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By Jeff Borowicz, CPC, CCC, PSP January 28, 2009
AACE
Estimating as a Career
Agenda
Introduction Estimating Conceptual Estimates Budget Level Estimates Definitive Estimates Value Engineering Change Orders Claims Salary Survey Estimate Basics
Societies
AACE (Since 1989)
Capital Section - Member FL Section (Orlando) - VP GL Section VP, Board BIM Committee Co-Chair Cert. Paper Reviewer AACE Journal Articles
Ellis University
MBA (6-12 Classes 4.0 GPA)
Employers
CH2M Hill PMA Consultants IMSI (Ford) General Motors - WFG DTE Energy
AIC
Eastern / Ferris CPC Discuss MI Chapter President, Board
Definition of Estimating
ESTIMATE AACE 10S-90 (1) A prediction or forecast of the resources (i.e., time, cost, materials, etc) required to achieve or obtain an agreed upon scope (i.e., for an investment, activity, project, etc.). (2) In cost estimating, a compilation of all the probable costs of the elements of a project or effort included within an agreed upon scope.
Estimating as a Career
Owner Estimating Contractor Estimating Vendor Estimating
Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
Owner Estimating
Portfolio Planning (one market) Conceptual, Budget and Definitive Estimating Estimating Services (for hire) Value Engineering Change Orders Risk Management Project Controls Claims
Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
A/E Estimating
Multi-Market Estimating Conceptual, Budget and Definitive Estimating Value Engineering Change Orders Risk Management Project Controls Claims
Vendor Estimating
Package Systems (Air Handling Units, Kitchen Cabinets, etc.) Supply House Estimating (Structural Steel Commodities, Concrete Plant, Pipe Manufacturer, Electrical Supply, etc.)
Contractual Relationships
Owner Architect Prime Contractor Subcontractor Vendor Vendor Subcontractor Vendor Vendor Engineer Engineer Engineer Types:
Lump Sum Design-Bid-Build Design-Bid-BuildOwn- Operate GMP Multi-Prime T&M Others
Claims Evaluation 30%, 60%, 90% Design Value Engineering Change Order Processing Contractor Labor Rate Check Low Bidder Evaluations
Construction Profit (Loss) Evaluation (Un)Balancing the Bid / Schedule of Values Claim Assessment Change Order Processing
Conceptual Estimates
CONCEPTUAL ESTIMATE An estimate made in the concept phase without the benefit of detailed engineering data. (This term is superceded by Recommended Practice No. 17R-97 Cost Estimate Classification System.)
+100%/-50%
+50%/-30%
Budget Estimates
BUDGET ESTIMATE A budget estimate is prepared with the use of flow sheets, layouts, and equipment details. (This term is superceded by Recommended Practice No. 17R-97 Cost Estimate Classification System.)
+30%/-15%
DEFINITIVE ESTIMATE (1) In estimating practice, describes estimating algorithms or cost estimating relationships cost that are not highly probabilistic in nature (i.e., the parameters or quantification inputs to the parameters algorithm tend to be conclusive or definitive representations of the scope). Typical definitive estimate algorithms include, but are not limited to, detailed unit and line-item cost linetechniques (i.e., each specific quantified item is listed and costed separately). costed separately). (2) An estimate prepared from very defined engineering data. For construction, the engineering data includes as a minimum, nearly complete plot plans and elevations, piping plans and instrument diagrams, online electrical diagrams, equipment data sheets and quotations, data structural sketches, soil data and sketches of major foundations, building sketches and a foundations, complete set of specifications. This category of estimate covers all types, from the minimum described above, to the maximum definitive type, which would be made from approved for construction drawings and specifications. (This term is superseded by Recommended construction Recommended Practice No. 17R-97 Cost Estimate Classification System.) 17RSystem
Definitive Estimates
+15%/-5%
Change Order
Bid Price
Change Order
Value Engineering
Society for Advancement of Value Engineering (SAVE)
VALUE ENGINEERING A practice function targeted at the design itself, which has as its objective the development of design of a facility or item that will yield least life-cycle costs or provide greatest value while satisfying all performance and other criteria established for it. Do not confuse with Scope Reduction.
Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
VE Study
Value Analysis
Value Management
Value Engineering
Value Methodology Standard James A. Rains Jr., 1999 JOINT COST MANAGEMENT SOCIETIES PROCEEDINGS
Value Management
Change Order
CHANGE ORDER A document requesting and/or authorizing a scope and/or baseline change or correction. 1) From the owners perspective, it is an agreement between the project team and higher authority approving a change in the project control baseline. 2) From a contractors perspective, it is an agreement between the owner and the contractor to compensate for a change in scope or other conditions of a contract. It must be approved by both the client and the contractor before it becomes a legal change to the contract.
Change Orders
Example
Claim Definition
CLAIM A demand or assertion of rights by one party against another for damages sustained under the terms of a legally binding contract. Damages might include money, time, or other compensation to make the claimant whole.
Between Owner and Contractor Between Contractor & Subcontractor Lawyers retrieve Cost Documents from other parties (DISCOVERY) Both parties build a case on facts and details around their positions
Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
Claims
Claims
Owner Estimator Has details to form opinion of claimed work Contract Estimator Owner hires to re-create the estimate value based on details provided from DISCOVERY Process Contractor Estimator Builds their case based on their opinion of claimed work
Claims
Settle out of Court Mitigation
Both Parties hire an Independent party to rule on the outcome
Arbitration
Binding Non-Binding
Litigation
Called as an Expert Witness
Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
Estimating Basics
Market Sources
CAM (www.cam-online.com)
Builders Exchanges
Scope of Work
Drawings Specifications Sketches P&IDs Scope Document Contract Statement of Work (SOW)
Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
+50%/-30%
+30%/-15%
+15%/-5%
Cost Coding
Takeoff Tools
Engineers Scale Architectural Scale Scale-Master Tape Measure Calculator PDA Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
Quantity Takeoff
Sketches Schematic Drawings Write-ups Photographs Construction Drawings Product Information Technical Data
Mechanical
Harrison Richardsons MCAA SMACNA
Electrical
Trade Service Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules NECA
Material (National)
ENR - Monthly Week 1 Concrete Week 2 Pipe Week 3 Steel Week 4 Lumber Week 5 - Index
Material (Locally)
Data DIGest Ken Simonson AGC of America Chief Economist Weekly one-page e-mails Economic News relevant to Construction
News Sources
Estimating Software
Cost Items
Labor
AFL-CIO (Union) Davis Bacon Prevailing Wage State/Federal Non-Union (Open Shop) Skilled Trades (UAW) Fully Burdened All-In Rate NMA or Presidents Agreement
Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
Labor
Labor
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------1 Equipment Operator (Crane)$31.15 $249.20 |$49.25 $394.80 1 Equipment Oiler 25.75 206.00 | 40.80 326.00 Hydraulic Excavator, 1 CY 490.80 | 539.90 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------600 CY / day Cost per Day $946.00 | $1261.10 -------------------600 CY 600 CY $1.58/CY $2.11/CY Which do I use?
Equipment
Resources: Blue Book, Dataquest, AED Green/Red Book, R.S. Means, Web Services Web Services: Iron Planet, Nations Rent, Rentmaker, Michigan CAT, etc. Purchased Equipment Rental Equipment Contractor Owned Monthly, Weekly, Daily, Hourly Rentals
Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
Mark-ups
Sales Tax (MI = 6%) (By State) Country Taxes (Provincial Canada = PST/GST) State of MI Taxes (SBT / MBT) City Taxes (Pontiac/Detroit = 1%) Consumables Overhead Profit
Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
Contingency
Definition: Unforeseen Work that cannot be properly identified but know should be accounted for in the Project Estimate. How to Apply Contingency Myths on ContingencySlush Fund? NO! Design, Construction and Change Order Contingency --- YES!
Promoting the Planning & Management of Cost & Schedules
Risk
2006 AACE International Transactions - RISK.01- Dr. Flynn L. Auchey PE and Dr. Gloria J. Auchey AACE Technical article Management of Project Contingency and Allowance Jan Terje Karlsen and Jon Lereim, Cost Engineering, Sep 2005
Historical Data
ENR Indexes