Вы находитесь на странице: 1из 4

Company Report | Q2FY12 Result Update

LONG TERM INVESTMENT CALL

12 October 2011 Industry CMP (INR) Target (INR) Upside / Downside 52 week High / Low (INR) Market Cap (INR bn) 3M Avg. Daily Volumes P / E (FY12 E) Shareholding Pattern (%)
Others 37% Promoters 16%

ACCUMULATE

IT / ITES 2680 3000 12% 3,494 / 2,169 1539 1633.17 18.4

Positive performance for Q2, with an increase in the forecasted revenue


Infosys Ltd. (Infosys) has kicked off the IT results with a good set of numbers for Q2FY12. The top line is slightly below our quarterly estimates but the bottom line is in-line with our estimates. In-Line Quarterly Performance: Infosys reported top-line numbers which are slightly below and bottom-line numbers which were in-line with our estimates. Revenue at INR 80.99 bn was up 16.6% and 8.2% on a YoY and a QoQ basis respectively. Operating profit for the quarter stood at INR 22.81 bn, up 9% from the same quarter in the previous year. The weakening of the INR increased the operating margin by ~150bps for this quarter.

DIIs 11%

FIIs 36%

New clients added this quarter, boost top line: Infosys added 45 new clients in Q2FY12 which a significant increase from the past quarters. Of the new clients 19 have been added in areas of manufacturing and retail where the company has recently shifted its focus. The total client base of the company stood at 647. The onsite - offshore revenue mix was roughly 50:50 while onsite offshore employee effort stood around 25:75. The company added 8,262 employees (net) in this quarter, on 30th September 2011 the total number of employees stood at 1, 41,822. Improvement in FY12 Guidance: Infosys beat its Q2FY12 guidance both on the revenue and the EPS front. For Q3FY12, the company expects

1 Year Stock Chart


140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 Dec Aug Jul Nov Mar Apr May Sep Jan Oct Feb Jun Infosys Nifty

revenue to be in the range of INR 88.26 bn 90.12 bn and EPS in the range of INR 38.51 39.20. The EPS guidance reflects an increase of 23.6 5.8% growth YoY. For the entire FY12, revenue guidance has been increased and now stands at INR 335.01 bn 340.88 bn. The EPS guidance

Stock Performance 1 Month 13.9% 0.6% 3 Months -14.3% -11.4% 1 Year -18.6% -18.3%

for FY12 has also been sharply improved to INR 143.02 INR 145.26, indicating a YoY growth in the range of 19.7 21.6%. Infosys plans to hire 8000 people next quarter and has made 23,000 new campus recruitment offers for next year.

Infosys Nifty

(INR in mn)

Particulars Total Income EBITDA Reported PAT

Actual 80,990 22,810 19,060

Estimates 87,263 24,238 20,070

Focus on high quality growth, along with inorganic growth: Infosys will focus on high quality growth and does not believe in compromising on its operating margins so as to increase its market share. They are also actively looking for avenues for acquisitions in the Products, Platforms and Solutions, Life Sciences and Healthcare space.

* Source: Bloomberg, Unicon Research

Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt Ltd. Email: wealthresearch@unicon.in

Outlook & Valuation


We believe that moving forward, the economic environment in the US and Europe will have a significant impact on the revenue. The volume growth should remain stable and weakness in the INR should have a positive impact on the Q3FY12 margins by ~1.6%. The company is developing other verticals which will substantiate revenue moving forward. For FY12 the company has marginally increased its EPS guidelines in USD terms to USD 3.02-USD 3.06, which is a positive. At CMP the stock is trading at 18.4x its FY12E earnings. Based on the strong quarterly performance and improved guidance, we are increasing the target price to INR 3000

Consolidated Financials
(INR in mn)

Particulars Revenue Cost of Sales Gross Profit % Margin Operating Expenses Selling and Marketing Expenses Administration Expenses Total Operating Expenses Operating Profit % Margin Other Income, net Profit Before Tax (PBT) % Margin Income tax expense Net Profit % Margin Earning per equity share (EPS) Basic EPS (INR) Diluted EPS (INR)

Q2 FY12 80,990.0 47,440.0 33,550.0 41.4 4,560.0 6,180.0 10,740.0 22,810.0 28.2 3870.0 26,680.00 32.94 7,620.0 19,060.0 23.5 33.36 33.36

Q2 FY11 69,470.0 39,710.0 29,760.0 42.8 3,800.0 4,980.0 8,780.0 20,980.0 30.2 2670.0 23,650.00 34.04 6,280.0 17,370.0 25.0 30.41 30.40

Y-o-Y 17% 19% 13% -141 bps 20% 24% 22% 9% -204 bps 45% 13% -110 bps 21% 10% -147 bps 10% 10%

Q1 FY12 74,850.0 45,770.0 29,080.0 38.9 3,980.0 5,580.0 9,560.0 19,520.0 26.1 4430.0 23,950.00 32.00 6,730.0 17,220.0 23.0 30.14 30.14

Q-o-Q 8% 4% 15% 257 bps 15% 11% 12% 17% 209 bps -13% 11% 95 bps 13% 11% 53 bps 11% 11%

Geographical Segment Revenue


Particulars (in %) North America Europe India Rest of the World Total Q2 FY12 65.3 20.5 2.2 12.0 100 Q2 FY11 65.8 21.8 2.1 10.3 100 Y-o-Y -50 bps -130 bps 10 bps 170 bps Q1 FY12 64.2 21.3 2.6 11.9 100 Q-o-Q 110 bps -80 bps -40 bps 10 bps

Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt Ltd. Email: wealthresearch@unicon.in

Service Offering Revenue


Particulars (in %) Business Operations Application Development Application Maintenance Infrastructure Management Services Testing Services Business Process Management Others Consulting & Systems Integration Consulting & Package Implementation Systems Integration Others Products, Platforms and Solutions Products Product Engineering Services Others Total Q2 FY12 60.9 17.1 21.6 5.8 8.2 5.4 2.8 31.2 24.7 6.0 0.5 7.9 4.2 3.4 0.3 100.0 Q2 FY11 61.3 15.6 23.5 6.2 7.6 5.6 2.8 31.7 25.8 5.7 0.2 7.0 4.2 2.5 0.3 100.0 Y-o-Y -40 bps 150 bps -190 bps -40 bps 60 bps -20 bps 0 bps -50 bps -110 bps 30 bps 30 bps 90 bps 0 bps 90 bps 0 bps Q1 FY12 60 16.1 22.3 5.9 7.5 5.4 2.8 31.7 25.2 6.3 0.2 8.3 4.8 3.2 0.3 100.0 Q-o-Q 90 bps 100 bps -70 bps -10 bps 70 bps 0 bps 0 bps -50 bps -50 bps -30 bps 30 bps -40 bps -60 bps 20 bps 0 bps

Industry-wise Revenue
Particulars FSI (Financial Services and Insurance) Banking & financial services Insurance Manufacturing RCL (Retail, Logistics, CPG and Life Sciences) Retail & CPG Transport & Logistics Life Sciences Healthcare ECS (Energy & Utilities, Communications and Services) Energy & Utilities Telecom Others Total Q2 FY12 35.3 28.2 7.1 20.2 22.9 15.6 1.7 3.8 1.8 21.6 5.7 10.4 5.5 100 Q2 FY11 35.4 26.9 8.5 18.9 20.2 14.4 1.8 3.1 0.9 25.5 6.3 13.3 5.9 100 Y-o-Y -10 bps 130 bps -140 bps 130 bps 270 bps 120 bps -10 bps 70 bps 90 bps -390 bps -60 bps -290 bps -40 bps Q1 FY12 35.4 28.1 7.3 20.3 22.7 16.1 1.8 3.7 1.1 21.6 5.7 10.6 5.3 100 Q-o-Q -10 bps 10 bps -20 bps -10 bps 20 bps -50 bps -10 bps 10 bps 70 bps 0 bps 0 bps -20 bps 20 bps

Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt Ltd. Email: wealthresearch@unicon.in

Unicon Investment Ranking Methodology


Rating Return Range Buy >= 20% Accumulate 10% to 20% Hold -10% to 10% Reduce -10% to -20% Sell <= -20%

Disclaimer
This document has been issued by Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd. (UNICON) for the information of its customers only. UNICON is governed by the Securities and Exchange Board of India. This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. The information and opinions contained herein have been compiled or arrived at based upon information obtained in good faith from public sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guarantee, representation or warranty, express or implied is made as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. This document has been produced independently of any company or companies mentioned herein, and forward looking statements; opinions and expectations contained herein are subject to change without notice. This document is for information purposes only and is provided on an as is basis. Descriptions of any company or companies or their securities mentioned herein are not intended to be complete and this document is not, and should not be construed as an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell or subscribe to any securities or other financial instruments. We are not soliciting any action based on this document. UNICON, its associate and group companies its directors or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or any action taken on basis of this document, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of the shares and bonds, reduction in the dividend or income, etc. This document is not directed to or intended for display, downloading, printing, reproducing or for distribution to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, reproduction, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or would subject UNICON or its associates or group companies to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. If this document is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, the same may be ignored and brought to the attention of the sender. This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose without prior written approval of UNICON. This document is for the general information and does not take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any individual customer, and it does not constitute a personalised recommendation of any particular security or investment strategy. Before acting on any advice or recommendation in this document, a customer should consider whether it is suitable given the customers particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options, and high yield securities, give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. UNICON, its associates or group companies do not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any of the information or content of the document and reliance upon it is at your own risk. UNICON, its associates or group companies, expressly disclaims any and all warranties, express or implied, including without limitation warranties of merchantability and fitness for a particular purpose with respect to the document and any information in it. UNICON, its associates or group companies, shall not be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, punitive or consequential damages of any kind with respect to the document. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, on any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of Unicon Financial Intermediaries Pvt. Ltd.

Address: Wealth Management Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt. Ltd. 2nd Floor, VILCO Center, 8, Subhash Road, Vile Parle (East), Mumbai 400054.
Phone: 022 3390 1234 Email: wealthresearch@unicon.in Visit us at www.unicon.in

Wealth Research, Unicon Financial Intermediaries. Pvt Ltd. Email: wealthresearch@unicon.in

Вам также может понравиться