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Don Walter
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TOP
NEWS STORIES
10
ideas and analysis
Don Walter
10
Talking about how the loss of jobs over 25 years has sapped the hope of small-town Pennsylvania residents, Obama said at a fund-raiser, "they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren't like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations." The statement was used extensively by Hillary Clintons campaign to promote the charge that Obama is not a friend to the working class.
Don Walter
"How," a woman asked Hillary Clinton at an event in Portsmouth, N.H., designed to woo undecided voters, "did you get out the door every day? I mean, as a woman, I know how hard it is to get out of the house and get ready. Who does your hair?" Clinton chuckled, made a few jokes about how she "has help" on certain days (but those are never the pictures you see on Web sites, she joked). Then she paused. Her eyes grew red. The coffee shop, packed with about 100 members of the media and 16 outnumbered voters, grew silent. "I just don't want to see us fall backward as a nation," Clinton began, her voice strained, her eyes welling. "I mean, this is very personal for me. Not just political. I see what's happening. We have to reverse it." She was talking about the country under George W. Bush, but it may well have been a metaphor for her campaign.
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"No. I think that they played the race card on me. And we now know, from memos from the campaign and everything, that they planned to do it along.
Bill Clinton
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In the closing weeks of the campaign, the endorsement of Paul Volker, former Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Warren Buffet, Americas most respected businessman and investor, and Colin Powell, former General and Secretary of State under President Bush were, in my opinion, incredibly powerful (in that they demonstrated support for Obama on the two questions of the day economic security and national security) and beautifully timed.
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Since winning the Iowa caucuses, the National Media has loved Barack Obama. Whether because of his message of hope, his historic campaign, or when compared with Bush, McCain and Hillary Clinton, they just liked him more the medias coverage of Obama has been incredibly favorable. This coverage has given him not only a huge advantage over John McCain but helped sustain his brand image in the face of criticism by the Republicans.
Don Walter
While a number of events triggered the bail out of Wall Street (legislation that was signed into law on Oct. 3, 2008), for our discussion, I maintain that the political implications of crisis began on September 3, 2008 when the government took control of Fannie Mae the giant mortgage guarantor. In early September, John McCain held a slight lead of Barack Obama in several national polling samples. Since then, the Republican has never been ahead trailing between 3% to 7%. The incredible intensity of the issue magnified the anger and frustration felt by many Americans galvanizing their distrust of George Bush and those in charge. As a result, Barack Obama a black man from a culturally mixed family who has virtually no record in Washington, when compared with Republican John McCain who is a friend of George Bush and had served in Washington for 25 years easily solidified his image as the agent of change. Further, such a tsunami of news (about the bail out) completely drowned out the messages of both candidates freezing their positions in the polls.
Don Walter
CONVENTION SPEECH
Sarah Palins convention speech on September 3rd. The expectation of and interest in Sarah Palin was extraordinary. More people tuned into watch her speech on TV than for any other night of the convention. She was the star. And, for the next several weeks after her speech, the expectation lessened and the suspicion that maybe she was not the right choice for McCain was established.
Don Walter
Sarah Palins Debate with Joe Biden on October 2nd. Although boring, the event was viewed by 70 million Americans, the second most watched debate in History. Far more people watched Palin v. Biden than the McCain v. Obama debates.
70 Million Viewers
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Couric: But he's been in Congress for 26 years. He's been chairman of the powerful Commerce Committee. And he has almost always sided with less regulation, not more. Palin: He's also known as the maverick though, taking shots from his own party, and certainly taking shots from the other party. Trying to get people to understand what he's been talking about - the need to reform government. Couric: But can you give me any other concrete examples? Because I know you've said Barack Obama is a lot of talk and no action. Can you give me any other examples in his 26 years of John McCain truly taking a stand on this? Palin: I can give you examples of things that John McCain has done, that has shown his foresight, his pragmatism, and his leadership abilities. And that is what America needs today. Couric: I'm just going to ask you one more time - not to belabor the point. Specific examples in his 26 years of pushing for more regulation.
Sarah Palins interview with Katie Couric that aired September 24th-25th. Attacked for not granting interviews to national broadcast journalists, Palin met with Katie Couric of CBS news. During the interview, it was clear that Palin was not nearly as briefed on world and national as was expected and when compared with the other three national candidates.
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Despite being wildly outspent and without the conservative base, McCains campaign used the campaign of former Arkansas Governor Mike Hucklebee as cover to conservatives to beat Mitt Romney. The strategy (and luck) allowed McCain to bring home the conservative base. As of October 30, 2008, McCain was supported by 88% of the GOP base.
Don Walter
SUMMER, 2007 - JUNE, 2008 OBAMAS PRIMARY VICTORY OVER HILLARY CLINTON
Without much doubt, the most important media story during the campaign (up until today), is the Obama's stunning victory of Hillary Clinton to win the nomination of the Democrat Party. When he first started his campaign, Barack Obama was a long shot candidate. Every candidate running against Hillary (and Bill) Clinton was considered a long shot. Hillary Clinton had the team, the money, the legacy of Bill Clinton, and she was the only woman in an 11 person primary. Her incredibly flawed political strategy ignored caucus states (allowing Obama to run up his delegate counts) and did not extend beyond Super Tuesday. By beating Hillary, Barack Obama instantly became Presidential worthy, it developed, tested and perfected his grass roots and other organizations, his communications team (and discipline), his fundraising team. It was as if he had a warm up game before the real game began.
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TOP
FIVE IMAGES
ideas and analysis
Don Walter
The Celebrity
In Philadelphia, PA, Barack Obama gave a policy speech on matters not just of race and recent remarks but of the fundamental path by which America can work together to pursue a better future. More than 5 million people have downloaded this 37 minute speech. The image created here is that Obama is a celebrity.
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JANUARY 3, 2008 & JANUARY 9, 2008 IOWA AND NEW HAMPSHIRE VICTORY SPEECHES BY OBAMA
The Winner
Following his victories in Iowa and New Hampshire (the first two primary/caucus states) over Hillary Clinton and his other opponents, Obama gave uplifting speeches about hope, progress and winning in November.
Millions of people watched these two speeches live, tens of millions of people read about them in the news papers, heard about them on the radio and saw clips of them on TV. Further more than 3 million people downloaded these 13 minute long speeches. Both speeches were statesman like, classy and strategically brilliant. Right out of the gate, Obama looked and acted Presidential. The speech in NH reminded people that Obama's victory in Iowa was not a fluke and that he was the clear front runner in the campaign for the nomination.
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The Expectation
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The Joke
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The Connection
Before a single vote was cast in Iowas caucuses in early January, it was clear that any Democrat would want and need to tie George W. Bush to the Republican Nominee. While it could have been a little more difficult to tie Bush to McCain, who opposed him during the election in 2000 and on many key issues since, the message that Republican McCain would continue the same failed policies of George W. Bush was successful and arguably fatal to McCain campaign. Images such as those above and statements made by McCain during the Republican primary made the job of the Democrats easier.
Don Walter
5
TV ADS
TOP
Don Walter
In early January, 2008, MoveOn.org Political Action placed this ad on TV in NH and IA. The ad is like more than a dozen others paid for by Obama and other groups all designed to link President George W. Bush with John McCain. Weaving together a variety of different issues ranging from their connection on the war in Iraq, the bailout of Wall Street, their policies to give tax breaks to the rich, health care, etc., all of these ads effectively linked McCain to George W. Bush - who has had among the lowest level of pubic approval of any President in US history. Fair or not, accurate or not -- the image stuck.
MOVEON.ORG Escalation
Don Walter
Titled "His Choice," the spot begins with quotes from McCain admitting his lack of economic know-how. The last line has McCain declaring, "I might have to rely on a vice president that I select" for expertise on economic issues. The ad ends with the challenge: "On November 4th, You Get to Make Yours." It is considered politically taboo for a presidential candidate to go after a vice presidential candidate. To be sure, much of the ad focuses on McCain's record on the economy. But the inclusion of Palin is indicative of just how large a liability the Obama campaign -indeed, the political community at large -- believed she had become for the GOP ticket.
Don Walter
In this ad Barack Obama is sarcastically mocked as "The One" -- a quasi-religious figure who "anointed" himself to lead the world. "Can you see the light?" the hard-hitting negative ad asks, following up on Republican McCain's campaign theme that the Illinois Democrat is arrogant, transfixed by his own celebrity and not yet ready to lead.
Don Walter
On July 30, 2008, John McCain's campaign launched this ad featuring images of Britney Spears and Paris Hilton. The ad was designed to link the young, reckless celebrities with Barack Obama. The ad questions whether he is ready. The ad led to Paris Hilton and others to respond to the charge with their own ads -- which only kept the issue before the media for another two weeks. While millions of voters down loaded the spots off the internet, TV news coverage of the spots was huge.
Don Walter
The ad features images of people (including children) sleeping in their beds in the middle of the night. They are unaware of potential threats to their security. While they sleep, threats may be on the move. When the call comes in the middle of the night, who do you want answering the phone, Hillary Clinton who has lived in the White House and served as a Senator for years -- or Barack Obama who has no experience. The ad plays on all of our fears and projects an image of Obama that helped define his candidacy.
Hillary Clinton 3 AM
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IMAGES TOP 5
Victory Speech, January 3, 2008. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yqoFwZUp5vc A More Perfect Union, March 18, 2008. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pWe7wTVbLUU Yes We Can, January 9, 2008. Iowa Victory Speech http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fe751kMBwms Palin Convention Speech (13.58 Piper Palins Lick) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UCDxXJSucF4 Sarah Palin Parodies. http://www.nbc.com/Saturday_Night_Live/video/clips/update-palin-rap/773781/ Original TV ad by Obama linking McCain to Bush http://origin.barackobama.com/tv/advertisements/
Don Walter