SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0,998368299
R Square
0,996739261
Adjusted R Square
0,995807621
Standard Error
1,35015126
Observations
28
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
NOF
NPVB
NLIY
NOV
TPI
PSLC

6
21
27

SS
11701,71892
38,28107692
11740

Coefficients Standard Error

-59,06608
11,28404066
-0,00696
0,046189919
0,0419884
0,005270525
0,0027157
0,00099941
0,0014695
0,000265212
-0,00274
0,001335706
-0,268203
0,068417644

MS
F
1950,286487 1069,876282
1,822908425

t Stat
-5,234479526
-0,150683502
7,966650987
2,71732621
5,540878153
-2,051349726
-3,920091856

P-value
3,45E-05
0,881663
8,81E-08
0,012904
1,69E-05
0,052914
0,000786

yj = -59.066-0.006 NOFj + 0.04NPVBj +.0027NLIYj +0.001469NOVj -0.002739TPIj-0.2682

Significance F
5,54379E-25

Lower 95%
-82,532527
-0,1030173
0,03102777
0,00063734
0,00091797
-0,0055178
-0,4104857

Upper 95%
-35,59963
0,0890971
0,0529491
0,0047941
0,002021
3,775E-05
-0,125921

Lower 95.0%
-82,532527
-0,103017254
0,031027774
0,000637336
0,000917969
-0,005517751
-0,41048573

Upper 95.0%
-35,59963263
0,089097136
0,052949085
0,004794109
0,002021046
3,77525E-05
-0,12592117

-0.002739TPIj-0.2682PSLCj+ej, j = 1, , 28.

NFA
NFA
NOF
NPVB
NLIY
NOV
TPI
PSLC

1
0,973468
0,984421
0,980014
0,981347
0,933183
0,897185

NOF

NPVB

NLIY

NOV

1
0,977702
1
0,959515 0,972275
1
0,94778
0,9499 0,960677
1
0,890515 0,924417 0,930949 0,955993
0,925036 0,947553 0,914138 0,863379

TPI

1
0,87441

PSLC

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0,973467689
R Square
0,947639341
Adjusted R Square
0,945625469
Standard Error
4,862391534
Observations
28
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
NOF

1
26
27

SS
11125,28586
614,7141371
11740

MS
F
Significance F
11125,28586 470,5560113
3,53322E-18
23,64285143

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
-71,79921396
5,462210411 -13,14471772
0,600069356
0,027662778 21,69230304

P-value
5,42148E-13
3,53322E-18

Lower 95%
-83,02694826
0,543207702

Upper 95%
Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
-60,57147966 -83,02694826 -60,57147966
0,65693101 0,543207702
0,65693101

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0,984421
R Square
0,969086
Adjusted R Square
0,967897
Standard Error
3,736181
Observations
28
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 11377,06 11377,06 815,0315
3,7E-21
26 362,9353 13,95905
27
11740

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept
-10,2972 2,06162 -4,99474 3,41E-05
-14,535 -6,05953
-14,535 -6,05953
NPVB
0,059209 0,002074 28,54876
3,7E-21 0,054946 0,063472 0,054946 0,063472

Upper 95.0%

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0,980014
R Square
0,960428
Adjusted R Square
0,958906
Standard Error
4,227086
Observations
28
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
1 11275,43 11275,43
26 464,5747 17,86826
27
11740

F
Significance F
631,031 9,21E-20

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept
-194,629 9,572642 -20,3318 1,74E-17 -214,306 -174,952 -214,306 -174,952
NLIY
0,015717 0,000626 25,12033 9,21E-20 0,014431 0,017003 0,014431 0,017003

Upper 95.0%

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0,981347
R Square
0,963042
Adjusted R Square
0,96162
Standard Error
4,085095
Observations
28
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
F
Significance F
1 11306,11 11306,11 677,4995 3,79E-20
26 433,888
16,688
27
11740

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept
-56,3661 3,970164 -14,1974 9,27E-14 -64,5269 -48,2053 -64,5269 -48,2053
NOV
0,003338 0,000128 26,02882 3,79E-20 0,003074 0,003601 0,003074 0,003601

Upper 95.0%

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0,933183
R Square
0,870831
Adjusted R Square
0,865863
Standard Error7,63706
Observations
28
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

SS
MS
1 10223,56 10223,56
26 1516,442 58,32468
27
11740

F
Significance F
175,287
4,6E-13

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 1,299324
3,6025 0,360673 0,721258 -6,10572 8,70437 -6,10572 8,70437
TPI
0,022733 0,001717 13,2396
4,6E-13 0,019203 0,026262 0,019203 0,026262

Upper 95.0%

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0,897185
R Square
0,80494
Adjusted R Square
0,797438
Standard Error
9,384931
Observations
28
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
PSLC

1
26
27

SS
MS
F
Significance F
9450
9450 107,2926 1,01E-10
2290 88,07692
11740

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
-26,25 7,103572 -3,69532 0,001029 -40,8516 -11,6484 -40,8516
1,3125 0,126711 10,35821 1,01E-10 1,052042 1,572958 1,052042

Upper 95.0%
-11,6484
1,572958

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0,995828212
R Square
0,991673828
Adjusted R Square
0,990633057
Standard Error2,01813915
Observations
28
ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
NPVB
NLIY
NOV

3
24
27

SS
MS
F
Significance F
11642,25074 3880,75 952,8257 4,46E-25
97,74925505 4,072886
11740

Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
-56,33173833
16,12034819 -3,49445 0,001868 -89,6025
-23,061 -89,6025
0,027345142
0,004940386 5,535021 1,08E-05 0,017149 0,037542 0,017149
0,002101321
0,001482827 1,417105 0,169304 -0,00096 0,005162 -0,00096
0,00144077
0,000235276 6,123737 2,52E-06 0,000955 0,001926 0,000955

Upper 95.0%
-23,061
0,037542
0,005162
0,001926

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0,997931312
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0,995866903
0,995148104
1,452472494
28

ANOVA
df
Regression
Residual
Total

Intercept
NPVB
NLIY
NOV
PSLC

SS
MS
F
Significance F
4 11691,48 2922,869 1385,459 4,81E-27
23 48,52256 2,109676
27
11740

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
-52,75567453 11,62555 -4,53791 0,000147
-76,805 -28,7064
-76,805
0,043196888 0,004839 8,927679 6,21E-09 0,033188 0,053206 0,033188
0,002690517 0,001074 2,504785 0,019784 0,000468 0,004913 0,000468
0,001113118 0,000182 6,102263 3,18E-06 0,000736 0,00149 0,000736
-0,320764309 0,066404
-4,8305 7,11E-05 -0,45813
-0,1834 -0,45813

Sales= -52.755+ 0.0431 NPVB+0.00269NLIY+0.0011NOV-0.320PSLC

Upper 95.0%
-28,7064
0,053206
0,004913
0,00149
-0,1834

year quarter

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

no. of fatal accidents

no. of officials in the field

NFA

NOF

1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4
1
2
3
4

20
22
24
26
26
28
28
32
30
34
34
32
36
38
38
40
44
46
48
50
58
60
62
68
72
78
84
102
correlation

No. of people visiting bars(in hundreds)

NPVB
160
160
160
160
160
160
160
160
170
175
175
175
180
180
185
190
200
210
200
210
220
220
230
230
250
250
260
260

500
500
600
600
600
650
600
650
650
700
700
700
900
900
900
900
1000
1000
1000
1000
1200
1200
1200
1200
1500
1500
1500
1800

0,973467689

0,984421446

No. of liscences issued to the young

no. of vehicles

NLIY

NOV
13000
14000
14200
14250
13600
14000
14200
14250
14500
14600
14600
14500
15000
15100
15000
15200
15300
15500
15600
15500
15800
16000
16100
16500
16600
17500
18000
18500
0,98001431

Prescribed speed limit in the city

PSLC
25000
25500
25600
25700
25750
25800
25900
26000
26500
26700
26800
26850
26900
27000
27500
27900
29950
30000
30500
31000
32000
33000
35000
36500
38000
40000
45000
48000

40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
40
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
60
80
80
80
80

0,981346987 0,897185

Traffic police investments (in thousands)

TPI
1000
1100
1300
1300
1326
1410
1420
1450
1460
1490
1510
1610
1650
1700
1750
1760
1790
1800
1800
1800
2000
2000
2000
2000
3400
3600
4000
4400
0,933183367

Coefficients

Standard Error

Intercept -59,06608 11,28404066

NOF
NPVB
NLIY
NOV
TPI
PSLC

-0,00696
0,0419884
0,0027157
0,0014695
-0,00274
-0,268203

t Stat

-5,23448

0,046189919 -0,150684
0,005270525 7,966651
0,00099941 2,7173262
0,000265212 5,5408782
0,001335706
-2,05135
0,068417644 -3,920092

yj = -59.066-0.006 NOFj + 0.04NPVBj +.0027NL

0.2682PSLCj+ej, j =

NOFj + 0.04NPVBj +.0027NLIYj +0.001469NOVj -0.002739TPIj0.2682PSLCj+ej, j = 1, , 28.

NOF
Regression Statistics
Multiple R
R Square
Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0,973467689
0,947639341
0,945625469
4,862391534
28

NPVB
0,984421446
0,969085582
0,967896566
3,736181014
28

NLIY
0,98001431
0,96042805
0,95890605
4,22708628
28

NOV
0,981347
0,9630419
0,9616204
4,0850948
28

TPI
0,9331834
0,8708312
0,8658632
7,6370598
28

PSLC
0,8971847
0,8049404
0,7974381
9,3849306
28

SUMMARY OUTPUT
C+D+E

C+D+E+G

Regression Statistics
Multiple R
0,995828212 0,997931312
R Square
0,991673828 0,995866903

Sales= -52.755+ 0.0431* NPVB+

Adjusted R Square
Standard Error
Observations

0,990633057 0,995148104
2,01813915 1,452472494
28
28

755+ 0.0431* NPVB+0.00269*NLIY+0.0011*NOV-0.320*PSLC