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2 0 1 2 W O RLD O F C O RN
w w w. n c g a . c o m
C o r n . Pa s t , P r e s e n t a n d F u t u r e .
Th e w o r l d o f c o r n h a s c o m e a l o n g wa y s i n c e t h e d a y a s i n g l e s e e d ke r n e l wa s p l a n t e d n e x t t o a f i s h f o r f e r t i l i z e r. G i v e n t h o s e h u m b l e b e g i n n i n g s , i t s i n c r e d i b l e t o i m a g i n e t h a t 1 0 y e a r s f r o m n o w , A m e r i c a n f a r m e r s w i l l b e p r o d u c i n g 17 b i l l i o n b u s h e l s a n n u a l l y. Wa n t a b e t t e r u n d e r s t a n d i n g o f t h a t n u m b e r ? Ta k e a l o o k a t t h e c o m p l i m e n t a r y t i m e l i n e poster weve enclosed to see where corn has been. We c a n o n l y i m a g i n e h o w m u c h f u r t h e r i t w i l l g o. Garry Niemeyer, President R i c k To l m a n , C E O
Organizations
CORN PROCESSING
Corn Refiners Association U.S. Poultry & Egg Association Kentucky Corn Growers Association Kentucky Corn Promotion Council Corn Growers Association of North Carolina
STATE ORGANIZATIONS
Alabama Soybean and Corn Association
(502) 243-4150 (800) 326-0906 Laura Knoth, Executive Director laura@kycorn.org www.kycorn.org
Louisiana Soybean and Grain Research and Promotion Board
CORN INPUT
American Seed Trade Association
CORN EXPORTS
U.S. Grains Council
(517) 668-CORN (2676) corninfo@micorn.org Jody Pollok-Newsom, Executive Director jpollok@micorn.org www.micorn.org
Minnesota Corn Growers Association Minnesota Corn Research and Promotion Council
CORN FUTURES
CME Group
RENEWABLE FUELS
American Coalition for Ethanol
(402) 471-CORN (2676) (800) 632-6761 Don Hutchens, Executive Director don.hutchens@nebraska.gov www.nebraskacorn.org
Nebraska Corn Growers Association
(806) 763-CORN (2676) David Gibson, Executive Vice President dgibson@texascorn.org www.texascorn.org
Virginia Corn, Soybean and Small Grains Boards
(402) 438-6459 (888) 267-6479 Scott Merritt, Executive Director smerritt@necga.org www.necga.org
New York Corn & Soybean Growers Association
Corn Production
ONE BUSHEL (56 LBS.) OF CORN PROVIDES: TOTAL DIGESTIBLE NUTRIENTS:
Cracked corn: 90% Shelled corn: 88% Ear corn: 90%
33 lbs. of sweetener
or
91.9 million
acres planted
84.0 million
acres harvested bushels produced corn crop value
$0.18 $0.84 $1.31 $14.39
Sorghum
Wheat
Soybeans
Corn
$6.20
Alabama Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming U.S.
81 43 620 815 2,060 3,220 190 51 960 330 4,950 735 1,470 30 340 125 31 3,320 70 83,981
123 180 133 84 105 158 90 215 111 65 132 131 93 164 118 225 114 156 130 147.2
9,963 7,740 82,460 68,460 216,300 508,760 17,100 10,965 106,560 21,450 653,400 96,285 136,710 4,920 40,120 28,125 3,534 517,920 9,100 12,358,412
$35.76
149.1
150.7
31
24.5
41
31.2
51
36.9
61
62.4
71
88.1
15.5% Wheat
18.9% Hay
81
108.9
91
108.6
Cotton 3.3%
01
02
129.3
03
142.2
04
05
147.9
06
07
08
Thousand Acres Corn (grain) Corn (silage) Soybeans Hay Wheat Cotton Sorghum (grain) Sorghum (silage) Rice Barley Total 83,981 Sunflower 5,928 Sugar Beets 55,633 Peanuts 45,705 Potatoes 9,748 Canola 3,929 Oats 224 Sugar Cane 2,618 Lentils 2,239 Dry Edible Peas 1,458 Proso Millet 1,213 Tobacco 1,098 Flaxseed 1,077 Sweet Potatoes 1,043 Safflower 939 Peppermint 873 Other 411 Hops 343 Mustard Seed 338 325 242
8,119
130 127 38 30 22
31 41 51 61 71 2,230 2,414 2,629
74
3,598
5,646
81
91
7,475
01
02
8,967
173
9,503
03
04
05
06
10,531
07
08
12,092
294,750
86,837
85,982
84,097
83,275
78,894
78,603
80,929
81,779
78,327
86,382
88,192
74,179
75,957
75,702
65,919
$2.50
$2.37
$2.32
$2.42
$1.97
$2.06
$1.66
$1.10
31
$0.29
41
$0.74
51
61
71
$1.08
81
91
01
02
03
04
05
$2.00
06
$3.04
07
31
41
51
61
71
81
91
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
*Estimated **Projected for crop year 9/11 8/12 Source: USDA, WAOB, World Agriculture Supply & Demand Estimates, 1/12/12
71,191
70,944
69,330
70,638
68,822
57,634
64,123
68,768
24.48
24.38
20.20
41 1.78
31 0.66
51
4.36
61
3.94
71
6.10
81
91
17.86
01
18.88
02
20.88
03
04
05
22.20
06
32.09
07
31
41
51
61
71
81
91
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
*Estimated **Projected for crop year 9/11 8/12 Source: USDA, World Agriculture Supply & Demand Estimates, 1/12/12
08
49.09
08
11
12,358
Million Bushels
11
147.2
12,358 7,549 2,532 2,401 1,024 886 827 807 492 421 4,877 34,174
EU-27 Brazil Argentina Ukraine India Mexico S. Africa Canada Other Total
Source: USDA FAS, Grain: World Markets and Trade, 1/12/12 *Marketing Year 10/01/11 9/30/12
Million Bushels Japan Mexico S. Korea Egypt Taiwan China Colombia Iran Malaysia EU-27 Other Total 634 386 315 236 170 157 154 138 130 118 1,289 3,727
Source: USDA FAS, Grain: World Markets and Trade, 1/12/12 *Marketing Year 10/01/11 9/30/12
Million Bushels
409
413
453
634
744
Mexico
1,193
2,047
EU-27
2,555
Egypt
S. Africa
Canada
Japan
India
Brazil
China
Others
U.S.
Source: USDA FAS, Grain: World Markets and Trade, 1/12/12 *Marketing Year 10/01/11 9/30/12
Corn Consumption
U.S. CORN USAGE BY SEGMENT, 2011
HFCS 4.1% 7.1% Other 13.0% Export
Million Bushels
02
03
04
05
06
07
08 535
Million Bushels Feed & Residual Export Fuel Ethanol Corn displaced by DDG/CGF DDG exported High-Fructose Corn Syrup FSI Sweeteners Starch Cereal/Other Beverage Alcohol Seed Total FSI Total Uses 4,600 1,650 5,000 (1,266) (281) 520 265 260
91
96
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08 08 06 234
Source: USDA ERS, Feed Outlook, 1/13/12 *Crop year ending 8/31/12
Source: USDA ERS, Feed Outlook, 1/12 *Crop year ending 8/31/12 Note: Of the 5,000 million bushels of corn for ethanol, the equivalent of 1,266 million bushels of corn was produced in dried distillers grains and corn gluten feed for domestic use, and an additional 281 million bushels of dried distillers grains were exported.
86
91
96
01
02
03
04
05
06
Million Bushels
5,025
Source: USDA ERS, Feed Outlook, 1/13/12 *Crop year ending 8/31/12
86
1,233
91
1,534
96
1,714
01
2,062
02
2,355
03
2,549
04
2,707
05
3,019
06
3,541
07
4,442
08
09
10
11
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
Source: USDA ERS, Feed Outlook, 1/13/12 *Crop year ending 8/31/12
Source: USDA ERS, Feed Outlook *Projection Note: FSI includes corn used for ethanol, dried distillers grains and corn gluten feed.
05
07
09
202
86
338
09
189
253
329
342
569
914
923
Million Bushels
171
210
86
290
91
398
96
429
01
707
02
996
03
1,168
04
1,323
05
1,603
06
2,119
07
08
09
86
91
96
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
Source: USDA ERS, Feed Outlook, 1/13/12 *Crop year ending 8/31/12
Source: USDA ERS, Feed Outlook, 1/13/12 *Crop year ending 8/31/12. Includes approximately 1.3 billion bushels to be used as distillers grains for livestock feed. Source: ProExporter Network. Similar ratios apply for previous years.
Million Bushels
2,177 2,229 2,134 1,979 2,125 1,937 1,941 1,905 1,900 1,794 1,660 1,818
1,327
Under Nameplate Operating Construction/ Expansion 55.0 55.0 0 254.5 125.0 100.4 54.0 1,486.0 1,136.6 3,625.0 491.5 35.4 1.5 268.0 1,147.1 54.0 251.0 2,089.0 30.0 164.0 0 393.0 538.0 149.0 110.0 1,016.0 225.0 355.0 65.0 504.0 11.5 14,745.9 178.0 125.0 100.4 54.0 1,486.0 1,148.0 3,625.0 411.5 35.4 1.5 268.0 1,129.1 54.0 251.0 1,954.0 0 164.0 0 383.0 478.0 41.0 0 1,016.0 225.0 355.0 0 504.0 11.5 14,053.4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25
1,503
1,588
Total 55.0 254.5 125.0 100.4 110.0 1,486.0 1,148.0 3,625.0 516.5 35.4 1.5 268.0 1,147.0 54.0 251.0 2,089.0 30.0 164.0 0 393.0 538.0 149.0 110.0 1,016.0 225.0 355.0 65.0 504.0 11.5 14,770.9
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Nebraska New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oregon Pennsylvania South Dakota Tennessee Texas Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Source: USDA, WAOB, World Agriculture Supply & Demand Estimates, 1/12/12 *Estimate **Projection
Million Bushels
86
109
91
128
96
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
Source: USDA ERS, Feed Outlook, 1/13/12 *Crop year ending 8/31/12
131
130
86
95
91
96
01
131
02
03
132
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
11
Total
Source: USDA ERS, Feed Outlook, 1/13/12 *Crop year ending 8/31/12
11
KEVIN
IOWA FARMER
Im an American farmer. I grow more food now compared to a few decades agousing nearly half the energy and fewer resources for every bushel produced.
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www.ncga.com