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Over the next 20 years, Africa will rapidly surpass Asia to become the largest un-electrified market in the world
Un-electrified population, millions
21 5 698
809
2009 2030
34
589
561
13
Province
Electricity
Lantern
Tin Lamp
Solar
Total
KENYA
273,352
5.1% 1,847,613
African BOP households and small businesses spend over $10 billion on lighting p.a - growing to over $11bn
Total annual spend on lighting ($, billions)
Average rural HH spends $10 12 per month and $ 120 140 per year
14%
26%
7%
49%
1-5W solar lanterns account for at least 50% of the potential off-grid solar system lighting market based on the expense of larger solar systems
Proof of concept
Maturity
Breakeven
Advisory services
MARKET INTELLIGENCE
Investment
CONSUMER EDUCATION
QUALITY ASSURANCE
BUSINESS SUPPORT
Programmatic Response
B2B linkages Technical assistance
Firm
Sector
Market intelligence Training Mobilization of commercial and concessional financing Product quality standards Best practices and business models for serving the poor
Policy: undertaken by WB National consumer education and communication programs
10
Results to date:
2.5m
Energy Access Energy Access Growth rates Energy Access Quality products Replication Number of people in Africa with access to better Lighting from using solar lanterns
502k
113% 14 14 1
Number of solar lanterns sold by manufacturers that have passed LA min quality standards
July Dec 2011 growth rates over Jan June 2011 in Africa Number of countries in Africa that manufacturers have established importers/distributors Number of good quality products available in the market in Africa Replicated the program in India launch 31st May 2012
94 29
1
1
2 7 1
Key challenges:
Lack of finance impeded market growth and expansion:
Manufacturers (based in China/India) Do not meet IFC investment criteria Perceived as high risk and suited for impact/social PE Too small/young for mature PE funds/mainstream FIs Local distributors Lack collateral to finance additional growth Unwilling to invest upfront and tie funds for 90 120 days
2.
3.
4. 5. 6.
www.lightingafrica.org