Scotland GDP Publication

Statistical Bulletin
Economy Series
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

3rd QUARTER 2011
A National Statistics Publication For Scotland
Date: 18 January 2012
Scottish Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in constant basic prices grew by 0.5 per cent
during the third quarter of 2011.
The Services sector grew by 0.9 per cent. Production sector output fell by 0.1 per cent
overall, with manufacturing growing by 0.9 per cent. Construction sector output fell by
1.2 per cent.
On an annual basis, comparing the most recent four quarters to the previous four
quarters (4Q-on-4Q), GDP grew by 0.9 per cent.
GDP Growth Rates 2007-2011 Q3
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Quarter on quarter percentage change

GDP at constant basic prices
Percentage change: latest quarter on previous quarter (seasonally adjusted)
Total GDP
Production
Construction
Services
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
+0.5
+1.2
+0.3
-0.4
-0.7
+2.0
-0.1
-0.5
+5.1
+8.1
+6.3
-1.4
+0.4
+0.4
-0.2
-0.2
2011
Q1
Q2
Q3
+0.2
+0.2
+0.5
+0.9
+1.6
-0.1
-1.8
-1.3
-1.2
+0.3
+0.1
+0.9
GDP Analysed by Industry Sector

Scottish GDP in constant basic prices, which is also known as Gross Value Added
(GVA), grew by 0.5 per cent during the third quarter of 2011, following growth of 0.2 per
cent in 2011 Q2. On an annual basis (4Q-on-4Q), GDP grew by 0.9 per cent in the latest
quarter, compared to 1.3 per cent in 2011 Q2.
Services sector output grew by 0.9 per cent over the quarter, and grew 0.3 per cent on
an annual basis (4Q-on-4Q). Production sector output fell by 0.1 per cent over the
quarter, and grew by 1.7 per cent annually. Construction sector output fell 1.2 per cent
over the quarter, and grew by 5.9 per cent annually.
Output - chained volume measure
2007 = 100
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
2007
2008
Total GVA
2009
2010
Services
2011
Production
Construction
The largest overall contribution to growth was from Services, mostly due to strong
growth in business services & finance. There was also growth in the distribution, hotels
& catering and a small increase in government & other services sectors.
Total Production sector output showed negative growth, where strong growth in
manufacturing was outweighed by a fall in the electricity, gas & water supply sector
following strong growth in the previous quarter. Falling Construction sector output also
made a negative contribution to overall growth.
Sector contributions to total GDP growth
0.6
Percentage Points
2011 Q2
2011 Q3
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
Production
Construction
Distribution,
Hotels &
Catering
Transport
Storage &
Communication
Business
Services &
Finance
Government &
Other Services
Index of Production
Total production output fell by 0.1 per
cent during 2011 Q3, following growth
of 1.6 per cent in the previous quarter.
Production
Quarterly Growth Rates
3%
2%
1%
0%
Manufacturing output grew by 0.9 per

cent. The main contributors to this
growth were Food and Drink, Metals &
Fabricated Metal Products, and
Engineering & Allied Industries. The
most significant fall this quarter was in
the Chemicals sector.
-1%
-2%
-3%
-4%
-5%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Output in Mining and Quarrying grew

by 0.8 per cent, following decline of 6.1
per cent in the previous quarter.
Electricity, Gas & Water Supply output
fell by 5.0 per cent in the latest quarter,
following growth of 11.9 per cent 2011
Q2.
Construction
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Index of Construction
-2%
Construction output fell 1.2 per cent

during 2011 Q3, following a decline of
1.3 per cent in 2011 Q2.
-4%
-6%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Distribution, Hotels & Catering

3%
Distribution, Hotels and Catering
2%
Output in Distribution, Hotels and

Catering grew 0.7 per cent following
growth of 1.3 per cent in the previous
quarter.
1%
0%
The strongest growth was in Hotels &

Catering, with growth also seen in the
Retail & Wholesale sector.
-1%
-2%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Transport, Storage and

Communication
Transport, Storage & Communication

5%
4%
Output in Transport, Storage &

Communication fell 0.5 per cent,
following growth of 0.2 per cent in the
previous quarter.
3%
2%
1%
0%
-1%
Growth in the Transport & Storage

sectors was outweighed by a fall of 1.8
per cent in Communications.
-2%
-3%
-4%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Business Services & Finance

3%
Business Services and Finance
2%
Output in Business Services and

Finance grew 2.1 per cent, following a
fall of 0.4 per cent in the previous
quarter.
The largest contribution was growth of
2.4 per cent in the Real Estate &
Business Services sector. Financial
Services output grew 1.4 per cent.
Government and Other Services
1%
0%
-1%
-2%
-3%
-4%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Government & Other Services

1.0%
Output in Government and Other

Services grew 0.1 per cent, following a
fall of 0.2 per cent in 2011 Q2.
0.5%
0.0%
The Other Services sector grew 0.5 per

cent, while there was no growth in the
level of output in Public Administration,
Education & Health.
-0.5%
-1.0%
-1.5%
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Change in Standard Industrial Classification

United Kingdom GDP estimates produced by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) are
now published using the new 2007 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) instead of the
2003 SIC.
The Standard Industrial Classification system is used to group companies into industrial
sectors within the economy for example, manufacturing, construction, or financial
services. The updated 2007 SIC is designed to provide a more appropriate reflection of
modern business activities than the 2003 SIC, which was itself only a minor revision to
the classification drawn up in 1992.
The largest changes to the classification are the increase in activities included in the
Information & Communications sector, and the creation of a separate Water Supply &
Waste Management sector including sewage, recycling and nuclear fuel processing,
resulting in a relatively smaller Manufacturing sector.
The results for Scotland published in this bulletin continue to be produced using the
2003 SIC. To aid comparison with UK results at the broad industry level, the underlying
data have been reclassified to provide results for Scotland on a 2007 SIC basis. These
are provided in Annex A.
A full reclassification to the 2007 SIC will become available following the availability of
updated weights derived from the Input-Output analyses for Scotland.
Effect of SIC Reclassification on Growth Rate Estimates
The new classification does not result in differences to total GVA. There are however
changes to the relative sizes of industrial sectors, resulting in small differences between
industry-level growth rates when comparing the two sets of results.
In Scotland these differences are mainly due to a relative increase in the total size of the
Production sector growing from 17.1% of the economy to 17.5% and proportionate
decrease in the size of the Services sector. The creation of the Water Supply & Waste
Management sub-sector has also caused a relative decrease in the size of the
Manufacturing sector falling from 13% of the economy to 12.4%. Within the Services
sector there is a relative increase in the size of Information and Communication sector,
at the expense of Business Services and Other Services.
In the latest quarter, the main difference between headline growth rates for the main
sectors of the economy is that output in Production is shown to contract by 0.1 per cent
using 2003 SIC definitions, and by 0.4 per cent using the new SIC 2007 definitions. This
relative decrease in Production growth is balanced by a slight increase in Services,
although because of the relatively larger weight of service sector industries, the
difference is not large enough to change the headline growth rate of 0.9 per cent.
UK Figures
The latest figures show that UK GDP in constant basic prices grew by 0.5 per cent
during the third quarter of 2011.
On an annual basis, comparing output in the latest four quarters to the previous four
quarters (4Q-on-4Q), UK GDP grew by 1.3 per cent.
In the third quarter of 2011, the UK Services sector grew by 0.7 per cent, output in the
Production sector grew by 0.2 per cent, and Construction output grew by 0.3 per cent.
Scottish and UK Gross Domestic Product: Quarterly Growth in 2011 Q3
3
Scotland
UK
Growth %
2
1
0
-1
-2
Total Gross
Value Added
Agriculture,
forestry and
fishing
Production
Construction
Services
On an annual basis (4Q-on-4Q), the UK experienced growth of 1.2 per cent in Services,
growth of 0.4 per cent in the Production sector, and growth of 5.4 per cent in
Construction.
Scottish and UK GDP: Annual growth to 2011 Q3

Scotland (Provisional 2007 SIC)
UK (2007 SIC)
4
2
0
-2
-4
Total Gross
Value Added
Agriculture,
forestry and
fishing
Production
Construction
Services
BACKGROUND NOTES
Definitions and Release Policy
1. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is a measure of the value added to materials and
other inputs in the production of goods and services by resident organisations; before
allowing for depreciation or capital consumption. Net receipts from interest, profits and
dividends abroad are excluded.
2. The estimates produced in this publication measure GDP at basic prices, also
referred to as Gross Value Added (GVA), which does not account for taxes or
subsidies on products. The estimates are produced in constant prices, meaning that
they been adjusted for inflation to represent changes in the volume of output rather than
value; in other words growth is estimated in real terms.
3. These GVA estimates are based on the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC)
2003, with the exception of the repair sector which is now surveyed on a SIC 2007 basis
and has been moved from retail to other services. The rest of the estimates will move
to a SIC 2007 basis in line with the main UK National Accounts .
4. This publication includes data available to 13th January 2012. Estimates are
consistent with the Retail Sales Index for Scotland published on 2nd November 2011.
5. The next publication of GDP for Scotland, covering the fourth quarter of 2011, is
planned for Wednesday 18th April 2012.
Revisions
6. Results in this Statistical Bulletin incorporate revisions to previously published
estimates. Tables 8 13 identify the extent of revisions since the last publication in
October 2011. Revisions to index numbers (not to growth rates) are shown to one
decimal place for total GVA and GVA excluding oil & gas. Revisions are shown to zero
decimal places for all other sectors.
7. The latest estimates of total GVA growth show that 2011 Q2 has been revised to
0.2% from 0.1% published in October 2011. Growth in 2011 Q1 is unchanged at 0.2%
and the 2010 Q4 contraction has been revised to -0.4%.
8. There are revisions to some industry sub-series due to updated source data,
including business survey returns and price indices. Small revisions also occur where
the most recent data causes re-estimation of previous quarters, or updating of seasonal
adjustment parameters. There is a long term revision to Financial Services following the
introduction of an improved model for the banks and building societies component and
some small revisions to some series as CPI deflators are adopted in line with the UK
National Accounts. More details about these revisions are available in the accompanying
paper Revision to Historical GDP Estimates for Scotland in 2011Q3 Publication.
9. In this publication, the most significant revisions are to the Financial Services,
Distribution, Hotels & Catering and Transport, Storage & Communication sectors.
10. The Scottish Governments revisions policy for economic statistics is available at:
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Economy/ScotStat/revisionspolicy
Key quality issues

11. Common pitfalls in interpreting series: Scottish GVA estimates will generally be less
reliable than the equivalent estimates for the UK, primarily because the UK figures are
produced by balancing three independent sets of estimates (Output (GVA), Income and
Expenditure-based approaches).
12. Furthermore, the survey data for Scotland tend to be based on smaller numbers of
units, making figures for Scotland more likely to be susceptible to statistical variance.
Statistical variance in estimates is directly proportional to the variability in the underlying
population of interest. In the current economic climate, the variability in the economy is
increased and users should bear this in mind when interpreting all economic indicators.
13. Very few statistical revisions arise as a result of 'errors' in the popular sense of the
word. All estimates, by definition, are subject to statistical 'error' but in this context the
word refers to the uncertainty inherent in any process or calculation that uses sampling,
estimation or modelling. Most revisions reflect either the adoption of new statistical
techniques, or the incorporation of new information which allows the statistical error of
previous estimates to be reduced. Only rarely are there avoidable 'errors' such as
human or system failures, and such mistakes are made quite clear when they do occur.
Reliability
14. Revisions to time series provide one indication of the reliability of key indicators. The
tables below show summary information on the size and direction of the revisions which
have been made to results covering a five-year period. A statistical test has been
applied to the average revisions to find out if they are statistically significantly different
from zero. An asterisk (*) shows that the test is significant.
15. Table 1 below shows the revisions to estimates of GDP between their first
publication and next publication one quarter later, for the period 2006 Q3 to 2011 Q2.
Table 2 shows the revisions to GDP estimates between their first publication and one
year later, using estimates for the period 2005 Q4 to 2010 Q3.
16. The average revision can be used as an indicator of bias (systematic over- or underestimation) in the initial estimates of GDP. Both tables suggest that there is no bias in
the initial release of these statistics. The average absolute revision gives an indication of
how much users might expect the initial estimate to be revised up or down in future
publications.
Table 1.
Revisions between first publication and estimates one
quarter later (covering period 2006Q3-2011Q2)
Value in
latest period
(2011 Q3)
Average revision
Average absolute revision

(without regard to sign)
+0.5
-0.02
0.12
Quarterly GDP growth

(per cent)
Table 2.
Revisions between first publication and estimates one
year later (covering period 2005Q4-2010Q3)
Value in
latest period
(2011 Q3)
Average revision
Average absolute revision

(without regard to sign)
+0.1
-0.02
0.18
Quarterly GDP growth

(per cent)
17. A paper summarising analysis of revisions to these GDP statistics, and identifying
the main sources of revision, is available on the Scottish Government website at:
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Economy/GDP/research/Revisions2010
Cash estimates of GVA

18. Estimates of the cash value of Gross Value Added (GVA) at current prices for
Scotland (and other regions of the UK) are produced by the Office for National Statistics.
Estimates for 2010 were published on 14th December 2011. The ONS current price
value estimates are methodologically different from the Scottish Government volume
(constant price) index and are based on different data sources.
19. The Scottish National Accounts Project team are developing a number of National
Accounts measures for Scotland, including estimates of cash value GVA and GDP
(including taxes and subsidies on products). These statistics are not classed as National
Statistics and are released as soon as they are ready following the GDP statistics. For
further information on these statistics please see the SNAP website
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/SNAP.
Methodology Notes
Chain-linking
20. Annual chain-linking is the technique used to compile the overall measure of GVA
growth and also the other, lower-level published aggregates. The resultant indices
represent changes in the value added, at constant prices, in the production of goods and
services in individual industries. These industries are compiled using the standard
industrial classification SIC2003.
21. Series are derived from indicators based on data from a wide range of sources.
Examples include: deflated turnover, deflated production, the volume of a good or
service sold or produced and, for some parts of the public sector, employee numbers.
22. The weights used to produce growth rates for Scotland reflect the latest Scottish
Input-Output Supply and Use Tables published on 13 October 2010, with the latest
weights relating to 2007.
23. The Office for National Statistics updated the weights used to compile their
aggregate measures, including GVA, in the 2011 Q2 Quarterly National Accounts
published on 5 October 2011. UK data are now calculated using weights relating to
2008.
Seasonal Adjustment
24. The data used in the production of these quarterly GDP estimates are seasonally
adjusted in accordance with the European System of Accounts guidelines and
international practice.
25. The X-12-ARIMA technique is used where appropriate to remove regular seasonal
peaks and troughs so that the underlying trends and other features of the data are
easier to identify. Further information about the seasonal adjustment of the GDP data
can be found in section A3 of Scottish Economic Statistics 2006
(www.scotland.gov.uk/stats/ses).
Methodology developments
26. The Scottish GDP indices are under a continuing program of methodological
development which is regularly peer reviewed by the Scottish Economic Statistics

Consultants Group (SESCG). Information about SESCG, including papers and minutes
from recent meetings, is available on the Scottish Government website at
http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Economy/ScotStat/comms.
National Statistics
27. National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the
National Statistics Code of Practice. They undergo regular quality assurance reviews to
ensure that they meet customer needs. They are produced free from any political
interference.
28. Detailed results for all industries, are available to download from the Scottish
Government website www.scotland.gov.uk/gdp.
Issued by
Office of the Chief Economic Adviser
St Andrews House
Regent Road
Edinburgh, EH1 3DG
Telephone
Press Office: Michael Berry
0131-244-2967
Statistician: Richard Morrison 0131-244-3768
10
1,2
Table 1: Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices,

output
Scotland, 2006 to 2011 Q3
by category of
2007=100
Total Gross Value

Agriculture,
Added
Forestry & Fishing
A-P
SIC 2003
3
A,B
Production
Construction
Services
C,D,E
G-P
1000
17
171
76
737
97.0
100.0
99.8
95.5
96.7
98.6
100.0
98.1
99.6
100.1
99.8
100.0
100.8
93.5
93.9
91.5
100.0
97.4
84.4
94.8
96.9
100.0
99.9
97.0
97.5
2006 Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.4
96.8
97.5
98.4
95.4
98.0
101.4
99.6
98.8
99.5
100.3
100.6
88.1
88.2
93.1
96.7
95.4
97.0
97.3
98.1
2007 Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
99.3
100.0
100.3
100.5
100.8
100.8
99.0
99.4
99.7
100.4
99.5
100.3
100.1
101.2
99.4
99.3
99.1
99.7
100.6
100.6
2008 Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
100.9
101.1
99.6
97.8
97.2
98.9
98.2
97.9
101.4
101.7
101.4
98.6
99.3
99.4
97.1
93.8
101.0
101.2
99.4
98.0
2009 Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
96.3
95.3
95.2
95.4
98.6
99.5
99.3
101.1
95.6
91.9
93.3
93.4
87.4
84.0
83.5
82.6
97.3
97.1
96.7
97.0
2010 Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.8
96.9
97.2
96.8
100.1
99.6
100.3
100.3
92.7
94.5
94.4
93.9
86.8
93.9
99.8
98.4
97.4
97.7
97.5
97.3
2011 Q1
Q2
Q3
Percentage change:
97.0
97.2
97.8
100.2
100.0
100.6
94.8
96.3
96.2
96.6
95.4
94.2
97.5
97.6
98.4
2007 weights
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Seasonally Adjusted
Q1 10 on Q4 09
Q2 10 on Q1 10
Q3 10 on Q2 10
Q4 10 on Q3 10
+0.5
+1.2
+0.3
-0.4
-1.0
-0.6
+0.8
+0.0
-0.7
+2.0
-0.1
-0.5
+5.1
+8.1
+6.3
-1.4
+0.4
+0.4
-0.2
-0.2
Q1 11 on Q4 10
Q2 11 on Q1 11
Q3 11 on Q2 11
+0.2
+0.2
+0.5
-0.2
-0.1
+0.5
+0.9
+1.6
-0.1
-1.8
-1.3
-1.2
+0.3
+0.1
+0.9
+0.9
0.0
+1.7
+5.9
+0.3
% change latest 4 qtrs on previous 4 qtrs
1. Gross Value Added (GVA) is also referred to as Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at basic prices
2. Estimates cannot be regarded as accurate to the last digit shown
3. Weights may not sum to the total due to rounding
11
Table 2: Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices,1,2 by category of output
2007=100
Total
Gross
Value
Added
SIC 2003
A-P
3
All Sectors excl.

extraction of
mineral oil &
natural gas
Agriculture, forestry and

Production Sector
fishing
A-P excl 11.1
Total
Total
A,B
C,D,E
Construction
Mining and
Electricity,
Quarrying
Gas and
Industries Water Supply
C
Service Sector
Manufacturing
Total
Total
Distribution,
Hotels and
Catering
G-Q
G,H
Transport, Storage Business

Government,
and
Services and
and Other
Communication
Finance
Services
I
J,K
L-P
2007 weights
1000
989
17
171
15
26
130
76
737
133
69
276
260
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
97.0
100.0
99.8
95.5
96.7
96.8
100.0
99.9
95.6
96.9
98.6
100.0
98.1
99.6
100.1
99.8
100.0
100.8
93.5
93.9
107.9
100.0
91.0
82.1
80.5
91.5
100.0
103.9
102.2
102.0
100.5
100.0
101.2
93.1
93.8
91.5
100.0
97.4
84.4
94.8
96.9
100.0
99.9
97.0
97.5
95.8
100.0
100.4
97.8
98.5
90.5
100.0
100.9
95.7
95.9
96.1
100.0
98.2
93.1
93.7
100.2
100.0
101.3
101.3
101.4
Seasonally Adjusted
2006
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.4
96.8
97.5
98.4
95.1
96.6
97.4
98.3
95.4
98.0
101.4
99.6
98.8
99.5
100.3
100.6
111.5
107.0
105.1
108.0
87.2
89.7
93.2
95.9
99.7
100.5
101.1
100.6
88.1
88.2
93.1
96.7
95.4
97.0
97.3
98.1
94.4
95.4
95.8
97.7
87.6
89.1
90.4
95.0
93.7
96.6
96.7
97.5
99.9
100.5
100.5
99.8
2007
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
99.3
100.0
100.3
100.5
99.2
99.9
100.3
100.5
100.8
100.8
99.0
99.4
99.7
100.4
99.5
100.3
105.7
100.1
97.8
96.4
89.9
108.1
101.5
100.4
101.0
98.9
99.3
100.8
100.1
101.2
99.4
99.3
99.1
99.7
100.6
100.6
98.6
101.3
100.7
99.3
99.4
100.3
100.7
99.5
97.9
98.8
101.3
102.0
100.4
99.8
99.7
100.1
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
100.9
101.1
99.6
97.8
101.0
101.2
99.6
97.9
97.2
98.9
98.2
97.9
101.4
101.7
101.4
98.6
95.6
91.1
90.3
86.9
102.5
102.1
108.4
102.8
101.8
102.7
101.3
99.1
99.3
99.4
97.1
93.8
101.0
101.2
99.4
98.0
101.1
101.8
100.1
98.5
100.3
102.7
102.4
98.3
101.4
100.1
96.3
94.9
100.9
101.7
101.5
101.1
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
96.3
95.3
95.2
95.4
96.4
95.4
95.3
95.5
98.6
99.5
99.3
101.1
95.6
91.9
93.3
93.4
83.7
84.0
80.9
79.8
112.6
96.8
100.2
99.1
93.5
91.8
93.3
93.8
87.4
84.0
83.5
82.6
97.3
97.1
96.7
97.0
97.7
97.2
98.0
98.2
95.4
96.7
94.7
96.0
93.5
93.2
92.1
93.5
101.7
101.4
101.4
100.4
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.8
96.9
97.2
96.8
96.0
97.1
97.4
97.0
100.1
99.6
100.3
100.3
92.7
94.5
94.4
93.9
81.5
82.8
81.1
76.4
102.3
101.4
100.8
103.3
92.0
94.5
94.6
94.0
86.8
93.9
99.8
98.4
97.4
97.7
97.5
97.3
97.3
98.8
98.6
99.3
96.5
95.8
95.2
96.2
93.9
94.2
93.6
93.1
101.3
101.4
101.7
101.0
Q1
97.0
97.3
100.2
Q2
97.2
97.5
100.0
Q3
97.8
98.0
100.6
Percentage change, latest quarter on previous quarter
+0.5
+0.5
+0.5
Percentage change, latest 4 quarters on preceding 4 quarters
+0.9
+1.0
0.0
94.8
96.3
96.2
78.3
73.5
74.1
96.7
108.3
102.9
96.3
96.5
97.3
96.6
95.4
94.2
97.5
97.6
98.4
100.3
101.5
102.2
96.0
96.2
95.7
93.2
92.8
94.8
101.2
101.0
101.1
-0.1
+0.8
-5.0
+0.9
-1.2
+0.9
+0.7
-0.5
+2.1
+0.1
+1.7
-7.0
+1.9
+2.5
+5.9
+0.3
+2.6
+0.1
-0.3
-0.2
2011
3. Weights may not sum to the totals due to rounding
4. This is a different measure from that shown in the ONS press release: the change to the latest quarter from the same quarter of previous year
12
Table 3: Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices:
1,2
service industries

2007=100
Retail & wholesale
Hotels &
catering
Transport, Storage &

Communication
Financial services
Real Estate &

Business Services
Public Admin, Education

and Health
Other services
L,M,N
O,P
101
32
69
76
200
211
49
96.0
100.0
100.9
99.1
100.7
95.2
100.0
98.6
93.6
91.6
90.5
100.0
100.9
95.7
95.9
99.5
100.0
92.7
92.1
93.8
94.9
100.0
100.3
93.5
93.6
100.2
100.0
100.9
101.5
102.2
100.3
100.0
103.1
100.2
97.8
SIC 2003
2007 weights
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Seasonally Adjusted
2006
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.5
96.0
95.4
97.2
90.7
93.4
97.2
99.3
87.6
89.1
90.4
95.0
98.3
100.3
100.0
99.6
92.0
95.2
95.5
96.7
100.1
100.4
100.2
99.9
98.8
101.0
101.8
99.5
2007
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
97.8
100.9
100.5
100.7
101.2
102.6
101.2
95.0
99.4
100.3
100.7
99.5
98.1
99.2
102.9
99.8
97.9
98.6
100.7
102.8
99.9
99.6
99.9
100.6
102.4
100.5
98.9
98.2
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
101.4
103.0
100.5
98.8
100.3
97.8
98.9
97.5
100.3
102.7
102.4
98.3
95.4
94.2
91.3
89.7
103.6
102.4
98.3
96.9
100.7
100.7
100.9
101.2
101.6
105.8
104.4
100.4
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
98.4
97.8
99.5
100.6
95.4
95.0
93.2
90.8
95.4
96.7
94.7
96.0
94.4
92.1
90.8
91.0
93.1
93.6
92.7
94.4
101.6
101.4
101.4
101.5
102.3
101.4
101.6
95.7
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
98.7
100.8
101.0
102.2
92.8
92.3
91.1
90.1
96.5
95.8
95.2
96.2
96.0
93.8
93.1
92.5
93.1
94.4
93.8
93.3
102.2
102.2
102.2
102.1
97.5
98.0
99.4
96.3
Q1
102.7
92.5
Q2
104.5
92.1
Q3
104.9
94.0
+0.3
+2.0
+3.3
+0.5
96.0
96.2
95.7
90.0
87.5
88.7
94.4
94.9
97.1
102.1
102.4
102.3
97.1
95.1
95.6
-0.5
+1.4
+2.4
+0.0
+0.5
+0.1
-4.1
+1.1
+0.2
-1.6
2011
13
Table 4: Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices:1,2 detailed service industries
2007=100
SIC 2003
2007 weights
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Retail
Transport
Communications
Public Administration and

Defence
Education
Health and Social Work
div 52
div 60-63
div 64
53
44
24
60
60
91
95.6
100.0
101.9
104.2
106.0
93.7
100.0
96.7
91.3
89.8
85.2
100.0
108.6
103.7
107.0
101.1
100.0
98.5
97.7
97.1
100.4
100.0
101.6
101.6
103.4
99.4
100.0
101.9
103.9
104.8
Seasonally Adjusted
2006
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
93.3
95.8
95.7
97.4
90.4
92.8
94.9
96.5
82.9
82.8
82.9
92.2
101.5
101.5
101.0
100.4
101.0
100.7
100.2
99.7
98.6
99.6
99.7
99.7
2007
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
96.2
99.8
101.9
102.1
100.7
103.2
99.7
96.3
97.1
95.4
102.5
105.0
100.8
99.6
99.7
99.9
99.4
99.6
100.1
100.8
99.7
99.6
99.9
100.8
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
101.8
100.7
102.6
102.3
96.5
97.3
98.8
94.1
107.1
112.5
109.0
105.8
98.8
98.4
98.5
98.5
101.5
101.8
101.7
101.5
101.4
101.6
101.8
102.8
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
104.0
103.3
103.9
105.5
90.5
93.1
89.8
91.8
104.4
103.2
103.7
103.6
98.7
97.6
97.3
97.2
101.4
101.3
101.7
102.2
103.7
104.0
103.9
103.9
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
105.6
105.9
106.3
106.4
91.3
90.5
88.4
89.0
105.9
105.2
107.7
109.1
97.6
97.5
96.8
96.4
102.8
103.3
103.6
103.8
104.9
104.7
104.9
104.7
89.1
89.1
89.5
108.5
109.0
107.0
96.1
96.0
95.4
103.8
103.8
103.6
104.9
105.6
106.0
+0.5
-1.8
-0.6
-0.1
+0.4
-1.5
+2.7
-1.3
+0.8
+0.7
2011
Q1
106.2
Q2
106.7
Q3
106.4
-0.2
+0.5
14
1,2
production industries

2007=100
Total
Production
SIC 2003
2007 weights
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Manufacturing Industries
Refined
Mining and Electricity, Gas
Petroleum
Chemicals
and Water
ManuQuarrying
Products and
& ManSupply
facturing Nuclear Fuel Made Fibres
Industries
Metals &
Metal
Products
Engineering
and Allied
Industries
Textiles,
Food, Drink & Footwear,
Leather &
Tobacco
Clothing Total Other Manufacturing
Industries
C,D,E
DF
DG
DJ
DK,DL,DM
DA
DB,DC
DD,DE,DH, DI,DN
171
15
26
130
14
15
36
30
28
99.8
100.0
100.8
93.5
93.9
107.9
100.0
91.0
82.1
80.5
91.5
100.0
103.9
102.2
102.0
100.5
100.0
101.2
93.1
93.8
98.7
100.0
105.1
106.3
102.3
104.5
100.0
102.3
88.0
87.7
92.6
100.0
97.1
92.3
90.1
104.5
100.0
104.1
94.8
95.8
101.0
100.0
103.3
103.7
103.5
105.9
100.0
96.7
81.0
87.5
96.2
100.0
97.3
83.2
86.0
Seasonally Adjusted
2006
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
98.8
99.5
100.3
100.6
111.5
107.0
105.1
108.0
87.2
89.7
93.2
95.9
99.7
100.5
101.1
100.6
94.2
96.7
100.4
103.5
105.3
102.6
106.6
103.4
88.6
92.6
94.9
94.3
106.7
105.6
103.8
102.1
97.0
101.3
102.5
103.4
101.3
106.3
110.5
105.6
96.9
95.9
95.2
96.8
2007
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
99.7
100.4
99.5
100.3
105.7
100.1
97.8
96.4
89.9
108.1
101.5
100.4
101.0
98.9
99.3
100.8
97.7
96.0
99.6
106.7
109.1
96.9
95.0
99.1
98.0
99.9
99.9
102.3
99.0
97.5
102.2
101.3
102.3
99.5
97.6
100.6
105.6
97.6
95.4
101.5
99.4
100.9
100.0
99.6
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
101.4
101.7
101.4
98.6
95.6
91.1
90.3
86.9
102.5
102.1
108.4
102.8
101.8
102.7
101.3
99.1
106.6
101.3
106.0
106.3
102.6
102.2
106.9
97.7
92.2
98.8
101.0
96.5
102.8
105.0
102.1
106.4
104.6
104.5
102.4
101.9
103.7
99.2
97.3
86.7
101.8
101.1
96.6
89.9
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.6
91.9
93.3
93.4
83.7
84.0
80.9
79.8
112.6
96.8
100.2
99.1
93.5
91.8
93.3
93.8
108.2
100.8
106.6
109.4
90.7
88.7
87.9
84.5
97.3
90.7
92.6
88.6
97.1
94.0
93.8
94.4
100.4
102.1
105.2
107.1
80.8
79.8
80.7
82.7
81.5
81.0
83.9
86.3
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
92.7
94.5
94.4
93.9
81.5
82.8
81.1
76.4
102.3
101.4
100.8
103.3
92.0
94.5
94.6
94.0
109.0
105.7
101.9
92.7
86.2
89.5
88.8
86.3
87.4
92.1
90.2
90.6
91.3
96.8
96.8
98.2
103.3
102.9
104.0
103.9
82.2
87.3
89.2
91.3
86.1
86.2
87.3
84.2
Q1
94.8
78.3
96.7
Q2
96.3
73.5
108.3
Q3
96.2
74.1
102.9
-0.1
+0.8
-5.0
Percentage change, latest 4 quarters on previous 4 quarters
+1.7
-7.0
0.0
96.3
96.5
97.3
103.9
107.0
103.1
92.9
93.7
92.0
93.0
93.2
96.0
98.8
98.0
98.9
106.5
109.2
111.3
93.3
92.3
92.6
85.4
83.8
84.0
+0.9
-3.7
-1.8
+3.0
+1.0
+1.9
+0.3
+0.2
+2.5
-4.5
+4.5
+4.1
+3.9
+3.2
+8.2
-2.5
2011
15
1,2
detailed production industries
2007=100
Food, Drink and Tobacco Industries
SIC 2003
3
2007 weights
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Total Food, Drink

and Tobacco
Industries
Food and Tobacco
DA
Engineering and Allied Industries
Other Manufacturing
Drink
Total
Engineering and
Allied Industries
Mechanical
Engineering
Electrical and
Instrument
Engineering
Transport
Equipment
Total Other
Manufacturing
Industries
Paper, Printing
and Publishing
Other
Manufacturing
Industries
DA15.1-DA15.8,
DA16.0
DA15.9
DK-DM
DK
DL
DM
DD,DE,DH, DI,DN
DE
DD,DH,DI,DN
30
14
15
36
10
17
28
11
17
101.0
100.0
103.3
103.7
103.5
105.2
100.0
102.4
102.5
105.4
97.8
100.0
104.1
104.7
102.0
104.5
100.0
104.1
94.8
95.8
100.1
100.0
106.1
103.8
105.4
108.0
100.0
101.9
89.2
85.3
102.6
100.0
105.9
95.6
105.1
96.2
100.0
97.3
83.2
86.0
101.7
100.0
96.0
82.6
84.3
92.4
100.0
98.2
83.6
87.1
Seasonally Adjusted
2006
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
97.0
101.3
102.5
103.4
103.5
107.0
107.3
102.9
91.9
96.8
98.8
103.8
106.7
105.6
103.8
102.1
99.7
99.6
101.4
99.6
114.2
112.5
105.0
100.2
98.8
98.1
104.2
109.2
96.9
95.9
95.2
96.8
105.0
101.4
101.3
99.2
91.3
92.2
91.1
95.2
2007
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
102.3
99.5
97.6
100.6
101.0
101.0
97.7
100.2
103.3
98.3
97.4
100.9
99.0
97.5
102.2
101.3
100.6
101.3
98.6
99.6
97.4
94.2
105.2
103.2
100.7
100.0
100.1
99.2
99.4
100.9
100.0
99.6
100.6
100.4
100.9
98.1
98.6
101.3
99.4
100.7
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
104.6
104.5
102.4
101.9
104.6
102.0
100.7
102.4
104.6
106.4
103.7
101.5
102.8
105.0
102.1
106.4
100.3
106.3
107.0
111.0
103.8
103.3
98.1
102.3
103.8
106.6
104.3
109.0
101.8
101.1
96.6
89.9
100.6
97.6
96.1
89.8
102.5
103.5
96.9
89.9
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
100.4
102.1
105.2
107.1
101.8
102.1
103.6
102.6
99.4
102.1
106.5
110.7
97.1
94.0
93.8
94.4
106.8
101.9
102.4
104.0
88.8
89.5
89.6
89.2
102.3
93.9
92.4
93.9
81.5
81.0
83.9
86.3
83.9
80.7
82.2
83.5
79.9
81.1
85.0
88.2
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
103.3
102.9
104.0
103.9
102.8
105.3
107.5
106.2
103.7
101.1
101.2
102.1
91.3
96.8
96.8
98.2
103.9
103.7
106.4
107.4
81.3
88.3
86.7
85.0
96.5
105.4
105.3
113.3
86.1
86.2
87.3
84.2
84.5
84.8
86.0
81.9
87.3
87.2
88.1
85.8
Q1
106.5
103.3
Q2
109.2
109.5
Q3
111.3
109.1
+1.9
-0.4
Percentage change, latest 4 quarters on previous 4 quarters
+3.2
+2.4
109.0
109.0
113.0
98.8
98.0
98.9
105.2
107.5
107.9
87.1
83.5
84.7
113.7
114.9
116.0
85.4
83.8
84.0
80.7
77.6
78.0
88.5
87.9
88.0
+3.8
+1.0
+0.4
+1.4
+0.9
+0.2
+0.5
0.0
+3.9
+3.9
+2.4
-1.5
+14.2
-2.5
-6.1
-0.1
2011
16
Table 7: Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices1,2 by category of output
2007=100
Total
Gross
Value
Added
All Sectors excl.

Agriculture, Forestry and
extraction of mineral oil
Fishing Total
& natural gas
Production and Construction
Service Sector
Production Sector
SIC 2003
A-P
A-P excl 11.1
A,B
Total
Total
Construction
Manufacturing
Total
Total
Distribution Hotels
and Catering

Communication
Business, Financial,
Public and Other
Services
C-F
C,D,E
G-P
G,H
J-P
2007 weights
1000
989
17
247
171
130
76
737
133
69
535
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
79.5
81.0
83.1
85.7
86.3
88.6
92.4
93.5
97.0
100.0
99.8
95.5
96.7
78.9
80.2
82.4
85.1
85.7
88.0
91.9
93.1
96.8
100.0
99.9
95.6
96.9
90.1
94.0
98.5
93.1
95.7
95.6
98.9
92.3
98.6
100.0
98.1
99.6
100.1
100.1
97.5
96.3
94.4
91.5
90.6
93.9
94.5
97.3
100.0
99.7
90.7
94.2
108.4
105.2
102.2
100.9
96.4
93.1
96.6
97.8
99.8
100.0
100.8
93.5
93.9
108.2
105.1
104.2
101.6
95.8
91.0
95.9
98.4
100.5
100.0
101.2
93.1
93.8
78.2
77.6
82.0
78.0
79.7
85.0
87.7
86.8
91.5
100.0
97.4
84.4
94.8
72.2
75.0
78.2
82.7
84.4
87.8
91.8
93.2
96.9
100.0
99.9
97.0
97.5
74.0
79.0
81.5
87.4
91.1
91.8
95.1
94.6
95.8
100.0
100.4
97.8
98.5
62.8
63.1
69.6
77.8
79.0
80.4
83.6
86.8
90.5
100.0
100.9
95.7
95.9
73.1
75.7
78.6
82.1
83.3
87.7
92.0
93.7
98.1
100.0
99.7
97.0
97.4
2006
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.4
96.8
97.5
98.4
95.1
96.6
97.4
98.3
95.4
98.0
101.4
99.6
95.6
96.1
98.1
99.4
98.8
99.5
100.3
100.6
99.7
100.5
101.1
100.6
88.1
88.2
93.1
96.7
95.4
97.0
97.3
98.1
94.4
95.4
95.8
97.7
87.6
89.1
90.4
95.0
96.7
98.5
98.5
98.6
2007
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
99.3
100.0
100.3
100.5
99.2
99.9
100.3
100.5
100.8
100.8
99.0
99.4
99.8
100.6
99.5
100.0
99.7
100.4
99.5
100.3
101.0
98.9
99.3
100.8
100.1
101.2
99.4
99.3
99.1
99.7
100.6
100.6
98.6
101.3
100.7
99.3
99.4
100.3
100.7
99.5
99.1
99.3
100.5
101.1
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
100.9
101.1
99.6
97.8
101.0
101.2
99.6
97.9
97.2
98.9
98.2
97.9
100.8
101.0
100.1
97.1
101.4
101.7
101.4
98.6
101.8
102.7
101.3
99.1
99.3
99.4
97.1
93.8
101.0
101.2
99.4
98.0
101.1
101.8
100.1
98.5
100.3
102.7
102.4
98.3
101.1
100.9
98.9
97.9
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
96.3
95.3
95.2
95.4
96.4
95.4
95.3
95.5
98.6
99.5
99.3
101.1
93.1
89.4
90.3
90.1
95.6
91.9
93.3
93.4
93.5
91.8
93.3
93.8
87.4
84.0
83.5
82.6
97.3
97.1
96.7
97.0
97.7
97.2
98.0
98.2
95.4
96.7
94.7
96.0
97.5
97.2
96.7
96.8
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.8
96.9
97.2
96.8
96.0
97.1
97.4
97.0
100.1
99.6
100.3
100.3
90.9
94.3
96.1
95.3
92.7
94.5
94.4
93.9
92.0
94.5
94.6
94.0
86.8
93.9
99.8
98.4
97.4
97.7
97.5
97.3
97.3
98.8
98.6
99.3
96.5
95.8
95.2
96.2
97.5
97.7
97.5
96.9
2011
Q1
Q2
Q3
97.0
97.2
97.8
97.3
97.5
98.0
100.2
100.0
100.6
95.4
96.0
95.6
94.8
96.3
96.2
96.3
96.5
97.3
96.6
95.4
94.2
97.5
97.6
98.4
100.3
101.5
102.2
96.0
96.2
95.7
97.1
96.8
97.8
1 Gross Value Added (GVA) is also referred to as Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at basic prices
17
Table 8: Revisions to data published on 19 October 2011 (Table 2)

2007=100
Total
Gross
Value
Added
SIC 2003
A-P
All Sectors excl.

extraction of
Production Sector
mineral oil &
fishing
natural gas
Construction
Service Sector
Total
Total
Mining and
Quarrying
Industries
Electricity,
Gas and
Water
Supply
Manufacturing
Total
Total
Distribution,
Hotels and
Catering
A-P excl 11.1
A,B
C,D,E
G-P
G,H
J,K
L-P
Business
Transport, Storage
Services and
and
Finance
Communication
Government,
and Other
Services
2007 weights
1000
989
17
171
15
26
130
76
737
133
69
276
260
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-0.1
0.3
0.5
0.8
-0.1
0.3
0.5
0.8
1
1
-1
-1
-2
-
1
3
3
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
-0.1
-0.2
-0.4
-0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.5
-0.1
-0.2
-0.4
-0.1
0.3
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.5
-1
-1
1
1
-1
1
1
3
-1
-2
1
1
1
1
1
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
0.1
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.1
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.9
0.9
0.9
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-3
-1
2
1
2
1
2
3
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
2
Seasonally Adjusted
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
18

Scotland, 2006 to 2011Q2
2007=100
SIC 2003
2007 weights
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Retail & wholesale
Hotels &
catering
Transport, Storage &

Communication
Financial services
Real Estate &

Business Services
Public Admin, Education

and Health
Other services
L,M,N
O,P
101
32
69
76
200
211
49
-1
-1
-1
-2
-
4
10
11
Seasonally Adjusted
2006
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
1
1
-2
-1
-
2007
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
1
-
-5
-1
5
2
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
-1
-1
-1
1
3
-1
4
4
5
5
1
-
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-3
-1
10
10
10
9
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
-1
-1
-2
-2
11
10
11
11
1
1
2
1
2011
Q1
Q2
-1
-1
1
2
9
8
2
1
19

2007=100
Retail
Transport
Communications
Public Administration
and Defence
Education
Health and Social
div 52
div 60-63
div 64
2007 weights
53
44
24
60
60
91
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
1
-1
-2
-2
-3
-
1
1
1
1
SIC 2003
Seasonally Adjusted
2006
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
1
1
-
2007
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
1
-1
-
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
1
4
-3
1
1
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
-2
-2
-1
-2
-2
-2
-5
-2
1
1
1
1
1
1
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
-2
-2
-3
-3
-1
-1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2011
Q1
Q2
-3
-2
2
2
1
1
20

2007=100
Total
Production
Manufacturing Industries
Refined
Mining and Electricity, Gas
Petroleum
Chemicals &
Quarrying
and Water
ManuProducts and
Man-Made
Fibres
Industries
Supply
facturing Nuclear Fuel
Metals &
Metal
Products
Engineering
and Allied
Industries
Textiles,
Food, Drink & Footwear,
Tobacco
Leather &
Industries
Clothing
Total Other
Manufacturing
C,D,E
DF
DG
DJ
DK,DL,DM
DA
DB,DC
DD,DE,DH,
DI,DN
171
15
26
130
14
15
36
30
28
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
-1
-
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
-1
-
2011
Q1
Q2
-1
SIC 2003
2007 weights
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Seasonally Adjusted
2006
2007
21

2007=100
Food, Drink and Tobacco
Industries
Total Food, Drink
and Tobacco
Industries
Food and Tobacco
SIC 2003
DA
2007 weights
Engineering and Allied

Industries
Drink
Total
Engineering and
Allied Industries
DA15.1-DA15.8, DA16.0
DA15.9
30
14
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Other
Manufacturing
Mechanical Engineering
Electrical and
Instrument
Engineering
Transport
Equipment
Total Other
Manufacturing
Industries
Paper, Printing and

Publishing
Other
Manufacturing
Industries
DK-DM
DK
DL
DM
DD,DE,DH, DI,DN
DE
DD,DH,DI,DN
15
36
10
17
28
11
17
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
1
-1
-
-1
-
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
-1
-
1
-1
-
-1
-
2011
Q1
Q2
-1
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Seasonally Adjusted
2006
2007
22

2007=100
Total
Gross
Value
Added
All Sectors excl. extraction of

mineral oil & natural gas
Agriculture,
Forestry and
Fishing Total
Production and
Construction
Service
Sector
Production
Sector
SIC 2003
A-p
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Construction
Manufacturing
Total
Total
Distribution Hotels and

Catering

Communication
Business, Financial, Public and Other

Services
C-F
C,D,E
G-P
G,H
J-P
989
17
247
171
130
76
737
133
69
535
-0.5
-0.6
-0.6
-0.3
-0.2
0.1
0.1
-0.1
0.3
0.5
0.8
-0.5
-0.6
-0.6
-0.3
-0.2
0.1
0.1
-0.1
0.3
0.5
0.8
-1
-1
-1
1
1
-1
-1
-1
1
1
1
1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-2
-
-1
-1
-1
-1
1
1
2
Q1
Q2
Q3
-0.1
-
-0.1
-
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
-0.2
-0.4
-0.1
0.3
-0.2
-0.4
-0.1
0.3
-1
-
1
-
-1
-1
1
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.5
1
1
-1
1
3
1
1
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
0.1
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.9
0.9
0.9
0.1
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.5
0.7
0.8
0.7
0.9
0.9
0.9
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-1
-3
-1
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
1
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
A,B
Total
1000
2007 weights
A-P excl 11.1
Total
23
ANNEX A
PROVISIONAL ESTIMATES ON 2007 STANDARD INDUSTRIAL CLASSIFICATION
The following industry series have been reclassified under SIC 07 (changes highlighted)
Industry Group
2007
Weight
SIC 2003
Broad Industry
Category
Group
SIC 2007
Broad Industry
Category
Group
Nuclear Fuel
Processing
0.4
Production
Manufacturing
Production
Water Supply &

Waste Management
Publishing
4.5
Production
Manufacturing
Services
Transport, Storage,
Information &
Communication
Recycling
1.1
Production
Manufacturing
Production
Water Supply &

Waste Management
Computing and
Related Activities
14.2
Services
Business Services &

Finance
Services
Transport, Storage,
Information &
Communication
Sewage &
Sanitation
Activities
8.8
Services
Government &
Other Services
Production
Water Supply &

Waste Management
Services
Transport, Storage,
Information &
Communication
Film, Broadcasting
& News Agencies
8.8
Services
Government &
Other Services
Electricity & Gas

Supply
21.9
Production
Electricity, Gas &

Water Supply
Production
Electricity & Gas

Supply
Water Supply
4.3
Production
Electricity, Gas &

Water Supply
Production
Water Supply &

Waste Management
At the headline industrial category level the only changes are the movement of
publishing and sewage & sanitation between services and production.
o The provisional changes to 2007 GVA weights on SIC 2007:
Production 175 (171 on SIC 2003) increase 0.4%
Services 732 (737 on SIC 2003) decrease 0.4%
Agriculture and Construction weights are unchanged
At the broad industry group level there are several changes.

o Manufacturing has seen several activities reclassified into other
industries
o The utilities sector has been split into two groups: electricity & gas
supply; and water & waste management, which includes activities which
were previously classified as manufacturing and services.
o A more detailed Information & Communication section has been

created, including publishing (previously manufacturing) and other service
activities.
There are further changes within the manufacturing sector due to the creation of
a repair and installation of machinery & equipment subsector.
o The enterprises classified in the repair sector were previously included as
metals & metal products, mechanical engineering, electrical & instrument
engineering, and transport equipment. There are revisions to these series
as a result of this reclassification
o The scope of the manufacturing sector has fallen due to the
reclassification of nuclear fuel processing, recycling, and publishing into
other categories.
o At the broad industry group level the provisional SIC 2007 weights are:
Manufacturing 124 (130 on SIC 2003) decrease 0.6%
Electricity & Gas Supply 22 (not defined on SIC 2003)
Water Supply & Waste Management 15 (not defined on SIC

2003)
Transport, Information & Communication 96 (69 on SIC 2003)

increase 2.8%
Business Services & Finance 262 (276 on SIC 2003)

decrease 1.4%
Government & Other Services 242 (260 on SIC 2003)

decrease 1.8%
Other groups unchanged
1A
Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices,1,2

by category of output
2007=100
Total Gross Value
Agriculture,
Added
Forestry & Fishing
A-T
SIC 2007
3,4
Production
Construction
Services
B,C,D,E
G-T
1000
17
175
76
732
100.0
99.8
95.5
96.7
100.0
98.1
99.6
100.1
100.0
101.3
95.1
95.1
100.0
97.4
84.4
94.8
100.0
99.8
96.7
97.2
2007 Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
99.3
100.0
100.3
100.5
100.8
100.8
99.0
99.4
100.0
100.3
99.3
100.5
100.1
101.2
99.4
99.3
99.0
99.8
100.6
100.6
2008 Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
100.9
101.1
99.6
97.8
97.2
98.9
98.2
97.9
101.4
102.2
101.7
99.8
99.3
99.4
97.1
93.8
101.0
101.1
99.3
97.8
2009 Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
96.3
95.3
95.2
95.4
98.6
99.5
99.3
101.1
96.7
93.5
95.0
95.1
87.4
84.0
83.5
82.6
97.1
96.8
96.4
96.7
2010 Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.8
96.9
97.2
96.8
100.1
99.6
100.3
100.3
94.0
95.8
95.5
95.0
86.8
93.9
99.8
98.4
97.1
97.5
97.3
97.1
2011 Q1
Q2
Q3
Percentage change:
97.0
97.2
97.8
100.2
100.0
100.6
95.8
97.4
97.0
96.6
95.4
94.2
97.3
97.3
98.2
2007 weights
2007
2008
2009
2010
Seasonally Adjusted
Q1 10 on Q4 09
Q2 10 on Q1 10
Q3 10 on Q2 10
Q4 10 on Q3 10
+0.5
+1.2
+0.3
-0.4
-1.0
-0.6
+0.8
+0.0
-1.2
+2.0
-0.3
-0.5
+5.1
+8.1
+6.3
-1.4
+0.4
+0.4
-0.2
-0.2
Q1 11 on Q4 10
Q2 11 on Q1 11
Q3 11 on Q2 11
+0.2
+0.2
+0.5
-0.2
-0.1
+0.5
+0.8
+1.7
-0.4
-1.8
-1.3
-1.2
+0.2
+0.1
+0.9
+0.9
0.0
+1.3
+5.9
+0.3
% change latest 4 qtrs on previous 4 qtrs
3. Weights may not sum to the total due to rounding
4. Weights are calculated using SIC 2003 Supply-Use tables reclassified according to SIC 2007 definitions
2A
Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices,1,2 by category of output

2007=100
Total
Gross
Value
Added
All Sectors excl.

extraction of
mineral oil &
natural gas

Production Sector
fishing
Total
Total
Construction
Mining and
Quarrying
Manufacturing
Electricity and
Gas Supply
Water Supply
and Waste
Management
Service Sector
Total
Total
Distribution,
Hotels and
Catering
Transport, Storage, Business

Government,
Information and Services and
and Other
Communication
Finance
Services
SIC 2007
A-T
B,C,D,E
G-T
G,I
H,J
K-N
2007 weights3,4
1000
989
17
175
15
124
22
15
76
732
133
96
262
242
2007
2008
2009
2010
100.0
99.8
95.5
96.7
100.0
99.9
95.6
96.9
100.0
98.1
99.6
100.1
100.0
101.3
95.1
95.1
100.0
91.0
82.1
80.5
100.0
105.4
104.2
104.1
100.0
101.9
103.9
101.6
100.0
101.7
93.9
94.4
100.0
97.4
84.4
94.8
100.0
99.8
96.7
97.2
100.0
100.4
97.8
98.5
100.0
100.6
95.1
93.8
100.0
98.0
92.8
94.1
100.0
101.1
101.1
101.3
O-T
Seasonally Adjusted
2007
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
99.3
100.0
100.3
100.5
99.2
99.9
100.3
100.5
100.8
100.8
99.0
99.4
100.0
100.3
99.3
100.5
105.7
100.1
97.8
96.4
100.7
98.9
99.2
101.2
88.1
109.4
101.3
101.2
105.0
98.7
98.4
97.8
100.1
101.2
99.4
99.3
99.0
99.8
100.6
100.6
98.6
101.3
100.7
99.3
100.9
99.6
99.9
99.6
97.4
99.1
101.6
101.9
100.1
99.7
99.9
100.3
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
100.9
101.1
99.6
97.8
101.0
101.2
99.6
97.9
97.2
98.9
98.2
97.9
101.4
102.2
101.7
99.8
95.6
91.1
90.3
86.9
101.8
103.0
101.6
100.3
104.3
102.5
110.6
104.3
99.9
105.9
100.5
101.6
99.3
99.4
97.1
93.8
101.0
101.1
99.3
97.8
101.1
101.8
100.1
98.5
100.3
101.9
101.4
98.9
101.4
100.2
96.1
94.2
100.8
101.3
101.4
101.0
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
96.3
95.3
95.2
95.4
96.4
95.4
95.3
95.5
98.6
99.5
99.3
101.1
96.7
93.5
95.0
95.1
83.7
84.0
80.9
79.8
94.1
92.6
94.2
94.9
116.2
97.9
101.9
100.7
101.8
104.3
105.5
104.0
87.4
84.0
83.5
82.6
97.1
96.8
96.4
96.7
97.7
97.2
98.0
98.2
95.8
96.5
93.9
94.2
93.1
92.7
92.0
93.6
101.6
101.2
101.3
100.2
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.8
96.9
97.2
96.8
96.0
97.1
97.4
97.0
100.1
99.6
100.3
100.3
94.0
95.8
95.5
95.0
81.5
82.8
81.1
76.4
92.4
95.4
95.2
94.8
103.8
103.6
103.3
105.6
105.2
100.7
100.5
100.0
86.8
93.9
99.8
98.4
97.1
97.5
97.3
97.1
97.3
98.8
98.6
99.3
94.3
93.8
93.4
93.8
94.1
94.7
94.0
93.4
101.2
101.3
101.7
101.1
Q1
97.0
97.3
100.2
Q2
97.2
97.5
100.0
Q3
97.8
98.0
100.6
+0.5
+0.5
+0.5
+0.9
+1.0
0.0
95.8
97.4
97.0
78.3
73.5
74.1
96.6
97.1
97.6
97.9
112.5
106.3
103.0
101.4
100.8
96.6
95.4
94.2
97.3
97.3
98.2
100.3
101.5
102.2
93.1
93.1
92.8
93.5
93.1
95.3
101.3
101.3
101.3
-0.4
+0.8
+0.6
-5.5
-0.6
-1.2
+0.9
+0.7
-0.3
+2.3
0.0
+1.0
-4.8
+1.8
+2.2
-2.5
+5.9
+0.3
+2.6
-0.8
-0.3
+0.1
2011
UK, 2007 to 2011 Q3

2007=100
Total
Gross
Value
Added
2008 weights3
2007
2008
2009
2010
All Sectors excl.

extraction of
mineral oil &
natural gas

Production Sector
fishing
Construction
Service Sector
Total
Total
Mining and
Quarrying
Industries
Manufacturing
Electricity &
Gas Supply
Water Supply
& Waste
Management
Total
Total
Distribution,
Hotels and
Catering
Government,
Transport, Storage Business
and Other
Services and
and
Services
Finance
Communication
1000
CGCE
978
JUNT
7
L2KL
154
L2KQ
25
L2KR
102
L2KX
14
L2MW
12
L2N2
76
L2N8
763
L2NC
137
L2PZ
112
KI8M
292
KI8O
222
KI8Q
100.0
99.1
94.5
96.5
100.0
99.1
94.7
96.7
100.0
116.2
98.5
97.1
100.0
97.2
88.5
90.1
100.0
93.5
85.1
80.9
100.0
97.4
88.0
91.2
100.0
100.5
95.7
99.1
100.0
98.2
90.2
88.8
100.0
97.2
84.1
90.9
100.0
99.5
96.9
98.2
100.0
97.2
92.7
94.1
100.0
99.8
94.1
96.9
100.0
99.8
95.5
96.7
100.0
100.4
102.7
103.5
Seasonally Adjusted
2007
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
98.3
99.5
100.7
101.5
98.3
99.5
100.7
101.5
99.4
99.3
98.1
103.2
100.1
100.1
99.7
100.1
100.4
101.4
99.6
98.5
100.0
100.1
99.8
100.1
97.5
98.5
100.7
103.3
102.2
99.7
98.5
99.6
101.2
100.3
98.3
100.1
97.7
99.3
101.1
101.8
98.3
99.3
101.0
101.4
97.1
99.8
101.0
102.0
96.7
99.0
101.9
102.4
98.9
99.4
100.3
101.4
2008
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
101.2
100.2
98.5
96.3
101.4
100.3
98.6
96.4
115.0
117.0
116.0
116.8
100.0
98.6
97.3
92.8
94.9
94.7
94.0
90.2
100.8
98.9
97.3
92.4
101.6
102.8
99.7
98.1
99.9
98.7
100.3
93.8
101.8
99.8
96.1
91.2
101.3
100.4
98.8
97.3
100.1
99.5
96.0
93.0
100.6
101.3
99.4
98.0
102.0
100.7
98.8
97.6
101.5
100.3
100.3
99.5
2009
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
94.6
94.2
94.4
95.0
94.7
94.3
94.6
95.3
97.8
98.1
98.0
100.3
89.2
88.9
87.8
88.1
87.9
87.8
82.8
81.7
88.3
88.1
87.3
88.3
95.7
95.0
97.0
95.2
90.6
89.7
90.5
90.0
85.3
83.2
83.7
84.0
96.6
96.4
96.8
97.6
92.4
92.1
92.1
94.2
94.3
92.9
93.5
95.7
95.9
95.5
95.2
95.3
101.5
102.1
103.5
103.8
2010
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
95.4
96.6
97.2
96.8
95.6
96.7
97.4
97.2
100.5
99.6
99.0
89.1
89.2
90.3
90.4
90.6
82.5
83.0
81.1
77.0
89.4
90.9
92.1
92.7
100.4
99.2
95.5
101.3
87.5
89.2
89.6
88.9
84.7
91.6
94.4
93.1
97.6
98.1
98.7
98.4
93.6
94.3
94.7
93.7
96.3
96.6
97.1
97.7
95.8
96.5
97.3
97.2
103.2
103.5
103.8
103.3
99.9
98.8
99.3
90.4
89.1
89.3
73.4
67.7
67.6
93.4
93.4
93.5
96.1
94.8
96.9
93.3
90.7
90.3
91.6
94.5
94.8
99.2
99.3
100.0
94.6
94.6
94.9
97.6
97.4
97.7
97.9
98.0
99.1
104.6
104.9
105.5
+0.5
+0.2
-0.2
+0.1
+2.2
-0.5
+0.3
+0.7
+0.2
+0.3
+1.2
+0.6
+0.4
-12.9
+3.4
-0.3
+1.9
+5.4
+1.2
+0.3
+1.3
+1.9
+1.0
2011
Q1
97.3
97.8
Q2
97.3
98.0
97.8
98.7
Q3
+0.5
+0.6

+1.3
+1.7
-3.1
4. Weights are calculated using SIC 2003 Supply-Use tables reclassified according to SIC 2007 definitions
A NATIONAL STATISTICS PUBLICATION FOR SCOTLAND

Official and National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the Code
of Practice for Official Statistics at http://www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/assessment/code-ofpractice/code-of-practice-for-official-statistics.pdf. Both undergo regular quality assurance
reviews to ensure that they meet customer needs and are produced free from any political
interference.
Statistics assessed, or subject to assessment, by the UK Statistics Authority carry the National
Statistics label, a stamp of assurance that the statistics have been produced and explained to
high standards and that they serve the public good.
Further information about Official and National Statistics can be found on the UK Statistics
Authority website at www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk
SCOTTISH GOVERNMENT STATISTICIAN GROUP
Our Aim
To provide relevant and reliable information, analysis and advice that meet the needs of
government, business and the people of Scotland.
For more information on the Statistician Group, please see the Scottish Government website at
www.scotland.gov.uk/statistics
Correspondence and enquiries
Enquiries on this publication should be
addressed to:
General enquiries on Scottish Government

statistics can be addressed to:
Richard Morrison
Office of the Chief Economic Adviser
Scottish Government
Room 4.WR, St Andrews House
Edinburgh, EH1 3DG
Telephone: (0131) 244 3768
Fax: (0131) 244 2824
e-mail: richard.morrison@scotland.gsi.gov.uk
Office of the Chief Statistician

Scottish Government
4N.05, St Andrews House
Edinburgh EH1 3DG
Telephone: (0131) 244 0442
e-mail:
statistics.enquiries@scotland.gsi.gov.uk
Further contact details, e-mail addresses and details of previous and forthcoming publications
can be found on the Scottish Government Website at www.scotland.gov.uk/statistics
Complaints and suggestions
If you are not satisfied with our service, please write to the Chief Statistician, 4N.05, St Andrews
House,
Edinburgh,
EH1
3DG,
Telephone:
(0131)
244
0302,
e-mail
CheifStatistician@scotland.gsi.gov.uk. We also welcome any comments or suggestions that
would help us to improve our standards of service.
ScotStat
If you would like to be consulted about new or existing statistical collections or receive
notification of forthcoming statistical publications, please register your interest on the Scottish
Government ScotStat website at www.scotland.gov.uk/scotstat
Crown Copyright
Brief extracts from the Crown Copyright material in this publication may be reproduced provided
the source is fully acknowledged.

Scotland GDP Publication

Загружено:

Сведения о документе

Исходное описание:

Авторское право

Доступные форматы

Поделиться этим документом

Поделиться или встроить документ

Параметры публикации

Этот документ был вам полезен?

Это неприемлемый материал?

Авторское право:

Доступные форматы

Scotland GDP Publication

Загружено:

Авторское право:

Доступные форматы

Statistical Bulletin

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT

Quarter on quarter percentage change

GDP Analysed by Industry Sector

Manufacturing output grew by 0.9 per

Output in Mining and Quarrying grew

Construction output fell 1.2 per cent

Distribution, Hotels & Catering

Distribution, Hotels and Catering

Output in Distribution, Hotels and

The strongest growth was in Hotels &

Transport, Storage and

Transport, Storage & Communication

Output in Transport, Storage &

Growth in the Transport & Storage

Business Services & Finance

Business Services and Finance

Output in Business Services and

Government and Other Services

Government & Other Services

Output in Government and Other

The Other Services sector grew 0.5 per

Change in Standard Industrial Classification

Scottish and UK GDP: Annual growth to 2011 Q3

Key quality issues

Average absolute revision

Quarterly GDP growth

Average absolute revision

Quarterly GDP growth

Cash estimates of GVA

development which is regularly peer reviewed by the Scottish Economic Statistics

Table 1: Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices,

Total Gross Value

% change latest 4 qtrs on previous 4 qtrs

All Sectors excl.

Agriculture, forestry and

A-P excl 11.1

Transport, Storage Business

Table 3: Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices:

Scotland, 2006 to 2011 Q3

Transport, Storage &

Real Estate &

Public Admin, Education

Public Administration and

Health and Social Work

Table 5: Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices:

Scotland, 2006 to 2011 Q3

Table 6: Gross Value Added chained volume measures at basic prices:

detailed production industries

Scotland, 2006 to 2011 Q3

Total Food, Drink

Food and Tobacco

Engineering and Allied Industries

All Sectors excl.

Production and Construction

A-P excl 11.1

Transport, Storage and

Table 8: Revisions to data published on 19 October 2011 (Table 2)

All Sectors excl.

A-P excl 11.1

Table 9: Revisions to data published on 19 October 2011 (Table 3)

Retail & wholesale

Transport, Storage &