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Abstract-- In the deregulated power industry, the To get an insight into the dynamic behavior of the
increasing number of power marketers and independent system, time domain simulation as well as eigenvalue
power generators increases the variability of power flow calculation can be carried out usually engineers prefer
patterns in the transmission system, thereby reducing the investigations in the time domain however, eigenvalues
ability of transmission planners and operators to predict the
provided some additional information making this
critical operating conditions and limits. Consequently, the
small signal stability problem becomes more complex. And technique more suitable for small signal stability
the existing standard methods and tools for small-signal assessment.
stability are not able to perform security analysis in the One of the drawbacks of time domain simulation is that
claimed response time required for online use. Under this often system inherent modes are not visible in the plots. it
background, we propose a novel approach for power system is due to the fact that simulated disturbances excite
small signal stability analysis and control which combines
usually only a few modes. The modal analysis allows a
the state-of-the-art small signal analysis tools, data mining,
and the synchronized phasor measurement techniques. more general conclusion since eigenvalues and
eigenvectors are calculated. However the modal analysis
Index Terms-- deregulated power industry, is restricted to linear system, and thus the nonlinear
phasor measurement placement, small signal stability, equations of power system must be linearized.
support vector machine. Today modal analysis allows treating real problems in
large power grids. Although with the improving
performance of modem computers, the computation of the
I. INTRODUCTION small signal stability is a time consuming process for large
networks, which includes the load flow calculation, the
I n the deregulated power industry, the increasing
number of power marketers and independent power
generators increases the variability of power flow pattems
linearization at operating point, and the eigenvalue
computation.
in the transmission system, thereby reducing the ability of In market environment, oscillatory stability assessment
transmission planners and operators to predict the critical itself is aggravated because of two major reasons. Firstly,
operating conditions and limits. In an electric power oscillatory stability cannot be rated on the base of local
system, oscillations between interconnected synchronous information. It normally requires a full and realistic
generators are an inherent phenomenon. Oscillations dynamic model of the whole interconnected power system.
associated with a single generator or a single plant are Therefore, the exchange of information between utilities
called local modes or plant modes, and their frequency is gains in importance. On the other hand, this is
usually in the range of 0.7 to 2.0 Hz. Those oscillations increasingly hindered by many of the independent power
can be analyzed and controlled comparatively easily. A producers behaving restrictively hiding their data.
different type of oscillations involves groups of Secondly, the existing standard methods and tools for
generators. These oscillations are called inter-area small-signal stability are not able to perform security
oscillations or inter-area modes. Their frequency is analysis in the claimed response time required for online
usually in the range from 0.1 to 0.8 Hz. To study these use.
oscillations, generally a detailed model of the whole An alternative method is to use a intelligent method
interconnected power system is required. In large such as ANN and data mining trained with off-line data
interconnected systems, there can generally be many such for different load flow and system conditions. by using
modes, each involving a number of generators. If the intelligent method, a fast computation of the eigenvalues
power systems do not have enough damping, when is possible"' '' 'I.
subject to some small or large disturbance, the systems
may lose stability. 11. INTELLIGENT METHOD FOR OSCILLATORY
STABILITY ASSESSMENT
0-7803-8237-4/04/$17.0002004IEEE
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2004 IEEE International Conference on Electric Utility Deregulation, Restructuring and Power Technologies (DRPT2004)April 2004 Hong Kong
and up-to-date load flow information. depending on the randomized initial weights. So in NN
Under this background, we propose a novel approach parameter optimization studies the results of a number of
for power system small signal stability analysis and forecasts need to be averaged to allow for the random
control which combines the state-of-the-art small signal differences in the accuracy of individual forecasts.
analysis tools, data mining, and the synchronized phasor 2) The second level of training is to optimize the
measurement techniques. parameters that describe the NN structure. These
The concept of phasors is very useful in describing the parameters include the number of hidden layers, the
behavior of a power system in its steady state as well as in number of neurons in each hidden layer, the momentum,
transient state. Although phasors are better understood as the leaming rate and others such as weight decay
representing a steady state sinusoidal waveform, phasor parameters. The drawback is that optimization of these
movements can be used to derive a variety of information parameters is performed by a human trainer expertise,
about the transient state of a power system. Phasor utilizing previous studies in the literature and time
measurement technologies have undergone many changes, expensive trial and error methods. There is no commonly
first with the advent of digital electronic systems and then accepted algorithm to globally optimize these parameters.
with the increasing need for synchronized phasor With the goal of reducing the time and expertise
measurements at different points of large power systems.
required to construct and train price forecasting models
Synchronized phasor measurements have a huge
we considered the next generation of NNs called support
potential of application in power systems.
vector machines (SVM). SVM have fewer obvious
To name, a few applications are:
tunable parameters than NNs and the choice of parameter
Accurate Measurement of Frequency and
values may be less crucial for good forecasting results.
Magnitude of Voltages and Currents. The SVM is designed to systematically optimize its
State Estimation structure (tune its parameter settings) based on the input
Prediction of Instability training data. The Training of a SVM involves solving a
Adaptive Relaying quadratic optimization which has one unique solution and
Centralized Control and Monitoring does not involve the random initialization of weights as
In our studies, PMUs are used to determine power grid training NN does. So any SVM with the same parameter
topology and estimate load flow conditions, etc. That is to settings trained on identical data will give identical results.
say, when we get some important information, such as This increases the repeatability of SVM forecasts and so
active power of generators, lines transmission power, etc. greatly reduces the number of training runs required to
We can use intelligent method to predict (forecast) the find the optimum SVM parameter settings.
small signal stability. To generate training data for the SVM, different load
Machine learning algorithms, like Artificial Neural flow conditions are considered. Each new load flow
Networks (ANN) and data mining, are promising situation in the network provides a new pattern for the
alternatives to methods that require extraction models SVM training and the basic challenge is to simulate load
andor knowledge of the data. They are able to handle flow cases that are highly correlated with the system
large amount of data and can deal with non-linear systems. stability. Another advantage of the SVM is that it can be
Because of these characteristics, machine learning properly trained with few input features. This is also
algorithms are interesting candidates for the automatic important considering that due to increasing competition
processing of environmental data, which is necessary in utilities may not share essential information. Without
emergency situations. PMUs, only very few features are commonly available
Neural Networks (NN) are highly parallel models such as the transmitted power or the generation of
which have advantages of being flexible and can be used complete net groups. information about single generators
to extract (to learn) complex linear and nonlinear or transmission lines is usually not available long distance
relationships from the data. NNs have two levels of power transits from regions with a surplus of generation
training: are taking place to meet the demand in other regions,
1) The first level of training is to train the NN weights whereas economical aspects are playing a dominant role.
from the training data set. A number of automatic The variation of the load flow in the wide range lead to
algorithms are available to train the weights, the most dangerous situation, in which the small signal stability is
commonly used is known as feed forward back- lost and inter-area oscillations, affecting the whole
propagation (BP) algorithm. The BP algorithm is interconnected power system, occur.
designed to minimize the error through an iterative
process which can be visualized as similar to the iterative 111. NUMERICAL EXAMPLE
method of solving a load flow. The drawback of this
algorithm is that the initial NN weights are randomized. In this paper, we use the Small Signal Analysis Tool
For the system under study this training algorithm may (SSAT) to study the stability of the test system. SSAT
give the global or any of a number of local minima takes advantage of the state-of-the-art in the development
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2004 IEEE Intemational Conference on Electric Utility Deregulation, Restructuring and Power Technologies (DWT2004) April 2004 Hong Kong
of eigenvalue computation techniques and the related network. After the training process is OK, the SVM can
numerical analysis. It offers powerful features for small work well with a new pattern or a new scenario.
signal stability analysis of power systems with If the prediction is not accurate enough, we can also
comprehensive analysis functions[51. use the information provided by PMUs or fault recorders
For evaluating the scenarios the damping ratio is used. to reinforce learning and calibrate rules. Consequently,
- oi control strategy or SVM network can be update.
Ti = Jm
With
real part of the
0,. i th Eigenvalue
miimaginary part of the i th Eigenvalue 7 54 0 I 20
0 0 a.^^ 0 0
I
0. 14
4 40
0.12
0.1
M
:. 0. 08
1 26
00
./ 02 a 0.06
0.04
-sa 0000 -4a moo -30 OODO -20 0000 -IO 0000
I fI 0. 02
Fig. 2 Total eigenvalues
0
From figure 3, we can see the minimal damping ration 1 17 33 49 65 81 97
of the given scenario is in the range from 5% to 10%. scenario
Applying the information got from PMUs and other
Fig. 4 The training result
data sources, we can rapidly predict the minimal damping
ratio, that is to say, we can use this proposed method to
Figure 5 shows that the Support vector machine also
perform the security analysis and assessment online. This
get satisfied result for the next 50 scenarios testing data.
has great important to the planners and operators of power
The average percentage absolute error is 3.02%. Figure 6
grids.
gives the error of the predicted minimal damping ratio of
For get the needed knowledge or rule for a given
each scenario and the real value.
operating condition, a support vector machine network
must be trained offline like a conventional artificial
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2004 IEEE International Conference on Electric Utility Deregulation, Restructuring and P o w e r Technologies (DRPT2004) April 2 0 0 4 Hong Kong
0.14
0.12 VII. BIOGRAPHIES
8 0.06
-0
-predic University in 1996 He obtained M Sc degree
from NCEPU in 2001 Now He is working
0. 04 torwards his Ph D.degree His research
0.02 interests are power system dynamics, small
signal stability analysis and control.
0
1 7 13 1 9 25 31 37 43 49
scenario
Wang Peng was born in Henan Province,
Fig. 5 The testing result P.R.China on November 24, 1973. Hc received
Master degree and Ph.D degree from North
China Electric Powcr University (NCEPU) in
1997 and 2002. Now he is assistant chief of
Power System Control Institute of NCEPU. His
35! I special ficlds of interest included electric power
system analysis and control, electricity market,
dynamic stability and etc.
VI. REFERENCES
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