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Prospect Evaluation

Alfred Kjemperud The Bridge Group AS

Purpose of Prospect Evaluation


Government
Integral part of resource assessment Basis for nomination of contract areas Basis for contractors work commitment Basis for evaluation of applications

Oil company
Integral part of resource assessment Basis for investment decision

Methodology
Volumetric Evaluation
Seismic Interpretation Mapping Gross rock volume determination Volume of liquid/gas at surface

Economic Evaluation
Discounted cash flow analysis

The volumetric equation


STOIIP = GRV * Net/Gross Ratio * Porosity * oil saturation * (1/Bo) GIIP = GRV * Net/Gross Ratio * Porosity * gas saturation * (1/Bg)

pore fluid rock matrix (frame, skeleton)

Recoverable oil= STOIIP * Recovery Factor for oil Recoverable gas= GIIP * Recovery Factor for gas
From GeoKnowledge

HCPV
Hydrocarbon Pore Volume
HCPV = GRV * Net/Gross Ratio * Porosity * HC saturation

Finding the Volume


Interpretation and mapping
Seismic Digitizing and mapping Depth Conversion

Geometric description
Vertical closure Spillpoint realtions Trap fill Uncertainties
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The Trap

The trap
Rock Volume

top surface vertical closure HC-contact bottom surface spill point

The maps

A bottom surface map is not required, when: - the reservoir thickness > vertical closure - the reservoir thickness is constant

Volume vs. Depth

Depth Top map HC water contact Bottom map

Volume

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Area/depth graph
-1900 -2200

Culmination

Gross Rock Volume Depth -2500


-2700

= Area under Graph

Spill Point
10 25 50

Area (sg km)

200

Structural contours

Modified from Geoknowledge a.s.

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Anticline Geometry Corrections


(assume no internal seals)

a
Reservoir thickness (a,b,c)

b c
OWC/GWC Spill point closure

Closure height (h)

a/h<<1 b/h = 1 c/h > 1

Large geometric multiplier Small geometric multiplier Small geometric multiplier

PhilPRA/Akj 12

Geometry multiplier

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Reservoir Parameters 1
Gross thickness (from mapping) Net pay Porosity Permeability HC satuartion

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Reservoir Parametrs 2
Formation volume factor oil (Bo) Formation volume factor gas (Bg) Gas deviation factor (Z)

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Recovery Factor
Oil
Dependant on depletion mechanism
Natural depletion
5-15%

Effective water drive


15-30%

Pressure maintenence methods


Up to 65%

Gas
Up to 80-85%

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Exercise Volume calculations


100m

Length With Hight Geometric Factor

10000 m 2000 m 100 m

Porosity So
N/G

20% 70%
50%

RF

30%

Bo
2km

1.3

10km

1m3 = 6.29 barrels

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Length With Hight Geometric Factor GRV N/G NRV Porosity So HCPV Bo STOIIP RF

Volume calculation Solution


10000 m 2000 m 100 m 0.45 900000000 m3 50% 450000000 m3 20% 70% 63000000 m3 1.3 48461538 m3 30% 14538462 m3 91.4 MMbbl 304.8 MMbbl
10km

5661 MMbbl
100m

2831 MMbbl

396.3 MMbbl

2km

Recoverable resources

m3 - MMbbl

6.29/1000000

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