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Humaira Sardar Ali Irfan Rashid M. A. Ghani Chishty Robina Kiran Noman Bari S. Najmul Hassan
The Team
Introduction to Frequent Fliers (FF) Program (FFP) Importance of FFPs, Today Cost of Redemptions (Free-Flights) Percentage Redemption from total FF Miles Cost Matrix Cost of United FFP Methods to Measure Cost Method to be used Beneficial for United to Continue the FFP? Financial Disclosure of Uniteds FFP
Financial Statements or SEC Disclosure? What & why?
Presentation Outline
Actual cost in terms of all consumables used to service the reward negligible Opportunity Cost
Free (Reward) Flight vs. Paying Customer
Cost of Redemptions
Accounting policy change vs. Change in Accounting Estimates (Retrospective vs. Prospective)?
W.r.t. Teaching Notes pp 3 para 4
Revenue Passenger (PAX) Miles (RPM): A transportation industry metric that shows the number of miles travelled by passengers. Revenue passenger miles are calculated by multiplying the number of passengers by the distance travelled.
For example, an airplane with 100 passengers that flies 250 miles has generated 25,000 RPMs.
Available Seat Miles (ASM): available seat miles (ASM) show the total number of passenger miles that could be generated
An aircraft with 130 seats that flies 250mi has 32,500 ASMs
Definitions
Definitions - II
Airlines consider ALL PAX in their RPMs, meaning, Airline RPMs contain:
Revenue (Paying) PAX, and Frequent Flyer (i.e. Free/Redeemed) PAX
Definitions - III
Based on Averages & Industry reports Based on Opportunity Cost Based on Displaced Earnings due to FFP Based on Deferred Revenue
Description RPM (United) Revenue PAX Total PAX Average PAX Journey Average Flight Length PAX Load Factor (PLF) Breakeven PLF Average Yield per RPM Cost Per ASM Price of Fuel/Gallon Average Fare per Revenue PAX
Units Miles Numbers Numbers Miles Miles % % USD USD USD USD
Numbers 76,137,000,000 57,598,000 59,901,920 1,322 912 66.2% 66.5% $0.126 $0.096 $0.804 $167.26
MMC - II
Description
Total Revenue Industry Average RPM under FF (1990) FF RPM (United - 1990) Revenue Generating RPMs FF PAX Total PAX FF as %age of Total PAX Average Fare for ALL PAX Fare Premium for Revenue PAX Fare Premium REDEEMED Total Fare Premium (From revenue PAX)
Units
USD % Miles Miles Numbers Numbers % USD USD USD USD
Numbers
$9,633,841,480 4% 3,045,480,000 73,091,520,000 2,303,920 59,901,920 3.85% $160.83 $6.43 $14,821,295 $370,532,365
USD
$385,353,659
Description Lost Revenue from FF @ Average Fare Total POTENTIAL Revenue (FF+Rev PAX = 9.6B + 385M) Total POTENTIAL Yield for Revenue RPMs (Rev / Rev RPM) Total POTENTIAL Yield (Total Rev Pot. / RPM) Average Yield
Since the aircrafts were never at full capacity on average (PLF 66.2%)
Probability of FF PAX Displacing a Revenue PAX = minimum Hence this could be neglected
Assuming that for 30 days (holiday season) flights go full that means 654,555 x (30 / 365) = 53,800 flights go full Assuming 10% of all FF travel during these 30 days = 230,392 PAX Displaced Earnings = 230,392 x 167.26 = $38,535,366
Units
Numbers
Units
AIR
OC -
DE $0 $0
DR $15,414,14 6
$385,353,65 9
$385,353,65 $38,535,366 9
Deferred Revenue is the way that we should calculate costs of the FF Program Why?
IFRIC 13 IAS 18
Description Fare value of Point Credits Revenue Recognized Deferred Revenue Units Numbers
The FF Program is a separately identifiable element of the transaction for which the customer implicitly paid Not delivered to the customer at the same time Recognized separately to reflect the substance of the transaction Distinguished from Marketing Expenses Integral part of the initial sale transaction
As the CFO, I would compare the incremental cost of the program with the lost revenue Revenue Gained = 130,000 new members x 12months
= 1,560,000 PAX x $0.126 x 1322mi RPM = 196,560 x 1322mi RPM = $ 259,852,320
Assuming that no Revenue PAX is displaced by FF PAX and that 4% of all RPM generated through the program is redeemed
= 82,492,800mi redeemed / 1322mi = 62,400 x $167.26 Lost Revenue = $10,437,024
NET Revenue = 259,852,320 10,437,024 = $249,415,296 Its highly beneficial to continue the FFP
Disclosure is required in the Financial Statements Basis of Accounting policies Standards and Interpretations adopted in making the FS All the accounting policies are consistently applied making information comparable for the user of FS The users should know that FS are drawn up in accordance with the requirements of SEC i.e. the FS presented before them are in line with the requirements and give true and fair view of the affairs.
Disclosure of FFP
Revenue recognition policy Nature of the frequent flier program Any contingencies / commitments Differed Revenue amount Amount realized / recognized during the year Assumptions / expectations for the redemption along with the bases Any change in estimates prospective application
We opt for Deferred Revenue method Sale originates from initial transaction Fair value of the awards are incorporated in the transaction initially Although insignificant as compared to the revenue, yet they are redeemable for services in ordinary course of business
$ Dr. 167.26
$ Dr. 167.26
Thank you!