PROTERMO

LAR

SOLAR THERMAL ELECTRIC PLANTS (STE) MARKETS DEPLOYMENT

Dr. Luis Crespo Secretary-General of PROTERMOSOLAR

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Content
1. A brief history of Solar Thermal Electric Power Plants

2. The recent boom in Spain and future perspectives

3. The emerging markets (USA, MENA, India, China, Australia, ) 4. The DESERTEC concept and the Mediterranean Solar Plan

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Content
1. A brief history of Solar Thermal Electric Power Plants

2. The recent boom in Spain and future perspectives

3. The emerging markets (USA, MENA, India, China, Australia, ) 4. The DESERTEC concept and the Mediterranean Solar Plan

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

Some historical examples of the use of solar concentrating technologies

LAR

200 a.C. Siracuse siege

1500: 4 mile linear fresnel reflector project for a cloth deying industry steam plant

1861: Agustin Mouchot solar motor in the Universal Expo in Paris 1914: First solar industrial parabolic trough collector power plant in Shuman in Meadi, near Cairo (5 rows of 62 m each with a 120 HP steam turbine) Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

The pilot projects at the early 80s

LAR

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

What are the main desirable characteristics of an electrical system? Sustainable

Security of supply No unpredictable impacts on the economy

LAR

Risk free
Affordable

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

Renewable Energies are the answer

The only open points would be: To what extent? (100?) When?

LAR

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

The essential role of STE in the Electricity Generation Mix

LAR

Although other R.E. technologies might appear cheaper in the short term, their fluent character hide important negative effects on the system costs, transmission requirements and fossil back up needs High potential, storage and hybridization features and room for cost reduction, make essential the role for STE in the future Generation Mix in countries with enough solar resource

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Content
1. A brief history of Solar Thermal Electric Power Plants

2. The recent boom in Spain and future perspectives

3. The emerging markets (USA, MENA, India, China, Australia, ) 4. The DESERTEC concept and the Mediterranean Solar Plan

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

Solar Thermal Electric Technology in Spain: A success story of public support to R&TD
ELEMENTS: Continuous support to R&TD since late 70s Specialized and highly qualified education in several Spanish Universities Active role of Research Centers International collaboration Feed in tariff system Dynamism of the companies

LAR

RESULT: INTERNACIONAL LEADERSHIP

First Spanish heliostat (1977)

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Ciudad Real Alicante Granada

Badajoz

In operation (12) Under construction (22)

Seville Malaga Almeria

Updated info: www.protermosolar.com

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

SOLNOVA 1, 3 and 4 & PS 10 and PS 20 Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

ANDASOL 1 and ANDASOL 2

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

EXTRESOL 1
Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

CTS Puertollano Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

LA RISCA, Alvarado Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

LA FLORIDA, Alvarado Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

PUERTO ERRADO 1 Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Villarrobledo Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Lebrija 1 Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

GEMASOLAR, Fuentes de Andaluca Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

Breakdown of the operative, under construction and registered plants in Spain

Total: 2423 MW (In operation by the end of 2013)
94% Parabolic trough

LAR

38 %

62 %

~
Relative to power installed

With Storage Without Storage

2% Tower

3% Stirling 1% Fresnel

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

Forecast for STE plants in Spain

MW
10000 -

LAR

10.000

9000 -

8000 -

7000 -

7.000

6000 -

5000 -

4000 -

?
2340 1850 1350 850

3000 -

2000 -

1000 -

FI
2010

F II
2011

F III

F IV
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

2012

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

THE REGULATORY CHANGES AND TRIALS IN THE LAST MONTHS

R.D.L 6/2009 (May 2009) - Selection of the plants eligible for the current tariff system (R.D. 661/2007) - Criteria : Permits, financing, component acquisition, . ready by beginning of May - 4.500 MW applied 2400 MW registered - Limitation in connection dates: Phases I, II, III, IV (1st January 2011-13) even for starting up purposes - 36 months for completion. Dec-2012 for phases I, II and III and Dec-2014 for ph. IV SOCIMI Law passed in the Senate but rejected in the Congress (October 2009) - Intention to limit to 500 MW the total STE power eligible for the current tariff system Announcement of changes in the current system (May 2010) - Open possibility to reduce the premiums according to art. 44.3 of the R.D. 661? - Proposals from the Ministry to restrict the number of operation of STE plants to 2500 h/year - Reduction of 10% on the current premium An agreement was reached in July but it is not still officially published
Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

WHAT IS NEXT?
The agreement applies to the registered plants only A new R.D. must be negotiated to cover the STE deployment untill 2020. Criteria on technological priorities must be established

LAR

PANER: National Action Plan in R.E. Send to EU in June the 30th

The new Renewable Energy Plan (PER ) 2010-20 will be published by the end of the year. We will do our best to increasing the share of STE
Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

STE applications for grid access:

LAR

15.561 MW (Oct-2009)

This is really a true pipeline of projects

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Content
1. A brief history of Solar Thermal Electric Power Plants

2. The recent boom in Spain and future perspectives

3. The emerging markets (USA, MENA, India, China, Australia, ) 4. The DESERTEC concept and the Mediterranean Solar Plan

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

EU RES Directive Oportunities

Member States 2020 Objectives Articles 6, 7 & 8 of the RES Directive (Flexibility mechanisms) Spain is prepared to help other M.S. with joint STE Plants

Article 9 refers to the importation from third countries (MENA / MSP)

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Forecast in European countries by 2020 (NAPs)

France 540 MW Italy 600 MW Greece 250 MW Cyprus 75 MW

Portugal 500 MW

Spain 5079 MW

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

OPERATIONAL PLANTS IN USA

LAR

Nevada Solar One 64 MW Boulder City, Nevada

Kimberlina 5 MW Bakersfild, California

Sierra Sun Tower 5 MW Lancaster, California

Red Rock 1 MW Arizona

Webinar Oct-2010

SEGS Plants (Total 354 MW) Kramer Junction / Harper Lake, California

PROTERMO

PROSPECTS FOR THE USA

LAR

Increased awareness in Utilities, Policy Makers and Investors

Tax credits have been extended till 2017

Additional support (Stimulus Bill, Treasury Grants - 30% if starting in 2010 - and Loan Guaranties - $6B -, Renewable Portfolio Standard)

Many PPAs signed (8.000 MW) with the SW Utilities

None has started the construction yet. This is mainly due to financial issues and to the complex and lengthy process at State and Federal levels The number of projects on tower and trough concepts are even

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Pipeline of STE projects in the USA

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

Example of the projects to be launched shortly in the USA

LAR

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

First Projects in the MENA Region

LAR

150 MW ISCC at Hassi RMel 470 MW ISCC at Ain Beni Mathar

146 MW ISCC at Kuraymat

100 MW in Abu Dhabi

Several countries have announced ambitious plans that could be financed under the PSM schemes + concessional WB loans ($750M)
Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

Announced Plans in the MENA Region

Morocco: Algeria: Tunesia: Libya: Egypt: Sudan: Syria: Israel: Jordan: Saudi Arabia: Iran: Kuwait: UAE: Oman: Jemen:
2 000 MW by 2020 4 ISCCs similar to Hassi RMel 225 MW by 2016 1 000 MW renewables by 2015 20% renewables by 2020 2 000 MW announced CSP under investigation 1 000 MW by 2015 300-600 MW by 2020 CSP under investigation

LAR

RFP issued for 1st ISCC, 17MW solar share CSP under consideration 1 000 MW by 2020 100 MW IPP, bidding start end of 2010 CSP under consideration

Webinar Oct-2010

PROSPECTS IN OTHER REGIONS

INDIA

PROTERMO

LAR

There is a tremendous need for additional power. Ambitious solar

mission is being planned (1.100 MW by 2013 and 20 GW by 2022, ) but the breakdown between PV and STE has not been yet established First ideas for feed in tariffs have been announced at federal and state levels (Gujarat, Andhra, Rajasthan, ) The rated power for the first projects is not known yet.

CHINA Plans for 300 MW in 2015 with own technology AUSTRALIA Aim 25% of solar power by 2050
Clean Energy Initiative / Solar Flagships Program - 1000 MW solar power - First call for 400 MW (PV + CSP) Promoters shortlisted - Funding through taxable grant payments (30%) + state aids
Webinar Oct-2010

International references might accelerate their plans

PROTERMO

LAR

Excellent
Webinar Oct-2010

Good

Suitable

Non suitable

PROTERMO

LAR

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

FORECAST BY COUNTRIES 2009-2014

LAR

The long and dark solar thermal electric night

SOURCE: Global Concentrated Solar Power Markets and Strategies: 2010 -2025, IHS Emerging Energy Research, April 2010

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Content
1. A brief history of Solar Thermal Electric Power Plants

2. The recent boom in Spain and future perspectives

3. The emerging markets (USA, MENA, India, China, Australia, ) 4. The DESERTEC concept and the Mediterranean Solar Plan

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

THE DESERTEC CONCEPT

LAR

3000 km

90 % of the world electricity consumption can be supplied from STE plants. The total surface would be 300x300 km2 distributed among 10.000 sites in the desert areas of the earth. Transmission using HVDC lines at 3000 km distance will have losses < 10%

EU25

Webinar Oct-2010 desert to supply all the European electricity needs

The little square shows the required area in the Sahara

PROTERMO

Trying to make it happens

Mediterranean Solar Plan (UfM) Paving the way (EU) Desertec Industrial Initiative TransGreen Industrial Initiative

LAR

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Some final reflections on Technology and Cost

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

STE ROADMAP
Working fluids: - Temperature - Efficiency - Storage System designs - Cycles - Cooling - Hybridization - Land

LAR

Different technologies: different performances and potential

Parabolic Trough

Central Receiver Systems

LCOE

Fresnel linear reflectors

Parabolic dishes wit Stirling motors

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

COST REDUCTION IS THE MAIN ISSUE

LAR

Fuente ESTELA / ATKearney

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

High Potential
Dispatchable

Competive

Sinergy Industry - R&D

Regional development

Webinar Oct-2010

PROTERMO

LAR

Thank you for your attention!

luiscrespo@protermosolar.com
Webinar Oct-2010