The

ThePalestiniansofEastJerusalem:

WhatDoTheyReallyWant?
DetailedSurveyResults
January12,2011
1

ThePalestiniansofEastJerusalem:WhatDoTheyReallyWant?
ExecutiveSummary
RelativelylittleresearchhasbeendoneonthePalestinianArab populationofEastJerusalemdespitethecity'scrucialpoliticaland diplomaticimportanceanddespitethefactthattheirsituationdiffersin importantwaysfromthesituationforPalestinianArabsintheWest BankandGaza.WhenIsraeltookcontrolofEastJerusalemand annexeditin1967,itmadeitsresidentsIsraelipermanentresidents (bluecardholders).PermanentresidentsinJerusalemcanroutinely workandtravelinIsrael,receivethesamenationalhealthcarebenefits receivedbyIsraelicitizens,receivethesameretirement,unemployment anddisabilitybenefits,andhavetherighttovoteinJerusalemmunicipal elections(although,inpractice,fewofthemvoteintheseelections)but notnationalelections.PalestinianArabsintheWestBankandGazado notreceiveanyofthesebenefits. ThissurveyexploredtheattitudesofPalestinianArabs,livinginall19 neighborhoodsofEastJerusalem,abouttheirsatisfactionsand dissatisfactionswithlifeinEastJerusalem,andtheirconcernsand anticipatedbenefitsofhavingtheirneighborhoodbecomepartofanew Palestinianstate,oralternatively,havingtheirneighborhoodbecomean internationallyrecognizedpartofIsraelanditsresidentsbecomefull Israelicitizens.Dr.DavidPollockwastheprincipalinvestigatorforthis studyandsupervisedthedesign,datacollectionandanalysisofthe study.PechterMiddleEastPolls,headedbyAdamPechter,initiated, commissionedandanalyzedthepoll.Fieldworkwasconductedin November2010byaWestBankbasedPalestinianpollingfirm,the PalestinianCenterforPublicOpinion,headedbyDr.NabilKukali,using

FindingsfromasurveyconductedbyPechterMiddleEastPollsinpartnershipwiththeCouncilonForeignRelations

inhome,facetofaceinterviewswitharepresentativesampleof1,039 EastJerusalemites.Themarginoferroris3%. ThemoststrikingfindingrelatestoEastJerusalemitepreferencesfor citizenshipafteratwostatesolutionhasbeenreached.Whenaskedif theypreferredtobecomeacitizenofPalestine,withalloftherightsand privilegesofothercitizensofPalestine,oracitizenofIsrael,withallof therightsandprivilegesofothercitizensofIsrael,only30%chose Palestiniancitizenship.ThirtyfivepercentchoseIsraelicitizenshipand 35%declinedtoanswerorsaidtheydidntknow.Asimilarquestion askedrespondentsifmostpeopleinyourneighborhoodwouldprefer tobecomecitizensofPalestineorofIsrael:31%estimatedthatmost peoplepreferPalestiniancitizenship;39%estimatedthatmostpeople preferIsraelicitizenship;and30%declinedtoanswerorsaidtheydidnt know. Furthermore,whenaskediftheywouldmovetoadifferenthomeinside Israel,iftheirneighborhoodbecamepartofPalestine,40%saidthey werelikelytomovetoIsrael.(Twentysevenpercentsaidtheywere likelytomovetoPalestineiftheirneighborhoodbecamepartofIsrael.) Respondentswereaskedtoprovidethetop2reasonstheychoseone citizenshipovertheother.ThosewhochoseIsraelicitizenshipmost oftenmentionedfreedomofmovementinIsrael,higherincomeand betterjobopportunities,andIsraelihealthinsurance.Thosewhochose Palestiniancitizenshipoverwhelminglycitednationalism/patriotismas

 theirprimarymotivation.Whensurveyedaboutanumberofpossible concernsaboutbeingpartofPalestineorofIsrael,thetopconcernfor bothscenarioswasthepossibilityoflosingaccesstotheAlAqsa MosqueandtheOldCity,giventheuncertaintyaboutwherethenew borderwilllie.Theotherleadingconcernsaboutbecomingpartof Palestinefocusedonpracticalissuesoflosingaccesstojobsandfree movementinIsrael,andlosingIsraeligovernmentprovidedhealthcare, unemploymentanddisabilitybenefits,andcityservices.Theleading concernsaboutbecomingpartofIsraelfocusedonpossible discrimination,losingaccesstoland,relativesandfriendsinPalestine, andpossiblemoralmisconductoftheirchildren. Otherissuesexploredinthesurveyinclude:satisfactionand dissatisfactionwithmanyaspectsofcurrentlifeinEastJerusalem; currenttravelpatternstotheWestBankandtoIsrael;Hebrewand Englishlanguageability;therelativestrengthofvariousidentities;the likelihoodthatresistancegroupswillcontinuearmedstruggleafter Jerusalemisdividedina2statesolution;thelikelihoodofanew intifadaifnegotiationscollapse;andanestimateoftheeffectthataPA requesttotheUNtodeclareaPalestinianstatewillhaveonthelivesof EastJerusalemites. ThefullsurveyresultsareavailableonthewebsiteofPechterMiddle EastPollswww.pechterpolls.com Dr.DavidPollock,theformerchiefofNearEast/SouthAsia/Africa researchattheU.S.InformationAgency,wherehesupervisedthe government'sstudyofpublicopinion,eliteattitudes,andmediacontent acrossthethreeregions,istheprincipaladvisortoPechterMiddleEast PollsandaseniorfellowatTheWashingtonInstitute,focusingonthe politicaldynamicsofMiddleEasterncountries. Dr.PollockpreviouslyservedassenioradvisorfortheBroaderMiddle EastattheStateDepartment,apostheassumedin2002.From1996to 2001,heservedinseveralotherStateDepartmentpolicyadvisory positionscoveringtheMiddleEastandSouthAsia,includingfouryears asregionalexpertonthesecretaryofstate'sPolicyPlanningStaff.Dr. PollockhasservedasavisitinglectureratHarvardUniversityandan assistantprofessoratGeorgeWashingtonUniversity.Hehastraveled widelyintheMiddleEastandmaintainsalargenetworkofcontactsin government,academia,andbusinessthroughouttheregion.Heisfluent inArabic,Hebrew,andFrench.DPollock@washingtoninstitute.org AdamPechteristhefounderandpresidentofPechterMiddleEastPolls (PMEP).SincePMEP'sfoundinginJune2009,Mr.Pechterhas organized,overseenandmanagedelevennationwidepollsoftheArab world,includingthreepollsofIraq,threeofJordan,twoofEgypt,twoof Lebanon,andoneofSaudiArabia.Previously,Mr.Pechterworkedwith Dr.DanielKurtzer,formerambassadortoEgyptandIsrael,atPrinceton University'sWoodrowWilsonSchool,andservedasthedeputy publisheroftheMiddleEastQuarterly.Healsoundertookresearchand wroteonArabpoliticalpollingunderthedirectionofDr.FouadAjami. Mr.PechterisproficientinArabic.HehaslecturedatPrinceton UniversityandtheUSArmyWarCollege.ampechter@pechterpolls.com

EastJerusalemPalestiniansonly Nolocalgovernmentsupervisionorinterference RespondentsinterviewedinArabicintheirownhomesby localfieldrepresentativesfromthePalestinianCenterfor PublicOpinion(PCPO)

4

Multistagerandomprobabilitysample:N=1039;Marginof error= 3% <3weeksinNovember(withbreakforEid)toconduct interviewsandgetbackfulldataset. Dr.DavidPollockdesigned, supervised,analyzedpoll.Was inEastJerusalemduringfieldwork.

Pechter MiddleEastPolls 2

Residential Area
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Pechter MiddleEastPolls

Percentage
13.9% 3.4% 12.6% 8.0% 6.9% 4.4% 3.1% 5.6% 7.6% 4.6% 2.5% 3.4% 0.6% 6.4% 3.6% 1.2% 1.5% 9.0% 1.7%
3

Old City Al-Thawre Bet Hanina Shu'afat Refugee Ras Al-'Amud Silwan Wadi Al-Goz Shu'afat Kafr 'Aqb Isawiyya Bab Az-Zahara Bet Safafa Sharafat Jabal Mukabar Sur Bahar Sheih Jarrah Al-Shayyah As-Sawana, At-Tur Um Tubba

SURVEYDEMOGRAPHICS
ActualPollPercentagesUnweighted

Gender
Male Female

Percent
51% 49%

Age
1824 2536 36+

Percent
32% 36% 32%

WorkSector
Public PrivateAnd NonGovernmental DoesntWork

Percent
35% 30% 35%

Pechter MiddleEastPolls

SURVEYDEMOGRAPHICS
ActualPollPercentagesUnweighted

Occupation
Student Laborer Housewife Employee Professional Merchant Farmer Retired Don'tKnow

Percent
21% 22% 13% 22% 7% 7% 1% 2% 7%

Education
Illiterate Elementary Preparatory Secondary 2yearCollege BA MAOrHigher

Percent
5% 7% 8% 30% 18% 28% 4%

Income
LessThanNIS600 BetweenNIS6011200 BetweenNIS12011800 BetweenNIS18012400 BetweenNIS24013000 BetweenNIS3001 3600 BetweenNIS36014200 BetweenNIS42014800 MoreThanNIS4800

Percent
3% 2% 3% 4% 6% 12% 11% 18% 44%
7

Pechter MiddleEastPolls

Q1 Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are with each of these aspects of your life in East Jerusalem.
0% Thequalityoftheteachersinyourkids schools? Accesstoanearbyplaceofworship? Theelectricalsupplyinyourneighborhood? Thewatersupplyinyourneighborhood? Thetelephonesysteminyourneighborhood? Accesstohealthcare? Thequalityofthehealthcareyoureceive? Thesewagesysteminyourneighborhood? AccesstotheAlAqsaMosque? Yourpersonalinteractionswithhealthcareprofessionals? Accesstoyourjob? Thecostofhealthcare(KobatHolim)? YouraccesstotravelthroughoutIsrael? Thenumberofstudentsinyourkidsclassrooms? Thegarbagepickupinyourneighborhood? YourpersonalinteractionswithArabsinJerusalem,overall? 28% 28% 30% 33% 29% 27% 32% 24% 25% 25% 18% 17% 16% 14% 28% 41% 39% 37% 36% 32% 34% 33% 28% 34% 31% 31% 37% 36% 36% 36% 20% 40% 44% 29% 60% 80% 17% 16% 19% 20% 19% 20% 22% 23% 20% 26% 23% 26% 26% 26% 22% 29% 100% 7% 4% 9% 5% 10% 4% 10% 4% 11% 4% 10% 5% 11% 4% 12% 12% 6% 8% Verysatisfied Satisfied

8
Neithersatisfiednor dissatisfied Notsatisfied Notsatisfiedatall

11% 4% 14% 15% 12% 14% 18% 15% 7% 4% 8% 7% 9% 5%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q1(Cont.) Please tell me how satisfied or dissatisfied you are with each of these aspects of your life in East Jerusalem.
0% AbilitytoaddthenameofyourdaughterorsontoyourID card? Abilitytoobtainbirthcertificateorotherofficialpapersfrom Israeligovernmentoffices? Theconditionoftheroadsinyourneighborhood? Youroverallstandardofliving? Thespeedwithwhichfireandpoliceservicesarrivetothe sceneafterrequestingthem? Thespeedwithwhichambulanceservicesarrivetothescene afterrequestingit? YouraccesstotravelthroughouttheWestBank? Thedisabilitybenefitsavailabletoyou? Theleveloflawenforcementinyourarea? Theunemploymentbenefitsavailabletoyou? Abilitytoobtainapassportortraveldocumenttotravel throughBenGurionairport? Theretirementbenefitsavailabletoyou? YourpersonalinteractionswithofficialsfromtheJerusalem municipality? TheamountoftheArnona(homeownership)taxthatyouare requiredtopay? 20% 17% 15% 11% 15% 16% 12% 11% 11% 10% 13% 13% 7% 13% 20% 27% 28% 29% 33% 28% 27% 30% 25% 25% 24% 22% 21% 23% 12% 20% 15% 13% 21% 16% 20% 13% 40% 60% 28% 27% 24% 26% 30% 31% 26% 30% 33% 32% 29% 33% 35% 18% 36% 22% 21% 36% 46% 18% 19% 19% 18% 22% 17% 22% 44% 18% 80% 17% 18% 19% 15% 17% 17% 100% 8% 10% 13% 16% 10% 9% 15% 15% 12% 15% 15% Notsatisfiedatall 15% 13% Verysatisfied Satisfied Neithersatisfiednor dissatisfied Notsatisfied

YourpersonalinteractionswithJewsinJerusalem,overall? 5% Theamountoftheincometaxthatyouarerequiredtopay? 6%

Theeaseordifficultyofobtainingbuildingpermits? 4%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q2 In your view is there or is there not discrimination in the services provided to Arab and Jews by the Jerusalem municipality? Would you say there is a great deal of discrimination, a fair amount, only a little, or hardly any discrimination at all?

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Agreatdeal

36%

Afairamount

20%

Onlyalittle

19%

Hardlyanyornone

8%

10
Don'tKnow/NoAnswer 17%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q3 From your perspective, how big a problem are the following things in East Jerusalem? Are they a big problem, a moderate-sized problem, a small problem, or not a problem at all?

0% Delaysandrestrictionsatcheckpoints? Delaysandrestrictionscreatedbythebuildingofthe wallinJerusalem? Crime? ThreatandintimidationfromJewishsettlers? ThreatandintimidationfromIsraelipoliceand borderguards? Corruption/malfeasancefromIsraeliJerusalem municipalofficials? Corruption/malfeasancefromPalestinianAuthority officials? ThreatandintimidationfromPalestiniangroups?

10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 52% 55% 39% 31% 28% 25% 23% 14% 14% 18% 18% 20% 20% 24% Bigproblem Moderateproblem 17% 14%

11

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q4 Im going to ask you some questions about how often you have done various activities in the last 6 months.

0% Howoftenhaveyoutraveledtootherneighborhoodsin EastJerusalem? HowoftenhaveyoutraveledacrossthewalltotheWest Bank? HowoftenhaveyoutraveledtoWestJerusalem? HowoftenhaveyoutraveledtoareasofIsrael,otherthan Jerusalem? HowoftendoyouinteractinpersonwithPalestinian citizenslivinginW.JerusalemorotherareasofIsrael HowoftendoyouinteractinpersonwithJewishcitizens ofIsrael? 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 22% 29% 27%

24%

27%

24% Dailyoralmostdaily

14%

25%

28%

Fewtimeseveryweek Approximatelyonceweekly

8%

18%

30%

14%

17%

19%

13%

16%

17%

12

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q5 Im going to ask you some questions about how often you have done various activities in the last 6 months.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Howoftenhaveyoutalkedonthephone,or communicatedbyemail,withpeoplefromEast Jerusalem? Howoftenhaveyoutalkedonthephone,or communicatedbyemail,withpeoplefromthe WestBank? Howoftenhaveyoutalkedonthephone,or communicatedbyemail,withpeoplefromWest Jerusalem? Howoftenhaveyoutalkedonthephone,or communicatedbyemail,withpeoplefromOther areasofIsrael?

28%

25%

20%

16%

23%

26%

Dailyoralmostdaily Fewtimeseveryweek Approximatelyonceweekly

9%

18%

24%

8%

17%

21%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

13

Q6 How often did you do these things before the building of the wall? Did you do them more or less often than now?

0% Traveltootherneighborhoodsin EastJerusalem? TravelacrossthewalltotheWest Bank? 15% 20% 22% 25% Muchmoreoftenbeforethe buildingofthewall Somewhatmoreoften 40% 60% 80%

33%

TraveltoWestJerusalem? 10% 20% TraveltoareasofIsrael,other 9% thanJerusalem? 22%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q7 How often did you do these things before the building of the wall? Did you do them more or less often than now?
14
0% Talkonthephone,or communicationbyemail,with 8% peoplefromEastJerusalem? Talkonthephone,or communicationbyemail,with 12% peoplefromtheWestBank? 20% 40% 60% 80%

19% Muchmoreoftenbeforethe buildingofthewall Somewhatmoreoften

19%

Talkonthephone,or communicationbyemail,with 7% 16% peoplefromWestJerusalem? Talkonthephone,or communicationbyemail,with 8% 16% peoplefromOtherareasof

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q8 Now, Id like to ask about your language abilities in Hebrew and in English:

0% Howstrongisyourabilitytounderstand Hebrew? HowstrongisyourabilitytospeakinHebrew? HowstrongisyourabilitytounderstandEnglish? HowstrongisyourabilitytospeakinEnglish?

10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 33% 26% 25% 22% 35% 34% 35% 36% Strongability Moderateability

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

15

When we think about the question, Who am I? each of us comes up with many answers. I might think of myself as both a father (to my child) and a son (to my own father). I can also think of myself, for example, as a carpenter, or doctor, as an athletic person, or as someone who loves to read. Some of these identities are very important to us, and some of them are less important. Q9 Im going to ask you about a number of identities. For each one, please tell me how important that identity is to you.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% BeingaMuslim?[ForMuslimsonly] BeingaPalestinian? Beingabluecardholder? BeingaJerusalemite? BeinganArab? BeingfromaJerusalemitefamily?[For Jerusalemitefamiliesonly] Beingaresidentof____ neighborhood? 50% 46% 42% 42% 43% 34% 25% 21% 22% 23% 27% 26% 24% 26%

Extremelyimportant Veryimportant

16

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

*Of the 77 Christians surveyed, 35 said extremely important, 14 said very important, 13 said moderately important, 10 said a little important, and 5 said not important at all

Q9 (continued) Im going to ask you about a number of identities. For each one, please tell me how important that identity is to you.

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

BeingsympathetictoFatah?

10% 10% 15%

14%

51% Extremelyimportant Veryimportant

BeingsympathetictotheIslamicMovementinside 8% 12% theGreenLine?

Moderatelyimportant 16% 16% 49% Alittleimportant Notimportantatall,orDeclinedtoanswer

BeingsympathetictoHamas?

7% 10% 14%

16%

54%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

17

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Palestinians and Israelis are involved in negotiations aimed at reaching agreement on a two-state solution in the next year. If this happens, East Jerusalemites will no longer have their current status as Israeli residents holding blue cards. Instead, people in each neighborhood will become either full citizens of Palestine or full citizens of Israel, depending on which side of the border they are. Now, I want to ask you about a number of questions about life in East Jerusalem after a two-state solution has been agreed to:

Q10 If your neighborhood were to become a part of the new state of Palestine and you were to become a citizen of Palestine with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Palestine, how concerned would you be about each of these possible
changes in your life.

0%
LosingaccesstoJerusalemsOldCityandalAqsaMosque? LosingaccesstoemploymentinWestJerusalemorelsewhereinIsrael? LosingaccesstofreemovementinsideIsrael? ChangingfromtheIsraelihealthcaresystemtoaPalestinianhealthcare system? ChangingfromIsraeliunemploymentanddisabilitybenefitstoPalestinian unemploymentanddisabilitybenefits? Possiblereductioninthelevelorqualityofcityservicessuchasgarbage pickupandroadrepair? Possibleincreaseinthelevelofcorruption? Possiblereductionintheleveloflawenforcement? LosingaccesstorelativesorfriendslivinginIsrael? Losingaccesstoadequateeducationformychildren? ChangingfromIsraeliretirementbenefitstoPalestinianretirement benefits? Possibleinvolvementofyourchildrenwithviolentgroups? Possiblechangesinyourabilitytowriteandspeakfreely? LosingaccesstoIsraeliuniversities?

10%

20%

30% 53%

40%

50%

60% 24% 32%

70%

80%

42% 36% 37% 36% 32% 35% 31% 29% 37% 33% 38% 26% 23% 28% 27%

35% 32% 31% 35% 30% 31% 32% 23% 27% 20% VeryConcerned ModeratelyConcerned 18

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q11 If, following a comprehensive peace agreement, your neighborhood were to become part of the new state of Palestine, and you were to become a citizen of Palestine with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Palestine, how important are these benefits of this new citizenship?

0%
EasieraccesstofriendsandfamilyintheWestBank? BeingacitizenofanArabcountry? Easieraccesstoshopping,businessandentertainmentintheWest Bank? BeingpartofaMuslimmajoritycountry? EasieraccesstoJordanandotherArabcountries? ThepossibilityofgreatersocialequalityasafullcitizenofPalestine? AcquiringaPalestinianpassportandaPalestinianidentity? AccesstothePalestinianschoolsystem? Palestinianmanagementofmyneighborhood,whichmightallow forbettergrowthanddevelopment? AccesstojobmarketsintheWestBank? LawenforcementbyPalestiniansinmyneighborhood? ContinuedabilitytovoteinthePalestiniannationalelections?

10%

20% 44% 35%

30%

40%

50%

60% 37%

70%

80%

34% 38% 30% 37% 29% 29% 32% 29% 28% 26% 26% Veryimportant ModeratelyImportant

27% 36% 27% 33% 23% 18% 20% 20% 20% 18%

19

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q12 On the other hand, if your neighborhood were to become a part of the state of Israel and you were to become a citizen of Israel with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Israel, how concerned would you be about

0%
LosingaccesstoJerusalemsOldCityandalAqsaMosque? PossiblediscriminationagainstyoubecauseyouareanArab? LosingaccesstohomeorlandyouhaveinthePalestinianstate? LosingaccesstorelativesorfriendslivinginthePalestinianstate? Possiblemoralmisconductofyourchildrenorhavingyourchildren fallvictimtodrugabuse? LosingfreedomofmovementinsidethePalestinianstate? LosingaccesstoworkinthePalestinianstate? LosingabilitytotraveltoArabcountries? Losingaccesstoadequateeducationformychildren? ObtaininganIsraelicitizenshipandlosingabilitytoobtain Palestiniancitizenship? LosingaccesstoPalestinianuniversitiesforyourchildren? PossiblelossofyourJordanianpassport?

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60% 24% 29%

70%

80%

50% 42% 37% 31% 39% 24% 28% 27% 29% 25% 25% 24% 37% 31% 31%

29% 33% 24% Veryconcerned Moderatelyconcerned

20
28% 30% 30% 26%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q13 If, following a comprehensive peace agreement, your neighborhood were to become part of the new state of Israel, and you were to become a citizen of Israel with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Israel, how important are these
benefits of this new citizenship?

0%
ContinuedmembershipintheIsraelihealthcaresystem? ContinuedservicebytheIsraelimunicipalityswater,power,sewage, etc.systems? ContinuedmembershipintheIsraeliunemploymentanddisability benefitssystem? ContinuedaccesstojobmarketsinWestJerusalemandelsewherein Israel? ContinuedaccesstofriendsandfamilyinIsrael? ContinuedmembershipintheIsraeliretirementbenefitssystem? ContinuedservicebyIsraelilawenforcement? ContinuedaccesstothebeachinIsrael? ThepossibilityofgreatersocialequalityasafullcitizenofIsraelinthe contextofapeaceagreement? Continuedaccesstoshopping,businessandentertainmentinIsrael? ContinuedaccesstotheIsraelischoolsystem? TheabilitytovoteinIsraelinationalelections?

10%

20% 37% 36% 33%

30%

40%

50% 30% 29% 31%

60%

70%

80%

22% 24% 31% 29% 26% 31% 19% 21% 19%

39% 37% 29% 31% 34% 28% 36% 30% 26% Veryimportant ModeratelyImportant

21

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q14 If a permanent, two state solution is able to be worked out, do you think that most people in your neighborhood would prefer to become citizens of Palestine, with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Palestine, or would they prefer to become citizens of Israel, with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Israel?

45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Prefertobecome citizensofPalestine Prefertobecome citizensofIsrael Don'tKnow/No Answer 11% 10% 20% 30% 29% ProbablyPrefer DefinitelyPrefer

22

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q15 What are the most important two reasons that most people would prefer to become citizens of [Palestine or Israel]?

PreferenceforIsraeliCitizenship:First/SecondReasons (Top10Responses)
0% Riseinincome Healthinsurance Varietyandgoodqualityofservicesprovided Bettermedicalservices Jobopportunities Freedomofmovement Refusedtoanswer Safetyandsecurity 8% 7% 5% 4% 4% 5% 10% 9% 10% 16% 10% 7% 9% 10% 15% 9% 9% 8% 1% FirstReason SecondReason 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

23

Freedomofopinionandexpression 1% 6% Economicsituation 4% 2%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q16 What are the most important two reasons that most people would prefer to become citizens of [Palestine or Israel]?

PreferenceforPalestinianCitizenship:First/Second Reasons(Top10Responses)
0% 5% 10% 24% 24% 5% 7% FirstReason SecondReason 15% 20% 25% 30% 11% 35% 40% Arabidentityandnationalaffiliation Nosecondanswer PalestineisanArabcountry 14% Religiousaffiliation/Accesstoshrines 9% Lowcostofliving 3% 5% Safetyandsecurity 3% 5% Communicationbetweenfriendsandfamily 4% 3% Presenceoftouristicplacesandsanctuaries 3% 3% Enforcementoflaw/equality 2% 3% Bettermedicalservices 0% 5%

24
The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q17 If a permanent, two state solution is able to be worked out, would you prefer to become a citizen of Palestine, with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Palestine, or would you prefer to become a citizen of Israel, with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Israel?

40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Preferto Preferto Don'tKnow/No becomecitizens becomecitizens Answer ofPalestine ofIsrael 15.7% 14.6% 23.4% 35.1% ProbablyPrefer DefinitelyPrefer 11.2%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

25

Q18 What are the most important two reasons that you would prefer to become a citizen of [Israel or Palestine]?

PreferenceforIsraeliCitizenship:First/Second Reasons(Top10Responses)
0% Freedomofmovementandtransport Higherincome Healthinsurance Jobopportunities Nosecondanswer Prosperity Moreshops Politicalsituation 0% Disciplineandculture 7% 9% 8% 8% 0% 8% 13% 4% 1% 5% 13% 15% 15% 7% 10% 15% 20% 12% 9% 9% FirstReason SecondReason 25% 30% 35% 40%

Refusedtogivereasons 0% 7%

26

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q19 What are the most important two reasons that you would prefer to become a citizen of [Israel or Palestine]?

PreferenceforPalestinianCitizenship:First/Second Reasons(Top10Responses)
0% Nationalismandpatriotism Nosecondanswer Religiousaffiliation/Accesstoshrines Getridofdiscrimination Arabidentity Communicationbetweenfamilymembersand KeepingawayfromJewsandsettlers Freedomofmovementandtransport Securityandsafety 7% 7% 4% 6% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 5% 5% 7% 4% FirstReason SecondReason 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 33% 31% 8%

27

Disciplineandculture 0% 6%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q20 If your current neighborhood became an internationally recognized part of Israel, and you were allowed to move to a different home inside the new state of Palestine, how likely are you to move to a different home inside of Palestine and to become a citizen of Palestine?

60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0%

Willnotmove Willmove Don'tKnow/No Answer

32.4% Probably 16.4% 21.8% 10.4% 19.1% Certainly

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

28

Q21 If your current neighborhood became an internationally recognized part of Palestine, and you were allowed to move to a different home inside Israel, how likely are you to move to a different home in an Israeli neighborhood of Jerusalem, or elsewhere inside Israel, and to become a citizen of Israel?
60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0%
Willnotmove Willmove Don'tKnow/No Answer

20%

26%

Probably Certainly

17%

14%

23%

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

29

Q22 If the Israeli and Palestinian leadership signs a peace agreement to end the conflict, and agrees to divide Jerusalem between Israel and Palestine, do you think that some resistance groups will continue the armed struggle?
60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0%
Willcontinuethe armedstruggle Willnotcontinue thearmedstruggle Don'tKnow

26% 19% 28% 16% 12%

Probably Definitely

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

30

Q23 If some resistance groups continue the armed struggle after a peace agreement, do you think that people in your neighborhood will agree with the continuation of the armed struggle?
Percentageofpeoplewhowillagreewiththecontinuationofthearmedstruggleafter apeaceagreement 30.0% 28%

25.0% 22% 20.0% 17% 15.0% 14% 19%

10.0%

5.0%

31

0.0%
Mostpeopleinmy neighborhoodwill agree Abouthalfofthe Lessthanhalfofthe Veryfeworno peopleinmy peopleinmy peopleinmy neighborhoodwill neighborhoodwill neighborhoodwill agree agree agree Don'tKnow

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Now, I want to ask you about what would happen if the current Palestinian Israeli negotiations end without signing a peace agreement or creating a new state of Palestine: Q24 If the current negotiations collapse, how likely is a new intifada in East Jerusalem?
PercentageofpeoplewhothinkthatanewintifadainEastJerusalemislikelyifthe currentnegotiationscollapse 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.4% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Verylikely Somewhatlikely Notverylikely Veryunlikely Don'tKnow 2.4% 13.8% 26.6% 36.9%

32

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Q25 If the current negotiations collapse, and the Palestinian Authority asks the United Nations to declare a Palestinian state without Israels agreement, what kind of a practical effect will this have on your life?
40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% Somewhat 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0%
PositiveEffect NegativeEffect Almostno practicaleffect, eitherway

20%

24%

27% 14%

Very

11% 4%
Don'tKnow

33

The full data table for this graph can be found in the Appendix

Appendix
Q1 How satisfied or dissatisfied you are with each of these aspects of your life in East Jerusalem?
Don't Know/ No Answer (# of people) Total respondents for this item Neither satisfied nor dissatisfied Very satisfied plus satisfied

Not satisfied at all

Very satisfied

Not satisfied

Satisfied

The quality of the teachers in your kids schools?

Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq %

266 27.8% 416 40.6% 290 28.1% 292 28.4% 249 29.8% 295 32.9% 337 28.8% 305 26.8%

420 43.9% 300 29.3% 399 38.6% 384 37.3% 353 35.6% 344 31.7% 325 33.6% 365 32.8%

164 17.2% 167 16.3% 198 19.2% 205 19.9% 269 19.3% 229 20.2% 207 22.4% 198 22.6%

63 6.6% 91 8.9% 104 10.1% 102 9.9% 115 10.7% 111 10.4% 107 10.9% 110 11.9%

43

956

83

Total

1039

686

Access to a nearby place of worship?

4.5% 100.0% 51 1025 5.0% 100.0% 42 1033 4.1% 100.0% 46 1029 4.5% 39 4.5% 44 4.8% 49 4.3% 46 5.9% 100% 1025 100% 1023 100% 1025 100% 1024 100%

14

71.8% 1039 716 69.9% 1039 689 66.7% 1039 676 65.7% 1039 602 65.4% 1039 639 64.6% 1039 662 62.5% 1039 670 59.6%
34

The electrical supply in your neighborhood?

The water supply in your neighborhood?

10

The telephone system in your neighborhood?

14

Access to health care?

16 14

The quality of the health care you receive?

The sewage system in your neighborhood?

15


Access to the Al Aqsa Mosque? Your personal interactions with health care professionals? Access to your job?

Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq

274 31.7% 255 24.3% 181 24.7% 322 25.0% 139 17.6% 163 17.1% 236 15.5% 187 13.5% 162 19.7% 147

336 27.7% 312 34.4% 375 31.1% 281 30.6% 374 36.5% 346 36.3% 297 35.7% 260 36.4% 273 27.4% 288

231 20.4% 263 26.2% 267 23.1% 207 25.8% 302 26.0% 247 25.9% 220 21.6% 263 29.4% 311 27.7% 303

122 12.0% 148 11.2% 121 14.0% 122 14.5% 156 11.8% 132 13.8% 134 17.9% 162 15.2% 177 17.1% 173

60 8.3% 42 3.8% 82 7.0% 84 4.1% 56 8.0% 66 6.9% 67 9.3% 77 5.5% 91 8.1% 101

1023 100% 1020 100% 1026 100% 1016 100% 1027 100% 954 100% 954 100% 949 100% 1014 100% 1012

16 19

1039

610

59.4% 1039 567 58.7% 1039 556 55.9% 1039 603 55.6% 1039 513 54.2% 1039 509 53.4% 1039 533
35

13 23

The cost of health care (Kobat Holim)?

Your access to travel throughout Israel?

12

The number of students in your kids classrooms?

85

The garbage pickup in your neighborhood?

85

Your personal interactions with Arabs in Jerusalem, overall? Ability to add the name of your daughter or son to your ID card? Ability to obtain birth certificate or other official papers from Israeli government offices? The condition of the roads in your neighborhood?

90

51.2% 1039 447 50.0% 1039 435 47.1% 1039 435

25

27

% Freq % Freq %

16.8% 160 14.6% 164 10.6%

27.5% 367 28.8% 268 32.8%

27.3% 222 24.5% 266 25.9%

18.1% 184 19.1% 176 14.7%

10.3% 96 13.0% 100 16.0%

100% 1029 100% 974 100%

10

44.4% 1039 527 43.4% 1039 432 43.4%

Your overall standard of living?

65


The speed with which fire and police services arrive to the scene after requesting them?

Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq %

110 14.5% 116 16.0% 150 11.6% 102 11.1% 120 11.4% 80 10.4% 88 12.6% 71 13.0% 124 7.1% 46 13.1% 50 4.5%

339 28.5% 252 26.9% 295 29.8% 167 24.9% 308 24.7% 189 24.5% 198 21.8% 230 21.2% 215 23.0% 203 12.3% 134 20.0%

268 29.9% 333 30.7% 251 25.6% 263 29.6% 265 32.6% 248 32.1% 235 28.6% 351 33.5% 283 35.1% 365 12.7% 189 35.9%

152 17.1% 195 17.5% 196 18.4% 137 19.1% 190 19.1% 140 18.1% 152 21.6% 221 17.4% 213 22.1% 215 18.2% 195 21.1%

166 10.0% 126 9.0% 133 14.6% 117 15.2% 151 12.3% 115 14.9% 121 15.5% 127 14.9% 153 12.7% 188 43.8% 324 18.5%

1035 100% 1022 100% 1025 100% 786 100% 1034 100% 772 100% 794 100% 1000 100% 988 100% 1017 100% 892 100%

1039

449

The speed with which ambulance services arrive to the scene after requesting it?

17

43.0% 1039 368 42.9% 1039 445 41.4% 1039 269 36.0% 1039 428 36.0% 1039 269 34.8% 1039 286 34.3% 1039 301 34.2% 1039 339 30.1% 1039 249 25.3% 1039 184 24.5%
36

Your access to travel throughout the West Bank?

14

The disability benefits available to you?

253

The level of law enforcement in your area?

The unemployment benefits available to you?

267

Ability to obtain a passport or travel document to travel through Ben Gurion airport?

245

The retirement benefits available to you?

39

Your personal interactions with officials from the Jerusalem municipality?

51

The amount of the Arnona (home ownership) tax that you are required to pay?

22

Your personal interactions with Jews in Jerusalem, overall?

147


The amount of the income tax that you are required to pay?

Freq % Freq %

126 5.6% 45 4.5%

118 15.0% 132 13.1%

122 21.2% 163 16.2%

175 21.9% 205 20.4%

422 36.3% 462 45.9%

963 100% 1007 100%

76

1039

244

The ease or difficulty of obtaining building permits?

32

20.6% 1039 177 17.6%

37

Q2 In your view is there or is there not discrimination in the services provided to Arab and Jews by the Jerusalem municipality? Would you say there is a great deal of discrimination, a fair amount, only a little, or hardly any discrimination at all?
A great deal A fair amount Only a little Hardly any or none Don't Know/ No Answer Total

36.3%

19.5%

19.3%

8.3%

16.6%

100.0%

Q3 From your perspective, how big a problem are the following things in East Jerusalem? Are they a big problem, a moderate-sized problem, a small problem, or not a problem at all?

Not a problem at all Big problem plus moderate problem Moderate problem Don't Know/ No Answer Does not apply Small problem Big problem

Total

Delays and restrictions at checkpoints? Delays and restrictions created by the building of the wall in Jerusalem? Crime? Threat and intimidation from Jewish settlers? Threat and intimidation from Israeli police and border guards? Corruption/malfeasance from Israeli Jerusalem municipal officials? Corruption/malfeasance from Palestinian Authority officials? Threat and intimidation from Palestinian groups?

52.2% 54.6% 39.1% 31.3% 27.7% 25.1% 22.9% 14.4%

16.6% 13.9% 24.0% 18.2% 18.4% 20.3% 19.7% 13.8%

12.4% 11.7% 22.6% 21.8% 27.1% 26.6% 25.6% 26.9%

10.5% 10.0% 7.6% 14.6% 13.7% 12.7% 13.2% 25.3%

5.6% 6.7% 6.7% 10.1% 9.5% 11.8% 14.6% 15.0%

2.8% 3.1% 0.0% 3.9% 3.6% 3.5% 3.9% 4.6%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

68.7% 68.4% 63.0% 49.5% 46.1% 45.4% 42.6% 28.2%

38

Q4 Im going to ask you some questions about how often you have done various activities in the last 6 months.
Approximately once weekly Daily or almost daily + Few times every week + Approximately once weekly Approximately once every month Less than once a month Few times every week

Daily or almost daily

Does not apply

How often have you traveled to other neighborhoods in East Jerusalem? How often have you traveled across the wall to the West Bank? How often have you traveled to West Jerusalem? How often have you traveled to areas of Israel, other than Jerusalem? How often do you interact in person with Palestinian citizens living in W. Jerusalem or other areas of Israel [not including E. Jerusalem]? How often do you interact in person with Jewish citizens of Israel?

22.1% 23.6% 13.9% 7.5% 14.3%

28.9% 26.9% 24.9% 18.0% 16.8%

27.0% 24.3% 27.6% 30.4% 19.3%

12.3% 12.7% 16.2% 21.5% 16.1%

7.1% 8.1% 11.8% 14.9% 17.3%

2.5% 4.5% 5.6% 7.7% 16.1%

Total

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

78.1% 74.7% 66.4% 55.9% 50.5%

39

13.0%

16.2%

17.4%

14.1%

16.3%

23.0%

100.0%

46.6%

Q5 Im going to ask you some questions about how often you have done various activities in the last 6 months.
Approximately once weekly Daily or almost daily + Few times every week + Approximately once weekly Approximately once every month Less than once a month Few times every week

Daily or almost daily

Does not apply

How often have you talked on the phone, or communicated by email, with people from East Jerusalem? How often have you talked on the phone, or communicated by email, with people from the West Bank? How often have you talked on the phone, or communicated by email, with people from West Jerusalem? How often have you talked on the phone, or communicated by email, with people from Other areas of Israel?

27.6%

25.2%

20.3%

14.4%

7.4%

5.0%

100.0%

Total

73.1%

16.0%

23.5%

25.8%

16.0%

9.7%

9.0%

100.0%

65.3%

9.4%

17.9%

23.8%

17.9%

15.2%

15.8%

100.0%

51.1%

7.8%

16.6%

21.1%

20.2%

17.1%

17.2%

100.0%

45.4%

40

Q6 How often did you do these things before the building of the wall? Did you do them more or less often than now?
Somewhat less often before the wall Much more often before the building of the wall Much more often before the building of the wall plus Somewhat more often

Unchanged, same as now

Somewhat more often

Much less often

Does not apply

Travel to other neighborhoods in East Jerusalem? Travel across the wall to the West Bank? Travel to West Jerusalem? Travel to areas of Israel, other than Jerusalem?

14.7% 32.5% 9.5% 8.6%

22.0% 24.7% 20.4% 21.6%

49.4% 27.7% 52.2% 45.3%

8.0% 7.2% 7.6% 9.5%

2.3% 3.7% 3.8% 5.1%

3.6% 4.1% 6.4% 9.9%

Total

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

36.8% 57.3% 29.9% 30.1%

Q7 How often did you do these things before the building of the wall? Did you do them more or less often than now?

Somewhat less often before the wall Much more often before the building of the wall Much more often before the building of the wall plus Somewhat more often Unchanged, same as now Somewhat more often

41

Much less often

Does not apply

Talk on the phone, or communication by email, with people from East Jerusalem? Talk on the phone, or communication by email, with people from the West Bank? Talk on the phone, or communication by email, with people from West Jerusalem? Talk on the phone, or communication by email, with people from Other areas of Israel?

8.1% 11.8% 7.4% 7.8%

18.9% 19.0% 16.2% 15.9%

50.1% 44.0% 44.9% 42.3%

11.5% 10.3% 11.2% 11.2%

4.7% 6.2% 7.4% 6.8%

6.6% 8.8% 13.0% 16.0%

Total

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

26.9% 30.8% 23.6% 23.7%

Q8 Now, Id like to ask about your language abilities in Hebrew and in English:

Strong ability plus Moderate ability Moderate ability Strong ability A little ability No ability

How strong is your ability to understand Hebrew? How strong is your ability to speak in Hebrew? How strong is your ability to understand English? How strong is your ability to speak in English?

33.0% 26.1% 25.4% 21.8%

36.5% 35.0% 34.2% 34.7%

22.0% 25.8% 28.0% 28.6%

8.5% 13.1% 12.4% 14.9%

Total

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

69.5% 61.1% 59.6% 56.5%

42

Q9 When we think about the question, Who am I? each of us comes up with many answers. I might think of myself as both a father (to my child) and a son (to my own father). I can also think of myself, for example, as a carpenter, or doctor, as an athletic person, or as someone who loves to read. Some of these identities are very important to us, and some of them are less important. Im going to ask you about a number of identities. For each one, please tell me how important that identity is to you.

Declined to to answer Moderately important Extremely important Extremely important plus very important
(included in Percentages)

Not important at all

Not applicable (# of people). Not included in percentages

A little important

Very important

Being a Muslim? [For Muslims only] Being a Palestinian? Being a blue card holder? [For blue card holders only] Being a Jerusalemite? Being an Arab? Being from a Jerusalemite family? [For Jerusalemite family members only] Being a resident of __________ neighborhood?

Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq % Freq

483 50.2 475 45.7 416 41.6 437 42.1 442 42.5 334 33.9 240 24.9 108 10.4 81

213 22.1 239 23.0 269 26.9 270 26.0 249 24.0 257 26.1 203 21.1 103 9.9 120

156 16.2 211 20.3 181 18.1 201 19.3 220 21.2 219 22.2 255 26.5 155 14.9 165

82 8.5 71 6.8 84 8.4 95 9.1 94 9.0 113 11.5 172 17.9 148 14.2 169

28 2.9 43 4.1 49 4.9 36 3.5 34 3.3 62 6.3 92 9.6 343 33.0 325 182 17.5 179

962 100.0 1039 100.0 999 100.0 1039 100.0 1039 100.0 985 100.0 962 100.0 1039 100.0 1039

77

Total

Total

1039 1039

40

1039

696 72.3 714 68.7 685 68.6 707 68.0 691 66.5 591 60.0 443 42.6

43

1039 1039 54 1039

77

1039

Being sympathetic to Fatah? Being sympathetic to the Islamic Movement inside the Green Line?

% 7.8 11.5 15.9 16.3 31.3 17.2 100.0 Being sympathetic to Hamas? Freq 68 105 145 164 367 190 1039 % 6.5 10.1 14.0 15.8 35.3 18.3 100.0 *Of the 77 Christians surveyed, 35 said extremely important, 14 said very important, 13 said moderately important, 10 said a little important, and 5 said not important at all

Palestinians and Israelis are involved in negotiations aimed at reaching agreement on a two-state solution in the next year. If this happens, East Jerusalemites will no longer have their current status as Israeli residents holding blue cards. Instead, people in each neighborhood will become either full citizens of Palestine or full citizens of Israel, depending on which side of the border they are. Now, I want to ask you about a number of questions about life in East Jerusalem after a two-state solution has been agreed to:

44

Q10 If your neighborhood were to become a part of the new state of Palestine and you were to become a citizen of Palestine with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Palestine, how concerned would you be about each of these possible
changes in your life.

Very Concerned plus Moderately Concerned Not concerned at all Don't Know/ No Answer Moderately concerned Very concerned A little concerned

Losing access to Jerusalems Old City and al Aqsa Mosque? Losing access to employment in West Jerusalem or elsewhere in Israel? Losing access to free movement inside Israel? Changing from the Israeli health care system to a Palestinian health care system? Changing from Israeli unemployment and disability benefits to Palestinian unemployment and disability benefits? Possible reduction in the level or quality of city services such as garbage pickup and road repair? Possible increase in the level of corruption? Possible reduction in the level of law enforcement? Losing access to relatives or friends living in Israel? Losing access to adequate education for my children? Changing from Israeli retirement benefits to Palestinian retirement benefits? Possible involvement of your children with violent groups? Possible changes in your ability to write and speak freely? Losing access to Israeli universities?

53.0% 42.3% 36.3% 36.6% 35.6% 31.7% 34.6% 30.7% 29.2% 37.3% 32.5% 37.6% 25.9% 23.4%

23.8% 31.7% 35.1% 32.1% 31.2% 34.6% 30.2% 30.9% 32.0% 23.3% 27.0% 20.3% 27.7% 27.3%

15.2% 13.0% 16.7% 16.8% 17.4% 20.4% 20.8% 23.1% 24.7% 18.3% 21.6% 17.4% 20.8% 19.8%

6.4% 8.7% 8.3% 10.0% 11.1% 9.1% 8.5% 9.8% 10.1% 14.1% 12.6% 16.7% 17.6% 24.6%

1.5% 4.4% 3.7% 4.4% 4.7% 4.2% 6.0% 5.5% 4.0% 6.9% 6.3% 8.0% 8.0% 4.8%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Total

76.8% 73.9% 71.4% 68.7% 66.8% 66.2% 64.8% 61.6% 61.1% 60.6% 59.6% 57.9% 53.6% 50.7%

45

Q11 If, following a comprehensive peace agreement, your neighborhood were to become part of the new state of Palestine, and you were to become a citizen of Palestine with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Palestine, how important are these benefits of this new citizenship?
A little important Not important at all Don't Know/ No Answer Very Important and Moderately Important 81.2% 68.7% 65.6% 65.2% 64.2% 62.1% 51.8% 49.7% 48.9% 48.0% 45.8% 44.0% Very important Moderately Important

Easier access to friends and family in the West Bank? Being a citizen of an Arab country? Easier access to shopping, business and entertainment in the West Bank? Being part of a Muslim-majority country? Easier access to Jordan and other Arab countries? The possibility of greater social equality as a full citizen of Palestine? Acquiring a Palestinian passport and a Palestinian identity? Access to the Palestinian school system? Palestinian management of my neighborhood, which might allow for better growth and development? Access to job markets in the West Bank? Law enforcement by Palestinians in my neighborhood? Continued ability to vote in the Palestinian national elections?

44.4% 34.6% 27.2% 35.5% 27.1% 32.7% 23.0% 17.8% 20.3% 20.4% 19.5% 18.2%

36.9% 34.2% 38.4% 29.6% 37.1% 29.4% 28.8% 31.9% 28.6% 27.6% 26.3% 25.8%

13.3% 17.8% 23.9% 18.4% 25.0% 20.8% 29.5% 28.0% 27.1% 28.5% 27.8% 26.6%

3.1% 9.4% 7.8% 11.5% 7.8% 9.8% 13.4% 16.6% 17.7% 16.5% 18.6% 21.7%

2.4% 4.0% 2.7% 5.0% 3.0% 7.3% 5.4% 5.8% 6.3% 7.0% 7.8% 7.8%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Total

46

Q12 On the other hand, if your neighborhood were to become a part of the state of Israel and you were to become a citizen of Israel with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Israel, how concerned would you be about

Not concerned at all Don't Know/ No Answer Moderately concerned Very Concerned plus Moderately Concerned 73.6% 70.5% 66.0% 63.4% 63.2% 61.2% 59.5% 57.6% 56.3% 55.2% 54.9% 50.1% Very concerned A little concerned Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Losing access to Jerusalems Old City and al Aqsa Mosque? Possible discrimination against you because you are an Arab? Losing access to home or land you have in the Palestinian state? Losing access to relatives or friends living in the Palestinian state? Possible moral misconduct of your children or having your children fall victim to drug abuse? Losing freedom of movement inside the Palestinian state? Losing access to work in the Palestinian state? Losing ability to travel to Arab countries? Losing access to adequate education for my children? Obtaining an Israeli citizenship and losing ability to obtain Palestinian citizenship? Losing access to Palestinian universities for your children? Possible loss of your Jordanian passport?

49.9% 41.8% 36.7% 30.6% 39.5% 24.4% 28.5% 26.9% 28.7% 24.9% 24.6% 24.4%

23.8% 28.8% 29.4% 32.8% 23.8% 36.9% 31.0% 30.6% 27.6% 30.3% 30.2% 25.7%

14.8% 18.5% 20.4% 21.1% 18.6% 24.4% 20.0% 25.7% 24.2% 24.8% 24.2% 23.6%

7.1% 6.4% 7.6% 9.4% 12.7% 11.7% 16.7% 12.6% 13.9% 14.4% 14.1% 17.0%

4.4% 4.5% 6.0% 6.1% 5.5% 2.7% 3.8% 4.1% 5.7% 5.5% 6.8% 9.2%

47

Q13 If, following a comprehensive peace agreement, your neighborhood were to become part of the new state of Israel, and you were to become a citizen of Israel with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Israel, how important are these
benefits of this new citizenship?

Not important at all Don't Know/ No Answer Very Important and Moderately Important Very important Moderately Important A little important Total

Continued membership in the Israeli health care system? Continued service by the Israeli municipalitys water, power, sewage, etc. systems? Continued membership in the Israeli unemployment and disability benefits system? Continued access to job markets in West Jerusalem and elsewhere in Israel? Continued access to friends and family in Israel? Continued membership in the Israeli retirement benefits system? Continued service by Israeli law enforcement ? Continued access to the beach in Israel? The possibility of greater social equality as a full citizen of Israel in the context of a peace agreement? Continued access to shopping, business and entertainment in Israel? Continued access to the Israeli school system? The ability to vote in Israeli national elections?

37.4% 36.4% 33.1% 22.1% 23.9% 31.1% 28.6% 25.7% 31.4% 19.4% 20.9% 18.8%

30.4% 29.5% 30.8% 39.1% 36.6% 29.3% 31.3% 34.2% 27.5% 36.2% 29.7% 25.9%

17.6% 19.8% 20.7% 25.3% 25.9% 21.2% 24.5% 22.3% 21.9% 28.6% 28.4% 25.3%

8.3% 9.2% 9.6% 9.6% 9.0% 11.0% 9.3% 12.3% 10.5% 11.4% 14.4% 24.7%

6.3% 5.1% 5.8% 3.8% 4.6% 7.5% 6.3% 5.5% 8.7% 4.4% 6.5% 5.3%

100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

67.9% 65.8% 63.9% 61.2% 60.4% 60.3% 59.9% 59.9% 58.9% 55.6% 50.6% 44.7%

48

Q14 If a permanent, two state solution is able to be worked out, do you think that most people in your neighborhood would prefer to become citizens of Palestine, with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Palestine, or would they prefer to become citizens of Israel, with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Israel?
Definitely Prefer Prefer to become citizens of Palestine Probably Prefer

11.4%

19.9%

Prefer to become citizens of Israel

10.0%

28.9%

Don't Know/ No Answer

29.8%

49

Q15 & 16 What are the most important two reasons that most people would prefer to become citizens of [Palestine or Israel]?
Preference for Israeli Citizenship
Rise in income Health insurance Variety and good quality of services provided (water/elect) Better medical services Job opportunities Freedom of movement Refused to answer Safety and security Freedom of opinion and expression Economic situation Discipline Independence and stability State of Israel is strong Easiness of life Better education Freedom of transport and movement Cleanliness Presence of touristic places and sanctuaries Enforcement of law / equality Corruption Communication between friends and family members Democracy Get accustomed to the way of life in Israel Places of amusement and pleasure Freedom of travelling abroad Pension benefits on retirement Development and technology No second answer Other 3%

First Reason
10% 9% 10% 16% 8% 7% 5% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 1%

Second Reason
9% 9% 8% 1% 10% 7% 9% 4% 6% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 0% 2% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 5%

Preference for Palestinian Citizenship

Arab identity and national affiliation No second answer Palestine is an Arab country Religious affiliation/ Access to shrines Low cost of living Safety and security Communication between friends and family members Presence of touristic places and sanctuaries Enforcement of law / equality Better medical services Staying away from Jews and settlers Independence and stability Freedom of movement Refused to answer Jerusalem to be the capital of the State of Palestine No discrimination Racism Social ties Job opportunities Easiness of life Freedom of opinion and expression Democracy Customs and traditions Freedom of transport and movement Nonpayment of taxes For fear of being dismissed from their homes To live in dignity Political situation Economic situation Pension benefits on retirement Freedom of travelling abroad

First Reason
24%

Second Reason
11% 24%

14% 9% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2% 5% 1% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 100%

5% 7% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 5% 2% 0% 4% 0% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 100%

50

Total

100%

100%

Total

Q17 If a permanent, two state solution is able to be worked out, would you prefer to become a citizen of Palestine, with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Palestine, or would you prefer to become a citizen of Israel, with all of the rights and privileges of other citizens of Israel?
Definitely Prefer 15.7% Probably Prefer 14.6%

Prefer to become citizens of Palestine

Prefer to become citizens of Israel

11.2%

23.4%

Don't Know/ No Answer

35.1%

51

Q18 & 19 What are the most important two reasons that you would prefer to become a citizen of [Israel or Palestine]?
Preference for Israeli Citizenship
Freedom of movement and transport Higher income Health insurance Job opportunities No second answer Prosperity More shops Political situation Discipline and culture Refused to give reasons Higher standard of education Get rid of tax payments Being accustomed to the way of life Development Travelling abroad Get rid of discrimination Security and safety Pension Communication between family members and friends Psychic comfort Stability East Jerusalem to be the capital of the State of Palestine Existence of sanctuaries in it Democracy Israel is a strong state No check-points Observance of laborers' rights 7% 9% 0% 8% 0% 5% 0% 3% 3% 1% 0% 4% 2% 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 0% 1%

First Reason
13% 15% 15% 8%

Second Reason
12% 9% 9% 7% 13% 4% 1% 8% 0% 7% 1% 6% 3% 2% 4% 4% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1%

Preference for Palestinian Citizenship

Nationalism and patriotism No second answer Religious affiliation/ Access to shrines Get rid of discrimination Arab identity Communication between family members and friends Keeping away from Jews and settlers Freedom of movement and transport Security and safety Discipline and culture Job opportunities Keeping dignity Refused to give reasons Get rid of tax payments Stability More shops Political situation Prosperity Existence of sanctuaries in it Observance of laborers' rights Higher standard of education Psychic comfort Obtainment of a Palestinian citizenship No check-points Being accustomed to the way of life Democracy Development Customs and traditions Corruption Israel is a strong state Freedom of expression No threats of house demolitions

First Reason
33%

Second Reason
8% 31%

7% 7% 4% 6% 3% 4% 4% 0% 4% 3% 2% 4% 4% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 100%

5% 5% 7% 4% 3% 3% 3% 6% 1% 1% 3% 0% 0% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 100%

52

Total

100%

100%

Total

Q20 If your current neighborhood became an internationally recognized part of Israel, and you were allowed to move to a different home inside the new state of Palestine, how likely are you to move to a different home inside of Palestine and to become a citizen of Palestine?
Certainly Will not move Probably

21.8%

32.4%

Will move

10.4%

16.4%

Don't Know/ No Answer

19.1%

Q21 If your current neighborhood became an internationally recognized part of Palestine, and you were allowed to move to a different home inside Israel, how likely are you to move to a different home in an Israeli neighborhood of Jerusalem, or elsewhere inside Israel, and to become a citizen of Israel?
Certainly Probably

53

Will not move

16.7% 14.4%

20.1% 26.0%

Will move

Don't Know /No Answer

22.7%

Q22 If the Israeli and Palestinian leadership signs a peace agreement to end the conflict, and agrees to divide Jerusalem between Israel and Palestine, do you think that some resistance groups will continue the armed struggle?
Definitely Probably

Will continue the armed struggle Will not continue the armed struggle Don't Know

15.7%

25.8%

12.1%

18.5%

27.9%

Q23 If some resistance groups continue the armed struggle after a peace agreement, do you think that people in your neighborhood will agree with the continuation of the armed struggle?
Most people in my neighborhood will agree About half of the people in my neighborhood will agree Less than half of the people in my neighborhood will agree Very few or no people in my neighborhood will agree Don't Know Total

54

14.1%

16.7%

22.2%

19.4%

27.5%

100.0%

Now, I want to ask you about what would happen if the current Palestinian Israeli negotiations end without signing a peace agreement or creating a new state of Palestine: Q24 If the current negotiations collapse, how likely is a new intifada in East Jerusalem?
Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Very unlikely Don't Know Total

26.6%

36.9%

20.4%

13.8%

2.4%

100.0%

Q25 If the current negotiations collapse, and the Palestinian Authority asks the United Nations to declare a Palestinian state without Israels agreement, what kind of a practical effect will this have on your life?
Very Somewhat

55
Positive Effect Negative Effect Almost no practical effect, either way Don't Know

13.9% 11.1%

20.2% 24.1%

27.1% 3.7%

56

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