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Boston, MA
Office Graphs
25% 10% 3Q 09
1Q 10
3Q 10
1Q 11
3Q 11
20%
Vacancy
Availability
15% 25%
1,200 800 10% 20% 400 3Q 09 1Q 10 3Q 10 1Q 11 3Q 11 0 Completions vs. Absorption -400 15% (in Thousands of SF) -800 -1,200 3Q 09 1Q 10 3Q 10 1Q 11 3Q 11 10% 1,200 09 3Q 1Q 10 3Q 10 1Q 11 3Q 11 800 400 0 -400 $11 -8001,200 -1,200 800 $9 3Q 09 1Q 10 3Q 10 1Q 11 3Q 11 400 0 $7 Absorbed Completed -400 $11 $9 $7 -800 $5 -1,200 3Q 09 3Q 1Q 101Q 10 10 10 11 11 3Q3Q 11 3Q 3Q 1Q 1Q 11 09
$11 1Q 10 3Q 10 1Q 11 3Q 11
FoRecasT n Lease rates will remain low as landlords offer attractive rental rates to entice tenants. Page 1 n LEED certified and green buildings will remain favorable for future-oriented investors. n The recent retreat by CMBS lenders could jeopardize growth in the investment market.
2011 Grubb & Ellis Company
$5 $9 3Q 09 $7
$5 3Q 09
1Q 10
3Q 10
1Q 11
3Q 11
General Industrial
R&D/Flex
Warehouse/Dist.
n While physical location remains key for many users of industrial space, some companies will consider location alternatives based on other factors such as lower Page 1 property taxes and city incentives in efforts to contain costs.
Prepared by: Tim Van Noord Senior Research Analyst 617.772.7275 tim.vannoord@grubb-ellis.com
Grubb & Ellis Boston 470 Atlantic Avenue, 11th Floor Boston, MA 02210 www.grubb-ellis.com
Page 1
(continued from previous page) Four of the five third-quarter acquisitions contained a warehouse/distribution component, suppressing prices as well-capitalized investors such as STAG Industrial REIT and Atlantic Management drove the market. For example, Atlantic Management purchased the former HP campus in Marlborough for $8.7 million. This 109-acre, 750,000-square-foot campus traded hands for $11.60 per square foot and represents Bostons largest industrial sale of the year in terms of square footage and the smallest sale of the year in terms of price per square foot. The underwhelming third quarter industrial market news comes as the total number of jobs in the Massachusetts economy was off by 2,800 during August. The decline slows a recovery in which Massachusetts employers have added 48,000 jobs since August 2010. Furthermore, the Associated Industries of Massachusetts Business Confidence Index fell in August into negative territory on its 100-point scale for the first time since September 2010 as employers grew fearful of possible effects resulting from global and domestic economic recessions. While these indicators signal a potential commercial real estate slow down in coming quarters, the current market holds a plethora of strategic opportunities for buyers and tenants seeking to take advantage of cyclically repressed pricing.
Amesbury Salisbury Merrimac Newburyport West Newbury Haverhill Groveland North Andover Tyngsborough Dracut Lowell Lawrence 495 Tewksbury Andover Ipswich Boxford Topsfield 95 Newbury Rowley
Metheun
Georgetown
Hamilton Essex Gloucester Wenham Middleton Manchester-by-the-sea Danvers Westford North Reading Beverley Billerica Wilmington Lynnfield Littleton Peabody Carlisle Reading Salem Harvard Wakefield Boxborough Bedford Burlington Marblehead Acton Swampscott Woburn Stoneham 495 Saugus Lynn 95 Concord Winchester Melrose Lexington Stow Maynard Bolton Malden Nahant Lincoln Medford Everett Arlington Revere 128 Hudson BelmontSomerville Berlin Sudbury WestonWaltham Cambridge Watertown Wayland Brighton Marlborough Newton Brookline 90 93 Framingham Chestnut Hill Northborough Southborough Wellesley Jamaica Plain Dorchester Needham Natick Hyde Park Westborough Ashland 128 Cohasset Milton Quincy Dedham Dover Sherbon Westwood Hopkinton Hingham Braintree Scituate Holliston 93 Medfield Norwood 495 Randolph Weymouth Canton Millis 3 Norwell 95 Holbrook Walpole Milford Medway Rockland Avon Stoughton Norfolk Hanover Abington Marshfield Sharon Franklin Brockton Whitman Pembroke Bellingham Hanson Wrentham Foxboro Duxbury East Bridgewater Easton Mansfield West Bridgewater Plainville Halifax Kingston North Attleboro Bridgewater Norton 495 Plympton 295 Middleborough Raynham Attleboro Chelmsford 93
Rockport
Taunton
Industrial Submarkets
Lakeville
C S N W
and common area maintenance are borne by the tenant on a pro rata basis. The asking rent for each building in the market is weighed by the amount of available space in the building. * Grubb & Ellis statistics are audited annually and may result in revisions to previously reported quarterly and final year-end figures. Reproduction in whole or part is permitted only with the written consent of Grubb & Ellis Company. Some of the data in this report has been gathered from third party sources and has not been independently verified by Grubb & Ellis. Grubb & Ellis makes no warranties or representations as to the completeness or accuracy thereof.