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Session 15
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Discussion Question
Whether Amtrak should finance the equipment purchases using BNCYFs leveraged-lease proposal or borrow money and purchase the equipment on its own?
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Dated: 30 April, 1999 People: Arlene Friner, CFO, Amtrak Review: leveraged-lease proposal from BNY Capital Funding LLC (BNYCF) Adviser: Babcock & Brown Financial Corporation Invited: financial institutions to submit lease-financing proposals for planned purchase of..,
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Created in: 1970 Created by: US congress Ensured: modern, efficient intercity passengerrail service Remain as: integral part of the national transportation system Govt. mandated: to take over rail-passenger operations of private railroads
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Proposed to eliminated its reliance on federal subsidies by 2002 After 2002; no federal funds could be used for operating expenses
Never been profitable in 30-year history To meet the goal of self sufficiency by 2002
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Income Statement (Values in Millions of USD) Fiscal Year Ending Sept. 30 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Revenues Passenger-related and other Commuter Reimbursable Federal payments Total revenues Expenses Salaries, wage and benefits Train operations Facility and office related Maintenance-of-way goods and services Advertising and sales Interest Depreciation and amortization Other One-time charges/(gains) Total expenses Operating income/(loss) Exclude federal payments and related interest Operating loss restated Federal grants Federal operating grant Excess railroad retirement taxes Federal capital - interest Federal capital - progressive overhaul and other Total federal grants Net loss 1152 184 77 1413 1330 358 153 45 91 185 245 83 -244 2246 -833 -833 352 150 1177 213 107 1497 1241 321 172 73 90 144 230 34 2305 -808 -808 392 150 1213 234 108 1555 1236 321 181 59 109 149 238 25 2318 -763 -763 285 120 36 441 -322 1341 242 91 1674 1299 365 187 46 98 160 242 39 2436 -762 -762 223 142 42 37 444 -318 1392 260 91 542 2285 1448 356 190 52 102 181 294 15 2638 -353 577 -930 202 142 82 426 -504
502 -331
542 -266
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Income Statement (Values in Millions of USD) Fiscal Year Ending Sept. 30 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Revenues Passenger-related and other Commuter Reimbursable Federal payments Total revenues Expenses Salaries, wage and benefits Train operations Facility and office related Maintenance-of-way goods and services Advertising and sales Interest Depreciation and amortization Other One-time charges/(gains) Total expenses Operating income/(loss) Exclude federal payments and related interest Operating loss restated Federal grants Federal operating grant Excess railroad retirement taxes Federal capital - interest Federal capital - progressive overhaul and other Total federal grants Net loss 82 13 5 100 94 25 11 3 6 13 17 6 -17 159 -59 -59 25 11 79 14 7 100 83 21 11 5 6 10 15 2 154 -54 -54 26 10 78 15 7 100 79 21 12 4 7 10 15 2 149 -49 -49 18 8 2 28 -21 80 14 5 100 78 22 11 3 6 10 14 2 146 -46 -46 13 8 3 2 27 -19 61 11 4 24 100 63 16 8 2 4 8 13 1 115 -15 25 -41 9 6 4 19 -22
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
36 -23
36 -18
Income Statement (Values in Millions of USD) Fiscal Year Ending Sept. 30 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 Revenues Passenger-related and other Commuter Reimbursable Federal payments Total revenues Expenses Salaries, wage and benefits Train operations Facility and office related Maintenance-of-way goods and services Advertising and sales Interest Depreciation and amortization Other One-time charges/(gains) Total expenses Operating income/(loss) Exclude federal payments and related interest Operating loss restated Federal grants Federal operating grant Excess railroad retirement taxes Federal capital - interest Federal capital - progressive overhaul and other Total federal grants Net loss 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 102 116 139 106 93 90 112 162 99 78 94 41 103 97 97 111 100 105 127 140 110 93 90 118 131 120 81 97 30 103 92 92 81 80 116 132 118 118 98 102 122 102 108 86 99 47 108 91 91 63 95 121 141 118 162 109 99 124 116 112 98 120 18 117 42 112 57 95
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
100 100
108 80
88 97
88 96
85 152
Balance Sheet (Values in Million of USD) Fy Ending Fy Ending Sept 30, 1998 Sept 30, 1998 Current Assets Cash and equivalents 274.7 4 Temporary cash investments 409.7 6 Account receivable, net 88.7 1 Mtaerials and supplies 91.6 1 Other current assets 3.4 0 Total current assets 868.1 12 Property, plant and equipment 9456.4 129 Less: Accumulated depreciation -3106.9 -43 Net property, plant and equipment 6349.5 87 Other assets and deffered charges 87.6 1 Total assets 7305.2 100 10 IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Balance Sheet (Values in Million of USD) Fy Ending Fy Ending Sept 30, 1998 Sept 30, 1998 Current liabilities Accounts payable Accrued expenses and other current liabilities Deffered ticket revenue Current maturities of LT debt and capital-lease obligations Total current liabilities LT debt and capital lease obligations Capital lease obligations Equipment and other debt Other liabilities and deffered credit Deferred federal payments Casuality reserves Postretirement employee-benefits obligation Environmental reserve Advances from railroads and commuter agencies Other Total liabilities Capitalization Preffered stock Common stock Other paid-in capital Accumulated comprehensive loss 270.8 186.7 61.4 102.2 621.1 1213.1 322.5 1535.6 457 136.2 118.4 35.4 20.6 1.5 769.1 2925.8 10939.7 93.9 6471.3 -13125.4 4379.5 7305.3 4 3 1 1 9 17 4 21 6 2 2 0 0 0 11 40 150 1 89 -180 60 100
11
Acela
New brand New high-speed rail service More than high-speed trains Designed to: differentiate Amtrak passenger trains and service in Northeast Corridor from existing service To begin: service in late 1999 To offer: faster trip times and premium service Served routes: Virginia to Maine
12
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Exhibit 1
13
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Acela
Brand representing new way of doing business Designed to: bring high speed and high quality to Northeast Corridor passengers Will offer..,
Latest and boldest step to change its rail service into a more..,
14
Acela
Designed to..,
Operate as fast as 150 miles an hour (241.35 kms an hour) Promised to reduce travel time significantly Current timing: 7 hrs 30 minutes High-speed train: 5 hrs 50 minutes
Late 1999: to begin service between NY city and Boston NY Washington leg would be added within a year
15
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Equipment
First-class coach car: 1 Bistro car: 1 Coach cars: 3 End coach car: 1 Power cars: 2
16
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Equipment
17
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Equipment
Estimated life: 25 years Residual values: ~15% of original equipment cost Depreciation as per..,
18
Financing Options
Three options..,
Borrow money to fund the purchase Lease the equipment from a financial institution (such as BNCYF) Rely on federal sources for funding
19
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Term: 20-year Coupon: 6.75 percent per annum Semiannual payments: $12.303 million Payment beginning: Dec 1999 Collateral for the loan: locomotives and trains sets Drawback:
Had recently issued debt Public market might already be saturated with Amtrak paper
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
20
10
Leveraged Lease
Proposed by: BNCYF Wholly owned subsidiary of the Bank of New York Lessor: BNCYF
Sole lender and debt provider: Export Development Corporation (EDC) of Canada Funds to be provided..,
EDC: 80% of required funds BNCYF: 20% of required funds; would receive lease payments only after debtor had been paid
21
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Lessee
Equipment
Lease Payments
Equity investors put up $53.6 million (20% of equipment value) in exchange for lease payments after debt service
Lenders advance $214.3 million (80% of equipment value) in exchange for first claim on lease payments on locomotives and trains ets
22
11
Leveraged Lease
Equity and debt funds on closing would flow through Wilmington Trust..,
An independent third party to the transaction Acted as owner-trustee Rental payments would flows through Would distribute the payments to either EDC or BNCYF At the end of lease term, could buy equipment from BNCYF at higher terminal fair market value Had an early-buyout option, could acquire the equipment from BNCYF in 2017 for $126.6 million
Amtrak..,
23
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
24
BNY Capital Funding LLC's Proposed Lease-Payment Schedule (in Dollars) Date Due Amount 1999 June . Dec $200,102 2000 June $3,761,228 Dec $7,965,652 2001 June $10,022,594 Dec $10,316,948 2002 June $8,617,634 Dec $10,360,645 2003 June $9,828,570 Dec $10,367,985 2004 June $8,607,823 Dec $10,418,573 2005 June $9,683,063 Dec $10,435,186 2006 June $8,580,151 Dec $11,599,993 2007 June $7,338,339 Dec $11,468,211 2008 June $9,475,208 Dec $15,792,709 2009 June $7,765,741 Dec $20,224,322 2010 June $5,067,035 Dec $15,872,556 2011 June $4,121,823 Dec $22,807,129 2012 June $3,336,587 Dec $23,645,133 2013 June $2,662,913 Dec $24,055,367 2014 June $1,957,919 Dec $20,017,608 2015 June $6,067,613 Dec $6,287,652 2016 June $12,292,315 Dec $21,394,788 2017 June $6,551,924 Dec $18,107,167 2018 June $8,612,133 Dec $13,469,295 2019 June $8,864,543 Dec $6,654,238 2020 June $2,035,748 Dec $1
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
12
Direct leases
Lessor borrowed money to fund part of purchase of assets, pledging the lease contract as security for the loan
25
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Leveraged Lease
SD of market-value fluctuations of train sets and locomotives: 25% 17-year risk-free rate: 5.78% Amtrak WACC: 11.8%
26
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
13
Mandated not to use federal subsidies for operating expenses Agreed to fund for capital appropriations
27
Preferred to use grant money to fund capital projects that could not be easily and costeffectively financed such as..,
Train sets and other rolling stock, could be very efficiently financed through capital markets
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
28
14
Seven-Year MACRS Depreciation Schedule (in % of Depreciable Investment) Year % Depreciated 1 14.29 2 24.49 3 17.49 4 12.49 5 8.93 6 8.93 7 8.93 8 4.45
Because of the half-year convention, sevenyear MACRS involved eight years of depreciation expenses
29
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Types of Lease
Finance Lease Total lease rental > asset price Lease period = life of asset Irrevocable by both parties Purpose: financing an asset Also called capital lease Lessee bears: maintenance, insurance, taxes Lessor bears: maintenance, insurance, taxes No fixed future commitment Cancelable by lessee on notice Purpose: using an asset Operating Lease
30
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
15
Types of Lease
Finance Lease Operating Lease
Min lease rental = rate ~ equal Risk on asset falls on lessee to lessee marginal cost of debt Payout will include; asset cost, cost of financing, lessor overhead, rate of return Similar to mortgage loans
31
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Finance Lease
Leveraged lease Sale and lease back arrangements Cross border (international) lease Foreign to foreign lease
32
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
16
Leveraged Lease
Parties involved..,
Lessor contributes equity (20% to 40%) Lesse Financier finance by way of term loans Airplane Satellites Ships Rails Off-shore drinking Nuclear machines Power generation plants Large chemical plants Gas pipe lines
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
33
Leveraged Lease
Loan is secured by first lien in the equipment by an assignment of leased equipment and leased rental payments Basic documents used..,
Participation agreement signed by all parties Trust agreement Indenture trust Lease agreement for tax shield associated with asset ownership and residual value of asset
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
34
17
Direct Lease
Repairs Maintenance Taxes Duration: 3 or more years Lessor holds the title At expiration: lessee may renew or purchase Full payout
Features..,
35
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Master lease: blanket leasing Percentage lease: flat rental + additional rental over and above a revenue Wet and dry lease used in airline industry Triple net lease net of insurance, maintenance, taxes . Closed end and open end lease ownership possibilities opened to lessee Swap lease exchange assets in need of major repairs Full pay-out lease True lease fully goes with the local rules and regulations of a country Wash lease tax benefit transferred to investor Upgrade lease used in obsolescence Capital lease to transfer ownership to lessee at the end of lease term Employee lease transferring employees to Lessor and leasing it back
36
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
18
Why Leasing?
Benefits to lessee..,
Leasing 100% financing Offers cash flow benefits Off balance sheet financing Avoidance of loan covenants Tax planning Creation of working capital Hedge against risk of inflation and obsolescence Fast and flexible financing To over come monopoly act Used in non-priority sector and service sector
37
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Why Leasing?
Benefits to lessor..,
Additional financial product Reduces risk Increases profitability Accelerates sales Higher leverage [Max. of 10:1] No gestation period Low cost of operations
38
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
19
Discussion Question
39
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Amtrak ..,
Never been profitable Should become self sufficient by 2002 (3 years away)
Acela the key to self sufficiency [investment decision has been already made]
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
40
20
Discussion Question
41
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Ownership test: ownership transferred to lessee at the end of lease Alternative ownership test: lessee has right to buy asset at a price substantially below fair market price Economic life test: lease term >= 75% of estimated economic life of the asset Value test: PV of minimum lease payment >= 90% of fair market value of asset at the time of lease
42
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
21
Discussion Question
Which alternative to choose? What are the key bets in the decision?
43
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Lease financing
Increases companys debt capacity Public market is saturated with Amtrak debt Also includes interest component Investors will not recognize a financial lease liability as a form of debt?
44
22
Discussion Question
Is there really a difference between formally owning an asset, on the one hand, and being entitled full use of the asset even without formal ownership, on the other?
45
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
In world of no taxes; leasing = borrow-and-buy Lease amount higher or lower indifference point would result in value destruction for both parties
46
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
23
Difference between Lessor and Lessee Creating More Value for Lease
Tax rate differences between lessor and lessee Realizing depreciation deduction by lessor and lessee Asset acquisition and maintenance cost specialization or scale of economies Realizing salvage values superiority of property knowledge Leverage abilities between lessor and lessee difference in interest deductibility
47
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Discussion Question
What, in your view, are the advantages of leasing over debt and vice versa? Instances in which leasing makes sense?
48
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
24
Cash flows
Outflow: lease payments No tax shields on lease payments Amtrak has no tax benefits Not entitled for residual value of $40.2 million WACC: 11.8% Interest rate: 6.75% - appropriate rate to be used
Discount rate
49
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Cash Flow Analysis of Lease Alternative (in Million Dollars) Discount rate Tax rate After-tax interest rate Lease payments Tax shield on lease payments After-tax lease payments Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Lease payments Tax shield on lease payments After-tax lease payments Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Lease payments Tax shield on lease payments After-tax lease payments Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Time Period Lease payments Tax shield on lease payments After-tax lease payments Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Time Period Lease payments Tax shield on lease payments After-tax lease payments Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D 6.75% 0.00% 6.75% 0
1 (0.20) 0.00 (0.20) (0.20) (0.19) 11 (10.42) 0.00 (10.42) (10.42) (7.23) 21 (20.22) 0.00 (20.22) (20.22) (10.07) 31 (20.02) 0.00 (20.02) (20.02) (7.15) 41 (6.65) 0.00 (6.65) (6.65) (1.71)
2 (3.76) 0.00 (3.76) (3.76) (3.52) 12 (9.68) 0.00 (9.68) (9.68) (6.50) 22 (5.07) 0.00 (5.07) (5.07) (2.44) 32 (6.07) 0.00 (6.07) (6.07) (2.10) 42 (2.04) 0.00 (2.04) (2.04) (0.50)
3 (7.97) 0.00 (7.97) (7.97) (7.21) 13 (10.44) 0.00 (10.44) (10.44) (6.78) 23 (15.87) 0.00 (15.87) (15.87) (7.40) 33 (6.29) 0.00 (6.29) (6.29) (2.10) 43 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
4 (10.02) 0.00 (10.02) (10.02) (8.78) 14 (8.58) 0.00 (8.58) (8.58) (5.39) 24 (4.12) 0.00 (4.12) (4.12) (1.86) 34 (12.29) 0.00 (12.29) (12.29) (3.98) 44
5 (10.32) 0.00 (10.32) (10.32) (8.74) 15 (11.60) 0.00 (11.60) (11.60) (7.05) 25 (22.81) 0.00 (22.81) (22.81) (9.95) 35 (21.39) 0.00 (21.39) (21.39) (6.70) 45
6 (8.62) 0.00 (8.62) (8.62) (7.06) 16 (7.34) 0.00 (7.34) (7.34) (4.31) 26 (3.34) 0.00 (3.34) (3.34) (1.41) 36 (6.55) 0.00 (6.55) (6.55) (1.98) 46
7 (10.36) 0.00 (10.36) (10.36) (8.21) 17 (11.47) 0.00 (11.47) (11.47) (6.52) 27 (23.65) 0.00 (23.65) (23.65) (9.65) 37 (18.11) 0.00 (18.11) (18.11) (5.30) 47
8 (9.83) 0.00 (9.83) (9.83) (7.54) 18 (9.48) 0.00 (9.48) (9.48) (5.21) 28 (2.66) 0.00 (2.66) (2.66) (1.05) 38 (8.61) 0.00 (8.61) (8.61) (2.44) 48
9 (10.37) 0.00 (10.37) (10.37) (7.69) 19 (15.79) 0.00 (15.79) (15.79) (8.41) 29 (24.06) 0.00 (24.06) (24.06) (9.19) 39 (13.47) 0.00 (13.47) (13.47) (3.69) 49
10 (8.61) 0.00 (8.61) (8.61) (6.18) 20 (7.77) 0.00 (7.77) (7.77) (4.00) 30 (1.96) 0.00 (1.96) (1.96) (0.72) 40 (8.86) 0.00 (8.86) (8.86) (2.35) 50
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
50
(220.26)
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
25
Cash flows
Inflow: debt proceeds Outflow 1: debt proceeds used to finance the equipment Outflow 2: interest and principal repayments No interest tax shields Amtrak has no tax benefits Depreciation tax shield: 0 Entitled to residual value of equipment
51
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Discount rate Tax rate After-tax interest rate Useful life of equipment Debt Purchase of equipment Principal repayment Interest expense Interest tax shields Depreciation tax shield Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Principal repayment Interest expense Interest tax shields Depreciation tax shield Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Principal repayment Interest expense Interest tax shields Depreciation tax shield Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Principal repayment Interest expense Interest tax shields Depreciation tax shield Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Principal repayment Interest expense Interest tax shields Depreciation tax shield Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D
Cash Flow Analysis of Borrow-and-Buy Alternative (In Million Dollars) 6.75% 0.00% 6.75% 25 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 267.90 (267.90) (3.26) (3.37) (3.49) (3.60) (3.72) (3.85) (3.98) (4.11) (9.04) (8.93) (8.82) (8.70) (8.58) (8.45) (8.32) (8.19) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (12.30) (12.30) (11.90) (11.51) 11 12 (4.55) (4.70) (7.76) (7.60) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 (12.30) (12.30) (8.54) (8.26) 21 22 (6.33) (6.55) (5.97) (5.75) 0.00 0.00 (12.30) (11.14) 13 (4.86) (7.45) 0.00 0.00 (12.30) (7.99) 23 (6.77) (5.53) 0.00 (12.30) (10.77) 14 (5.02) (7.28) 0.00 0.00 (12.30) (7.73) 24 (7.00) (5.31) 0.00 (12.30) (10.42) 15 (5.19) (7.11) 0.00 (12.30) (12.30) (10.08) (9.75) 16 17 (5.37) (5.55) (6.94) (6.76) 0.00 0.00 (12.30) (9.43) 18 (5.73) (6.57) 0.00
10
Sums
(102.97)
(12.30) (12.30) (7.23) (7.00) 26 27 (7.48) (7.73) (4.83) (4.57) 0.00 0.00
(73.88)
(12.30) (12.30) (6.13) (5.93) 31 32 (8.83) (9.13) (3.48) (3.18) 0.00 0.00
(12.30) (12.30) (5.19) (5.02) 36 37 (10.42) (10.77) (1.88) (1.53) 0.00 0.00
(53.01)
(12.30) (4.40) 41
(12.30) (4.25) 42
(12.30) (4.11) 43
(12.30) (3.98) 44
(12.30) (3.85) 45
(12.30) (3.49) 48
(12.30) (3.37) 49
(12.30) (3.26) 50
(38.04)
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
7.64
52
NPV of Borrow-and-Buy
(260.26)
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
26
NPV of interest and principal repayment cash flows discounted by cost of debt will result in cost of debt Difference in NPV Residual value claim of Amtrak at the end of 25 years Leasing is superior cheaper by $40 million
53
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Discussion Question
What happens to the decision on NPV when Amtrak start making profit and starts claiming any tax shields?
54
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
27
Tax shields on lease payments are no longer zero Interest and depreciation tax shields are also positive
Discount rate: after tax cost of debt NPV advantage on leasing is eliminated when taxes are assumed Better to borrow and buy Leasing makes sense; when lessor can use tax shields more effectively than lessee
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
55
No Tax Lease
56
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
28
Cash Flow Analysis of Lease Alternative (in Million Dollars) Discount rate Tax rate After-tax interest rate Lease payments Tax shield on lease payments After-tax lease payments Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Lease payments Tax shield on lease payments After-tax lease payments Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Lease payments Tax shield on lease payments After-tax lease payments Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Time Period Lease payments Tax shield on lease payments After-tax lease payments Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Time Period Lease payments Tax shield on lease payments After-tax lease payments Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D 6.75% 38.00% 4.19% 0
1 (0.20) 0.08 (0.12) (0.12) (0.12) 11 (10.42) 3.96 (6.46) (6.46) (5.14) 21 (20.22) 7.69 (12.54) (12.54) (8.12) 31 (20.02) 7.61 (12.41) (12.41) (6.53) 41 (6.65) 2.53 (4.13) (4.13) (1.76)
2 (3.76) 1.43 (2.33) (2.33) (2.24) 12 (9.68) 3.68 (6.00) (6.00) (4.68) 22 (5.07) 1.93 (3.14) (3.14) (1.99) 32 (6.07) 2.31 (3.76) (3.76) (1.94) 42 (2.04) 0.77 (1.26) (1.26) (0.53)
3 (7.97) 3.03 (4.94) (4.94) (4.64) 13 (10.44) 3.97 (6.47) (6.47) (4.94) 23 (15.87) 6.03 (9.84) (9.84) (6.11) 33 (6.29) 2.39 (3.90) (3.90) (1.97) 43 (0.00) 0.00 (0.00) (0.00) (0.00)
4 (10.02) 3.81 (6.21) (6.21) (5.72) 14 (8.58) 3.26 (5.32) (5.32) (3.98) 24 (4.12) 1.57 (2.56) (2.56) (1.55) 34 (12.29) 4.67 (7.62) (7.62) (3.77) 44
5 (10.32) 3.92 (6.40) (6.40) (5.77) 15 (11.60) 4.41 (7.19) (7.19) (5.27) 25 (22.81) 8.67 (14.14) (14.14) (8.43) 35 (21.39) 8.13 (13.26) (13.26) (6.43) 45
6 (8.62) 3.27 (5.34) (5.34) (4.72) 16 (7.34) 2.79 (4.55) (4.55) (3.27) 26 (3.34) 1.27 (2.07) (2.07) (1.21) 36 (6.55) 2.49 (4.06) (4.06) (1.93) 46
7 (10.36) 3.94 (6.42) (6.42) (5.56) 17 (11.47) 4.36 (7.11) (7.11) (5.00) 27 (23.65) 8.99 (14.66) (14.66) (8.38) 37 (18.11) 6.88 (11.23) (11.23) (5.22) 47
8 (9.83) 3.73 (6.09) (6.09) (5.16) 18 (9.48) 3.60 (5.87) (5.87) (4.05) 28 (2.66) 1.01 (1.65) (1.65) (0.92) 38 (8.61) 3.27 (5.34) (5.34) (2.43) 48
9 (10.37) 3.94 (6.43) (6.43) (5.34) 19 (15.79) 6.00 (9.79) (9.79) (6.61) 29 (24.06) 9.14 (14.91) (14.91) (8.18) 39 (13.47) 5.12 (8.35) (8.35) (3.72) 49
10 (8.61) 3.27 (5.34) (5.34) (4.34) 20 (7.77) 2.95 (4.81) (4.81) (3.18) 30 (1.96) 0.74 (1.21) (1.21) (0.65) 40 (8.86) 3.37 (5.50) (5.50) (2.40) 50
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
57
(173.90)
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Discount rate Tax rate After-tax interest rate Useful life of equipment Debt Purchase of equipment Principal repayment Interest expense Interest tax shields Depreciation tax shield Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Principal repayment Interest expense Interest tax shields Depreciation tax shield Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Principal repayment Interest expense Interest tax shields Depreciation tax shield Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Principal repayment Interest expense Interest tax shields Depreciation tax shield Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D Principal repayment Interest expense Interest tax shields Depreciation tax shield Residual value Total cash flows Discounted flows @ K D
Cash Flow Analysis of Borrow-and-Buy Alternative (In Million Dollars) 6.75% 38.00% 4.19% 25 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 267.90 (267.90) (3.26) (3.37) (3.49) (3.60) (3.72) (3.85) (3.98) (4.11) (9.04) (8.93) (8.82) (8.70) (8.58) (8.45) (8.32) (8.19) 3.44 3.39 3.35 3.31 3.26 3.21 3.16 3.11 7.27 7.27 12.47 12.47 8.90 8.90 6.36 6.36 (1.59) (1.56) 11 (4.55) (7.76) 2.95 4.55 (4.81) (3.83) 21 (6.33) (5.97) 2.27 (1.64) (1.57) 12 (4.70) (7.60) 2.89 4.55 (4.87) (3.80) 22 (6.55) (5.75) 2.19 3.51 3.30 13 (4.86) (7.45) 2.83 2.27 (7.21) (5.51) 23 (6.77) (5.53) 2.10 3.47 3.19 14 (5.02) (7.28) 2.77 2.27 (7.27) (5.44) 24 (7.00) (5.31) 2.02 (0.14) (0.13) 15 (5.19) (7.11) 2.70 (0.19) (0.17) 16 (5.37) (6.94) 2.64 (2.78) (2.41) 17 (5.55) (6.76) 2.57 (2.83) (2.40) 18 (5.73) (6.57) 2.50
10
Sums
(9.50)
(59.40)
(10.03) (10.12) (10.20) (10.29) (10.38) (10.47) (10.57) (10.66) (6.50) (6.41) (6.33) (6.26) (6.18) (6.11) (6.04) (5.97) 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 (8.83) (9.13) (9.43) (9.75) (10.08) (10.42) (10.77) (11.14) (3.48) (3.18) (2.87) (2.55) (2.22) (1.88) (1.53) (1.17) 1.32 1.21 1.09 0.97 0.84 0.71 0.58 0.44
(10.77) (10.87) (5.91) (5.84) 39 40 (11.51) (11.90) (0.79) (0.40) 0.30 0.15
(61.56)
(11.21) (5.66) 43
(11.33) (5.61) 44
(11.72) (5.45) 47
(12.15) (5.31) 50
(55.32)
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
0.00 0.00
14.27
58
NPV of Borrow-and-Buy
(171.51)
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
29
Amtrak would acquire equipment from BNYCF in 2017 for $126.6 million Type: simple European call option Valuation model: BSM WACC
Avg yield on 30-year bond: 5.5% Assumed market equity weight: 100% Assumed beta: 1 Market risk premium: 6% Cost of equity: 11.5% [referred in case is 11.8%]
59
Underlying asset value $17 Mil ion (Present value of strike price of 126.6 million 18 years from now discounted at WACC 11.8%) Strike price $126.6 Mil ion Purchase price os asset Maturity 18.5 years (June 1999 to Dec 2017) Risk-free rate 6% 5% to 6% Volatility 25% Footnote 10; volatility estimate of locomotive and train cars Option Vlaue (BSM) $2.97 Million
60
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
30
Adjusted NPV
No Tax Lease
61
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
Discussion Question
What, in your view, are the advantages of leasing over debt and vice versa?
62
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
31
Little options holding significant value Lessor can purchase equipment more cost effectively; tax deductions for..,
Interest Depreciation
63
IIMI/PGP/Finance II/2008
32