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Stock Report | October 8, 2011 | NYS Symbol: CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc


S&P Recommendation BUY

55555

Price $33.10 (as of Oct 7, 2011)

12-Mo. Target Price $46.00

GICS Sector Energy Sub-Industry Integrated Oil & Gas

Summary Split from Encana Corp. (ECA) on December 1, 2009, this Canadian integrated oil company has operations focused on the exploration and production of bitumen in Canada using enhanced oil recovery methods, and the refining of crude oil into petroleum and chemical products in the U.S.

Key Stock Statistics (Source S&P, Vickers, company reports) 52-Wk Range $40.73 27.15 Trailing 12-Month EPS $1.39 Trailing 12-Month P/E 23.8 $10K Invested 5 Yrs Ago NA Price Performance
30-Week Mov. Avg. 12-Mo. Target Price
45 40 35 30 25

S&P Oper. EPS 2011E S&P Oper. EPS 2012E P/E on S&P Oper. EPS 2011E Common Shares Outstg. (M)

1.74 2.37 19.0 754.1

Market Capitalization(B) Yield (%) Dividend Rate/Share Institutional Ownership (%)

$24.962 2.42 $0.80 64

Beta S&P 3-Yr. Proj. EPS CAGR(%) S&P Credit Rating

NA 39 BBB+

Qualitative Risk Assessment


10-Week Mov. Avg. Relative Strength GAAP Earnings vs. Previous Year Up Down No Change Volume Above Avg. Below Avg. STARS

LOW

MEDIUM

HIGH

Our risk assessment reflects our view of the company's sizable proved and probable enhanced oil recovery and net proved Canadian conventional reserves base, and a competitive cost profile for its oil sands operations. However, we see risk of cost escalation in its capital spending, and as the production mix moves toward enhanced oil projects, we expect less spending flexibility. Quantitative Evaluations S&P Quality Ranking
3 4

Vol. Mil. 9 6 3 0 5 1 M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D

NR B B+ AA A+ STRONG 73
HIGHEST = 99

B-

Relative Strength Rank


LOWEST = 1

2008

2009

2010

2011

Analysis prepared by Equity Analyst S. Glickman, CFA on Sep 15, 2011, when the stock traded at $34.66. Highlights

Revenue/Earnings Data Revenue (Million $) 1Q 2Q 2011 3,602 4,158 2010 3,437 3,012 2009 2,162 2,429 2008 --2007 --2006 --Earnings Per Share ($) 2011 0.06 0.89 2010 0.69 0.22 2009 0.55 0.20 2008 --2007 --2006 ---

Investment Rationale/Risk

CVE's growth is focused on the development of bitumen, supported by cash flows from its conventional operations. We look for Foster Creek and Christina Lake oil sands production to rise about 13% in 2011. Over the period 2010-2019, we see Foster Creek production advancing 11% per annum, and Christina Lake production rising by 32% per annum. In February 2011, CVE reiterated its strategic plan to increasingly focus on crude oil exposure. While the refining segment suffered in 2010 from a prolonged turnaround at Borger and Wood River, we look for substantial refining improvements when the Wood River CORE expansion is completed in late 2011. In February 2011, management indicated that the CORE project could yield about $200 million in annual cash flows upon completion. Overall, we look for capital spending and cash flows to be approximately equal in 2011, but for cash flows to outpace capital spending beginning in 2012 and lasting for several years. On higher projected oil prices and volumes, we see EPS of $1.74 in 2011 and $2.37 in 2012.

Oil is the main driver for CVE, spun off from Encana in late 2009. The firm is focusing on heavy oil and, in April 2010, it announced plans to divest C$1 billion in mostly natural gas assets over the next two years. CVE believes it is the technological leader in enhanced oil recovery (EOR), with efficient operations evidenced by low steam assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) development costs and low steam-to-oil ratios (SOR), implying, in our view, relatively low operating costs and a small environmental surface footprint. Risks to our opinion and target price include unfavorable changes in economic, industry and operating conditions, including a drop in oil and/or gas prices, unexpected facility outages, and a failure to realize targeted cost savings. We think the shares merit a modest premium to the peer average on the basis of better projected return on invested capital. Applying a peerpremium 12X multiple of enterprise value to estimated 2011 EBITDA, and blending with our DCF model (WACC of 11.2%, terminal growth of 3%), our 12-month target price is $46.

3Q -3,026 2,714 ----

4Q -3,169 2,835 ----

Year -12,961 10,140 16,559 ---

E0.63 0.29 0.08 ----

E0.53 0.10 0.03 ----

E1.74 1.32 0.86 3.25 ---

Fiscal year ended Dec. 31. Next earnings report expected: NA. EPS Estimates based on S&P Operating Earnings; historical GAAP earnings are as reported.

Dividend Data (Dates: mm/dd Payment Date: mm/dd/yy)


Amount (Can. $) Date Decl. Ex-Div. Date Stk. of Record Payment Date

0.200 0.200 0.200 0.200

10/28 02/17 04/27 07/25

12/13 03/11 06/13 09/13

12/15 03/15 06/15 09/15

12/31/10 03/31/11 06/30/11 09/30/11

Dividends have been paid since 2009. Source: Company reports.

Please read the Required Disclosures and Analyst Certification on the last page of this report.
Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.

Stock Report | October 8, 2011 | NYS Symbol: CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc


Business Summary September 15, 2011 CORPORATE OVERVIEW. Created via the split from Encana Corp. (ECA) on December 1, 2009, Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE) is a Canadian integrated oil company divided into three financial reporting segments: Upstream (37% of 2010 revenues; 109% of 2010 segment income), which includes the development and production of bitumen, crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs) and other activities in Canada; and Refining & Marketing (63%; -9%), which includes the refining of crude oil into petroleum and chemical products; and Corporate and Eliminations. At the end of 2010, CVE's net proved reserves (after royalties) of bitumen stood at 870 million barrels of oil equivalent (boe); proved reserves of heavy oil stood at 138 million boe, and natural gas & coalbed methane proved reserves stood at 231.5 million boe. Average oil and gas production (after royalties) rose 3.2% in 2010, to 252,020 boe per day. In April 2010, an independent qualified reserves evaluator (IQRE), McDaniel & Associates Consultants Ltd., estimated CVE's bitumen economic contingent resources between 3.9 and 7.3 billion barrels (before royalties) at the end of 2009. Refining & Marketing consists of two established refineries: Wood River in Illinois (crude oil capacity of 306,000 barrels per day (b/d)), and Borger in Texas (146,000 b/d), each operated by ConocoPhillips (COP), as of year-end 2010. Through CVE's interest in WRB Refining LLC, these refineries are each 50% owned by CVE, and allow CVE to capture the full value chain, from crude oil production to refined products. With the completion of the CORE project (91% complete as of December 31, 2010), the Wood River refinery should increase refining capacity by 16%, to 356,000 b/d, and more than double its heavy oil refining capacity to 240,000 b/d due to its ability to process a wider variety of crude oil feedstocks. Start-up of the CORE project is expected to occur in the fourth quarter of 2011. CVE is also organized into two operating divisions: Oil Sands, which includes producing assets at Foster Creek and Christina Lake, heavy oil assets at Pelican Lake, new resource plays such as Narrows Lake, Grand Rapids and Telephone Lake, and Athabasca natural gas assets; and Conventional, which includes conventional crude oil and natural gas development and production activities in Alberta and Saskatchewan, and the Weyburn CO2 flood project, plus emerging Bakken and Shaunavon properties. In 2010, CVE invested $867 million in its Oil Sands assets, primarily related to expansion of production capacity at Foster Creek and Christina Lake. In the third quarter of 2010, CVE received regulatory approval for phases F, G and H, which are expected to add 90,000 b/d of gross bitumen production capacity. MARKET PROFILE. CVE is positioned to be a leading integrated energy company anchored by stable production and cash flow from well established crude oil and natural gas plays in North America, and is integrated from crude oil production through to refined products. CVE plans to continue leveraging technology to unlock unconventional oil reservoirs. IMPACT OF MAJOR DEVELOPMENTS. In January 2007, ECA became a 50% partner in an integrated North American oil business with ConocoPhillips (COP), which consists of an upstream (primary assets include Foster Creek and Christina Lake properties in Canada) and downstream entity (primary assets include the Wood River and Borger refineries in the U.S.). The US$3.6 billion coker and refinery expansion project at the Wood River Refinery in Illinois (called the CORE project) received regulatory approvals in September 2008. As of February 2011, the company expected it to be completed in the third quarter of 2011, and for startup to commence in the fourth quarter. CVE believes the project, upon completion, will raise crude throughput by about 50,000 b/d, to 356,000 b/d, and more than double its heavy crude capacity to 240,000 b/d. FINANCIAL TRENDS. Capital expenditures for 2011 are projected to range from $1.9 billion to $2.4 billion, with the top of the range only slightly above the company's projected operating cash flow. Approximately $1.8 billion has been committed as of February 2011, another $0.1 billion represents one-time costs, and the remaining potential $0.5 billion represents opportunity capital if desired. As of September 30, 2010, CVE had hedged 412 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d), or 56% of its expected 2010 natural gas production at an average NYMEX price of US$6.28 per thousand cubic feet (Mcf) and 351 MMcf/d of its 2011 expected natural gas production at US$5.82 per Mcf; and 29,100 b/d, or 23% of its expected 2010 oil production at an average WTI oil price of US$78.91 per barrel and 5,000 b/d of its expected 2011 oil production at an average WTI oil price of US$89.65 per barrel. Corporate Information Investor Contact P. Gagne (403-766-4737) Office 421-7th Avenue S.W., Calgary, AB, Canada T2P 4K9. Telephone 403-645-2000. Fax 403-766-7600. Website www.encana.com

Officers Chrmn M.A. Grandin Pres & CEO B.C. Ferguson COO J.K. Brannan CFO I.M. Ruste Treas W.R. Thomas

Board Members R. S. Cunningham P. D. Daniel I. W. Delaney B. C. Ferguson M. A. Grandin V. A. Nielsen C. M. Rampacek C. Taylor W. G. Thomson

Domicile Victoria Founded 2008 Employees 2,375 Stockholders NA

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.

Stock Report | October 8, 2011 | NYS Symbol: CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc


Quantitative Evaluations S&P Fair Value Rank
NR 1
LOWEST

Expanded Ratio Analysis


2 3 4 5
HIGHEST

Based on S&P's proprietary quantitative model, stocks are ranked from most overvalued (1) to most undervalued (5).

Fair Value Calculation Investability Quotient Percentile Volatility Technical Evaluation Insider Activity

NA

Price/Sales Price/EBITDA Price/Pretax Income P/E Ratio Avg. Diluted Shares Outstg (M)
Figures based on calendar year-end price

2010 1.93 9.03 21.53 25.22 752.7

2009 1.87 6.67 19.93 29.22 751.4

2008 Nil Nil Nil Nil 751.8

2007 NA NA NA NA NA

30
LOWEST = 1 HIGHEST = 100

Key Growth Rates and Averages Past Growth Rate (%) Sales Net Income Ratio Analysis (Annual Avg.) Net Margin (%) % LT Debt to Capitalization Return on Equity (%)
1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 9 Years

CVE scored lower than 70% of all companies for which an S&P Report is available.

27.82 53.09

NA NA

NA NA

NA NA

LOW NA

AVERAGE

HIGH

7.65 21.64 10.10

9.60 22.94 NA

NA NA NA

NA NA NA

NA

UNFAVORABLE

NEUTRAL

FAVORABLE

Company Financials Fiscal Year Ended Dec. 31 Per Share Data ($) Tangible Book Value Cash Flow Earnings Dividends Payout Ratio Prices:High Prices:Low P/E Ratio:High P/E Ratio:Low Income Statement Analysis (Million $) Revenue Operating Income Depreciation Interest Expense Pretax Income Effective Tax Rate Net Income 2010 11.78 3.06 1.32 0.80 61% 33.37 22.87 25 17 2009 10.76 2.65 0.86 0.20 23% 26.00 23.37 30 27 2008 NA 4.83 3.25 NA NA NA NA NA NA 2007 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2006 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2005 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2004 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2003 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2002 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 2001 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

12,961 2,770 1,309 423 1,162 14.6% 992

10,140 2,838 1,343 381 950 31.8% 648

16,559 4,398 1,186 407 3,202 23.7% 2,443

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Balance Sheet & Other Financial Data (Million $) Cash 300 Current Assets 2,773 Total Assets 22,075 Current Liabilities 2,483 Long Term Debt 3,429 Common Equity 10,013 Total Capital 15,844 Capital Expenditures 2,206 Cash Flow 2,301 Current Ratio 1.1 % Long Term Debt of Capitalization 21.6 % Net Income of Revenue 7.7 % Return on Assets 4.5 % Return on Equity 10.1

148 2,284 20,552 1,836 3,493 9,180 15,030 1,895 1,991 1.2 23.2 6.4 3.3 7.7

44.0 2,107 19,659 1,759 3,468 8,387 14,489 NA 3,629 1.2 23.9 14.8 NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

Data as orig reptd.; bef. results of disc opers/spec. items. Per share data adj. for stk. divs.; EPS diluted. E-Estimated. NA-Not Available. NM-Not Meaningful. NR-Not Ranked. UR-Under Review. Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.

Stock Report | October 8, 2011 | NYS Symbol: CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc


Sub-Industry Outlook
Our fundamental outlook for the integrated oil & gas sub-industry for the next 12 months is positive. With their solid dividend yields and huge businesses diversified internationally, we look for equities of U.S.-based supermajors to benefit from our forecasts for strong crude oil prices and economic growth. S&P believes global GDP expanded 4.2% in 2010 and will grow 3.1% in 2011 and 3.6% in 2012. We see continued M&A activity, notably in North America onshore and frontier regions, and we look for renewed Gulf of Mexico drilling to ramp up. As of August, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimated that global oil demand grew 2.5 million b/d in 2010, to 86.82 million b/d, and sees growth of 1.37 MMb/d in 2011, to 88.19 MMb/d, and 1.64 MMb/d in 2012, to 89.83 MMb/d. Reflecting new OPEC capacity, the EIA estimates global oil supply grew by 2.6 MMb/d in 2010, to 86.9 million b/d, and forecasts supply growth of 0.8 MMb/d in 2011 and 1.7 MMb/d in 2012. On disruptions in Libya, OPEC spare production capacity is believed to have fallen to 3.32 MMb/d (ex Iraq and Libya) in the second quarter, according to the EIA. OPEC production (ex Iraq and Libya) is 26.49 MMb/d, according to the EIA, 1.6 MMb/d above quota. Earlier in 2011, oil prices reached highs not seen since 2008, reflecting the disruption of exports from Libya and unrest elsewhere in the Middle East/North Africa. Since early May, prices have retreated on tempered global economic data, in our view. As of August 18, using S&P estimates based on data from IHS Global Insight, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) spot oil prices were projected to average about $93.50 per barrel in 2011 and $98.50 in 2012, up from $79 in 2010. Growing volumes of Canadian imports and greater takeaway capacity from the Rockies and Mid-continent shale plays have led to record high storage levels at Cushing, OK, leading to a price discount for WTI compared to similar quality global crudes such as Brent crude oil. For U.S. natural gas, high inventory levels and increased production from onshore shale plays have pressured spot prices, and we look for low natural gas prices to depress U.S. drilling activity in 2011. As of August 18, using forecasts from the EIA, S&P expected Henry Hub spot prices to average $4.25 per million Btu in 2011 and $4.55 in 2012, versus $4.40 in 2010. Year to date to August 12, the S&P Integrated Oil & Gas Sub-Industry Index fell 1.7%, versus a 6.4% decline in the S&P 1500 Composite Index, as the recent pullback in equity markets has impacted the integrated oils. In 2010, the sub-industry index was up 15.4%, versus a 14.2% advance for the 1500. --Michael Kay

Stock Performance
GICS Sector: Energy Sub-Industry: Integrated Oil & Gas Based on S&P 1500 Indexes Month-end Price Performance as of 09/30/11
160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0

2007
Sub-Industry

2008

2009

2010
S&P 1500

2011

Sector

NOTE: All Sector & Sub-Industry information is based on the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)

Sub-Industry : Integrated Oil & Gas Peer Group*: Based on market capitalizations within GICS Sub-Industry
Peer Group Cenovus Energy American Midstream Paartners LP BG Group plc ADR Ecopetrol S.A. ADS Provident Energy Ltd Sasol Ltd ADS Stock Symbol CVE AMID BRGYY EC PVX SSL Stk.Mkt. Cap. (Mil. $) 24,962 164 68,709 81,593 2,268 25,135 Recent Stock Price($) 33.10 17.94 101.40 40.32 8.44 41.92 52 Week High/Low($) 40.73/27.15 23.37/16.00 129.93/87.50 51.92/37.48 9.48/6.90 60.39/38.15 Beta NA NA 0.67 0.99 1.29 1.39 Yield (%) 2.4 Nil 1.1 4.0 6.2 4.3 P/E Ratio 24 NM 19 33 NM 9 Fair Value Calc.($) NA NA 90.60 NA NA 39.60 S&P Return on Quality IQ Revenue Ranking %ile (%) NR NR NR NR NR NR 30 NA 25 81 10 67 7.7 NM 20.6 19.7 0.4 14.2 LTD to Cap (%) 21.6 35.4 23.2 15.4 24.6 11.5

NA-Not Available NM-Not Meaningful NR-Not Rated. *For Peer Groups with more than 15 companies or stocks, selection of issues is based on market capitalization.

Source: S&P. Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies,Inc.

Stock Report | October 8, 2011 | NYS Symbol: CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc


S&P Analyst Research Notes and other Company News
July 29, 2011 07:04 am ET ... S&P MAINTAINS BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF CENOVUS ENERGY (CVE 38.83****): Q2 EPS of $0.52, vs. $0.19, is $0.03 shy of our estimate. Total oil and gas production of about 230 mmboe/day is down slightly from Q1 on planned turnarounds, but we expect improving production through year-end. We also note that CVE received partner approvals for additional phases of development at Foster Lake and Christina Lake, which bodes well for long-term production opportunities. We cut our '11 EPS forecast $0.03 to $1.74, and trim '12's by $0.01 to $2.37. However on our DCF model and relative valuation metrics, we lift our 12-month target price by $4 to $46. /Stewart Glickman, CFA April 27, 2011 05:08 pm ET ... S&P MAINTAINS BUY RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES OF CENOVUS ENERGY (CVE 37.71****): Q1 operating EPS of $0.28, vs. $0.45, is $0.17 short of our estimate. Production from Foster Creek and Christina Lake in the Alberta oil sands were above forecast, while divestitures and field declines lent downside to our gas production outlook. CVE has approval for 3 major expansions at Christina Lake, adding 120,000 bbls/d and bringing total capacity at the field to 218,000 bbls/d. CVE raises '11 capex plan to $2.2B-$2.625B. We see additional upside at Bakken assets. On Q1 miss, we cut our '11 EPS view by $0.17 to $1.95, but we keep '12's at $2.53 and our target price of $42. /S.Glickman,M.Kay February 18, 2011 12:56 pm ET ... S&P MAINTAINS BUY RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES OF CENOVUS ENERGY (CVE 36.76****): CVE posts Q4 operating EPS of $0.19 vs. $0.23. Results missed our estimate by $0.16 on lower than expected margins. In Q4 '10, natural gas production fell 10% on lower prices. The company expects to invest $2.2 billion to $2.4 billion in capital expenditures in 2011. We see oil sands production exceeding 52,000 barrels per day at Foster Creek and 10,000 barrels per day at Christina Lake in 2011. We maintain our '11 EPS forecast of $2.11. Blending our DCF and relative market valuations, we keep our 12-month target price of $42. /T.Shafi February 14, 2011 01:56 pm ET ... S&P MAINTAINS BUY OPINION ON SHARES OF CENOVUS ENERGY (CVE 36.12****): CVE reports Q4 results on 2/18, and we see EPS of $0.35, vs. $0.03, $0.04 above Street. We will be interested to hear commentary on expansion of its Christina Lake resources as well as on outstanding regulatory issues. Updating to reflect our current views on crude oil and natural gas prices, we raise our '10 EPS estimate by $0.01 to $1.53, '11's by $0.35 to $2.11, and '12's by $0.50 to $2.53. Applying a 9.5X multiple on enterprise value to projected '11 EBITDA (premium to peers) and blending with our DCF model, we raise our 12-month target price by $7 to $42. /S.Glickman October 28, 2010 04:32 pm ET ... S&P UPGRADES OPINION ON SHARES OF CENOVUS ENERGY TO BUY FROM HOLD, ON VALUATION (CVE 28.06****): CVE posts Q3 EPS of US$0.29, vs. $0.12, on higher oil prices & volumes. However, results were $0.10 below our estimate, reflecting lower than expected refining results. Oil sands production rose 25%, but natural gas production fell 11% on pressured prices; we expect 36% oil sands growth in '10. We trim our '10 EPS estimate by $0.10 to $1.52, but raise '11's by $0.48 to $1.76, and '12's by $0.19 to $2.03, on expectations for increased oil sands volumes. Blending our DCF with relative valuations, we increase our 12-month target price by $3 to US$35. /T.Vital July 30, 2010 11:52 am ET ... S&P MAINTAINS HOLD RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES OF CENOVUS ENERGY (CVE 27.92***): CVE posts Q2 operating EPS of US$0.22 vs. $0.18. Results missed our estimate by $0.19 on lower than expected downstream results. Oil sands production at Foster Creek and Christina Lake climbed 42% to 58,726 b/d, and CVE has unveiled a 10-year plan to grow its net oil sands production 5X to 300,000 b/d by '19. On revised forecast, we trim our '10 operating EPS estimate by $0.31 to $1.62, '11's by $0.60 to $1.28, and '12's by $0.22 to $1.84. Blending our DCF and relative market valuations, we keep our 12-month target price at $32. /T.Vital July 13, 2010 10:37 am ET ... S&P MAINTAINS HOLD RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES OF ENCANA CORP (ECA 33.71***): With production expected up 11% in '10, we see growth drivers at Haynesville, Horn River, and Montney shales. ECA has done
Source: S&P. Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies,Inc.

well to form JV's at major projects, reducing capex and accelerating production. We view ECA's natural gas asset portfolio as top-tier in our E&P universe. But, we are cautious on natural gas and along with adjusted cost outlook and changes related to the Cenovus (CVE 29, Hold) spinoff, we lower our '10 EPS view $0.83 to $1.37 and '11's $0.85 to $1.51. On updated DCF, peer metrics, and NAV, we keep our target price of $35. ECA will report Q2 results on 7/22. /M.Kay April 30, 2010 09:28 am ET ... S&P MAINTAINS HOLD RECOMMENDATION ON SHARES OF CENOVUS ENERGY (CVE 29.83***): CVE posts Q1 operating EPS of US$0.67 vs. US$0.55. Results included US$0.22 in derivative-related gains, and as a result beat our estimate by $0.23. Oil and gas production rose 5.8%, above our estimate as volumes at Foster Creek and Christina Lake climbed 66% on project ramp ups; we look for 3% overall growth in '10. On revised price and margin forecast, we keep our '10 operating EPS estimate at $1.93, raise '11's by $0.10 to $1.88, and trim '12's by $0.29 to $2.06. Blending our DCF and relative market valuations, we increase our 12-month target price by $1 to $32. /T.Vital April 21, 2010 NERGY (CVE 29.05***): CVE is set to post Q1 results on 4/29. Oil is the main driver for this Canadian integrated oil, spun off from Encana (ECA 32***) in 12/09, and we look for CVE to grow by exploiting its large bitumen base; we expect contingent resource estimates to be discussed tomorrow, 4/22. Using our revised price and margin forecast, we raise our '10 operating EPS by $0.14 to $1.93, but trim '11s by $0.63 to $1.78, and '12s by $0.59 to $2.35. Blending our discounted cash flow with relative market valuations, we increase our 12-month target price by $3 to $31 per share. /T.Vital

Stock Report | October 8, 2011 | NYS Symbol: CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc


Analysts' Recommendations
Monthly Average Trend Buy
B

Wall Steet Consensus Opinion


Buy/Hold
BH

Hold
H

Weak Hold
WH

Sell S

No Opinion

CVE Trend

BUY/HOLD Companies Offering Coverage BMO Capital Markets-canada Barclays Capital Bofa Merrill Lynch CRT Capital Group Canaccord Genuity Cibc World Markets Inc. Cormark Securities Inc. Credit Suisse - North America Firstenergy Capital Jpmorgan Macquarie Research Morningstar, Inc. Peters & Co. Limited RBC Capital Markets Raymond James Limited Scotia Capital Societe Generale TD Newcrest THE Benchmark Company Tudor Pickering & Co. SEC UBS (us) Weeden & Co.

Wall Street Average


B BH H WH S

Number of Analysts Following Stock 30 20 10

Stock Price ($) 50

40

30

20

2009

2010

2011

Of the total 22 companies following CVE, 22 analysts currently publish recommendations. No. of Ratings 1 11 10 0 0 0 22 % of Total 5 50 45 0 0 0 100 1 Mo. Prior 3 Mos. Prior 0 0 0 10 0 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 Wall Street Consensus vs. Performance
2011 2012 2010 Actual $1.32

Buy Buy/Hold Hold Weak Hold Sell No Opinion Total Wall Street Consensus Estimates
Estimates 2.5 2 1.5 1
J J A S O N D

2010

For fiscal year 2011, analysts estimate that CVE will earn $1.70. For the 2nd quarter of fiscal year 2011, CVE announced earnings per share of $0.86, representing 51% of the total annual estimate. For fiscal year 2012, analysts estimate that CVE's earnings per share will grow by 19% to $2.03.

2010

2011

Fiscal Years 2012 2011 2012 vs. 2011 Q3'12 Q3'11 Q3'12 vs. Q3'11

Avg Est. 2.03 1.70 19% 0.49 0.44 11%

High Est. 2.72 1.95 39% 0.66 0.64 3%

Low Est. 1.28 1.44 -11% 0.32 0.29 10%

# of Est. 21 17 24% 5 11 -55%

Est. P/E 16.3 19.5 -16% 67.6 75.2 -10%

A company's earnings outlook plays a major part in any investment decision. Standard & Poor's organizes the earnings estimates of over 2,300 Wall Street analysts, and provides their consensus of earnings over the next two years. This graph shows the trend in analyst estimates over the past 15 months.

Source: S&P,I/B/E/S International, Inc. Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2011 The McGraw-Hill Companies,Inc.

Stock Report | October 8, 2011 | NYS Symbol: CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc


Glossary
S&P STARS Since January 1, 1987, Standard and Poors Equity Research Services has ranked a universe of common stocks based on a given stocks potential for future performance. Under proprietary STARS (STock Appreciation Ranking System), S&P equity analysts rank stocks according to their individual forecast of a stocks future total return potential versus the expected total return of a relevant benchmark (e.g., a regional index (S&P Asia 50 Index, S&P Europe 350 Index or S&P 500 Index)), based on a 12-month time horizon. STARS was designed to meet the needs of investors looking to put their investment decisions in perspective. Data used to assist in determining the STARS ranking may be the result of the analysts own models as well as internal proprietary models resulting from dynamic data inputs. S&P 12-Month Target Price The S&P equity analysts projection of the market price a given security will command 12 months hence, based on a combination of intrinsic, relative, and private market valuation metrics, including S&P Fair Value. Investment Style Classification Characterizes the stock as Growth or Value, and indicates its capitalization level. Growth is evaluated along three dimensions (earnings, sales and internal growth), while Value is evaluated along four dimensions (book-to-price, cash flow-to-price, dividend yield and sale-to-price). Growth stocks score higher than the market average on growth dimensions and lower on value dimensions. The reverse is true for Value stocks. Certain stocks are classified as Blend, indicating a mixture of growth and value characteristics and cannot be classified as purely growth or value. S&P EPS Estimates Standard & Poor's earnings per share (EPS) estimates reflect analyst projections of future EPS from continuing operations, and generally exclude various items that are viewed as special, non-recurring, or extraordinary. Also, S&P EPS estimates reflect either forecasts of S&P equity analysts; or, the consensus (average) EPS estimate, which are independently compiled by Capital IQ, a data provider to Standard & Poor's Equity Research. Among the items typically excluded from EPS estimates are asset sale gains; impairment, restructuring or merger-related charges; legal and insurance settlements; in process research and development expenses; gains or losses on the extinguishment of debt; the cumulative effect of accounting changes; and earnings related to operations that have been classified by the company as discontinued. The inclusion of some items, such as stock option expense and recurring types of other charges, may vary, and depend on such factors as industry practice, analyst judgment, and the extent to which some types of data is disclosed by companies. S&P Core Earnings Standard & Poor's Core Earnings is a uniform methodology for adjusting operating earnings by focusing on a company's after-tax earnings generated from its principal businesses. Included in the Standard & Poor's definition are employee stock option grant expenses, pension costs, restructuring charges from ongoing operations, write-downs of depreciable or amortizable operating assets, purchased research and development, M&A related expenses and unrealized gains/losses from hedging activities. Excluded from the definition are pension gains, impairment of goodwill charges, gains or losses from asset sales, reversal of prior-year charges and provision from litigation or insurance settlements. Qualitative Risk Assessment The S&P equity analysts view of a given companys operational risk, or the risk of a firms ability to continue as an ongoing concern. The Qualitative Risk Assessment is a relative ranking to the S&P U.S. STARS universe, and should be reflective of risk factors related to a companys operations, as opposed to risk and volatility measures associated with share prices. Quantitative Evaluations In contrast to our qualitative STARS recommendations, which are assigned by S&P analysts, the quantitative evaluations described below are derived from proprietary arithmetic models. These computer-driven evaluations may at times contradict an analysts qualitative assessment of a stock. One primary reason for this is that different measures are used to determine each. For instance, when designating STARS, S&P analysts assess many factors that cannot be reflected in a model, such as risks and opportunities, management changes, recent competitive shifts, patent expiration, litigation risk, etc. S&P Quality Ranking Growth and stability of earnings and dividends are deemed key elements in establishing S&Ps Quality Rankings for common stocks, which are designed to capsulize the nature of this record in a single symbol. It should be noted, however, that the process also takes into consideration certain adjustments and modifications deemed desirable in establishing such rankings. The final score for each stock is measured against a scoring matrix determined by analysis of the scores of a large and representative sample of stocks. The range of scores in the array of this sample has been aligned with the following ladder of rankings: A+ A AB+ NR Highest High Above Average Average Not Ranked B BC D Below Average Lower Lowest In Reorganization as an indicator of potential medium-to-long term return and as a caution against downside risk. The measure takes into account variables such as technical indicators, earnings estimates, liquidity, financial ratios and selected S&P proprietary measures. S&P's IQ Rationale: Cenovus Energy Proprietary S&P Measures Technical Indicators Liquidity/Volatility Measures Quantitative Measures IQ Total Raw Score 13 31 13 14 71 Max Value 115 40 20 75 250

Volatility Rates the volatility of the stocks price over the past year. Technical Evaluation In researching the past market history of prices and trading volume for each company, S&Ps computer models apply special technical methods and formulas to identify and project price trends for the stock. Relative Strength Rank Shows, on a scale of 1 to 99, how the stock has performed versus all other companies in S&Ps universe on a rolling 13-week basis. Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) An industry classification standard, developed by Standard & Poor's in collaboration with Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI). GICS is currently comprised of 10 Sectors, 24 Industry Groups, 68 Industries, and 154 Sub-Industries. S&P Issuer Credit Rating A Standard & Poors Issuer Credit Rating is a current opinion of an obligors overall financial capacity (its creditworthiness) to pay its financial obligations. This opinion focuses on the obligors capacity and willingness to meet its financial commitments as they come due. It does not apply to any specific financial obligation, as it does not take into account the nature of and provisions of the obligation, its standing in bankruptcy or liquidation, statutory preferences, or the legality and enforceability of the obligation. In addition, it does not take into account the creditworthiness of the guarantors, insurers, or other forms of credit enhancement on the obligation. The Issuer Credit Rating is not a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold a financial obligation issued by an obligor, as it does not comment on market price or suitability for a particular investor. Issuer Credit Ratings are based on current information furnished by obligors or obtained by Standard & Poors from other sources it considers reliable. Standard & Poors does not perform an audit in connection with any Issuer Credit Rating and may, on occasion, rely on unaudited financial information. Issuer Credit Ratings may be changed, suspended, or withdrawn as a result of changes in, or unavailability of, such information, or based on other circumstances. Exchange Type ASE - American Stock Exchange; NNM - Nasdaq National Market; NSC - Nasdaq SmallCap; NYSE - New York Stock Exchange; BB - OTC Bulletin Board; OT Over-the-Counter; TO - Toronto Stock Exchange. S&P Equity Research Services Standard & Poors Equity Research Services U.S. includes Standard & Poors Investment Advisory Services LLC; Standard & Poors Equity Research Services Europe includes McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited trading as Standard & Poors; Standard & Poors Equity Research Services Asia includes Standard & Poors LLCs offices in Singapore, Standard & Poors Investment Advisory Services (HK) Limited in Hong Kong, Standard & Poors Malaysia Sdn Bhd, and Standard & Poors Information Services (Australia) Pty Ltd.

S&P Fair Value Rank Using S&P's exclusive proprietary quantitative model, stocks are ranked in one of five groups, ranging from Group 5, listing the most undervalued stocks, to Group 1, the most overvalued issues. Group 5 stocks are expected to generally outperform all others. A positive (+) or negative (-) Timing Index is placed next to the Fair Value ranking to further aid the selection process. A stock with a (+) added to the Fair Value Rank simply means that this stock has a somewhat better chance to outperform other stocks with the same Fair Value Rank. A stock with a (-) has a somewhat lesser chance to outperform other stocks with the same Fair Value Rank. The Fair Value rankings imply the following: 5-Stock is significantly undervalued; 4-Stock is moderately undervalued; 3-Stock is fairly valued; 2-Stock is modestly overvalued; 1-Stock is significantly overvalued. S&P Fair Value Calculation The price at which a stock should trade at, according to S&P's proprietary quantitative model that incorporates both actual and estimated variables (as opposed to only actual variables in the case of S&P Quality Ranking). Relying heavily on a company's actual return on equity, the S&P Fair Value model places a value on a security based on placing a formula-derived price-to-book multiple on a company's consensus earnings per share estimate. Insider Activity Gives an insight as to insider sentiment by showing whether directors, officers and key employees who have proprietary information not available to the general public, are buying or selling the companys stock during the most recent six months. Funds From Operations FFO FFO is Funds from Operations and equal to a REIT's net income, excluding gains or losses from sales of property, plus real estate depreciation. Investability Quotient (IQ) The IQ is a measure of investment desirability. It serves

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2011 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC. STANDARD & POORS, S&P, S&P 500, S&P Europe 350 and STARS are registered trademarks of Standard & Poors Financial Services LLC.

Stock Report | October 8, 2011 | NYS Symbol: CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc


Abbreviations Used in S&P Equity Research Reports CAGR- Compound Annual Growth Rate; CAPEX- Capital Expenditures; CY- Calendar Year; DCF- Discounted Cash Flow; EBIT- Earnings Before Interest and Taxes; EBITDAEarnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization; EPS- Earnings Per Share; EV- Enterprise Value; FCF- Free Cash Flow; FFO- Funds From Operations; FY- Fiscal Year; P/E- Price/Earnings ; PEG RatioP/E-to-Growth Ratio; PV- Present Value; R&D- Research & Development; ROE- Return on Equity; ROI- Return on Investment; ROIC- Return on Invested Capital; ROAReturn on Assets; SG&A- Selling, General & Administrative Expenses; WACC- Weighted Average Cost of Capital Dividends on American Depository Receipts (ADRs) and American Depository Shares (ADSs) are net of taxes (paid in the country of origin).

555551-STARS (Strong Sell): Total return is


expected to underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark by a wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares falling in price on an absolute basis. Relevant benchmarks: In North America the relevant benchmark is the S&P 500 Index, in Europe and in Asia, the relevant benchmarks are generally the S&P Europe 350 Index and the S&P Asia 50 Index. For All Regions: All of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the research analyst's personal views regarding any and all of the subject securities or issuers. No part of analyst compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report. S&P Global Quantitative Recommendations Distribution In Europe: As of September 30, 2011, Standard & Poor's Quantitative Services Europe recommended 47.0% of issuers with buy recommendations, 21.0% with hold recommendations and 31.0% with sell recommendations. In Asia: As of September 30, 2011, Standard & Poor's Quantitative Services Asia recommended 48.4% of issuers with buy recommendations, 22.0% with hold recommendations and 33.0% with sell recommendations. Globally: As of September 30, 2011, Standard & Poor's Quantitative Services globally recommended 43.0% of issuers with buy recommendations, 21.0% with hold recommendations and 35.0% with sell recommendations. Additional information is available upon request.

and one of its affiliates is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold such investment or security, nor is it considered to be investment advice. Indexes are unmanaged, statistical composites and their returns do not include payment of any sales charges or fees an investor would pay to purchase the securities they represent. Such costs would lower performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Standard & Poor's and its affiliates provide a wide range of services to, or relating to, many organizations, including issuers of securities, investment advisers, broker-dealers, investment banks, other financial institutions and financial intermediaries, and accordingly may receive fees or other economic benefits from those organizations, including organizations whose securities or services they may recommend, rate, include in model portfolios, evaluate or otherwise address. S&P and/or one of its affiliates has performed services for and received compensation from this company during the past twelve months.

Required Disclosures
In contrast to the qualitative STARS recommendations covered in this report, which are determined and assigned by S&P equity analysts, S&Ps quantitative evaluations are derived from S&Ps proprietary Fair Value quantitative model. In particular, the Fair Value Ranking methodology is a relative ranking methodology, whereas the STARS methodology is not. Because the Fair Value model and the STARS methodology reflect different criteria, assumptions and analytical methods, quantitative evaluations may at times differ from (or even contradict) an equity analysts STARS recommendations. As a quantitative model, Fair Value relies on history and consensus estimates and does not introduce an element of subjectivity as can be the case with equity analysts in assigning STARS recommendations. S&P Global STARS Distribution

Disclaimers
With respect to reports issued to clients in Japan and in the case of inconsistencies between the English and Japanese version of a report, the English version prevails. With respect to reports issued to clients in German and in the case of inconsistencies between the English and German version of a report, the English version prevails. Neither S&P nor its affiliates guarantee the accuracy of the translation. Assumptions, opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

Other Disclosures
In North America: As of September 30, 2011, research analysts at Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services North America recommended 42.2% of issuers with buy recommendations, 54.2% with hold recommendations and 3.6% with sell recommendations. In Europe: As of September 30, 2011, research analysts at Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services Europe recommended 34.4% of issuers with buy recommendations, 49.4% with hold recommendations and 16.2% with sell recommendations. In Asia: As of September 30, 2011, research analysts at Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services Asia recommended 48.4% of issuers with buy recommendations, 45.7% with hold recommendations and 5.9% with sell recommendations. Globally: As of September 30, 2011, research analysts at Standard & Poor's Equity Research Services globally recommended 41.5% of issuers with buy recommendations, 52.6% with hold recommendations and 5.9% with sell recommendations. This report has been prepared and issued by Standard & Poor's and/or one of its affiliates. In the United States, research reports are prepared by Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory Services LLC ("SPIAS"). In the United States, research reports are issued by Standard & Poor's ("S&P"); in the United Kingdom by McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited, which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and trades as Standard & Poor's; in Hong Kong by Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory Services (HK) Limited, which is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities Futures Commission; in Singapore by Standard & Poor's LLC, which is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore; in Malaysia by Standard & Poor's Malaysia Sdn Bhd ("S&PM"), which is regulated by the Securities Commission; in Australia by Standard & Poor's Information Services (Australia) Pty Ltd ("SPIS"), which is regulated by the Australian Securities & Investments Commission; and in Korea by SPIAS, which is also registered in Korea as a cross-border investment advisory company. The research and analytical services performed by SPIAS, McGraw-Hill Financial Research Europe Limited, S&PM, and SPIS are each conducted separately from any other analytical activity of Standard & Poor's. Standard & Poor's or an affiliate may license certain intellectual property or provide pricing or other services to, or otherwise have a financial interest in, certain issuers of securities, including exchange-traded investments whose investment objective is to substantially replicate the returns of a proprietary Standard & Poor's index, such as the S&P 500. In cases where Standard & Poor's or an affiliate is paid fees that are tied to the amount of assets that are invested in the fund or the volume of trading activity in the fund, investment in the fund will generally result in Standard & Poor's or an affiliate earning compensation in addition to the subscription fees or other compensation for services rendered by Standard & Poor's. A reference to a particular investment or security by Standard & Poor's

Standard & Poors, its affiliates, and any third-party providers, as well as their directors, officers, shareholders, employees, or agents (collectively S&P Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of this material, and S&P Parties shall have no liability for any errors, omissions, or interruptions therein, regardless of the cause, or for the results obtained from the use of the information provided by the S&P Parties. S&P PARTIES DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY, SUITABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE. In no event shall S&P Parties be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including, without limitation, lost income or lost profits and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of the information contained in this document even if advised of the possibility of such damages. Capital IQ is a business of Standard & Poor's.

55555 5-STARS (Strong Buy): Total return is


expected to outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark, by a wide margin over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute basis.

55555 4-STARS (Buy): Total return is expected to


outperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares rising in price on an absolute basis.

55555 3-STARS (Hold): Total return is expected to


closely approximate the total return of a relevant benchmark over the coming 12 months, with shares generally rising in price on an absolute basis.

55555 2-STARS (Sell): Total return is expected to


underperform the total return of a relevant benchmark over the coming 12 months, and the share price not anticipated to show a gain.

Ratings from Standard & Poors Ratings Services are statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions. Standard & Poors assumes no obligation to update its opinions following publication in any form or format. Standard & Poors ratings should not be relied on and are not substitutes for the skill, judgment and experience of the user, its management, employees, advisors and/or clients when making investment and other business decisions. Standard & Poors rating opinions do not address the suitability of any security. Standard & Poors does not act as a fiduciary. While Standard & Poors has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, Standard & Poors does not perform an audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or independent verification of any information it receives.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2011 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC. STANDARD & POORS, S&P, S&P 500, S&P Europe 350 and STARS are registered trademarks of Standard & Poors Financial Services LLC.

Stock Report | October 8, 2011 | NYS Symbol: CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc


Standard & Poors keeps certain activities of its business units separate from each other in order to preserve the independence and objectivity of their respective activities. As a result, certain business units of Standard & Poors may have information that is not available to other Standard & Poors business units. Standard & Poors has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of certain non-public information received in connection with each analytical process. objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person in receipt of the recommendation, before the person makes a commitment to purchase the investment product. For residents of Malaysia - All queries in relation to this report should be referred to Ching Wah Tam. For residents of Indonesia - This research report does not constitute an offering document and it should not be construed as an offer of securities in Indonesia, and that any such securities will only be offered or sold through a financial institution. For residents of the Philippines - The securities being offered or sold have not been registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Securities Regulation Code of the Philippines. Any future offer or sale thereof is subject to registration requirements under the Code unless such offer or sale qualifies as an exempt transaction. U.S. STARS Cumulative Model Performance Hypothetical Growth Due to Price Appreciation of $100 For the Period 12/31/1986 through 09/30/2011 made at the closing price of the day that the deletion is made. Performance was calculated from inception through March 31, 2003 on a monthly basis. Thereafter, performance is calculated daily. Equities in each STARS category will change over time, and some or all of the equities that received STARS rankings during the time period shown may not have maintained their STARS ranking during the entire period. The model performance does not consider taxes and brokerage commissions, nor does it reflect the deduction of any advisory or other fees charged by advisors or other parties that investors will incur when their accounts are managed in accordance with the models. The imposition of these fees and charges would cause actual performance to be lower than the performance shown. For example, if a model returned 10 percent on a $100,000 investment for a 12-month period (or $10,000) and an annual asset-based fee of 1.5 percent were imposed at the end of the period (or $1,650), the net return would be 8.35 percent (or $8,350) for the year. Over 3 years, an annual 1.5% fee taken at year end with an assumed 10% return per year would result in a cumulative gross return of 33.1%, a total fee of $5,375 and a cumulative net return of 27.2% (or $27,200). Fees deducted on a frequency other than annual would result in a different cumulative net return in the preceding example. The Standard & Poors 500 index is the benchmark for U.S. STARS. The S&P 500 index is calculated in U.S. dollars and does not take into account the reinvestment of dividends. Indexes are unmanaged, statistical composites and their returns do not include payment of any sales charges or fees an investor would pay to purchase the securities they represent. Such costs would lower performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. The S&P 500 index includes a different number of constituents and has different risk characteristics than the STARS equities. Some of the STARS equities may have been included in the S&P 500 index for some (but not necessarily all) of the period covered in the chart, and some such equities may not have been included at all. The S&P 500 excludes ADRs and ADSs. The methodology for calculating the return of the S&P 500 index differs from the methodology of calculating the return for STARS. Past performance of the S&P 500 index is no guarantee of future performance. An investment based upon the models should only be made after consulting with a financial advisor and with an understanding of the risks associated with any investment in securities, including, but not limited to, market risk, currency risk, political and credit risks, the risk of economic recession and the risk that issuers of securities or general stock market conditions may worsen, over time. Foreign investing involves certain risks, including currency fluctuations and controls, restrictions on foreign investments, less governmental supervision and regulation, less liquidity and the potential for market volatility and political instability. As with any investment, investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that when redeemed, an investors shares may be worth more or less than their original cost. For residents of Australia This report is distributed by Standard & Poors Information Services (Australia) Pty Ltd ("SPIS") in Australia. The entirety of this report is approved by Charles Baumann, who has reviewed and authorised its content as at the date of publication. Any express or implied opinion contained in this report is limited to "General Advice" and based solely on consideration of the investment merits of the financial product(s) alone. The information in this report has not been prepared for use by retail investors and has been prepared without taking account of any particular person's financial or investment objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on any advice, any person using the advice should consider its

Standard & Poors Ratings Services did not participate in the development of this report. Standard & Poors may receive compensation for its ratings and certain credit-related analyses, normally from issuers or underwriters of securities or from obligors. Standard & Poors reserves the right to disseminate its opinions and analyses. Standard & Poors public ratings and analyses are made available on its Web sites, www.standardandpoors.com (free of charge), and www.ratingsdirect.com and www.globalcreditportal.com (subscription), and may be distributed through other means, including via Standard & Poors publications and third-party redistributors. Additional information about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees.

S&P 500 2,400

5 STARS

4 STARS

3 STARS

2 STARS

1 STARS

This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other financial instrument. Securities, financial instruments or strategies mentioned herein may not be suitable for all investors. Any opinions expressed herein are given in good faith, are subject to change without notice, and are only current as of the stated date of their issue. Prices, values, or income from any securities or investments mentioned in this report may fall against the interests of the investor and the investor may get back less than the amount invested. Where an investment is described as being likely to yield income, please note that the amount of income that the investor will receive from such an investment may fluctuate. Where an investment or security is denominated in a different currency to the investors currency of reference, changes in rates of exchange may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of or from that investment to the investor. The information contained in this report does not constitute advice on the tax consequences of making any particular investment decision. This material is not intended for any specific investor and does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situations or needs and is not intended as a recommendation of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies to you. Before acting on any recommendation in this material, you should consider whether it is suitable for your particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice.

1,600

800

0 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10

This document does not constitute an offer of services in jurisdictions where Standard & Poors or its affiliates do not have the necessary licenses. For residents of the U.K. - This report is only directed at and should only be relied on by persons outside of the United Kingdom or persons who are inside the United Kingdom and who have professional experience in matters relating to investments or who are high net worth persons, as defined in Article 19(5) or Article 49(2) (a) to (d) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, respectively. For residents of Singapore - Anything herein that may be construed as a recommendation is intended for general circulation and does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. Advice should be sought from a financial adviser regarding the suitability of an investment, taking into account the specific investment

The performance above represents only the results of Standard & Poors model portfolios. Model performance has inherent limitations. Standard & Poors maintains the models and calculates the model performance shown, but does not manage actual assets. The U.S. STARS model performance chart is only an illustration of Standard & Poors (S&P) research; it shows how U.S. common stocks, ADRs (American Depositary Receipts) and ADSs (American Depositary Shares), collectively equities, that received particular STARS rankings performed. STARS categories are models only; they are not collective investment funds. The STARS performance does not show how any actual portfolio has performed. STARS model performance does not represent the results of actual trading of investor assets. Thus, the model performance shown does not reflect the impact that material economic and market factors might have had on decision-making if actual investor money had been managed. Performance is calculated using a time-weighted rate of return. While model performance for some or all STARS categories performed better than the S&P 500 for the period shown, the performance during any shorter period may not have, and there is no assurance that they will perform better than the S&P 500 in the future. STARS does not take into account any particular investment objective, financial situation or need and is not intended as an investment recommendation or strategy. Investments based on the STARS methodology may lose money. High returns are not necessarily the norm and there is no assurance that they can be sustained. Past model performance of STARS is no guarantee of future performance. For model performance calculation purposes, the equities within each STARS category at December 31, 1986 were equally weighted. Thereafter, additions to the composition of the equities in each STARS category are made at the average value of the STARS category at the preceding month end with no rebalancing. Deletions are

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2011 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC. STANDARD & POORS, S&P, S&P 500, S&P Europe 350 and STARS are registered trademarks of Standard & Poors Financial Services LLC.

Stock Report | October 8, 2011 | NYS Symbol: CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc


appropriateness having regard to their own or their clients' objectives, financial situation and needs. You should obtain a Product Disclosure Statement relating to the product and consider the statement before making any decision or recommendation about whether to acquire the product. Each opinion must be weighed solely as one factor in any investment decision made by or on behalf of any adviser and any such adviser must accordingly make their own assessment taking into account an individual's particular circumstances. SPIS holds an Australian Financial Services Licence Number 258896. Please refer to the SPIS Financial Services Guide for more information at www.fundsinsights.com.au.

Redistribution or reproduction is prohibited without written permission. Copyright 2011 Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC. STANDARD & POORS, S&P, S&P 500, S&P Europe 350 and STARS are registered trademarks of Standard & Poors Financial Services LLC.

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