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Achievements, Challenges
and the Future
CONTENTS
Abbreviations..............................................................................................................................................................................3
Preface.........................................................................................................................................................................................4
Part I: SMEs in Uzbekistan and the World ................................................................................................................................5
Part II: Challenges facing SMEs.................................................................................................................................................8
Internal Problems....................................................................................................................................................................9
External Problems.................................................................................................................................................................10
Political Problems..................................................................................................................................................................11
Part III: Recommendations........................................................................................................................................................12
Summary...................................................................................................................................................................................15
Bibliography..............................................................................................................................................................................16
Annexes.....................................................................................................................................................................................18
Annex A: Main aggregates of SME development in Uzbekistan..........................................................................................18
Annex B: Official Definition of SME...................................................................................................................................20
Annex C: Calculations...........................................................................................................................................................21
Annex D: Deficiencies of Analysis.......................................................................................................................................22
..............................................................................................................................................................................................22
2
Abbreviations
3
Preface
On the commencement meeting of the Commission on Private sector and Development (CPD), the
General Secretary of the UN, Kofi Annan, stated that Millennium Development Goals1 could not be
achieved without the help of Private sector (Namazov & Fedyasheva, 2005).
This report investigates the role that Private sector plays in the economy of the Republic of Uzbekistan
in the light of recent developments of Small and Medium Enterprises (SME). The first part of the work
analyzes motives that force governments around the world and, particularly, in Uzbekistan to show an
interest in this promising, but once forgotten, source of economic growth and development. Thereafter,
the discussion of weak and strong sides of business environment of the country is followed. The third
part examines and proposes measures, possibly to be undertaken by the government of Uzbekistan, to
stimulate SME and the whole Private sector’s growth in the nearest future. Annexes A to C contain
supplementary information for the main parts of the Report and Annex D pays attention to main
deficiencies of the carried analysis.
1
Millennium Development Goals are part of the Millennium Declaration, which was approved by world leaders in
September 2000. MDG are an ambitious agenda for reducing poverty and improving people’s lives (MDG, 2004).
4
Part I: SMEs in Uzbekistan and the World
In many respects success of the country’s development depends on the rightness of the chosen strategy.
The government of Uzbekistan aims at increasing SME share of GDP up to 45% by 2007. Some
organizations say that this is an ambitious project (IFC, 2005a), but this could be mistaken.
According to the official definition (see Annex B), SME include individual entrepreneurs, micro-firms
(up to 20 persons), small businesses (100), dekhan farms and private farms. But this tends to
underestimate the real weight of this sector in the economy. For instance, in Europe (with much less
labour-intensive production!) organizations with less than 250 people could be classified as SME, in
America the number is even higher (500) (RCSE, 2004 & IFC, 2005b), even Uzbekistan’s neighbour,
Kyrgyzstan, has the limit of 200 (Tokochev, 1999). Therefore, if the European definition was applied,
SME share of the country’s GDP could already equal to (or even exceed) the set objective.
But even with this narrow definition, it is easy Figure 1.1: SME share of GDP (in total and by type)
to see that this sector plays a significant role SME Individual Entrepreneurship Total
20 36
in Uzbekistan. During the last 5 years, its
Share in GDP by type (%)
in absolute terms2 (Karimov, 2006). While this Note: Data for 2005 are for the first 3 quarters
Source: CEEP, 2003-2005; CERE, 2006
figure is well above that in Belarus or Russia3,
it is still considerably lower than that of developed countries and CIS on average (see Table 1.1).
Table 1.1: Comparison of SME share of GDP in different countries
Europe CIS Uzbekistan Tajikistan Kazakhstan Russia Georgia Belarus
60 40 38.2 38 13 12 10 9
Note: SME share of GDP was found based on the country’s official SME definition, which varies between countries.
Source: IFC, 2005c; IFC, 2005d
2
Calculations were made according to the following formula: (SME Share2005 x GDP2005) / (SME Share2000 x GDP2000)
3
Who are they, individual entrepreneurs in Russia? See Box 1.1 at the end of Part I.
5
Wojciech Huebner, in his research for the UNIDO, says that “SME sector is important for politicians
and governments because it can replace the government in the difficult task of job creation, which is
one of the most sensitive issues during the transition period, when thousands of people lose their jobs”
(Huebner, 2000). Data for Uzbekistan confirm the verity of his assumption and show that SMEs
accounted for about 66% of total employment in Uzbekistan at the end of 2005 (from 56% in 2003 -
see Figure 1.2) and 85% of newly created working places. “Small businesses and individual
entrepreneurship became the prime source in providing employment and improving living standards in
our country” said Karimov in his February speech (Karimov, 2006). Moreover, unlike in many
countries of the former Soviet Union, SMEs in Uzbekistan play the same social role as they do in
Europe (see Figure 1.3) and other OECD member-countries4 (IFC, 2005b & RCSE, 2003-4).
Figure 1.2: SME share of Employment Figure 1.3: SME share of Employment
Source: Worldwide
CEEP, 2003-2005 & CERE, 2006 Source: CERE, 2006 & IFC, 2005b
64 50
63
4000
62 40
3000 61 65 65
30 63.2
60
2000 49
59 20
58
1000 10
57
7.5 5.4
0 56 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Europe Uzbekistan Kyrgyzstan Russia Gergia Ukraine
SMEs are especially numerous in Agricultural sector, where about 67% of all registered SMEs operate
(see Figure 1.4).Their share in Agriculture is constantly increasing, having reached about 135 points in
2005 and made up 85.5% of the total sector’s production (CERE, 2006). This growth can be partly
explained by the adopted Government Program for transformation of former collective farms
(Shirkats)5 into Private and Dekhan ones (CER, 2004). As can be seen from Figure 1.5 significant
growth of SME share is also tracked in Fee-based services. The decline in Industry sector could be
explained by the strong world competition and necessity to have big scales of production to reach
economies of scale and stay competitive, what is practically impossible for SMEs to do.
4
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development include all most industrialized countries in the world, except
Russia, China and India (OECD, 2006).
5
Legally, Shirkats are independent of the Government. But in reality, Shirkats are obliged to accomplish government’s
orders and subjected to the thorough control by district or regional administrations (CER, 2004 & Centrasia.org, 2006a).
6
In addition to all said, it is commonly accepted, that small businesses could provide flexibility, high-
quality services, innovation and product development for the country (Sloman, 2001). SME segment
stimulates economic growth, by creating new working places and promoting competition and
productivity growth (Namazov & Fedyasheva, 2005).
Figure 1.4: Distribution of SMEs by industry Figure 1.5: Change in SME share by industry
Industry Agriculture
Retail Services Fee-based Services
Agriculture
140
67%
(index numbers)
120
110
Others
T&C 100
6%
1%
Industry Construction 90
T&PC
7% 4%
15% 80
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Note: T&C – Transportation & Communication, T&PC – Note: see Annex C for appropriate calculations and
Trade & Public catering explanation
Source: CERE, 2006 Source: CERE, 2006
Referring back to the productivity and flexibility of small businesses, it is interesting to note that for
instance tomato yields increased by only 5% in Shirkats and more than 22% in Dekhan farms between
1999-2003, while share of unprofitable businesses among them was 37.2% and 3.9% in 2003
accordingly (CER, 2004; Pugach & Abdurazakov, 2004).
But the most important role, that was given to SMEs in developed countries and which they play in
Uzbekistan and other developing countries is “formation of new, prosperous middle class layer – the
best-proven factor of a country’s long-term stability and development” (Huebner, 2000 & ER, 2005).
The monthly turnover of an average individual entrepreneur is less than $1000 and about $500 in
the countryside. Although this is only the declared rate of turnover, profits of this business are
miserable. It is impossible to think about investments here – and what for? For a new and bigger
mobile shop? Generally speaking, it is difficult to call this, the business – probably it is one of
forms of self-employment for the nourishment of a family”.
Expert, 2005
7
Part II: Challenges facing SMEs
Wojciech Huebner in his report “SME development in countries of Central Asia” (Huebner, 2000),
presented to the United Nations Industrial Development Organization in 2000, draws attention to the
following:
“The success of particular transition economies in SME development seems to originate in adequate
systematic solutions applied within three distinct areas:
- macro-economic conditions that provide incentives to develop business and in which main SME
development barriers are minimized;
- ability to properly train people and develop their entrepreneurial skills; and
- ability to create conductive financial and support infrastructure for SME.”
This part of the report analyzes the current economic and legal environment of Uzbekistan, putting
particular attention to the problems that embarrass development of SMEs.
- Internal problems, arising inside the business itself (e.g. poor management skills);
- External problems, appearing on the Government and Business level (legal framework); and
- Political problems resulted due to the absence of the real cooperation between SMEs and the
Government (inability of government bodies to understand problems of Small businesses).
8
businesses. It is the absence of sufficient knowledge and trainings that become the main cause of
million penalties (for the real example see Box 2.1).
Management
Internal Knowledge
Trainings
Operation
Representation
Political Cooperation
Involvement
Internal Problems
Internal problems are those that arise on the company (business) level. They include such issues as poor
management, unclear division of labour, lack of legal and practical knowledge and unwillingness or
inability to attend refresher courses. While these are only internal problems, they influence the
performance of the whole company and hence can considerably distort its competitive advantage.
Dmitriy Alaudinov, the General director of the Business Consulting company in Uzbekistan, notes that
an effective maintenance of circulation of documents turns into big problems for many local
entrepreneurs. In its turn, this can lead to the loss of quality control, what according to the research
could cost the company up to 60% of its working time just for eliminating products/services’ faults and
defects (Naumov, 2005).
The overwhelming majority of SMEs in Uzbekistan do not use computer technology in their work
(IFC, 2004), what limits their abilities to receive, communicate and process detailed and up-to-dated
information about their existing and potential customers, track changes in their tastes and preferences
and carry out a purposeful and reliable marketing research.
9
According to IFC only 41% of SME representatives have adequate knowledge of legislation regulating
inspections (IFC, 2005a) and hence numerous law violations by inspecting officials could stay
unnoticed, undetected and undisputed through the courts.
External Problems
Many representatives of SME sector express their anxiety about Taxation system. Specialists are saying
that tax rates in Uzbekistan are not very high, but the complicated and contradictory tax legislation with
its permanent changes, can make a prosperous firm, needing to pay just 20% tax a bankrupt (ER, 2005
&IFC, 2005).
10
Political Problems
Entrepreneurs do not have any sufficient power to influence Problems of SME are constantly being discussed, but
mainly on paper and without the business itself.
on anything. The Liberal Democratic Party of Uzbekistan,
formed as the party of businesspeople and taking up the second place in the past election to the
Parliament, in reality is powerless. All recent decrees and resolutions that had the direct effect on SMEs
and other businesses were issued by the Executive power (President, Cabinet of Ministers, hokimiyats
etc.), rather than Legislature, without their discussion in the Parliament or even the round table with
businesspeople. This type of problems would exist until SMEs did really obtain sufficient power and
start to participate in law-making in all bureaucracy levels.
11
Part III: Recommendations
In the recent work “SMEs, Growth, and Poverty: Cross-country Evidence” of Thorsten Beck, Asli
Demirguc-Kunt and Ross Levine (Beck et al., 2003-4) there is a provocative question of whether SMEs
really do what the world community are expected them to do. While the work does not provide the
definite answer, it concluded that it is the general business environment of the country, rather than SME
sector itself that stimulates economic growth, employment and innovation.
Even if this conclusion is correct, it is SMEs that respond with extraordinary sensitivity to all of the
positive and negative developments in the business environment (IFC, 2004). Therefore, the good
business environment is first of all the environment with thriving and prosperous SME sector. But what
should be done to make it really prosperous?
It is necessary to eliminate or at least reduce and soften problems of SMEs that were discussed in the
preceding part. It seems appropriate to:
6
The Government is moving in this direction. Since 2004 the new “Management of agricultural enterprises” speciality was
introduced in Institutes and Universities of Uzbekistan (Haitov et al., 2005). However, this course, as the majority of others,
is prepared for those interested in agriculture. Similar courses for other specialities are required. The UK and EU
experience in this sphere seems very successful and appropriate (Sloman, 2001).
12
But this will work and only work if the interests of SME representatives themselves would be taken
into consideration. Therefore the Government’s prime objective in the short-run must become the
establishment and maintenance of good relations with SME sector and all other businesses, through
organizing round-tables, encouraging Business Communities and refusing to take actions individually,
without the consultancy with Business.
According to the latest IFC survey “Business environment in Uzbekistan as seen by small and
medium enterprises”, 62% of respondents are not satisfied with the country’s taxation system.
Permanent tensions between entrepreneurs and Tax regulation officers, numerous complaints and
the vivid slowing down of SME development in 2004 led to January President’s decree “On
Drafting a New Edition of the Tax Code of the Republic of Uzbekistan”. The new Tax Code has to
provide:
Many experts are sure that properly prepared, new Tax Code could solve many today’s questionable
issues and improve the general business environment in Uzbekistan. Meanwhile, before the
adoption of new Code, the government of the country, as usual, is trying hard to improve taxation
system independently. Since 1 of April 2006 businesses, that are engaged in providing auditing,
leasing, insurance services as well as services in education and accounting are free from paying tax
on revenue and the unified tax for the period of 3 years.
13
Box 3.2: Outsourcing. What is it and for whom?
Producers of goods and services frequently outsource their work. They hand operations they used to
carry out in-house to outside firms, dividing up growing complexity into more manageable pieces.
Production companies outsource production of their goods, banks – their services and even
hospitals – some of their functions (such as processing of patients’ medical forms, medical
consultancies and simple operations).
According to estimates, outsourcing generates approximately $1.4 trillion worth of goods and
services, which is only “8 percent of 50 possible” IBM’s report suggests. With transportation and
communication costs rapidly falling, the distance between consumer and producer does not play a
big role anymore. This opens big opportunities for developing countries.
Malaysia, China and especially India are already exploiting these possibilities. Foreign companies
opened 60 000 factories in China between 2000 and 2003 and doubled the $200 billion country’s
export. By 2008, outsourcing could employ over 4 million Indians and generate $80 billion-worth
of sales for India.
Having cheap and educated labour force in abundance, why not for Uzbekistan to enter this
profitable market? Why not to attract new investments and develop this sector at home? It seems
that the start is already given (President’s decree “On measures for stimulation of increasing
cooperation between big industrial plants and production of services on the base of home labour”
from 05.01.2006), but further steps and actions are required.
14
Summary
The importance of SME sector in Uzbekistan acquires the increasingly vivid forms. It already
constitutes more than 38% of the country’s GDP, employs two thirds of the labour force and most
importantly, shapes the new country’s middle-class, proving its reliability and enormous potentiality.
Being aware of that, the Government of Uzbekistan is perpetually trying to facilitate the development
of SMEs. Nevertheless, many problems continue to exist, putting considerable pressure on local
businesses and their likely growth. However, not all available instruments have been enabled so far,
hence strong prerequisites of future positive changes in SME and consequently Private sector’s
development remain and hold true.
15
Bibliography
ANOSHKINA, V. & MINIBAEV, T., 2005. Taxes as seen by businessmen. Economic Review, #7 (70),
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BECK, T. & DEMIRGÜÇ-KUNT, A., 2004. Summary on SMEs, Growth, and Poverty [online].
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Evidence [online]. Available from: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/Delivery.cfm/SSRN_ID636597_
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and Analytical Review. Annual Issue, 2002. CEEP: Tashkent.
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CENTRASIA.ORG, 2006a. IWRP: Imaginary agrarian reform in Uzbekistan [online]. Available from:
http://centrasia.org/newsA.php4?st=1139455800 [Accessed 10 February 2006].
CENTRASIA.ORG, 2006b. Service sector is exempted from paying taxes in Uzbekistan within three
years [online]. Available from: centrasia.org/newsA.php4?st=1145472540 [Accessed 19 April 2006].
ECONOMIC REVIEW (ER), 2005. Special edition with the support of the UN. Economic Review, #9
(72).
HAITOV, A., SHADIBAEV, T. & NAUMOV, YU., 2005. New infrastructure for agrarians. Economic
Review, #4 (67), 28.
HUBNER, W., 2000. SME Development in countries of Central Asia (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and
Uzbekistan): Constraints, Cultural Aspects and Role of International Assistance. Vienna: UNIDO.
Available from: http://www.unido.org/userfiles/PuffK/huebner.pdf [Accessed 30 April 2006].
16
INTERNATIONAL FINANCE CORPORATION (IFC), 2004d. Business Environment in Georgia as
seen by small and medium enterprises. Tbilisi: IFC. Available from: http://www.ifc.org/eca [Accessed
18 April 2006].
KARIMOV, I. A., 2006. Speech of the President in the Cabinet of Ministers [online]. Available from:
http://centrasia.org/newsA.php4?st=1139898120 [Accessed 15 February 2006]
NAMAZOV, O. & FEDYASHEVA, O., 2005. The UN’s look at private sector. Economic Review, #9
(72), 32.
NAUMOV, YU., 2005. Everyone is responsible for quality. Economic Review, #10 (73), 35.
PUGACH, I. & ABDURAZAKOV, A., 2004. Fruit and vegetable industry - natural point of growth.
Economic Review, #12(63), 41.
RESOURCE CENTER OF SMALL ENTREPRENEURSHIP (RCSE), 2003. Analysis of the role and
place of Small and Medium Enterprises in Russia for 2002 [online]. Available from: http://lib.rcsme.ru/
download/default. asp?path=docs/4/4547/10758.pdf&id=4547&arc=1&parts=1
RESOURCE CENTER OF SMALL ENTREPRENEURSHIP (RCSE), 2004. Analysis of the role and
place of Small and Medium Enterprises in Russia for 2003 [online]. Available from: http://lib.rcsme.ru/
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Key=840497
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Annexes
Annex A: Main aggregates of SME development in Uzbekistan
Number of Registered SMEs (thousands) 149.3 177.7 215.7 230.6 237.5 261
-Industry - - 19.7 21 20.1 18.9
-Agriculture - - 101.7 119.6 146.2 172.8
-Transportation & Communication - - 1.9 2 2.3 2.6
-Construction - - 11 10.9 10.9 11.3
-Trade & Public catering - - 32.6 41.8 41.9 39.1
-Other sectors - - 48.8 35.3 16.1 16.3
Number of SME participating in the World Trade 2832 2452 2690 3300 3778 3472
Note: Data for all items in 2005, except GDP, are given for the first 3 quarters of the year 2005.
18
Source:
Center for Effective Economic Policy (CEEP), 2003. Uzbekistan Economy: Statistical and Analytical
Review. Annual Issue, 2002. CEEP: Tashkent.
CEEP, 2004. Uzbekistan Economy: Statistical and Analytical Review. Annual Issue, 2003. CEEP:
Tashkent.
CEEP, 2005. Uzbekistan Economy: Statistical and Analytical Review. Annual Issue, 2004. CEEP:
Tashkent.
Center for Economic Research and Education (CERE), 2006. Uzbekistan Economy: Statistical and
Analytical Review. Annual Issue, 2005. CERE: Tashkent.
Karimov, I. A., 2006. Speech of the President in the Cabinet of Ministers [online]. Available from:
http://centrasia.org/newsA.php4?st=1139898120 [Accessed 15 February 2006]
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Annex B: Official Definition of SME
According to the Decree of the Republic of Uzbekistan dated August 31, 2003 “On Amending and
Expanding the Decree of the President of the Republic of Uzbekistan “On the Development of Private
Enterprise, Small and Medium Business” dated April 9, 1998” following businesses and business
entities are counted as SME and granted with all concessions and privileges given to SME:
• Individual Entrepreneur
• Micro-firm
• Small Enterprise
A legal entity whose annual average number of employees is greater than that of a
micro-firm but is: less than 100 for those engaged in light and food industries, in
metalworking, in making instruments, in woodworking, and in manufacturing
construction materials; less than 50 in machine building, in metallurgy for fuel/power
and chemical industries, in growing and processing agricultural produce, in
construction and other industrial-manufacturing sectors; less than 25 in science,
provision of scientific services, transportation, communications, services (except
insurance companies), trade and public catering, and other non-manufacturing sectors;
• Dekhan Farm
A family enterprise engaged in low volume production and sale of agricultural produce.
Its family members produce on a family farmstead which is a heritable possession of the
head of the family in lifetime. A dekhan farm may be incorporated or unincorporated;
• Private Farm
An independent economic entity with the rights of a legal entity based on the
cooperative efforts of its members who produce agricultural produce on parcels of land
rented on a long-term basis;
Source:
International Finance Corporation (IFC), 2004. Business Environment in Uzbekistan as seen by small
and medium enterprises. Tashkent: IFC.
20
Annex C: Calculations
Figure 1.5, presented in Part I “SMEs in Uzbekistan and the World” of this report was build using
the following data (Index numbers):
SME share of total production by industry (%) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Industry 11,3 14,1 14,1 10,9 10,7 9,1
Agriculture 72,4 75,6 76,4 78,1 80,9 85,5
Retail Services 45,9 45,8 43,8 42,4 41,8 42,9
Fee-based Services 37,9 39,9 41,3 45,4 47,4 50,9
Index numbers
Industry 100,0 124,8 124,8 96,5 94,7 80,5
Agriculture 100,0 104,4 105,5 107,9 111,7 118,1
Retail Services 99,8 99,6 95,2 92,2 90,9 93,3
Fee-based Services 100,0 105,3 109,0 119,8 125,1 134,3
The index number for the year 2000 was taken as 100. The indexes for subsequent years were
calculated according to the following formula:
21
Annex D: Deficiencies of Analysis
In this report it was tried to discuss the role that SMEs play and problems they encounter, having
operated in the Republic of Uzbekistan. This work does not tend to persuade anybody in the
correctness of the presented argumentation, but merely tries to sum up already stated opinions and
available statistics for SMEs development, generally, and that of Uzbekistan, particularly, in a coherent
and consistent way.
At the same time, this analysis has its several shortcomings, the main of which are:
1) Usage of secondary data, the accuracy and consistency of which could not be tested or verified;
3) Absence of the work experience in SME sector and the real dialogue with local businesspeople and
government officials; and
4) Simplicity of argumentation with omission of some key facts and appropriate numerical analysis.
22