Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
Культура Документы
INDUSTRIAL SNAPSHOT
NORTHERN VIRGINIA
A Cushman & Wakefield Research Publication
Q4 2011
ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
The economy of Virginia seems to be following the national trend of slow recovery. The unemployment rate dropped in 2011, down to 4.2% from 5.3% at the same time last year. Roughly 13,000 jobs were added to Virginias work force throughout the year. The biggest gains were in the Education & Health Services as well as the Professional & Business Services sector, increasing 1.44 % and 1.42%, respectfully, since last year. Manufacturing also rose slightly, up 0.7% since last year.
OUTLOOK
In Northern Virginia, several upcoming changes will serve to boost the economy as well and cause considerable improvements in the Industrial sector. The BRAC initiative will finalize its move of several Department of Defense tenants outside the Beltway. Fairfax County alone stands to gain 20,000 jobs as a result. Large tenants such as the FBI and the National Geospatial Intelligence Agency (NGA) will attract new government contractor activity in the Route 28 and Springfield regions especially. Additionally, the Dulles Metro extension is a significant improvement in the regions infrastructure that will likely lead to a boost in construction and leasing activity. Despite a relatively slow year, and a potentially difficult 2012, the Northern Virginia Industrial market seems poised for a bright longterm future. STATS ON THE GO
4Q10 Overall Vacancy Direct Asking Rents (psf/yr) YTD Leasing Activity (sf) 15.1% $9.91 1,461,218 4Q11 14.4% $9.98 1,298,703 Y-O-Y CHANGE -0.7pp 0.7% -11.1% 12 MONTH FORECAST
msf
psf/yr
2007
2008
2009
2010
4Q11
NORTHERN VIRGINIA
SUBMARKET INVENTORY OVERALL VACANCY RATE 13.1% 14.9% 13.7% 15.0% 15.0% 17.8% 17.8% 14.4% YTD LEASING ACTIVITY YTD USER SALES ACTIVITY 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 UNDER CONSTRUCTION YTD CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS 0 0 0 227,938 227,938 124,800 124,800 352,738 YTD DIRECT YTD OVERALL NET ABSORPTION NET ABSORPTION HT N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A MF N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A DIRECT WEIGHTED AVERAGE NET RENTAL RATE OS W/D $14.21 $8.98 $11.81 $13.18 $9.68 $9.68 $11.50 $11.50 $8.06 $8.73 $8.22 $8.22 $7.95 $7.95 $8.52
Springfield/ I-95 Rt. 28 South FAIRFAX COUNTY Rt. 28 North LOUDOUN COUNTY Manassas PRINCE WILLIAM COUNTY TOTALS**
N/A $11.67
MARKET HIGHLIGHTS
SIGNIFICANT 2011 LEASE TRANSACTIONS 10470 Furnace Rd (proposed) 22630 Dulles Summit Ct 3701 & 3725 Concorde Parkway 3900 Stonecroft Blvd* 10400 Furnace Road 8211 Terminal Road 45065 Old Ox Road* SIGNIFICANT 2011 SALE TRANSACTIONS WRIT Portfolio 7215 Lockport Place 114 Powers Court SIGNIFICANT 2011 CONSTRUCTION COMPLETIONS 22640 Davis Drive 10231 Harry J. Parrish Drive 23550 Pebble Run Place SIGNIFICANT PROJECTS UNDER CONSTRUCTION 45200 Prologis Plz- Building 7 45190 Prologis Plz- Building 6 Dulles Summit Ct- Building C Dulles Summit Ct- Building E SUBMARKET Springfield/I-95 Rt. 28 North Rt. 28 South Rt. 28 South Springfield/ I-95 Springfield/ I-95 Rt. 28 North SUBMARKET N/A Springfield/ I-95 Rt. 28 North SUBMARKET Rt. 28 North Manassas Rt. 28 North SUBMARKET Rt. 28 North Rt. 28 North Rt. 28 North Rt. 28 North TENANT/BUYER GSA- State Department Amazon, Inc Chantilly Bio-Pharma GTSI GSA DRS Incorporated Sears Logistical Services BUYER Area Property Partners & Adler Realty Services GKE, LLC 114 Powers Court, LLC MAJOR TENANT Rockwell Collins American Tire Distributers N/A MAJOR TENANT N/A N/A N/A N/A PROPERTY TYPE Warehouse/Distribution Warehouse/Distribution Flex Warehouse/Distribution Flex Flex Warehouse/Distribution PURCHASE PRICE $232,468,212 $3,325,000 $2,475,000 COMPLETION DATE 4Q11 2Q11 4Q11 COMPLETION DATE 2Q12 2Q12 1Q12 1Q12 SQUARE FEET 212,500 137,015 129,552 96,119 54,000 45,000 41,994 SQUARE FEET 2,059,063 28,000 38,400 SQUARE FEET 178,178 124,800 49,760 SQUARE FEET 82,466 88,731 103,405 75,845
Cushman & Wakefield of Virginia, Inc. 1600 Tysons Boulevard, Suite 400 McLean, VA 22102 www.cushmanwakefield.com/knowledge
The market terms and definitions in this report are based on NAIOP standards. No warranty or representation, express or implied, is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein, and same is submitted subject to errors, omissions, change of price, rental or other conditions, withdrawal without notice, and to any special listing conditions imposed by our principals. 2012 Cushman & Wakefield, Inc. All rights reserved.