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HydrologicDesign
DaeneC.McKinney
n P ( N , n) = N +n
What is: P[largest flood of last N years will be exceeded in N years] ?
Risk
Structure may fail if event exceeds T Year design magnitude StructuremayfailifeventexceedsT Yeardesignmagnitude i.e.,Pr[eventoccursatleastonceinn years] Naturalinherentriskoffailure
1 R = 1 [1 P ( X xT )]n = 1 1 T
P ( X xT ) =
1 T
HYDRO35(1977)
Durations:5to60minutes Recurrenceintervals:2to100years
Asquith(1998*)
Durations:15minutesto7days Recurrenceintervals:2to500years
Asquith, W.H., Depth-Duration Frequency of Precipitation for Texas WRI 98-4044, U.S. Geological Survey, Austin, Texas 1998
Example
Find the 25year 30minute design rainfall depth for Findthe25 year30 minutedesignrainfalldepthfor OKCity
Getvaluesof15 and60minuterainfallfor2 and100 yearreturnperiods
P2 yr,15 min = 1.02 in. P yr,15 min = 1.86 in. 100 P2 yr,60 min = 1.85 in. P yr,60 min = 3.80 in. 100
Example
P2 yr,30 min = 0.51(1.02) + 0.49(1.85) = 1.43 in.
P yr,30 min = 0.51P yr,15 min + 0.49 P yr,60 min 100 100 100 P yr,30 min = 0.51(1.86) + 0.49(3.80) = 2.81in. 100
P25 yr,30 min = aP2 yr,30 min + bP yr,30 min P 100 P25 yr,30 min = 0.293(1.43) + 0.669( 2.81) = 2.30 in.
i= =
(Td )e + f
97.4
Houston (10-year)
(20)0.77 + 4.8
= 6.56 in. i= = c
i=
(Td )e + f
(Td )e + f
20.3
(20)0.63 + 2.06
= 2.34 in.
i=
(Td )e + f
a
i=
(Td + b )c
i= =
(Td + b )c
96.84
(20 + 15.88)0.7952
= 5.62 in / hr
IDF IDFsyntheticpatterns th ti tt
hyetographdevelopedfromIDF curves
SCSsyntheticpatterns
SCS bt i d i f ll tt SCSobtainedrainfallpatternsusing i generalizedIDFvalues DividedtheUSintozones
ta
Rainfall intensity, i l
tb
r=
imax = 2P Td
ta Td
Td
Time Ti
imax =
8.53in/hr
15 min
Time
Areaunderthehyetographequaltothedesignstorm depth,P d h
i=
(Td )
c
e
+f
(Td )
96.6 + 13.90
0.97
5.0
Duration (min) 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 Intensity (in/hr) 4.158 3.002 2.357 1.943 1.655 1.443 1.279 1.149 1.044 1 044 0.956 0.883 0.82
Inten nsity(in/hr)
No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 19 11 12
Time (min) 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90 90-100 100-110 110-120
Precip. (in) 0.024 0.033 0.050 0.084 0.178 0.693 0.308 0.117 0.063 0.040 0.028 0.021
No. 11 9 7 5 3 1 2 4 6 8 10 12