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11338 10.11
December 2011
Disclaimer
DISCLAIMER Certain statements made in this presentation involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. Certain statements relating to Lundin Petroleums business and operations are based on managements expectations, estimates and projections. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Certain statements are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove to be accurate. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such statements. Lundin Petroleum makes no commitment, and disclaims any duty, to update or revise any of these statements. This presentation is for informational purposes only and is not intended as a solicitation or offering of securities in any jurisdiction. The information contained in this presentation is not intended to qualify, supplement or amend information disclosed under corporate and securities legislation of any jurisdiction applicable to Lundin Petroleum and should not be relied upon for the purpose of making investment decisions concerning any securities of Lundin Petroleum.
WF8278
Ireland
- 1 exploration licence
Netherlands
- Reserves (1): 3.6 MMboe - 3 exploration wells in 2012
France
- Reserves (1): 22.3 MMboe - 3 exploration wells in 2012
Tunisia
- Reserves (1): 0.5 MMboe
Vietnam
- 1 exploration licence
Indonesia
TOTAL
First 9 months 2011 production: 32,800 boepd 2P reserves: 186.7 MMboe (1) Contingent resources: 259 MMboe (2)
WF11304 p5 11.11
(1 )
(2 )
Third Quarter 2011 Production (boepd) Average Brent oil price (USD/boe) Cost of operations (USD/boe) Prot after tax (MUSD) EBITDA (MUSD) Operating cash ow (MUSD) 33,900 113.41 8.20 38.9 262.0 196.5
First Nine Months 2011 32,800 111.89 8.27 169.3 767.3 586.8
WF11377 p1 10.11
113.41
Revenue Cost of operations Taris Royalty and direct taxes Changes in inventory/overlift Other Cash Margin Cash taxes Operating Cash Flow General and administration costs (1) EBITDA
105.07 -8.20 -1.67 -4.53 -0.89 -0.18 89.60 -26.56 63.04 -5.56 84.04
105.60 -8.27 -1.97 -4.41 -1.47 -0.19 89.29 -23.82 65.47 -3.68 85.61
(1)
Liquidity [MUSD]
at 30 September 2011
222 98 124
740
(1)
Alvheim 29.4 Volund 13.2 Brynhild 10.2 Gaupe 12.5 Luno 73.9
Norway 139.2
18%
Oil Price (Brent) USD 85/bbl + 2% escalation on oil price and costs
Reserves Growth
383% reserves increase in Norway No decline in French reserves
200 200
150
150
MMboe
0 2002
WF11210 p2 01.11
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0 (end of year)
300
300
250
250
200
200 Russia
MMBoe
150
150
Congo Indonesia
100
100
France Norway
50
50
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0 (end of year)
WF11210 p5 01.11
10
End 2010 Reserves & Contingent Resources + Avaldsnes & Aldous Major South (1) mid case net contingent resources
446 MMboe
WF11210 p7 10.11
1006 MMboe
(1)
11
Strong Production in First Nine Months 2011 Strong 9 month production 32,800 boepd Outperformance of Volund and Alvheim
Alvheim ~10,800 boepd Volund ~11,900 boepd
40
33,500 boepd
31,100 boepd
33,900 boepd
35 30 25 20 15 10 5
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12
Increase of Production
boepd
2011
WF10925 p7 08.11
31-34,000
2012
2013
2014
2015
13
Alvheim Field
Hydrocarbon Volume [MMboe]
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
65% increase in reserves 2.3 32.2 28.4 25.1 33.4 7.3 29.7 12.0
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
Lundin Petroleum 15% Marathon 65%, ConocoPhillips 20% Gross 2P reserves: 196 MMboe 9 months 2011 Production at 10,800 boepd net Alvheim cost of operations ~USD 5/boe for 2011 Drilling 2 new development wells onstream in October 2011 1 additional well to come onstream in 2011 Phase 3 drilling likely in 2012/2013
BOA 09
29.4
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
BOA 12
EKAM 02
East Kameleon
EKAM 03 EKAM 01 KAM 02 KAM 04
BOA 11
Boa
KAM 03
Kameleon
KN 03 KAM 01 KN 02
Kneler
KN 07
KN 06
KN 05
WF11388 p1 10.11
14
Alvheim Field
Volund Field
Volund Manifold
VOLUND FIELD
400
WF11388 p2 10.11
15
Lundin Petroleum interest: 50% (operator) Wintershall 30%, RWE 20% Development Plan substantially complete FEED completed PDO submission in 2011 First oil 2015 Incorporates the Tellus discovery Estimated Luno/Tellus reserves: 188 MMboe gross Plateau production rate >60,000 bopd gross
015 016 008 009
Alvheim Area
0025 0026
UK
0024 PL570
PL546
PL167 PL167B
Luno/Tellus
PL338 PL359 PL544
Draupne
PL501B
PL265 PL501
0015
0016
PL410
0017
Norway
WF11387p1 10.11
16
Water Injectors
Oil Producers
Tellus
Luno
WF11115 p5 04.11
17
18
SEYMOUR
PL292
Lundin Petroleum interest: 70% (operator) Talisman 30% PDO submitted in August 2011 Tie-back to Haewene Brim FPSO located at Shell Pierce eld in the UK Gross reserves 20 MMbo Plateau production: 8,400 boepd net First oil end 2013
Gaupe
PL292B
SHELLEY
PL292
022/08 (Area 2)
NORWAY
PL495
022
MONTROSE ARBROATH WOOD CARNOUSTIE FIDDICH
Brynhild 07
PHYLLIS
PL148
PL148
MORTIMER
MONAN
COLUMBUS
ARKWRIGHT
BRECHIN
MIRREN
LOMOND
Marnock
SKUA MILLBURN KATE
UK
022/28 (Area 2)
MERGANSER
023
38 km
PL301
Pierce
Ula
COD
WF11292 p1 11.11
19
Major operated portfolio Production: 3,000+ boepd 2P reserves: 22.3 MMboe Stable low decline production Attractive scal regime 33% corporation tax Contingent resources 7.3 MMboe Large acreage position Paris Basin 1.1 million net acres Plaines du Languedoc 0.6 million net acres Exploration potential
Toulouse
Paris
Nancy
Paris Basin
0 KM 10
AQUITAINE
France
Nimes
Bziers
Carcassone
Narbonne
Gulf of Lion
Exploration licence
WF11015 p1 09.11
KM
40
20
Russia - Lagansky
Lundin Petroleum working interest 70% - Gunvor 30% Drilled 3 exploration wells Morskaya discovery in 2008 3D seismic in 2009 2010 157 MMboe gross contingent resources on block
Discussions with state owned companies ongoing to full Foreign Strategic Investment Law
Exploration Prospects
KM
20
Morskaya Discovery
Northern Caspian
Petrovskaya-1
Lundin Concession Oil Field Gas Field
GA LA
LO YB SK
CK
Morskaya Discovery
Morskaya-1 COC well
Rakushechnoye Field 4.4 TCF Viktor Filanovski 600 MMbbls 1.2 TCF
Laganskaya-1
Rak-4
Rak-1 Rak-2
Lagansky Block
WF10896 p19 10.10
Yuri Korchagin
21
2012 exploration and appraisal drilling - 24 wells Norway 8 exploration wells 5 appraisal wells Malaysia 5 exploration wells Netherlands 3 exploration wells France 2 exploration wells Congo (Brazzaville) 1 exploration well
WF11384 p1 11.11
22
WF10757 la p2 01.10
23
Excellent exploration potential remains No independents until recently Lower drilling density than UK Close to existing infrastructure Stable and attractive scal regime 78% tax rate (e ective rate ~73% with capital uplift) 93% tax deduction on development expenditures due to tax uplift 78% tax deduction on exploration expenditures. Refund in cash if there is a taxable loss No ring-fencing of licences
WF11320 p1 06.11
24
MUSD
MUSD
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011 Budget
Exploration Wells Drilled up to End 2010 Commercial Discoveries up to End 2010 Cumulative E&A Spend up to End 2010, MMUSD Finding Cost USD/boe Finding Cost USD/boe - post tax Success Rate (commercial successes)
(1)
Includes USD 130 Million investment in 3D Seismic Only includes 80 MMboe of the Avaldsnes CR
WF11339 p1 10.11
25
In the heart of the North Sea Located in the southern Utsira High Close to existing infrastructure 35 km south of Grane - signicant spare capacity in the Grane oil export pipeline Water depth: 115m Reservoir depth: ~1900m PL501 licence operated by Lundin Petroleum (40%) Partners: Statoil 40%, Maersk 20% PL265 licence operated by Statoil (40%) Partners: Petoro 30%, Det Norske 20%, Lundin Petroleum 10%
Norway
Sweden
Troll Oseberg
Bergen "
UK NORWAY
Grane
Avaldsnes
Utsira High
Sleipner
Mapped area
WF11366 p1 09.11
26
Oil Gas
APA 2010
PL546
A 4th generation exploration and a major oil province 45 years after the rst award: PL001 in 1965 Major acreage position built by Lundin Petroleum since 2004
APA 2009
PL501
PL501B
APA 2004
APA 2011
PL338 PL410
PL265
APA 2007
APA 2006
PL359
0015
WF11366 p2 09.11
PL544
APA 2010
0016Utsira High
LundinPetroleum Operator LundinPetroleum Partner
27
Oil Gas
PL546
Lundin Petroleum 50% (operator) Partners: RWE Dea 20%, Wintershall 30%
Tellus
PL501
Luno/Tellus discoveries: Estimated gross reserves: 188 MMboe PDO submission Dec. 2011 First Oil: 2015 Apollo discovery: 15-65 MMboe gross Appraisal planned in 2012
Apollo Luno
2007 Discovery well
PL338
PL359
0015
WF11366 p2 09.11
PL544
0016Utsira High
LundinPetroleum Operator LundinPetroleum Partner
28
16/2-9S
16/2-10 appr.
Updated gross contingent resources on block 800 - 1,800 MMbo PL265 (10%)
16/2-8 appr.
Avaldsnes (PL501)
16/2-6 16/3-4 appr.
16/3-2 OWC
PL265 PL502
Aldous Major South Discovery 16/2-8 , 65 metre oil column, excellent quality reservoir 1st appraisal (16/2-10) completed: 60 metre column Aldous Major North Requires further appraisal
PL410
PL501B
WF11366 p6 09.11
(1)
29
Avaldsnes PL501
(1)
Stat ord Eko sk Oseberg Gullfaks Troll Snorre Heidrun Valhall Draugen Eld sk Grane Asgard Norne Ula Balder Tordis Vigdis Brage Veslefrikk Gullfaks Sr Oseberg Sr Stat ord Nord Gyda Stat ord st Alvheim Tyrihans Goliat Visund Oseberg st
(3,300)
(1,700)
30
31
WF11375 10.11
32
16/2-10 (Aldous Major South appr.) Discovery 16/2-8 Aldous Major South Discovery
OWC -1922m
16/2-6 Avaldsnes Discovery
16/5-2 appr.
Ongoing
PL501
33
North Sea
6203 216 217 218 6106 6103 6105 6104 213
Albert
219
220
6201
6202
6203
6204
North Sea
6008 6007 6006 6005 6004
214
210
0036
206
001
002
003
0030
0031
0032
Bergen
163
Norway
005 202 203 006 007 008 009 0025 0026 0027
Barents Sea
155 154 156 Lundin Petroleum Licences
Operated Non-operated
7224
201
011 7226
7225
PL609
7219 7218 7220 7221
7223 7222
012
013
Jorvik Luno II
014 015 016
0024
Stavanger
0015
Russia
7217
144
Biotitt
018 019 020
Kristiansand
PL533
burg
Pulk
PL492 PL563
7120 7118 7117 7119
PL438
Snhvit
Barents Sea
7123 7122 7121
7125 7124
017
North Sea
022 023 0007 0008
0013 0012
Aberdeen Aberdeen
Carlsberg
021
Ogna
0009 0003
0010
0011
570 5707
PL490
134 135
De
5606
029
WF11383 p1 10.11
20
KM
40
125
7020
Edinburgh Edinburgh
034 035
Clapton
030 031 5603
5605 5604
0 25 KM
5506
100
5507
34
KM
0025
16
Jorvik prospect
Lundin (50%) Lundin (10%)
0016
Lundin (40%)
PL501B
0015
PL501
Lundin (70%)
PL544
Luno II prospect
Biotitt prospect
wf11380 10.11
Lundin (70%)
PL409
35
N
Luno discovery
So
ut
he
rn
Ut
0024
KM
0025
16
L338
sir
aH
igh
Luno II prospect
Jorvik prospect
Lundin (50%) Lundin (10%)
0016
Lundin (40%)
PL501B
0015
PL501
PL544
Lundin (70%)
U Jurassic sandstone
Luno II prospect
5 PL3
Biotitt prospect
Lundin (70%)
PL409
WF11381 10.11
36
20
PL519
Albert
6202
219
UK
Tybalt Discovery
Storm
PL555 PL579
Jordbr Discovery
Jordbr Beta
Tybalt
210
0033
Zeta
0034
Blbr
Beta Discovery
Penguin
WF11277 p3 04.11
NORWAY
7221
37
7220 7219
PL532
Rauto
PL609 PL533
Bieksu & Geres
KM
20
Pulk (Salinas)
Rein
7323 7319 7320 7321
6814 6813
PL438
7226
Juksa
7227
Lead Prospect Oil eld Gas eld Licenced Area (NPD) Lundin Norway Licences Operated 7223 Non-Operated 7222st 21 licencing round award
7119
Skalle discovery
7224 7225
7228
7121
PL490
PL563 Snurrevad
Snhvit Area
7127
7221 7220
PL53 2
7218
7219
PL533
PL609
7126
PL492
Barents Sea
7123 7122
7125 7124
PL438
PL563
~25
km
7121
Goliat
7118 7116
WF9900 p7 07.11
7022
Hammerfest
38
TOTAL
CAMBODIA VIETNAM
Peninsular Malaysia
12 1
SB307/308
PM308A & B
SUMATRA
Gurita
South Sokang
SARAWAK
Borneo
KALIMANTAN SULAWESI
WEST PAPUA
Lematang Rangkas
JAVA
INDONESIA
Sareba
PAPUA
39
SB303
South China Sea
Titik-Terang Cempulut Discovery Tarap Discovery
SB307
km
Kota Kinabalu
7 13
km
SB308
km
61
km
142
145
Malaysia
Bandar Seri Begawan
WF11386 p1 07.11
40
Peninsular Malaysia
Operated Non-operated Hydrocarbon fields/discoveries Oil Gas Prospect / lead 3D seismic acquisition
Lundin (75%)
Kemaman Harbor
PM307
Malaysia
Kuantan New Port
Beserah
PM308A
Lundin (35%)
PM308B
Lundin (75%)
Indonesia
KM
50
Gurita
Lundin (100%)
WF11334 p2 11.11
41
Country
PL265 - Aldous MS App. 16/2-10 PL501 - Avaldsnes 16/5-2 App. PL501 - Avaldsnes 16/2-11 App. PL501 - Avaldsnes 16/2-12 App. PL265 - Aldous App. PL519 - Albert 6201/11-3 PL501 - Avaldsnes 16/5-3 App. PL359 - Luno II PL338 - Jorvik PL544 - Biotitt PL453 - Ogna PL495 - Carlsberg PL338 - Apollo App. PL533 - Pulk PL440S - Clapton PM308A - PM308A-B (Janglau) PM307 - Bertam App. SB307/308 - Tiga Papan-5 SB303 - Berangan-1 PM308B - Beserah-1 PM308A - PM308A-3 PM308A - PM308A-4 Val des Marais - Pierre Morains East Champagne - Contault Block Marine XI - Mindu Marine Block Marine XIV - Makouala Block Marine XI - Lideka East
operated
(2)
Licence - Prospect
Operator
Statoil
LUPE%
10.00
NUPR
(1)
Lundin Lundin Lundin Statoil Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin ENI Faroe Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin Lundin SOCO SOCO SOCO
40.00 40.00 40.00 10.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 50.00 70.00 35.00 60.00 50.00 20.00 18.00 35.00 75.00 42.50 75.00 75.00 35.00 35.00 100.00 100.00 18.75 21.55 18.75
26% 35% 49% 29% 22% 15-24% 14-19% 29% 24% 50% 23% 24% (2) (2) 50% 27% 32% 23%
CoS %
NRPR
(3)
18 19 11 25 12 9 15 3 2 4 5 8
2011 Q4
Discovery
2012 Q1
Ongoing
Q2
Q3
Q4
Discovery Ongoing
(2) (2) 1 2 2 3
Dry Ongoing
non operated
586
144
WF11117 p1 12.11
(3)
Net Unrisked Prospective Resources (MMboe) Net Risked Prospective Resources (MMboe)
42
Shareholder structure
Retail , 12% Lundin Family, 31%
Geographically
USA , 7% Others , 6%
WF11003 p1 12.11
(1)
43
Strong production and cashow Development programme. Production to double in 5 years Avaldsnes - a new giant oil eld in Norway Major exploration/appraisal programme in 2012
WF11286 p2 01.11
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