Dr. Marqueza L.

Reyes Technical Advisor for DRR ASEAN-UNISDR Technical Cooperation

ASEAN Agreement on Disaster Management and Emergency Response

Aregionalcomprehensivepolicy frameworkforcooperationinallaspects ofdisastermanagementratifiedby10 of disaster management ratified by 10 ASEANMemberStates Enteredintoforceon24December2009 Objective:Reducedisasterlossesin ASEANregion,andjointlyrespondto emergencies. emergencies TranslatedintoaWorkProgrammefor 20102015,andasetofflagshipprojects, includingASEANWideDisasterRisk Assessment(forPhase1:20102012)

AADMERWorkProgramme Components
Strategic Compo nents
Risk Assessment, EarlyWarning Early Warning &Monitoring Preparedness and Response Prevention and Mitigation Recovery

InstitutionalisationofAADMER Institutionalisation of AADMER PartnershipStrategies Building Blocks ResourceMobilisation Outreach&Mainstreaming TrainingandKnowledgeManagement

InformationManagementandCommunicationTechnology Information Management and Communication Technology

Implementation,Monitoring&Evaluation

ASEAN Agreement on Disaster Management and Emergency Response

AADMERArticle5: AADMER A i l 5 1.EachPartyshalltakeappropriatemeasuretoidentifydisasterrisksinits respectiveterritoriescovering,amongothers,thefollowingaspects: Naturalandhumaninducedhazards; Natural and human induced hazards; Riskassessment; Monitoringofvulnerabilities;and Disastermanagementcapacities. Disaster management capacities. 2.ThePartiesshallassignrisklevelstoeachidentifiedhazardaccordingto agreedcriteria. AADMERArticle19: 1.ThePartiesshallindividuallyorjointly,includingincooperationwith internationalorganisations,promoteand,wheneverpossible,support scientificandtechnicalresearchprogrammesrelatedtothecauseand consequencesofdisastersandthemeans,methods,techniquesand equipmentfordisasterriskreduction.

WHY CONDUCT RISK ASSESSMENT?

Riskassessmentformstherationalbasisforanykindofplanningfor Risk assessment forms the rational basis for any kind of planning for disasterprevention,mitigationandpreparednessaswellas emergencyresponse.
P d l i d t Preparednessplansaimedat institutionalizingknowledgeandpreparing populationsandinstitutions. Understandingof Responseandrecoveryactionsaimed proactivelyatputtinginplacetheresources proactively at putting in place the resources andmechanisms Preventionandmitigationplansaimedat reducingvulnerabilityandexposure reducing vulnerability and exposure Investmentplansrequiredfordisasterrisk reductionandmanagement Risk financing strategies to spread retain or Riskfinancingstrategiestospread,retain,or transferrisk.

Intensive Risks2 is necessary for the development of plans to reduce disaster risks

Extensive Risks3

ofmultiplenaturalhazards

WHY CONDUCT RISK ASSESSMENT?

hal
SomequestionsthatRAanswersinclude: q Howbiganearthquake,forinstance,mighttheregion g q g g orASEANcountriesexperienceinthefuture? And,who,whatandwhichplaceswillbeaffectedbya catastrophicflood? t t hi fl d? Or,howmuchdamageandlossescouldtheregion sufferfromafuturecatastrophic(worstcaseormost suffer from a future catastrophic (worst case or most probable)disaster? Andsoon.

RA: ISSUES and CHALLENGES

AADMER Requirements
Disasterriskassessmentactivitiesin theregionarenotconsistentin methodology,datacontent,scale,or resolution

RiskAssessment Discipline
DisconnectbetweentheneedsofDM practitionersandthesupplyoftools andmethodologiesfromresearchers andmodelers.

Donotfullyaddress requirementsunderArticle5

Balancebetweenquantitative/ empiricalvs.qualitative/normative kindofriskassessmentfordecision making.

RA in ASEAN: WHAT FOR?

Overarchingquestionis: Overarching question is: Whatistheriskassessmentfor? Whataretheriskassessmentoutputsthat h h ik h shouldbeproduced?(e.g.typesofdatasets, resolution,typesofmaps,scale) l i f l )

WHAT ABOUT THE HOW-TO of RA?

VariousapproachesinconductingRA: Probabilisticriskassessment Deterministic(scenario)riskassessment Allhazardsvs singlehazardapproach All h d i l h d h Whichhazards? Whichvulnerabilities? Which vulnerabilities? Whichcap

DRAFTING THE ROAD MAP

UnderAADMERWorkProgramme agreementshavetobedeveloped: Terminology Purposeandobjectives Typeofanalysisandrisk assessmentoutputsthatwillbe h ll b producedattheregionaland nationallevels Typeandscale/resolutionofdata Type and scale/resolution of data tobecollected Institutional,technicaland capacityrequirementsfor p y q sharingdataandoutputsatthe regionallevel(c/oAHACentre)

Overall Overall Goal

todevelopan implementable roadmapfora standardrisk assessmentin theregion.

STRUCTURE OF THE WORKSHOP

Day 1: Inputs discussions interaction among Day1:Inputs,discussions,interactionamong disastermanagementprofessionalsand researchers,toolmakers,andmodellers(open) researchers toolmakers and modellers (open) Day2:WorkshopsondevelopingtheASEAN RoadMapforDisasterRiskAssessment Road Map for Disaster Risk Assessment (closedsession);NextSteps

Thankyouverymuch! Thank you very much!