DAILY NEWSLETTER OF ESSENTIAL

Sunday, May 20, 2012

MARKET WEATHER INFORMATION

Sunday Evening Forecast Newsle er

QT Weather
weather at a glance
Mostly hot and dry this week Widespread 90s and net drying N Plains and WCB best off?

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Pattern then shifts or does it?

Trouble Ahead!
Only the northern Plains and WCB can count on periodic cooling and regular moisture in the near and mid-term. The rest of the Corn Belt, Plains, South and most of the East will be needing rain as troubling ridging takes over for at least a week or possibly even longer.

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The past 7 Days (ending this morning) has been abnormally dry (red) in numerousareas, including the Mississippi Valley, Central through Eastern Corn Belt, and parts of the southern Plains.

Weather
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Todays weather maps

About Allen Motew

Allen Motew has been an expert weather analyst for more than 35 years. With a Seal of Approval for Broadcasters from the American Meteorological Society, Allen specializes in global weather prediction, synoptic scale and mesonet analysis, and severe weather events. He is trained in forecasting hurricanes, tropical cyclones and international weather events for government and private industry interests from around the globe. A Chicago native, Allen broadcasts his local, domestic and international commodity weather forecasts from the Chicago

Soil moisture anomalies show the drying is starting to take its toll over parts of the Corn Belt, Plains and South. The week ahead will see further deterioration in many of these same stressed areas. (see forecasted net change page 3)

In the past 12 hours, rains have been heaviest in Minnesota. The northern Plains and WCB will remain the wettest in the near and mid-term (expected weekly totals shown above right).

Minimal but every little bit will help rainfall will be seen over the Central Corn Belt into KY, TN, OK and NW TX early this week. Sunday night-Monday night rainfall

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Watch OUT!abnormal heat and a building ridge is seen over central areas this week and tries to take hold for even longer. Extreme net drying is seen over half a dozen states, and moderate drying over a dozen more, from CO to OH to FL and E Mexico for the week ahead. The only cooling will be across the N Plains on Thursday with 60s there, and 70s into the C Plains. Heat settles across the South and takes a devastating toll by late in the week...100s into TX early, and widespread 90s later in the week (next Sunday shown below). The heat will be slow to diminish week #2, as a variation of model output is still debating this issue.

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Late this week, a huge ridge covers the Central and Eastern U.S, intensifying a brief but significant period of hot and dry weather over central, southern and eastern areas.

Weather
QT In formation Systems
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The GFS says the ridge briefly breaks down after this week, but large crop areas at the point of weather change (8-9 days out), will have all ready seen some tough weather. Left map shows lower than normal heights across the nation after a week to 10 days of abnormal ridging and significant net drying. (see expected 7 day net drying top of page).

Allen Motew