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Allied Reliability, (c) 2008 3 Are You Doing Too Much PM? Beware of "PM creep" and "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" Apply the 6:1 Rule to avoid "pencil-whipping" and "penny-wiping"
Allied Reliability, (c) 2008 3 Are You Doing Too Much PM? Beware of "PM creep" and "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" Apply the 6:1 Rule to avoid "pencil-whipping" and "penny-wiping"
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Allied Reliability, (c) 2008 3 Are You Doing Too Much PM? Beware of "PM creep" and "if it ain't broke, don't fix it" Apply the 6:1 Rule to avoid "pencil-whipping" and "penny-wiping"
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Too Much PM? From the Reliability Professionals at Allied Reliability A Must-Read Guide for Maintenance and Reliability Leaders 16 Ways to Save Time and Money on Preventive Maintenance 2 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Copyright 2007 Allied Reliability, Inc. All rights reserved. Any unauthorized use, sharing, reproduction or distribution of these materials by any means, electronic, mechanical, or otherwise is strictly prohibited. No portion of these materials may be reproduced in any manner whatsoever, without the express written consent of the publisher. To obtain permission, please contact: Allied Reliability, Inc. 4360 Corporate Road Suite 110 Charleston, SC USA Phone 888-414-5670 Fax 843-414-5779 info@alliedreliability.com www.alliedreliability.com http://www.alliedreliability.com/admin/fles2/fles/PMReport.pdf Copyright Notice Allied Reliability, 2008 3 Are You Doing Too Much PM? ................................................................ 5 1. The No. 1 Law You Should Know .......................................................6 2. The Real Truth About PM ................................................................... 7 3. If It Aint Broke, Dont Fix It ................................................................. 8 4. Beware of "PM Creep ........................................................................ 9 5. The First Question to Ask About PM ................................................. 10 6. Consider PdM First ........................................................................... 11 7. Get Data You Can Trend .................................................................. 12 8. Check the History ............................................................................. 13 9. Approach Vendor Recommendations with Caution .......................... 15 10. Find out the Reasons Why ............................................................. 16 11. Do the Math .................................................................................... 19 12. The Problem with "Pencil-Whipping .............................................. 20 13. Apply the 6:1 Rule .......................................................................... 20 14. Consider the Time Factor ............................................................... 20 15. Why Maintenance People Don't Like PM ....................................... 20 16. Get a Professional, Independent Evaluation of Your PM Program ........................................................................... 20 Table of Contents 4 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Allied Reliability, 2008 5 Unless youve been living on another planet for the last ffty years, you already know that the case for doing preventive maintenance is watertight. Done right, preventive maintenance will preserve, protect and extend the life of your equipment and boost overall return on assets. So heres the question: Why are most maintenance and reliability professionals so unhappy with their PM programs? Surprisingly enough, according to the consultants at Life Cycle Engineering, just 22% of maintenance managers are satisfed with their current programs. Here are the two biggest complaints: PM Consumes Too Many Resources Many maintenance managers believe their PM program is simply bigger than it should be. They feel like they dont have enough manpower to manage all of their PM's along with the other important maintenance work, too. Lack of Results Despite all of the time and money being spent on preventive maintenance, there are still way too many unexpected equipment failures. Case in point: During a recent chemical plant tour, the frustrated maintenance manager said, "We just PM'd that machine, and it failed a short time later anyway. So why didnt we catch the problem with the PM? Why indeed. So in a nutshell, the problem with preventive maintenance is that it takes too much time and produces too little results. Thats why we decided to publish this special report. So lets press on. Are You Doing Too Much PM? 16 Ways to Save Time and Money on Preventive Maintenance 6 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn The number one law of economics you need to know is based on a principle discovered over 200 years ago. Youve probably heard of it its called the Law of Diminishing Returns. As any good MBA student can tell you, this law states that as one production factor increases while the others remain constant, overall production decreases after a certain point. In plain English, it means as you increase preventive maintenance, production output eventually decreases. The following chart illustrates: 1. The No. 1 Law You Should Know The Law of Diminishing Returns P r o d u c t i o n
O u t p u t Amount of Preventive Maintenance You see, there's a fne line between doing too much, too little and just the right amount of preventive maintenance. Clearly, theres a point at which increasing PM hurts the bottom line.
The reason? Simple. Most PM procedures require that the equipment is shut down. That means uptime goes down, so production output eventually goes down too. Meanwhile, maintenance costs go up. So how much preventive maintenance is too much? According to a private study, best practice programs generate 15% of their maintenance work from PM inspections. Another 15% is corrective work identifed by those inspections. So preventive maintenance should account for about 30% of your total maintenance workfow. Allied Reliability, 2008 7 By defnition, all PM's are time-based. That means either calendar time or operating time dictates when an asset should be inspected, cleaned, adjusted, replaced or reconditioned. But is there really a direct relationship between the time equipment spends in service and the likelihood it will fail? n short, the answer is no. The truth is, most equipment failures are not age-related. In fact, for complex systems, the majority of failures will occur at random. Consider the facts. The following graphs demonstrate failure probabilities relative to the age of the equipment itself: First, its important to understand this data comes from the airline industry, where maintenance and operations standards are exceptionally high. That gives us a true picture of how equipment fails when it is maintained and operated correctly. The reality is, 89% of equipment failures are not age-related. Therefore, theres no amount of time-based preventive maintenance which can manage these failures effectively. That's why using time as the primary basis for your maintenance strategy is inherently fawed. t will have very little impact on overall reliability. From a risk standpoint, its much safer to assume that equipment failures can happen at any time. 2. The Real Truth About PM 8 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn The High Cost of Low Maintenance BP budgeted some $71 million for battling corrosion in its Alaskan pipelines in 2006. Thats 15 percent more than 2005 and 80 percent over 2001. And that doesnt include money for replacement and repairs. Was it enough? Apparently not. After the shutdown, BP admitted inadequate pipeline maintenance procedures and "a gap in their corrosion program. We based our corrosion program in cooperation with agencies --- what we thought was an adequate program. Clearly it is not, said Bob Malone, president of BP America. "Our program was insuffcient and will be rectifed going forward, Steve Marshall, president of BP Alaska said during an August news conference. Lets do the math. In essence, BP was spending $71 million to protect an asset that delivers about $10 billion in annual revenues. Now even if you dont know anything about maintenance and reliability, doesnt that sound a little risky? Shortchanging maintenance is like playing Russian roulette. Pay now or pay later. Lesson 3: Reliability is a long-term investment strategy. It is not the place for turning a quick buck. Allied Reliability, 2008 9 The fallout from BPs shutdown continues, now that the blame game has begun. Here are just a few examples of the nasty criticism and fnger-pointing aimed at BP: WhistIebIowers inside BP accused the company of skirting maintenance issues for years, while BP says it acted responsibly. InternaI audits pointed to probIems with an understaffed maintenance and reliability team, along with management that was fairly new to the job. Heads are starting to roII as one key manager was put on leave. BP's top executives faced angry griIIing from US lawmakers in Washington as the company got blasted for its pipeline maintenance lapses. The company was forced to respond to accusations that it engineered the shutdown to manipulate oil prices. Nothing could be further from the truth," said BP executive MaIone. Joe Barton, a Texas RepubIican who chairs the House of Representatives' energy and commerce committee, said: "If . one of the worId's most successfuI oiI companies can't do simpIe, basic maintenance needed to keep the Prudhoe Bay eId operating safeIy . maybe it shouIdn't operate the pipeIine." Competitors started taking advantage, chuckling that BP stands for Big Problems. All this fnger-pointing adds up to one big corporate black eye for BP. Lesson 4: The hidden costs of poor reliability far outweigh the direct costs of replacement and repairs. The Hidden Costs of Maintenance and Reliability 10 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn The Most Expensive Word in Maintenance The following is an excerpt from BPs press release on August 7, 2006 announcing the shutdown of Prudhoe Bay: "BP . has begun an orderIy and phased shutdown of the Prudhoe Bay oiI eId foIIowing the discovery of unexpectedIy severe corrosion." What's the key word here? "UnexpectedIy". In maintenance, "unexpected" means emergency. And emergency maintenance is absoIuteIy the most expensive form of maintenance possible. Why? Emergency maintenance means immediate shutdowns. Phone calls in the middle of the night. Troubleshooting on the fy. Expediting spare parts. Rush jobs. Working around the clock until the repairs are made. In essence, emergency maintenance equals pure chaos. Does that sound like a cost- effective way to do maintenance to you? Lesson 5: The most expensive word in maintenance is unexpected. Thats what happens when you dont do maintenance right. Allied Reliability, 2008 11 According to published reports, a BP operator frst discovered the leak that ultimately led to the shutdown. The big problem here is the word "operator. Because when operators are the rst ones to notice equipment probIems, it's usually too late. Thats equivalent to waiting for cardiac arrest as the frst sign of a heart problem. Listen, modern maintenance is not a repair function any more. The image of the Maytag repairman sitting around playing cards, waiting for the phone to ring is long gone. The Second Most Expensive Word in Maintenance If your maintenance people are waiting for calls from operators, youre skating on thin ice. Yet thats exactly whats happening at the majority of manufacturing plants in North America right now. Theres still way too much maintenance that is emergency maintenance. As a result, many plants are one small failure away from a major disruption in business. Lesson 6: Reliability should not be triggered by an event. The objective is to create a non-event. 12 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Time is Money Despite what you may have heard, the basic maintenance process is really simple: 1. Detect problems 2. Plan and schedule the repairs 3. Make the repairs And the secret to good maintenance is in the frst step: Detecting problems early. Why? Because there is a direct correlation between early detection and maintenance costs. Simply put, the earlier you can detect problems, the faster, cheaper and easier it is to make repairs. Youve seen the damage at BP the costs of emergency repairs can be astronomic. There is a huge difference between emergency maintenance and planned, proactive maintenance: Lesson 7: In maintenance, time is money. Late detection means costly corrections. Emergency Maintenance Means: Proactive Maintenance Means: Late detection by operators Early detection by skilled maintenance technicians using advanced monitoring technologies Waiting for things to happen Thinking about things before they happen. Identifying problems that are still small and easy to fx mmediate shutdowns and indefnite downtime Planned, scheduled shutdowns to keep downtime to a minimum Expediting spare parts -- regardless of costs Planning and ordering spare parts in advance Working overtime, 24/7 until repairs are made Having everything prepared for scheduling maintenance crews to do the job right the frst time High costs Low costs High stress Low stress High safety risk Low safety risk Blame, fnger-pointing, frustration, distrust, pessimism, waste Confdence, pride, job security, teamwork, optimism, rewarding Allied Reliability, 2008 13 The Truth About Equipment Breakdowns That quarter-inch hoIe didn't suddenIy appear in BP's pipeline overnight. Like most failures, it developed over a period of weeks, months or years. Fact is, problems start small and get worse with time. What's important to reaIize is that the equipment will send off early warning signals along the way. These early warning signs might be slight changes in physical dimensions -- like pipe thickness at BP. Or they could be minor changes in temperature, vibration or sound. Not all of these changes can be detected by human senses -- but they can be picked up with special equipment designed for that purpose. And that's what the whoIe eId of condition monitoring and predictive maintenance is all about. With advanced technologies in vibration analysis, infrared, ultrasound, oil analysis, motor current analysis and nondestructive testing -- trained technicians can routinely monitor and inspect equipment, and detect these early warning signals. The difference between the time a PdM specialist detects problems and when an operator sees them are huge. Remember, detection time equals money big money. 14 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn The following graph illustrates how repair costs increase according to the time a problem is detected: In spite of the evidence, the reality is that most asset-dependent companies are not doing nearly enough predictive maintenance. Even though PdM has been around for over 40 years, it is still "new to some organizations. That leads to late detections, emergency maintenance, and all the painful costs that come with it. Lesson 8: Predictive maintenance should be an integral part of your reliability strategy and account for at least 50% of your maintenance work. Allied Reliability, 2008 15 So, most senior managers reaIIy don't know what's going on in maintenance. Whats worse, they dont even know the right questions to ask. What they do know is that maintenance is usually the single largest controllable expense in a plant. And if the equipment appears to be running "just fne, they see maintenance as an easy way to cut budgets and save money. Trouble is, they dont realize what the long- term impact is going to be. And they usually get away with it for awhile. Because it takes about 18 months before shortchanging maintenance takes its toll. Then again, those who do understand reliability arent running the companies. So The Disconnect Between Management and Maintenance they struggle to get the support they need for staffng, equipment and training. For example, a key reliability management position went unflled at BP for almost a year before the disastrous shutdown. What does that tell you? The truth is, most maintenance people are hard workers who care about doing good work. But they dont always have the leadership and support they need to be successful. The bottom line is that everyone is responsible for reliability, just like everyone is responsible for safety. Lesson 9: Reliability must have support from the top. It is an investment to be optimized, not a cost to be minimized. Despite the enormous impact on the bottom line, you won't nd maintenance and reIiabiIity taught in many schools. Zero business schools, in fact. 16 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Now for the good news. Done right, reliability can produce eye-popping gains on income statements and balance sheets. Consider the following: A major pharmaceutical company slashed maintenance costs by $33 million and increased production rates at just one plant. A steel maker went from the verge of bankruptcy to the most protabIe steeI maker in the world cutting inventories by $40 million and maintenance costs by 50%, while production shot up 17% and product quality went up 20%. A chemical company cut maintenance spending by 22% and added 15 million dollars to its bottom line in just two years. A food processing plant doubled production and achieved a $45 million swing in P&L in three years. How did they do it? By understanding these ten basic truths about reliability. Reliability 1. Has a huge impact on sales. 2. Has a huge impact on the cost of sales and therefore drives big prot swings. 3. Is a long-term investment strategy. 4. Contains hidden costs not seen on your income statement. 5. Should not be a reactive, emergency-driven strategy. 6. Should not be triggered by a catastrophic event. The objective is to create a non-event. 7. Costs are directly related to early detection of equipment problems. Sooner is always better than later. 8. Relies heavily on predictive maintenance for early detection. Most companies arent doing enough PdM. How Reliability Creates Wealth and Competitive Advantage Allied Reliability, 2008 17 9. Must have support from the top, yet few senior managers are educated in the basic principles. And thats what weve attempted to do in this report get you thinking differently about your business than you have before. Hopefully, by now you understand how reliability impacts your company as an employer, business partner and community citizen. You've seen how it infuences revenues, costs, prots and share price. And fnally, that brings us to . Lesson 10: Reliability is one of the last frontiers for real breakthroughs in wealth and competitive advantage. 18 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Allied Reliability, 2008 19 BP to Shutdown Prudhoe Bay Oil Field Press Release August 7, 2006 http://www.bp.com/genericarticle.do?category d=2012968&contentId=7020563 BP shuts down Prudhoe Bay By Wesley and Richard Richtmyer, Anchorage Daily News August 7, 2006 http://www.adn.com/money/industries/oil/ story/8052561p-7945629c.html BP: Pipeline shutdown could last weeks or months USAToday.com August 7, 2006 http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2006- 08-06-alaskan-oil-feld_x.htm PipeIine CIosure Sends OiI Higher; BP to HaIt Production of 400,000 BarreIs a Day in Alaska By Steven Mufson, Washington Post Staff Writer; Page A01 August 8, 2006 http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/ content/article/2006/08/07/AR2006080700131. html Alaskan shutdown to cost BP at least $100m By Stephen Foley in New York, The Independent (London) August 11, 2006 http://www.fndarticles.com/p/articles/mi_ qn4158/is_20060811 BP's hard road ahead By Steve Hargreaves, CNNMoney.com staff writer August 14, 2006 http://money.cnn.com/2006/08/14/news/ economy/bp_fx/index.htm Analysis: Congress probes BP corrosion By Donna Borak, UPI Energy Correspondent, WASHINGTON September 6, 2006 http://www.upi.com/Energy/view. php?StoryD=20060906-022918-7864r BP exec weaseIs out of testifying before congress; others admit BP faiIed in AIaska September 6, 2006 http://www.alaskareport.com/news11034.htm BP corrosion expert job was unIIed more than year before spill September 8, 2006 http://www.alaskareport.com/news11038.htm Articles and References 20 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Allied Reliability helps companies build wealth and competitive advantage through world-class predictive maintenance and reliability across global manufacturing enterprises. Founded in 1997, Allied has quickly become the largest engineering frm specializing in predictive maintenance and reliability engineering. Today, Allied serves some of the biggest names in manufacturing, including more than 200 plants and facilities in the U.S., Canada, Europe and Latin America. FREE Reliability Consultation Every year the gap between the companies who are taking advantage of reliability and the ones who arent gets wider. That's why you can't afford not to make signifcant reliability improvements in 2007. Those who prepare now will reap big dividends in the future while others will struggle to survive. There are very few shortcuts. However, one is to make sure you get the right help. Now you can get answers to your most important questions about reliability with a free, 55- minute reliability phone consultation. Theres no hassle, no cost and no obligations. Any information you provide is confdential and will not be shared outside of our frm. To take advantage of this special offer, ask for Jeff: Phone: (918) 382-9400 Fax: (918) 382-0601 Email: info@alliedreliability.com About Allied Reliability, Inc. Allied Reliability, 2008 21 Legal Notice While all attempts have been made to verify information provided in this publication, neither the author nor the publisher assumes any responsibility for errors, omissions or contradictory interpretation of the subject matter herein. The purchaser or reader of this publication assumes responsibility for the use of these materials and information. Adherence to all applicable laws and regulations, including federal, state and local, governing business practices and any other aspects of doing business in the U.S. or any other jurisdiction is the sole responsibility of the purchaser or reader. Allied Reliability, Inc. assumes no responsibility or liability whatsoever on behalf of any purchaser or reader of these materials. 22 Allied Reliability, 2008 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Allied Reliability, Inc. 624 South Boston Avenue Suite 250 Tulsa, Oklahoma 74119 USA Phone 918-382-9400 Fax 918-382-0601 www.alliedreliability.com info@alliedreliability.com