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URANIUM REACTION
Switzerlands anti-nuclear stance softening?
Reports from Switzerland indicate that a Senate committee has drafted three texts on nuclear policy that would all keep the door open for nuclear power, but would ban current generation designs. This appears to be a notable softening in the stance of a country that saw its National Council approve three texts that banned construction of all new reactors. The Senate-generated texts would consider Generation-III reactor designs, which are expected to include enhanced safety features over the current Generation-II designs. The Swiss Senate is expected to vote on the new texts on September 28. After which it will then be sent back to the National Council for debate and vote. Once approved, the cabinet would draft enacting legislation that would then be debated in both houses again. Switzerland is one of the three countries with the most adverse reactions to nuclear power post-Fukushima (the others being Germany and Italy). With countries around the world moving forward with nuclear power, the actions of the Swiss Senate may indicate a softening in their stance. In other Swiss news, the countrys Federal Nuclear Safety Commission declared that Switzerlands five nuclear power stations can cope with the kind of severe flooding that only occurs once in every 10,000 years. An assessment of their ability to withstand major earthquakes is expected in March 2012.
Equity Research
Rob Chang
rchang@versantpartners.com (416) 849-5008 (866) 442-4485 Sales/Trading Montreal: (514) 845-8111, (800) 465-5616; Toronto: (416) 363-5757, (866) 442-4485 See disclosure and a description of our recommendation structure at the end of this report.
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Company Name Cameco Uranium One Uranium Participation Fission Energy Kivalliq Energy Energy Fuels Average S&P TSX Global Base Metals Index
Source: Versant Partners
Weekly Since Inception -0.4% 3.0% -8.6% -11.6% -1.3% 1.4% -1.4% 40.0% -17.1% 3.0% 4.8% 6.5% -4.0% 7.0% 4.7% -1.9%
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Uranium Update
September 9, 2011
IF CASH IS KING
Uranium equities trading at the lowest multiples relative to their most recently reported balance sheet cash positions are the following:
Exhibit 4. Top 10 Uranium Companies - Price to Balance Sheet Cash
September 9, 2011 Company Name Stage All figures in $CAD Stock Price $0.26 $0.24 $0.03 $0.19 $0.08 $0.19 $0.12 $0.17 $0.13 $0.27 Market Cap (MM) 13.46 13.60 9.95 20.48 5.56 64.82 23.25 14.35 13.43 14.64 Enterprise Value (MM) -4.69 1.42 2.69 5.99 1.95 30.97 10.88 5.04 17.27 10.00 Price/Cash 0.7x 1.1x 1.4x 1.4x 1.5x 1.7x 1.9x 1.9x 2.0x 2.3x Cash (MM) 19.7 12.75 7.26 14.49 3.61 37.26 12.37 7.63 6.86 6.27 Shares O/S 51.75 56.68 331.71 107.78 69.50 341.17 193.73 84.44 103.30 54.23
Continental Precious Minerals, Inc. (TSX:CZQ) Exploration Tigris Uranium Corp. (TSXV:TU) Exploration Australian American Mining Corporation Limited (ASX:AIW) Pre-Feasibility Macusani Yellowcake, Inc. (TSXV:YEL) Exploration Energia Minerals Limited (ASX:EMX) Exploration Alliance Resources Ltd. (ASX:AGS) Development Tournigan Energy Ltd. (TSXV:TVC) Pre-Feasibility Uranium North Resources Corp. (TSXV:UNR) Exploration Powertech Uranium Corp. (TSX:PWE) Pre-Feasibility Khan Resources Inc. (TSX:KRI) Feasibility
Global # of 43-101/JORC Stage Resource Constituents EV/Lb Avg EV/Lb Avg Producer 7 $7.22 $8.47 Developer 4 $3.83 $3.55 Feasibility 7 $0.66 $0.61 Pre-Feasibility 10 $1.40 $1.20 Exploration 32 $1.75 $1.46 60 $1.92 $2.05
*Results higher than three standard deviations are removed from the calculation of averages Source: Versant Partners
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Uranium Update
September 9, 2011
CCO TSX Cameco Corp. (TSX:CCO) Production DML TSX Denison Mines Corp. (TSX:DML) Production ERA ASX Energy Resources of Australia Ltd. (ASX:ERA) Production PDN TSX Paladin Energy, Ltd. (TSX:PDN) Production UEC AMEX Uranium Energy Corp. (AMEX:UEC) Production UUU TSX Uranium One Inc. (TSX:UUU) Production WU TSXV White Canyon Uranium Ltd. (TSXV:WU) Production AGS ASX Alliance Resources Ltd. (ASX:AGS) Development EFR TSX Energy Fuels Inc. (TSX:EFR) Development URZ amex Uranerz Energy Corp. (AMEX:URZ) Development URE TSX UR-Energy Inc. (TSX:URE) Development ACB ASX A-Cap Resources Ltd. (ASX:ACB) Feasibility BAN TSX Bannerman Resources Limited (TSX:BAN) Feasibility BKY ASX Berkeley Resources Ltd. (ASX:BKY) Feasibility KRI TSX Khan Resources Inc. (TSX:KRI) Feasibility MGA TSX Mega Uranium Ltd. (TSX:MGA) Feasibility STM TSX Strathmore Minerals Corp. (TSX:STM) Feasibility TUE TSXV Titan Uranium Inc. (TSXV:TUE) Feasibility AIW ASX Australian American Mining Corporation Limited (ASX:AIW) Pre-Feasibility BYU TSXV Bayswater Uranium Corp. (TSXV:BYU) Pre-Feasibility FSY TSX Forsys Metals Corp. (TSX:FSY) Pre-Feasibility LAM TSX Laramide Resources Ltd. (TSX:LAM) Pre-Feasibility PEN ASX Peninsula Energy Limited (ASX:PEN) Pre-Feasibility PWE TSX Powertech Uranium Corp. (TSX:PWE) Pre-Feasibility RSC TSX Strateco Resources Inc. (TSX:RSC) Pre-Feasibility TOE ASX Toro Energy Ltd (ASX:TOE) Pre-Feasibility TVC TSXV Tournigan Energy Ltd. (TSXV:TVC) Pre-Feasibility UNX ASX Uranex NL (ASX:UNX) Pre-Feasibility ABE TSXV Abitex Resources Inc. (TSXV:ABE) Exploration AEE ASX Aura Energy Limited (ASX:AEE) Exploration CZQ TSX Continental Precious Minerals, Inc. (TSX:CZQ) Exploration CXZ AMEX Crosshair Exploration & Mining Corp. (AMEX:CXZ) Exploration CUE TSXV Cue Resources Ltd (TSXV:CUE) Exploration DYL ASX Deep Yellow Ltd. (ASX:DYL) Exploration EMX ASX Energia Minerals Limited (ASX:EMX) Exploration EME ASX Energy Metals Limited (ASX:EME) Exploration EXT ASX Extract Resources Ltd. (ASX:EXT) Exploration FIS TSXV Fission Energy Corp. (TSXV:FIS) Exploration FTE ASX Forte Energy NL (ASX:FTE) Exploration HAT TSX Hathor Exploration Ltd. (TSX:HAT) Exploration JNN TSXV JNR Resources Inc. (TSXV:JNN) Exploration KIV TSXV Kivalliq Energy Corp. (TSXV:KIV) Exploration YEL TSXV Macusani Yellowcake, Inc. (TSXV:YEL) Exploration MEY ASX Marenica Energy Ltd (ASX:MEY) Exploration MAW TSX Mawson Resources Ltd. (TSX:MAW) Exploration GEM TSXV Pele Mountain Resources Inc. (TSXV:GEM) Exploration PIT TSXV Pitchblack Resources Ltd. (TSXV:PIT) Exploration PXP TSXV Pitchstone Exploration Ltd. (TSXV:PXP) Exploration RGT TSX Rockgate Capital Corp. (TSX:RGT) Exploration SMM ASX Summit Resources Ltd. (ASX:SMM) Exploration TU TSXV Tigris Uranium Corp. (TSXV:TU) Exploration UWE TSXV U308 Corp. (TSXV:UWE) Exploration UEX TSX UEX Corp. (TSX:UEX) Exploration ULU TSXV Ultra Uranium Corp. (TSXV:ULU) Exploration URC TSXV Uracan Resources, Ltd. (TSXV:URC) Exploration UNR TSXV Uranium North Resources Corp. (TSXV:UNR) Exploration URRE NASDAQ Uranium Resources, Inc. (NasdaqCM:URRE) Exploration USA ASX Uraniumsa Limited (ASX:USA) Exploration VEM TSX Vena Resources Inc. (TSX:VEM) Exploration VAE TSXV Virginia Energy Resources Inc. (TSXV:VAE) Exploration
Total 1,048.64 333.33 663.59 522.74 42.27 209.14 1.96 17.50 17.32 19.06 27.43 157.80 170.08 78.05 38.69 39.32 106.87 31.05 12.31 45.35 86.70 65.03 41.00 23.91 29.03 30.61 61.15 29.74 6.59 638.00 1,067.71 19.00 9.50 49.89 7.46 16.98 513.21 24.89 11.60 57.94 0.93 14.15 27.34 68.00 125.29 46.63 29.00 4.10 27.75 62.14 32.08 55.24 88.25 5.49 43.95 9.71 109.15 22.90 16.90 31.96
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Uranium Update
September 9, 2011
Analyst certification
The research analyst whose name appears on this report hereby certifies that the opinions and recommendations expressed herein accurately reflect his personal views about the securities, issuers or industries discussed herein.
Definitions of recommendations
BUY: The stock is attractively priced relative to the companys fundamentals and we expect it to appreciate significantly from the current price over the next 6 to 12 months.
BUY (Speculative): The stock is attractively priced relative to the companys fundamentals, however investment in the security carries a higher degree of risk. NEUTRAL: The stock is fairly valued, lacks a near term catalyst, or its execution risk is such that we expect it to trade within a narrow range of the current price in the next 6 to 12 months. The longer term fundamental value of the company may be materially higher, but certain milestones/catalysts have yet to be fully realized. SELL: The stock is overpriced relative to the companys fundamentals, and we expect it to decline from the current price over the next 6 to 12 months. TENDER: We believe the offer price by the acquirer is fair and thus recommend investors tender their shares to the offer. UNDER REVIEW: We are temporarily placing our recommendation under review until further information is disclosed.
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