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UNDERPOLICY
DIVIDEND GUIDENCE:
& VALUE OF
PROF. ANUBHA GUPTA FIRM
IMRT BUSINESS SCHOOL
VIPUL KHAND GOMTINAGAR
LUCKNOW
FROM: BHUPENDRA
PT SINGH
PGDM-2nd TRIMESTER
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Topics Covered
How Dividends are Paid
Share Repurchase
How Do Companies Decide on Dividend
Payments
Why Dividend Policy Should Not Matter
Why Dividends May Increase Firm Value
Why Dividends May Reduce Firm Value
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Dividend Payments
Regular vs. extra dividend
Regular payment is an important issue
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Payments
Stock Dividend - Distribution of additional
shares to a firm’s stockholders.
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Example - Amoeba Products has 2 million shares
currently outstanding at a price of $15 per share.
The company declares a 50% stock dividend. How
many shares will be outstanding after the dividend is
paid?
Answer
2 mil x .50 = 1 mil + 2 mil = 3 mil shares
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Dividend
Example - cont - After the stock dividend what
is the new price per share and what is the
new value of the firm?
Answer
The value of the firm was 2 mil x $15 per
share, or $30 mil. After the dividend the
value will remain the same.
Price per share = $30 mil / 3 mil share =
$10 per share
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Payments
Stock Repurchase - Firm buys back stock
from its shareholders. (cash dividend vs.
share repurchase )
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Example - Cash dividend versus share repurchase
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Example - Cash dividend versus share repurchase
Assets Liabilities & Equity
B. After cash dividend
Cash $50,000 Debt 0
Other assets 850,000 Equity 900,000
Value of Firm 900,000 Value of Firm 900,000
Shares outstanding = 100,000
Price per share = $900,000 / 100,000 = $9
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Example - Cash dividend versus share repurchase
Assets Liabilities & Equity
C. After stock repurchase
Cash $50,000 Debt 0
Other assets 850,000 Equity 900,000
Value of Firm 900,000 Value of Firm 900,000
Shares outstanding = 90,000
Price per share = $900,000 / 90,000 = $10
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Decision
How Dividends are Determined?
1. Firms have long-term target dividend payout
ratios.
2. Managers focus more on dividend changes
than on absolute levels.
3. Dividends changes follow shifts in long-run,
sustainable levels of earnings rather than
short-run changes in earnings .
4. Managers are reluctant to make dividend
changes that might have to be reversed.
(They are particularly worried about having to
rescind a dividend increase)
Level of dividends can be taken as a signal
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about the company’s future prospect
Policy
Three points of view about dividend policy
and the value of firm
1. Dividend policy makes no difference
2. High dividends increase firm value
3. High dividends bring high taxes and
therefore reduce firm value
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Dividend policy
Higher dividend payout means:
More current dividend amount, consequently higher
stock price
But lower retention rate with lower amount available for
reinvestment leading to lower growth depressing stock
price
Thus needs to strike a balance to maximize stock price
Referred as optimal dividend policy
MM’s proposition: value of a firm depends only on the
income produced by its assets
Not on how the income is split between dividends and
retained earnings (growth)
Investors more certain of present dividend (bird-in-hand)
and prefer present dividend yield, as against capital
gain yield (less certain of receiving capital gain in future
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Tax rate on capital gains and on dividend income are
usually different for investors (long-term capital gains
attract normally lower tax rate)
Again, capital gains tax not payable until stock is sold
Wealthy investors (who own most of the stock and
receive most of the dividends) likely to prefer higher
retention rate for plough back of profits rather than
high dividend rate
Most firms try to follow a policy of paying a constant or
steadily increasing dividend
That provides stable income to investors
Any departures from it give investors information about
management’s expectations for future earnings
(signalling effects)
Other dividend policies may pertain to:
Residual (after capital budgeting) dividend policy
Constant payout ratio policy
Low regular dividend plus extra policy (can be
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in difficult years and then pay extra
The major issue involved:
At what rate earned inside the organization vs. at
what rate earned in outside opportunities (besides the
differential tax impact on dividend and capital gains)
from investors’ point of view
Cost of retaining earnings vs. cost of distributing
earnings from the company’s point of view.
Clientele effect:
Individuals in high tax bracket likely to prefer either no
or less dividends, on the contrary low tax bracket
investors would prefer the opposite
This disparity eventually narrowed down, and the
market stabilizes
As investors desirous of specific pattern of dividends
switch over their investments to those firms where they
would get their preferred choice of dividends, known as
clientele effect
Linter model:
Managers estimate what portion of firms’ earnings is
likely to be permanent and what portion of earnings is
likely to be temporary
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Dividends likely to be raised following a permanent
(rather than temporary) increase in earnings and firms
have a long-run target for their dividends to earnings
ratio
Managers need to decide the target payout ratio and the
speed of adjustment of current dividend to target
Dividend may be paid by way of cash, or stock dividend
depending on company’s cash position and its likely
impact on its capital structure
Stock split refers to increasing the number of shares,
such as doubling the number of shares outstanding by
giving each stockholder two new shares for each one
formerly held- to keep the stock prices within the
optimal trading range
Stock repurchase plan- firm buys back some of its
outstanding stock, thereby decreasing the number of
shares and consequently increasing EPS and stock price
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X & Y ARE TWO FAST GROWING COMPANIES IN THE ENGINEERING INDUSTRY. THEY ARE
CLOSE COMPITITORS & THEIR ASSETS COMPOSITION, CAPITAL STRUCTURE &
PROFITABILITY RECORDS HAVE BEEN VERY SIMILAR FOR SEVERAL YEARS. THE PRIMARY
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THEM FROM FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT PERSPECTIVE IS THEIR
DIVIDEND POLICY. THE COMPANY X TRIES TO MAINTAIN A NON DECREASING DIVIDEND
PER SHARE, WHILE THE COMPANY Y MAINTAINS A CONSTANT DIVIDEND PAY OUT RATIO.
THEIR RECENT EARNING PER SHARE(EPS), DIVIDEND PER SHARE (DPS), & SHARE
PRICE (P) HISTORY ARE AS FOLLOWS:::::
Year COMPANY X COMPANY Y
EPS DPS P(RANGE) EPS DPS P(RANGE
)
1 Rs 9.30 Rs 2 Rs 75-90 Rs 9.50 Rs Rs 60-80
2 7.40 2 55-80 7.00 1.90
1.40 25-65
3 10.50 2 70-110 10.50 2.10 35-80
4 12.75 2.25 85-135 12.25 2.45 80-120
5 20.00 2.50 135-200 20.25 4.05 110-225
6 16.00 2.50 150-190 17.00 3.40 140-180
7 19.00 2.50 155-210 20.00 4.00 130-190
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QUESTIONS OF EXAMPLE
IN ALL CALCULATIONS BELOW THAT REQUIRE A SHARE PRICE, USE THE
AVERAGE OF THE TWO PRICES GIVEN IN THE SHARE PRICE RANGE.
(B) DETERMINE THE AVERAGE D/P & P/E FOR BOTH THE COMPANIES
OVER
THE PERIOD 1 THROUGH 7.
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SOLUTION
D
(A) & (B)
D/P & P/E RATIOS
YE COMPANY X COMPANY Y
AR EPS DPS D/P P P/E EPS DPS D/P P P/E
RATI RATIO RATI RATIO
O O
1 9.30 2.00 21.5 82.50 8.87 9.50 1.90 20 70 7.37
Record Date
Cash 1,000
Asset Value 9,000
Total Value 10,000 +
New Proj NPV 2,000
# of Shares 1,000
price/share $12
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Irrelevant
Example - Assume Rational Semiconductor has no extra cash,
but declares a $1,000 dividend. They also require $1,000 for
current investment needs. Using M&M Theory, and given the
following balance sheet information, show how the value of the
firm is not altered when new shares are issued to pay for the
dividend.
Record
Stock 12,000
Cash 0
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Dividend Policy is
Irrelevant
Example - continued - Shareholder Value
Record Pmt
Stock 12,000 11,000
Cash 0 1,000
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Dividend Policy is
Irrelevant
Example - continued - Shareholder Value
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Dividends Increase
Value
Dividends as Signals
Dividend increases send good news
about cash flows and earnings. Dividend
cuts send bad news. (information content
of dividends)
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Dividends Decrease
Value
Before 1986, dividends tax was up to
50%, the realized capital gains were
taxed only 20%
Taxes on dividends have to be paid
immediately, but taxes on capital gains
can be deferred until shares are sold and
capital gains are realized
Pension funds are untaxed, so there is no
difference for them
Corporations have to pay a 35% tax on
the full amount of any realized capital
gain. However, they pay corporate
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income tax on only 30% of any dividend
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