 51% Perry 46% 45% Neither (vol.) 3% 3% Other (vol.) * 1% No Opinion * 1%

31/32. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Obama, the Democrat, or Romney, the Republican? (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward? Obama Registered Voters August 5-7, 2011 Apr. 29-May 1, 2011 Oct. 27-30, 2010 Apr. 9-11, 2010 All Respondents August 5-7, 2011 Apr. 29-May 1, 2011 Oct. 27-30, 2010 Apr. 9-11, 2010 49% 54% 45% 53% Romney 48% 43% 50% 45% Neither (vol.) 2% 2% 3% 1% Other (vol.) * 1% * * No Opinion * * 1% *

49% 55% 47% 54%

47% 42% 48% 43%

3% 2% 3% 2%

1% 1% * *

* * 1% *

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August 5-7, 2011

CNN/ORC INTERNATIONAL POLL -- AUG 5 TO 7, 2011 Question 19 Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for President in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans Total Men Women White ----------------Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 5% 7% 3% 6% Frm AK Gov Sarah Palin 12% 10% 15% 12% Teas Congressman Ron Paul 12% 17% 5% 9% Frm MN Gov Tim Pawlenty 2% 2% 2% 2% Frm MA Gov Mitt Romney 17% 12% 22% 18% Frm PA Sen Rick Santorum 2% 3% 1% 3% MN Cong Michele Bachmann 7% 9% 4% 7% Frm Utah Gov Jon Huntsman 4% 4% 4% 3% Businessman Herman Cain 4% 5% 3% 3% Frm NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani 12% 12% 11% 13% Frm NM Gov Gary Johnson * * * * MI Cong Thaddeus McCotter * * 1% * Texas Governor Rick Perry 15% 13% 16% 15% Someone else 2% 2% 3% 2% None/no one 4% 2% 7% 4% No opinion 2% 2% 3% 3% Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-6.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 Total ----Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 5% Frm AK Gov Sarah Palin 12% Teas Congressman Ron Paul 12% Frm MN Gov Tim Pawlenty 2% Frm MA Gov Mitt Romney 17% Frm PA Sen Rick Santorum 2% MN Cong Michele Bachmann 7% Frm Utah Gov Jon Huntsman 4% Businessman Herman Cain 4% Frm NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani 12% Frm NM Gov Gary Johnson * MI Cong Thaddeus McCotter * Texas Governor Rick Perry 15% Someone else 2% None/no one 4% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-4.5 1834 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 3549 ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A $50K or more ------3% 13% 10% 3% 17% 3% 8% 5% 3% 11% * * 18% * 4% 2% +/-6.5 Non-White --------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Under 50 ----3% 11% 16% 1% 14% 2% 4% 3% 3% 17% * 1% 14% 3% 5% 2% +/-8.5 50 and Older -----8% 14% 7% 3% 20% 2% 10% 4% 5% 5% * * 15% 2% 3% 2% +/-5.5

5064 ----7% 16% 8% 3% 14% 2% 8% 7% 8% 7% * * 11% 2% 4% 2% +/-8.0 No College ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

65+ ----9% 12% 4% 3% 28% 1% 11% * 2% 3% * * 21% 1% 1% 3% +/-7.5

Under Total $50K --------Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 5% 9% Frm AK Gov Sarah Palin 12% 15% Teas Congressman Ron Paul 12% 16% Frm MN Gov Tim Pawlenty 2% 1% Frm MA Gov Mitt Romney 17% 15% Frm PA Sen Rick Santorum 2% 2% MN Cong Michele Bachmann 7% 4% Frm Utah Gov Jon Huntsman 4% 1% Businessman Herman Cain 4% 5% Frm NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani 12% 13% Frm NM Gov Gary Johnson * * MI Cong Thaddeus McCotter * 1% Texas Governor Rick Perry 15% 9% Someone else 2% 6% None/no one 4% 1% No opinion 2% 2% Sampling Error +/-4.5 +/-8.0 * percentage less than 1%

Attended College -------4% 8% 10% 3% 18% 2% 7% 6% 5% 11% * * 17% 2% 4% 3% +/-5.5

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August 5-7, 2011

CNN/ORC INTERNATIONAL POLL -- AUG 5 TO 7, 2011 Question 19 Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in 2012. After I read all the names, please tell me which candidate you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for President in the year 2012, or if you would support someone else. Base = Republicans Total ----Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 5% Frm AK Gov Sarah Palin 12% Teas Congressman Ron Paul 12% Frm MN Gov Tim Pawlenty 2% Frm MA Gov Mitt Romney 17% Frm PA Sen Rick Santorum 2% MN Cong Michele Bachmann 7% Frm Utah Gov Jon Huntsman 4% Businessman Herman Cain 4% Frm NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani 12% Frm NM Gov Gary Johnson * MI Cong Thaddeus McCotter * Texas Governor Rick Perry 15% Someone else 2% None/no one 4% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-4.5 Total ----Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 5% Frm AK Gov Sarah Palin 12% Teas Congressman Ron Paul 12% Frm MN Gov Tim Pawlenty 2% Frm MA Gov Mitt Romney 17% Frm PA Sen Rick Santorum 2% MN Cong Michele Bachmann 7% Frm Utah Gov Jon Huntsman 4% Businessman Herman Cain 4% Frm NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani 12% Frm NM Gov Gary Johnson * MI Cong Thaddeus McCotter * Texas Governor Rick Perry 15% Someone else 2% None/no one 4% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-4.5 Total ----Frm Speaker Hse Newt Gingrich 5% Frm AK Gov Sarah Palin 12% Teas Congressman Ron Paul 12% Frm MN Gov Tim Pawlenty 2% Frm MA Gov Mitt Romney 17% Frm PA Sen Rick Santorum 2% MN Cong Michele Bachmann 7% Frm Utah Gov Jon Huntsman 4% Businessman Herman Cain 4% Frm NYC Mayor Rudy Giuliani 12% Frm NM Gov Gary Johnson * MI Cong Thaddeus McCotter * Texas Governor Rick Perry 15% Someone else 2% None/no one 4% No opinion 2% Sampling Error +/-4.5 * percentage less than 1% Democrat ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A North east ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Support ------5% 11% 12% 3% 15% 1% 11% 4% 4% 4% * * 20% 2% 2% 3% +/-6.0 Independent -----6% 9% 14% 3% 16% 2% 7% 4% 6% 13% * * 7% 5% 4% 3% +/-7.0 Midwest ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Tea Pty Neutral ------5% 13% 12% 1% 18% 3% 3% 2% 3% 20% * 1% 9% 3% 5% 2% +/-8.0 Republican -----4% 15% 10% 1% 17% 2% 6% 4% 3% 10% * 1% 21% * 4% 2% +/-6.0 South ----7% 16% 17% 2% 16% 1% 3% 4% 3% 4% * * 21% 2% 4% 2% +/-7.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liberal ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Moderate ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Conservative ------3% 11% 11% 2% 17% 3% 8% 3% 4% 10% * * 19% 3% 3% 3% +/-5.5 Rural ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

West ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Urban ----N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Suburban ----5% 11% 10% 2% 19% 2% 6% 3% 3% 13% * * 16% 3% 3% 3% +/-6.5

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August 5-7, 2011

CNN/ORC INTERNATIONAL POLL -- AUG 5 TO 7, 2011 Question 23/24 Q23. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Michele Bachmann were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q24. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White ----------------51% 50% 52% 40% 45% 45% 45% 54% 3% 4% 2% 4% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----51% 45% 3% 1% 1% +/-3.0 1834 ----52% 47% 1% * * +/-8.5 3549 ----50% 43% 4% 2% 2% +/-7.0 $50K or more ------47% 49% 2% * 1% +/-4.5 Independent -----47% 45% 6% 1% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----52% 45% 2% * * +/-6.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------49% 46% 4% 1% * +/-5.0 Non-White --------77% 22% 1% * * +/-7.0 65+ ----45% 51% 4% * 1% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----51% 45% 2% 1% 1% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----51% 45% 3% * * +/-4.0

Obama/Lean Obama Bachmann/Lean Bachmann Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Obama/Lean Obama Bachmann/Lean Bachmann Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

5064 ----55% 41% 3% * * +/-5.5 No College ------51% 45% 3% 1% * +/-6.0

Obama/Lean Obama Bachmann/Lean Bachmann Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Under Total $50K --------51% 58% 45% 39% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Total ----51% 45% 3% 1% 1% +/-3.0 Total ----51% 45% 3% 1% 1% +/-3.0 Total ----51% 45% 3% 1% 1% +/-3.0 Democrat ----83% 16% 1% * 1% +/-6.0 North east ----53% 44% 4% * * +/-6.5 Tea Pty Support ------15% 81% 1% 1% 2% +/-6.0

Attended College -------51% 45% 3% * 1% +/-3.5 Liberal ----77% 20% 1% 2% * +/-7.5 Moderate ----65% 32% 3% * * +/-5.0 Conservative ------23% 72% 3% * 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----44% 53% 2% * * +/-6.5

Obama/Lean Obama Bachmann/Lean Bachmann Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Republican -----13% 86% 1% * * +/-6.0 South ----49% 48% 2% * 1% +/-5.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------82% 15% 2% * * +/-5.0

Obama/Lean Obama Bachmann/Lean Bachmann Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

West ----52% 40% 4% 2% 1% +/-6.5

Urban ----60% 34% 4% 1% * +/-5.5

Suburban ----46% 50% 2% * 1% +/-4.5

Obama/Lean Obama Bachmann/Lean Bachmann Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1%

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August 5-7, 2011

CNN/ORC INTERNATIONAL POLL -- AUG 5 TO 7, 2011 Question 25/26 Q25. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q26. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White ----------------46% 42% 50% 35% 51% 53% 48% 61% 3% 5% 2% 4% * * * * * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----46% 51% 3% * * +/-3.0 1834 ----53% 47% 1% * * +/-8.5 3549 ----37% 57% 6% * * +/-7.0 $50K or more ------41% 55% 4% * * +/-4.5 Independent -----41% 53% 5% * * +/-4.5 Midwest ----43% 55% 2% * * +/-6.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------45% 52% 3% * * +/-5.0 Non-White --------73% 26% 1% * * +/-7.0 65+ ----42% 53% 4% * * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----45% 52% 3% * * +/-5.5 50 and Older -----48% 49% 3% * * +/-4.0

Obama/Lean Obama Giuliani/Lean Giuliani Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Obama/Lean Obama Giuliani/Lean Giuliani Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

5064 ----52% 46% 2% * * +/-5.5 No College ------49% 48% 4% * * +/-6.0

Obama/Lean Obama Giuliani/Lean Giuliani Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Under Total $50K --------46% 55% 51% 43% 3% 2% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Total ----46% 51% 3% * * +/-3.0 Total ----46% 51% 3% * * +/-3.0 Total ----46% 51% 3% * * +/-3.0 Democrat ----80% 19% 1% * * +/-6.0 North east ----47% 52% 1% * * +/-6.5 Tea Pty Support ------14% 80% 6% * * +/-6.0

Attended College -------44% 53% 3% * * +/-3.5 Liberal ----75% 25% 1% * * +/-7.5 Moderate ----57% 40% 2% * * +/-5.0 Conservative ------20% 75% 5% * * +/-4.5 Rural ----38% 58% 4% * * +/-6.5

Obama/Lean Obama Giuliani/Lean Giuliani Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Republican -----8% 90% 2% * * +/-6.0 South ----45% 51% 4% * * +/-5.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------73% 24% 2% * * +/-5.0

Obama/Lean Obama Giuliani/Lean Giuliani Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

West ----51% 44% 4% * * +/-6.5

Urban ----57% 40% 3% * * +/-5.5

Suburban ----43% 53% 3% * * +/-4.5

Obama/Lean Obama Giuliani/Lean Giuliani Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1%

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August 5-7, 2011

CNN/ORC INTERNATIONAL POLL -- AUG 5 TO 7, 2011 Question 27/28 Q27. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Sarah Palin were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q28. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White ----------------54% 49% 59% 44% 40% 44% 36% 50% 5% 5% 4% 6% 1% 1% * 1% * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----54% 40% 5% 1% * +/-3.0 1834 ----63% 31% 6% * * +/-8.5 3549 ----50% 43% 5% 2% * +/-7.0 $50K or more ------51% 43% 6% * * +/-4.5 Independent -----48% 41% 9% 1% * +/-4.5 Midwest ----50% 45% 4% * * +/-6.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------56% 37% 6% 1% * +/-5.0 Non-White --------81% 17% 2% * * +/-7.0 65+ ----45% 51% 3% 1% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----56% 37% 6% 1% * +/-5.5 50 and Older -----52% 44% 3% * * +/-4.0

Obama/Lean Obama Palin/Lean Palin Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Obama/Lean Obama Palin/Lean Palin Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

5064 ----58% 39% 3% * * +/-5.5 No College ------51% 43% 5% 1% * +/-6.0

Obama/Lean Obama Palin/Lean Palin Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Under Total $50K --------54% 61% 40% 35% 5% 3% 1% 1% * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Total ----54% 40% 5% 1% * +/-3.0 Total ----54% 40% 5% 1% * +/-3.0 Total ----54% 40% 5% 1% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----88% 11% 1% * * +/-6.0 North east ----61% 34% 5% * * +/-6.5 Tea Pty Support ------13% 82% 5% * * +/-6.0

Attended College -------57% 38% 4% * * +/-3.5 Liberal ----82% 13% 2% 2% * +/-7.5 Moderate ----69% 26% 6% * * +/-5.0 Conservative ------25% 70% 5% * * +/-4.5 Rural ----45% 53% 2% 1% * +/-6.5

Obama/Lean Obama Palin/Lean Palin Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Republican -----19% 80% 1% 1% * +/-6.0 South ----51% 44% 5% * * +/-5.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------86% 11% 3% * * +/-5.0

Obama/Lean Obama Palin/Lean Palin Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

West ----58% 35% 5% 2% * +/-6.5

Urban ----68% 26% 4% 1% * +/-5.5

Suburban ----48% 45% 6% * * +/-4.5

Obama/Lean Obama Palin/Lean Palin Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1%

POLL 13

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August 5-7, 2011

CNN/ORC INTERNATIONAL POLL -- AUG 5 TO 7, 2011 Question 29/30 Q29. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Rick Perry were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q30. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White ----------------51% 50% 51% 39% 45% 44% 46% 55% 3% 4% 3% 5% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * 1% +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----51% 45% 3% 1% 1% +/-3.0 1834 ----55% 42% 2% * 1% +/-8.5 3549 ----48% 46% 4% 2% 1% +/-7.0 $50K or more ------46% 50% 3% * 1% +/-4.5 Independent -----46% 46% 6% 1% 1% +/-4.5 Midwest ----49% 46% 4% * * +/-6.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------50% 45% 4% 1% 1% +/-5.0 Non-White --------80% 20% * * * +/-7.0 65+ ----43% 51% 4% * 1% +/-5.5 Under 50 ----51% 44% 3% 1% 1% +/-5.5 50 and Older -----50% 46% 4% * * +/-4.0

Obama/Lean Obama Perry/Lean Perry Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Obama/Lean Obama Perry/Lean Perry Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

5064 ----54% 42% 3% * * +/-5.5 No College ------50% 45% 3% 1% * +/-6.0

Obama/Lean Obama Perry/Lean Perry Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Under Total $50K --------51% 59% 45% 37% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Total ----51% 45% 3% 1% 1% +/-3.0 Total ----51% 45% 3% 1% 1% +/-3.0 Total ----51% 45% 3% 1% 1% +/-3.0 Democrat ----83% 16% 1% * * +/-6.0 North east ----52% 46% 2% * * +/-6.5 Tea Pty Support ------15% 80% 4% * 1% +/-6.0

Attended College -------51% 44% 4% * 1% +/-3.5 Liberal ----78% 19% 1% 2% * +/-7.5 Moderate ----64% 32% 2% 1% 1% +/-5.0 Conservative ------22% 72% 5% * 1% +/-4.5 Rural ----41% 55% 3% 1% * +/-6.5

Obama/Lean Obama Perry/Lean Perry Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Republican -----11% 86% 1% 1% 1% +/-6.0 South ----49% 48% 2% * 1% +/-5.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------80% 17% 2% * * +/-5.0

Obama/Lean Obama Perry/Lean Perry Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

West ----53% 37% 6% 2% 1% +/-6.5

Urban ----61% 35% 3% 1% 1% +/-5.5

Suburban ----48% 48% 3% * 1% +/-4.5

Obama/Lean Obama Perry/Lean Perry Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1%

POLL 13

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August 5-7, 2011

CNN/ORC INTERNATIONAL POLL -- AUG 5 TO 7, 2011 Question 31/32 Q31. If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Mitt Romney were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- ? Q32. As of today, do you lean more toward -- ? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White ----------------49% 43% 54% 38% 47% 51% 44% 58% 3% 4% 2% 4% 1% 1% * * * * * * +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 Total ----49% 47% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 1834 ----55% 44% 1% 1% * +/-8.5 3549 ----46% 47% 6% 1% * +/-7.0 $50K or more ------45% 51% 3% 1% * +/-4.5 Independent -----41% 53% 6% * * +/-4.5 Midwest ----47% 50% 2% 1% * +/-6.5 Tea Pty Neutral ------47% 48% 4% * * +/-5.0 Non-White --------75% 22% 1% 1% * +/-7.0 65+ ----39% 57% 3% 1% * +/-5.5 Under 50 ----50% 45% 4% 1% * +/-5.5 50 and Older -----47% 50% 2% * * +/-4.0

Obama/Lean Obama Romney/Lean Romney Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Obama/Lean Obama Romney/Lean Romney Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

5064 ----53% 45% 2% * * +/-5.5 No College ------48% 48% 3% 1% * +/-6.0

Obama/Lean Obama Romney/Lean Romney Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Under Total $50K --------49% 56% 47% 41% 3% 3% 1% * * * +/-3.0 +/-5.0 Total ----49% 47% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 Total ----49% 47% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 Total ----49% 47% 3% 1% * +/-3.0 Democrat ----87% 11% 1% 1% * +/-6.0 North east ----49% 50% * 1% * +/-6.5 Tea Pty Support ------13% 84% 2% * * +/-6.0

Attended College -------49% 47% 3% 1% * +/-3.5 Liberal ----78% 18% 3% 1% * +/-7.5 Moderate ----60% 37% 2% * * +/-5.0 Conservative ------21% 74% 4% 1% * +/-4.5 Rural ----41% 56% 3% * * +/-6.5

Obama/Lean Obama Romney/Lean Romney Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

Republican -----10% 89% * 1% * +/-6.0 South ----49% 48% 3% * * +/-5.5 Tea Pty Oppose ------79% 17% 2% 1% * +/-5.0

Obama/Lean Obama Romney/Lean Romney Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error

West ----51% 40% 8% 1% * +/-6.5

Urban ----58% 37% 5% * * +/-5.5

Suburban ----45% 52% 1% 1% * +/-4.5

Obama/Lean Obama Romney/Lean Romney Neither Other No opinion Sampling Error * percentage less than 1%

POLL 13

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August 5-7, 2011

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