Datos de entrada

Precio de venta $ 70,000.00

Costos admon $ 160,000,000.00
Costos publicidad $ 80,000,000.00

MANO DE OBRA

Intervalo MOD
MOD por unidad Probabilidad
10,000 0.1 0 0.1 10,000
13,000 0.3 0.1 0.4 13,000
16,000 0.3 0.4 0.7 16,000
19,000 0.2 0.7 0.9 19,000
22,000 0.1 0.9 1 22,000

COSTO DE COMPONENTES
a 25000
b 35000

DEMANDA
MEDIA 14500
DESV. STD 4000
 Unidades
Ensayo MOD C comp. Utilidad Utilidad
vendidas
1 16000 30529 16241 141188391 8022798.07
2 16000 32670 16214 105851153 -78264499
3 10000 27508 5463 -62507801 288747683
4 22000 28353 17776 109241107 162127560
5 13000 32338 19557 242311293 54383852.6
6 22000 27468 23284 238072205 284419463
7 16000 33662 10331 -29897700 104190051
8 10000 32075 9630 28905523.2 154559779
9 16000 31153 19687 209785869 100289314
10 22000 26438 15135 86346428.8 159170338
11 19000 34320 14303 -1432965.21 -5580221.17
12 22000 30958 10607 -59241944 157416784
13 13000 25484 11005 106820584 8365972.07
14 19000 27435 14671 105725981 -8277365.34
15 19000 26268 19658 246178109 126316556
16 10000 34959 16111 163445516 112769907
17 19000 31562 12509 3156398.93 22598649.8
18 19000 32438 11040 -35079093 251997313
19 16000 31922 19253 185061140 9791932.21
20 19000 33634 17001 55242706.1 16250513.6
21 16000 25742 7156 -37787769 -37686180
22 16000 31233 14298 85533056.5 286234926
23 19000 29179 12950 42587601 206478595
24 13000 33928 17749 169496914 -33864715
25 22000 33716 13665 -44809152 148950311
26 10000 27496 14808 241312694 117720459
27 16000 30110 11247 28680945.8 -36218542
28 13000 25378 12571 157535184 186095113
29 19000 33373 15202 27965390.9 29544867
30 22000 25592 12332 36337506.2 -97241227
31 19000 29515 8980 -47069479 7156136.68
32 16000 32610 20855 206083085 13478074.8
33 19000 32884 15593 42476093.6 121070642
34 19000 30581 17561 118583571 138171365
35 19000 32194 15696 55185202 95378025.8
36 19000 26418 12980 79065655.8 -83932696
37 13000 28323 24742 469526817 151593925
38 13000 25652 21432 431864254 66616441.5
39 16000 29688 8554 -32043360 77427186.8
40 16000 33057 18671 151031345 93430075.8
41 16000 33574 12385 12981233.1 184569110
42 16000 26472 12779 111770156 187549699
43 13000 25487 15871 260157824 202115928
44 13000 34201 11003 10853145.7 175614074
45 13000 27430 17286 271153065 -35659259
46 10000 27345 18662 369417153 106973056
47 16000 31314 11822 28183326.4 4052299.39
48 13000 30642 14282 136437254 59975903.3
49 16000 28613 9963 12938860.4 -106085148
50 16000 30478 7785 -56888834 46566333.1
51 13000 32230 13884 103910309 97988151.9
52 13000 27582 14685 192016191 -6656354.59
53 19000 29734 12604 28041389 218500886
54 13000 30049 17703 237126671 59798939.7
55 16000 30272 14126 95176970.4 88757449.6
56 22000 32781 16442 10227719.3 217769898
57 16000 34083 13772 34298116.5 149933728
58 13000 30572 16403 193510484 26102278.9
59 13000 32976 12826 68124187.8 111119132
60 19000 28297 13893 75420058.2 221893806
61 16000 25696 17110 244284807 101004770
62 22000 30982 19159 86053976 164789475
63 19000 31710 10233 -42599842 214184577
64 16000 29411 11995 54945535.3 317224859
65 13000 33472 17716 176813439 20010344.8
66 13000 25557 13160 173801474 119410766
67 22000 32356 14010 -20831103 85600306
68 13000 31326 14519 132752764 145865961
69 19000 28174 14758 96868344.9 65523003.6
70 13000 31987 7903 -42325188 101515582
71 13000 29166 5405 -89559713 148978466
72 13000 34005 18600 187712613 223325969
73 22000 30565 9324 -77428469 193167971
74 13000 33926 12245 42533735.2 93680623.4
75 10000 25426 18917 414048795 287848002
76 13000 29926 17689 238921976 91106058
77 13000 32522 16600 166326786 17968647.8
78 16000 29680 13845 96705217.5 233839739
79 13000 30284 16216 193227552 104095407
80 13000 28017 16078 225977088 57862212.2
81 13000 33914 7516 -66476899 281989242
82 10000 31183 18193 284260996 130966867
83 13000 29303 7413 -34681579 -44189495
84 16000 29145 24667 373094835 187131924
85 16000 28493 19184 249330178 86679982.1
86 16000 33898 14995 61430713.5 -14431973
 87 13000 33825 13419 70977527.1 127880752
88 19000 31427 12119 -2785207.63 -786941.486
89 16000 28519 19167 248398153 142174848
90 19000 27909 10550 3604210.75 -39869976
91 16000 26086 9088 13670953.4 106781303
92 13000 28748 14507 169850998 -2707739.42
93 10000 31883 15298 190132146 127112393
94 19000 33474 14012 5582094.03 190759137
95 19000 26136 18224 213127311 35509084.2
96 13000 29580 16310 207221433 -59144802
97 19000 32791 17091 71210617.9 346436733
98 13000 34049 18780 191019841 42971827.7
99 13000 26196 13721 182669980 82598220.1
100 19000 27873 14566 96867262.9 256399270
 Util. Promedio Prob. Pérdida

$ 101,618,424.70 17 17%

$ 346,436,733.11 Max
-$ 106,085,147.93 Min
$ 100,076,093.13 Desv. Est.
Ejercicio con variables discretas

Lanzamiento de dos dados

Dado a Dado b Resultado
Probabilidad de que salga un número es de 1/6 1 2 3
### 1 3 4
6 1 7
Intervalo No. Del dado 4 5 9
0 ### 1 4 6 10
### ### 2 1 5 6
### ### 3 3 5 8
### ### 4 1 5 6
### ### 5 6 2 8
### ### 6 6 5 11
1 4 5
4 5 9
1 6 7
2 1 3
1 4 5
4 5 9
4 3 7
3 5 8
3 2 5
3 3 6
2 4 6
3 4 7
2 6 8
2 5 7
6 4 10
6 2 8
3 2 5
6 3 9
3 4 7
1 5 6
5 3 8
2 1 3
1 3 4
3 3 6
1 3 4
6 1 7
3 4 7
6 1 7
1 3 4
4 2 6
5 1 6
2 6 8
3 6 9
3 6 9
2 3 5
2 6 8
4 5 9
3 2 5
1 6 7
1 1 2
1 1 2
1 4 5
3 3 6
6 6 12
2 5 7
1 2 3
6 3 9
5 5 10
3 4 7
1 4 5
3 3 6
1 3 4
3 4 7
3 1 4
5 4 9
1 4 5
4 4 8
1 5 6
2 1 3
6 1 7
5 3 8
1 6 7
4 5 9
5 4 9
5 5 10
5 1 6
2 5 7
1 3 4
4 3 7
4 5 9
3 6 9
1 3 4
5 5 10
6 1 7
4 3 7
1 6 7
2 6 8
3 1 4
4 2 6
3 5 8
1 5 6
6 4 10
3 3 6
4 4 8
3 4 7
3 1 4
1 6 7
3 1 4
1 5 6
4 1 5
Resultado
11 14 Estadísticas
8 14% Promedio 7.31000000
5 Mediana 7.00000000
5 Moda 6.00000000
3 Desv. Estándar 2.52940285
8 Valor mín. 2
7 Valor máx. 12
12 Intervalo de confianza 0.49575385
3 Nivel de significación (alfa) 5%
7 IC para amplitud (1-alfa) 6.81424615
9 IC para amplitud (1+alfa) 7.80575385
11
7
4
7 Chart T
6 18
9 16
10
14
9
12
6
7 10

12 8
6 6
6 4
5
2
3
0
8 2 3 4 5 6 7
8
10
11
11
11
10
6
7
11
7
8
5
11
3
 6
6
8
6
9
6
10
2
10
11
8
5
12
7
7
9
5
7
9
5
6
5
6
6
5
4
9
8
9
8
6
6
9
11
10
8
6
4
8
4
3
11
7
5
12
 9
6
10
6
7
7
5
5
7
10
4
11
2
5
 Resultado # veces Porcentaje
2 2 2%
3 5 5%
4 5 5%
5 13 13%
6 17 17%
7 14 14%
8 11 11%
9 10 10%
10 8 8%
11 11 11%
12 4 4%

Chart Title

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
SERVIDOR 1
SERVIDOR 2

Total iteraciones:
S1 + rapido:
S2 + rapido:

Tiempo medio
Desviacion estandar
95% para total esperado
Intervalo superior
Intervalo inferior
CONCLUSION:
El servidor más rapido es el 2
 TIEMPO DE RESPUESTA (MINUTO
DISTRIBUCION MEDIA(MIN) DESV. EST(MIN) SERVIDOR 1
NORMAL 20 3.4 1 19.8285191
NORMAL 22 2.6 2 19.2459579
3 19.9126858
FRECUENCIA PORCENTAJE 4 21.3027828
Total iteraciones: 100 100% 5 17.9609492
S1 + rapido: 0 0% 6 23.9534902
S2 + rapido: 1 1% 7 11.5167246
8 17.6489267
Tiempo medio 22.769766975 9 14.7934077
Desviacion estandar 2.45984020904 10 21.7772138
95% para total esperado 0.48211982174 intervalo de confianza 11 17.0901034
ntervalo superior 22.2876471532 12 16.6112355
ntervalo inferior 23.2518867967 13 17.4590043
ONCLUSION: 14 21.1088752
servidor más rapido es el 2 15 18.9683522
16 21.6960379
17 20.3852918
18 15.6065033
19 19.7024271
20 20.6712865
21 22.9650777
22 22.1069137
23 25.7829017
24 19.2042013
25 15.7537136
26 19.8997276
27 15.034391
28 16.7652935
29 18.258812
30 25.0593682
31 24.0426975
32 20.3627958
33 25.6658754
34 22.0139549
35 15.6449114
36 14.3921297
37 20.7978797
38 24.956403
39 22.2916256
40 26.2999328
41 23.6574656
42 21.3624553
43 17.8676731
44 15.8834351
45 15.2393789
46 23.5035216
47 21.8418559
48 22.2413036
49 20.8917756
50 17.2532016
51 15.0867299
52 25.701984
53 18.2215247
54 24.5187251
55 18.9452324
56 19.4810937
57 15.5179154
58 12.0947594
59 15.3337569
60 19.4931394
61 20.4576051
62 22.5459108
63 19.7579061
64 21.057705
65 23.8982936
66 16.4161087
67 27.1534183
68 22.2624563
69 17.6683181
70 20.5261967
71 16.864867
72 20.5291962
73 24.202117
74 22.8467033
75 20.7716315
76 20.8034727
77 13.299075
78 14.8887473
79 13.4414427
80 21.6508583
81 22.6790523
82 17.4014323
83 18.6419843
84 19.0072195
85 16.4285559
86 18.893062
87 12.4854456
88 14.7183368
89 22.9424247
90 14.8040083
91 19.6046659
 92 22.6901337
93 21.0390928
94 19.8760332
95 21.8002575
96 21.4132934
97 21.7355683
98 21.1253505
99 23.6135985
100 17.2618043
IEMPO DE RESPUESTA (MINUTOS) SERVIDOR
SERVIDOR 2 TOTAL MAS RAPIDO
24.2160707 24.2160707 2
22.0053881 22.0053881 2
20.2011073 20.2011073 2
22.0982668 22.0982668 2
20.7384219 20.7384219 2
19.3983804 23.9534902 1
21.1879898 21.1879898 2
21.8015221 21.8015221 2
25.6176184 25.6176184 2
18.9982499 21.7772138 1
21.92293 21.92293 2
24.2098794 24.2098794 2
23.8745201 23.8745201 2
26.1819238 26.1819238 2
19.321204 19.321204 2
24.693514 24.693514 2
20.6226551 20.6226551 2
22.3269494 22.3269494 2
22.1314779 22.1314779 2
20.189973 20.6712865 1
24.5293421 24.5293421 2
19.5768081 22.1069137 1
22.9636992 25.7829017 1
22.9042627 22.9042627 2
20.6432319 20.6432319 2
19.8576041 19.8997276 1
21.7830281 21.7830281 2
19.2147011 19.2147011 2
20.1671214 20.1671214 2
24.2630824 25.0593682 1
21.8763032 24.0426975 1
20.9735526 20.9735526 2
27.3296367 27.3296367 2
22.0352041 22.0352041 2
22.2277758 22.2277758 2
19.8477802 19.8477802 2
19.36839 20.7978797 1
19.7854029 24.956403 1
25.6991291 25.6991291 2
24.3513894 26.2999328 1
21.4272031 23.6574656 1
20.8016774 21.3624553 1
19.0503132 19.0503132 2
16.1669482 16.1669482 2
20.6510085 20.6510085 2
25.0546504 25.0546504 2
19.2000326 21.8418559 1
22.3199812 22.3199812 2
18.1544748 20.8917756 1
23.7964406 23.7964406 2
22.7673768 22.7673768 2
21.6674128 25.701984 1
23.7444738 23.7444738 2
22.8667427 24.5187251 1
20.3640365 20.3640365 2
28.0534799 28.0534799 2
26.7378978 26.7378978 2
21.2912695 21.2912695 2
25.8401742 25.8401742 2
27.4488354 27.4488354 2
19.4105155 20.4576051 1
21.2171412 22.5459108 1
20.9752195 20.9752195 2
22.6535388 22.6535388 2
19.830771 23.8982936 1
20.4619641 20.4619641 2
24.6636292 27.1534183 1
24.9797401 24.9797401 2
25.207399 25.207399 2
19.4626939 20.5261967 1
18.5456629 18.5456629 2
19.4312923 20.5291962 1
18.3509475 24.202117 1
20.536709 22.8467033 1
23.4548534 23.4548534 2
19.5288256 20.8034727 1
25.103639 25.103639 2
21.1712531 21.1712531 2
20.9736348 20.9736348 2
24.3757696 24.3757696 2
18.3394296 22.6790523 1
25.9788996 25.9788996 2
27.0326789 27.0326789 2
25.3794647 25.3794647 2
22.593149 22.593149 2
19.8242989 19.8242989 2
17.3533449 17.3533449 2
24.1567299 24.1567299 2
23.0442262 23.0442262 2
23.8777481 23.8777481 2
18.5757822 19.6046659 1
20.3375611 22.6901337 1
29.8152361 29.8152361 2
20.2274557 20.2274557 2
22.0225711 22.0225711 2
23.5562742 23.5562742 2
18.8728171 21.7355683 1
23.1313949 23.1313949 2
22.3020669 23.6135985 1
20.679452 20.679452 2
Datos de entrada
Costos de puesta en marcha 100,000 Costos variables 75% de los ingresos
Precio de venta 35,000 Costo de capital 10%
Costos fijos 15,000 Tasa fiscal 34%
Depreciacion 10,000
Demanda anu 10
Año 0 Año 1 Año 2 Año 3
Demanda 12 9 9
Ingresos 420,000 315,000 315,000
Costos fijos 15,000 15,000 15,000
Costos variables 315,000 236,250 236,250
Depreciacion 10,000 10,000 10,000
Utilidad antes de impuestos 80,000 53,750 53,750
Impuestos 27,200 18,275 18,275
Utilidad despues de impuestos 52,800 35,475 35,475
Flujo neto de efectivo - 150,000 62,800 45,475 45,475

Valor neto actual $ 17,788.44

e los ingresos Bajo Medio Alto
Ventas 280,000 350,000 420,000
DEMANDA 8.00 10 12

unidades
Año 4
11
385,000
15,000
288,750
10,000
71,250
24,225
47,025
57,025
Simulación # VNA Simulación # VNA
1 17,788.44 1 29976.6409
2 17,788.44 2 21089.9016
3 17,788.44 3 -7984.29069
4 17,788.44 4 9410.52524
5 17,788.44 5 34623.1473
6 17,788.44 6 21212.1781
7 17,788.44 7 -10228.6558
8 17,788.44 8 7245.04815
9 17,788.44 9 661.840038
10 17,788.44 10 -6244.8091
11 17,788.44 11 -6678.6934
12 17,788.44 12 22087.8355
13 17,788.44 13 17271.7198
14 17,788.44 14 21212.1781
15 17,788.44 15 17188.8874
16 17,788.44 16 36406.0173
17 17,788.44 17 1127.27956
18 17,788.44 18 -2422.68288
19 17,788.44 19 16751.0587
20 17,788.44 20 -4039.88799
21 17,788.44 21 12104.5523
22 17,788.44 22 13717.813
23 17,788.44 23 31984.3419
24 17,788.44 24 10250.683
25 17,788.44 25 21732.8393
26 17,788.44 26 23744.4847
27 17,788.44 27 16048.955
28 17,788.44 28 35928.7446
29 17,788.44 29 13327.3171
30 17,788.44 30 16360.5628
31 17,788.44 31 6893.99631
32 17,788.44 32 1995.04815
33 17,788.44 33 -1034.25312
34 17,788.44 34 19445.0857
35 17,788.44 35 4606.24274
36 17,788.44 36 -7550.40639
37 17,788.44 37 19350.4201
38 17,788.44 38 2866.76115
39 17,788.44 39 9856.24274
40 17,788.44 40 26032.2382
41 17,788.44 41 34705.9798
42 17,788.44 42 3426.86633
43 17,788.44 43 -1554.91428
44 17,788.44 44 12850.0444
45 17,788.44 45 21089.9016
46 17,788.44 46 20656.0173
47 17,788.44 47 35617.1368
48 17,788.44 48 21606.6184
49 17,788.44 49 25034.3044
50 17,788.44 50 -1077.64155
51 17,788.44 51 45123.1473
52 17,788.44 52 11666.7236
53 17,788.44 53 30410.5252
54 17,788.44 54 32895.4989
55 17,788.44 55 1955.60413
56 17,788.44 56 9071.3066
57 17,788.44 57 18222.3209
58 17,788.44 58 1643.99631
59 17,788.44 59 8905.64169
60 17,788.44 60 -6761.52585
61 17,788.44 61 36011.5771
62 17,788.44 62 28556.656
63 17,788.44 63 15966.1225
64 17,788.44 64 7248.99256
65 17,788.44 65 9816.79872
66 17,788.44 66 -7195.41015
67 17,788.44 67 -1949.35455
68 17,788.44 68 18522.0955
69 17,788.44 69 14155.6417
70 17,788.44 70 21606.6184
71 17,788.44 71 6893.99631
72 17,788.44 72 15051.0211
73 17,788.44 73 32895.4989
74 17,788.44 74 15839.9016
75 17,788.44 75 -1945.41015
76 17,788.44 76 2823.37272
77 17,788.44 77 17748.9926
78 17,788.44 78 10712.1781
79 17,788.44 79 11232.8393
80 17,788.44 80 5939.45086
81 17,788.44 81 16877.2796
82 17,788.44 82 25594.4095
83 17,788.44 83 -10189.2118
84 17,788.44 84 -2734.29069
85 17,788.44 85 2866.76115
86 17,788.44 86 5943.39526
87 17,788.44 87 14277.9182
88 17,788.44 88 7288.43658
89 17,788.44 89 12021.7198
 90 17,788.44 90 -6722.08183
91 17,788.44 91 7556.65597
92 17,788.44 92 36839.9016
93 17,788.44 93 18573.3727
94 17,788.44 94 693.39526
95 17,788.44 95 11666.7236
96 17,788.44 96 17393.9963
97 17,788.44 97 -5455.92856
98 17,788.44 98 -4461.93908
99 17,788.44 99 21732.8393
100 17,788.44 100 29022.0955
 29976.6409398265 Clase Frecuencia % acumulado
-10228.65583 1 1.01%
Media 12,631.87 -4078.4554789 10 11.11%
Error típico 1,294.18 2071.7448717 14 25.25%
Mediana 12,104.55 8221.9452223 13 38.38%
Moda 21,089.90 14372.145573 17 55.56%
Desviación estándar 12,876.95 20522.345924 16 71.72%
Varianza de la muestra 165,815,951.05 26672.546274 14 85.86%
Curtosis - 0.60 32822.746625 4 89.90%
Coeficiente de asimetría 0.23 38972.946975 9 98.99%
Rango 55,351.80 y mayor... 1 100.00%
Mínimo - 10,228.66
Máximo 45,123.15
Suma 1,250,554.85
Cuenta 99.00
Mayor (1) 45,123.15
Menor(1) - 10,228.66
Nivel de confianza(95,0%) 2,568.26

Números menores que cero Total de números

19 100.00
19% Probabilidad de que el VNA sea negativo
 Histograma
18 120.00%
16
100.00%
14
12 80.00%
10
60.00%
8
Frecuencia

Frecuencia
6 40.00%
% acumulado
4
20.00%
2
0 0.00%
9 3 7 5 4 8 6 2 7 ...
5 19 906 072 208 934 354 161 775 388 yor
9 8 7 3 2 2 4 4 5 a
5 8 2 5 4 7 8 71 2 22 5 57 4 5 9 6 2 7 6 62 6 97 ym
65 45 744 945 14 .3 54 74 94
2 8. 7 8. 1 . 1 . 7 2. 5 22 72 . 22 . 72.
02 -40 207 822 143 20 2 6 6 3 2 8 38 9
-1
Clase
0%

0%

Frecuencia
%
% acumulado

%
Costo variable Demanda utilidad=ventas-costos
21 585 - 13,035.00
19 1528 17,368.00
19 572 - 12,268.00 mejor 40,652.00
20 301 - 20,970.00 peor - 20,970.00
16 1939 35,926.00 medio 2,692.00
17 1929 33,657.00
19 1895 28,745.00
22 1071 - 12.00
17 1933 33,789.00
18 695 - 7,760.00
23 971 - 3,783.00
22 1351 7,828.00
20 1163 4,890.00
21 803 - 6,713.00
16 943 2,062.00
23 721 - 10,533.00
17 564 - 11,388.00
19 1638 20,778.00
16 1393 17,362.00
18 398 - 17,264.00
23 818 - 7,914.00
16 576 - 10,416.00
19 1578 18,918.00
22 1897 23,116.00
22 2000 26,000.00
18 1678 23,696.00
17 401 - 16,767.00
20 1561 16,830.00
16 2078 40,652.00
18 1312 11,984.00
22 645 - 11,940.00
20 1709 21,270.00
18 435 - 16,080.00
20 417 - 17,490.00
21 1126 2,654.00
22 1353 7,884.00
19 1227 8,037.00
19 1478 15,818.00
17 448 - 15,216.00
20 1523 15,690.00
21 537 - 14,427.00
20 444 - 16,680.00
16 358 - 17,828.00
19 950 - 550.00
16 418 - 15,788.00
21 1671 18,459.00
16 1326 15,084.00
20 318 - 20,460.00
17 748 - 5,316.00
22 340 - 20,480.00
22 1142 1,976.00
18 756 - 5,808.00
20 302 - 20,940.00
21 933 - 2,943.00
21 1207 5,003.00
18 1858 29,456.00
20 1091 2,730.00
19 1640 20,840.00
18 717 - 7,056.00
22 379 - 19,388.00
20 1622 18,660.00
22 2088 28,464.00
20 621 - 11,370.00
23 1472 9,744.00
23 491 - 16,743.00
22 1006 - 1,832.00
16 801 - 2,766.00
22 1112 1,136.00
19 1628 20,468.00
20 565 - 13,050.00
21 854 - 5,234.00
20 369 - 18,930.00
21 459 - 16,689.00
17 365 - 17,955.00
16 1874 33,716.00
17 1421 16,893.00
21 641 - 11,411.00
20 1841 25,230.00
22 755 - 8,860.00
23 960 - 4,080.00
22 1207 3,796.00
18 1983 33,456.00
22 1452 10,656.00
23 1826 19,302.00
23 805 - 8,265.00
21 1274 6,946.00
21 1257 6,453.00
18 572 - 11,696.00
16 615 - 9,090.00
23 1779 18,033.00
20 1115 3,450.00
20 1781 23,430.00
17 1960 34,680.00
16 1153 9,202.00
18 1712 24,784.00
20 1292 8,760.00
19 1853 27,443.00
18 909 - 912.00
16 1653 26,202.00
17 1377 15,441.00
 Iteraciones # de cuentas
Intervalo # de cuentas 1 4
0.01 0 0.01 0 2 5
0.04 0.01 0.05 1 3 3
0.1 0.05 0.15 2 4 5
0.25 0.15 0.4 3 5 4
0.4 0.4 0.8 4 6 3
0.15 0.8 0.95 5 7 2
0.05 0.95 1 6 8 6
9 3
10 3
38 5000
10 3500

Sí, ya que la rentabilidad es supremamente alta

 Utilidad
190,000.00 155,000.00
35,000.00

es supremamente alta
Precio de la acción Intervalo precio de la acción
39 0.05 0 0.05 37
0.1 0.05 0.15 38
0.25 0.15 0.4 39
0.2 0.4 0.6 40
0.2 0.6 0.8 41
0.1 0.8 0.9 42
0.1 0.9 1 43
 Periodo Valor de la acción
-2 1 37
-1 2 38
0 3 41
1 4 40
2
3
4
 Intervalo pago Iteraciones Pago
0.83 0 0.83 0 1 $ -
0.06 0.83 0.89 500 2 $ -
0.05 0.89 0.94 1,000 3 $ -
0.02 0.94 0.96 2,000 4 $ -
0.02 0.96 0.98 5,000 5 $ -
0.01 0.98 0.99 8,000 6 $ -
0.01 0.99 1 10,000 7 $ -
8 $ -
9 $ -
10 $ 1,000
11 $ -
12 $ -
13 $ -
14 $ -
15 $ -
16 $ 500
17 $ -
18 $ -
19 $ -
20 $ -
Iteraciones Pago
1 500 2
2 0 Se pagaron 2 reclamaciones por un valor de 500 y
3 0
4 0 Total 2500
5 0
6 0
7 0
8 0
9 0
10 2000
11 0
12 0
13 0
14 0
15 0
16 0
17 0
18 0
19 0
20 0
2000 cada una
 Intervalo
0.6 0
0.4 0.6

Intervalo
0.55 0
0.45 0.55

Intervalo
0.48 0
0.52 0.48

Intervalo
0.45 0
0.55 0.45

Intervalo
0.48 0
0.52 0.48

Intervalo
0.55 0
0.45 0.55

Intervalo
0.5 0
0.5 0.5
Intervalo Gana Sí
0.6 Sí
1 No

Intervalo Gana Sí
0.55 Sí
1 No

Intervalo Gana Sí
0.48 Sí
1 No

Intervalo Gana No
0.45 Sí
1 No

Intervalo Gana Sí
0.48 Sí
1 No

Intervalo Gana Sí
0.55 Sí
1 No

Intervalo Gana Sí
0.5 Sí Se realizan 5 juegos, los Bravos ganaron
1 No
h