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High-speed hypotheses!
Lawrence M. Lesser
The University of Texas at El Paso, Texas, USA. e-mail: lesser@utep.edu
Abstract
This article presents engaging interactive hypothesis tests which can be conducted with students very efciently. Teaching; Hypothesis tests; P-value.
Keywords:
Introduction
With class time at a premium, it helps to have handy a repertoire of engaging classroom-tested activities or experiments that can each be done within 5 minutes from collection of data to computation of the p-value! Such activities support the American Statistical Associations (ASA; 2010) recommendations to use real data and foster active learning in the classroom, illustrate the statistical problem solving process (ASA 2007) and likely tap the potential benets of using fun in the statistics classroom (Lesser and Pearl 2008). A representative variety of common basic hypothesis tests are spanned with the activities which follow.
is participating by independently trying to make a correct prediction. Because almost all students will experience no more than two successes, it is very quick to tabulate the results of the hypothesis test for these cases. When asked in advance Do any of you have ESP?, no student seriously answers Yes, so it can be noted that by chance alone, a sufciently large class can be expected to have at least one student who obtains a personal p-value of less than 5%, therefore falsely rejecting the null hypothesis. Teachers interested in adding a magic trick component (e.g. using marked cards) can ensure obtaining a signicant p-value by being (almost surely) the only one in the room to make all predictions correctly or (to make it not quite so suspicious) even to make most of the predictions correctly (by deliberately missing a few). Lesser and Glickman (2009) offer related discussion on the use of magic in statistics. Teachers wanting to vary the success probabilities involved could have students predict only the suit or only the denomination. A website students can use to further explore and assess their psychic abilities (to predict cards, pictures, locations, lottery numbers, etc.) is http://www.gotpsi.org.
High-speed hypotheses!
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Topic: Test of the equality of two proportions (or done as a chi-squared test of independence) Procedure: Walk into the classroom where students have already freely chosen their seats. Have the class agree on an operational denition of front half of the room and back half of the room, for the part of the room where students are sitting. The class can ll in the table below in less than 1 minute and then go on to test the null hypothesis that males and females are equally likely to sit in the front half of the room. The teacher could have students identify the two populations in this activity and then discuss whether or not the males and females in the room can be considered as random samples from those respective populations.
Number of males Front half of the classroom Back half of the classroom
Number of females
entered either by having students one at a time call out their time (and whether they were sitting or standing) or, in case more privacy is desired, by having students ll out and turn in a simple slip of paper without their name on it that indicates the time duration (in seconds) and whether they were sitting or standing. To perform the test of means of the two independent samples, students will need to agree on whether to have the software do a t test or a z test, and whether to assume the unknown variances are equal. Beyond the calculations, students can also be asked to do the following: (1) discuss whether this experiment is best classied as single-blind, double-blind or neither; (2) discuss what would be changed to have each person try both the sitting and the standing conditions; (3) consider a third condition (e.g. singing with arms held straight up towards the ceiling, or maybe singing right after doing 20 jumping jacks) which would make this activity a vehicle to test the equality of more than two means (i.e. to use analysis of variance). Even though singing can be a personal form of expression, the beauty of this activity is that it simply is a single note (so that the ability to keep rhythmic time, for example, is not needed) and that everyone is doing it at the same time and so no one will be able to easily hear anyone (or hear when they drop out) except for the very last couple of people, and by that naked end of the window, students have already moved beyond any initial moment of self-consciousness. To make the activity feel safe and fun, I demonstrate the procedure by holding a note all by myself rst while I run the stopwatch, then I point out that each voice will be camouaged by doing it all together, and I also mention that anyone who feels uncomfortable for any reason is not required to participate. To the extent that humming may feel safer than singing, this activity works just as well having each student humming (with closed lips, mmmmmm). In several implementations of this activity, I have not noticed any students reticence or nonparticipation. If anything, there seems to be a positive communal experience about doing something this unusual in statistics class in general, as well as the particular pleasantness of being enveloped by the sound vibrations of everyones simultaneous notes and how they collectively and spontaneously formed interesting harmonies.
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Lawrence M. Lesser
References
American Statistical Association (2007). Guidelines for Assessment and Instruction in Statistics Education (GAISE) Report: A Pre-K-12 Curriculum Framework. Alexandria, VA: American Statistical Association. http:// www.amstat.org/education/gaise/. American Statistical Association (2010). Guidelines for Assessment and Instruction in Statistics Education: College Report. Alexandria, VA: American Statistical Association. http:// www.amstat.org/education/gaise/. Anderson-Cook, C.M. and Sundar, D.-R. (2001). An active learning in-class demonstration of good experimental design. Journal of Statistics Education, 9(1), http://www.amstat.org/ publications/jse/v9n1/anderson-cook.html. Cheng, S.C.-T. (1991). The Tao of Voice: A New East-West Approach to Transforming the Singing and Speaking Voice. Rochester, VT: Destiny Books. Kaya, N. and Burgess, B. (2007). Territoriality: Seat preferences in different types of classroom arrangements. Environment and Behavior, 39(6), 859876. Lesser, L.M. and Glickman, M. E. (2009). Using magic in the teaching of probability and statistics. Model Assisted Statistics and Applications, 4(4), 265274. Lesser, L.M. and Pearl, D.K. (2008). Functional fun in statistics teaching: Resources, research, and recommendations. Journal of Statistics Education, 16(3), 111. http://www.amstat. org/publications/jse/v16n3/lesser.pdf. Utts, J.M. (2005). Seeing Through Statistics (3rd edn). Belmont, CA: Thomson Brooks/Cole.
2011 The Author Teaching Statistics 2011 Teaching Statistics Trust, 34, 1, pp 1012