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Balance of payment

Su ni tha N. K
Za ha bia Ashmi tha N. S
Bhal am wala In du priy a S
Mand ann a T. M
Sh ruti Sr in ivas

Group 11
Agenda
• DEFINITION
• PURPOSE OF BOP
• BALANCE OF PAYMENT ACCOUNTS
• TYPES OF ACCOUNTS
• STRUCTURE OF BOP ACCOUNT
• BALANCE OF TRADE
• EQUILIBRIUM
• DISEQUILIBRIUM
• CORRECTIVE MEASURES
• BOP ADJUSTMENTS
• INDIA’S PAST & CURRENT BOP SCENARIO
Definition
A Balance of Payment account is a statement
of double entry system of record of all
economic transactions (involving foreign
payments) between residents of a country
and the rest of the world carried out in
specific period of time.
Purpose Of BOP
• Provides data for economic analysis
• Reveals changes in the composition &
magnitude of foreign trade
• Provides indications of future
repercussions of country’s past trade
performances
• Reveals the weak and strong points of a
country’s foreign trade relations
TERMINOLOGIES
• Favo rable Bal ance O f Pay ment s – Value
of total receipts more than total payments

• Adve rse B alan ce Of Payme nts – Value of


total receipts less than total payments
• Bala nced Bala nce Of Paym ents – Value
of total receipts equals total payments
• Unre quite d re ceipts – Receipts for
which nothing has to be paid in return.
• Unre quite d pa yments – Payments for
which nothing is received in return.
Balance of Trade
De fin it io n: Difference between value of exports
and imports of visible items only

BOT BOP

• Records only merchandise •Records transactions


transactions relating to both goods and
• Does not record transactions services
of capital nature • Records transaction of
• A part of current account of capital nature
BOP • Includes BOT , Balance of
services , Balance Of
Unrequited Transfers and
Balance Of Capital
Transactions.
BALANCE OF PAYMENT ACCOUNT
CURRENT ACCOUNT
• All transactions relating to goods,
services and unrequited transfers
constitute current account
• Flow of items pertaining to specific
period of time
• Visible items include
goods
• Invisible items include
services
Structure of current account
Transactions Credit Debit Net Balance
1. Merchandise Export Import -

2. Foreign Travel Earning Payment -

3. Transportation Earning Payment -

4. Insurance Receipt Payment -


(Premium)
5. Investment Income Dividend Receipt Dividend Payment -

6.Government Receipt Payment -


(purchase of goods &
services)
CURRENT A/C - - Surplus (+)
Balance Deficit (-)
CAPITAL ACCOUNT
• All transactions indicating changes in stock
magnitudes concerning capital receipts and
payments constitute capital account
• Relates to
- Borrowing
- Capital repayment
- Sale of assets
- Change in stock of gold
- Change in reserve of foreign currency
Short term capital movement includes:
 Purchase of short term securities
 Speculative purchase of foreign currency
 Cash balances held by foreigners
 Net balance of current account

Long term capital movement includes:


 Investments in shares, bonds, physical
assets etc.
 Amortization of capital
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN CURRENT
ACCOUNT AND CAPITAL ACCOUNT

CURRENT ACCOUNT CAPITAL ACCOUNT


• Indicates flow aspect • Indicates changes in
of country’s national stock magnitudes
transactions • Relates to all
• Relates to goods , transactions
services and unrequited constituting debts and
transfers transfer of ownership
STRUCTURE OF BALANCE
OF PAYMENTS ACCOUNT
CREDITS DEBITS

Cur re nt A/ c: Cur re nt A/ c:
•Exports of goods(Visible items) •Imports of goods(Visible items)
•Exports of services •Imports of services(Invisibles)
(Invisibles) •Unrequited payments( gifts,
•Unrequited receipts(gifts , remittance, indemnities etc. to
remittances, indemnities, foreigners)
etc. form foreigners) Cap it al A/ c:
Cap it al A/ c: •Capital payments (lending to ,
•Capital receipts (Borrowings capital repayments to , or
from abroad , capital repayments purchase of assets from
by , or sale of assets to foreigners, reduction in stock
foreigners, increase in stock of of gold and reserves of foreign
gold and reserves of foreign currency etc.)
currencyTotal
etc.)
Receipts Total Payments
An Example
Let us consider the following hypothetical
situation:
• Export of goods Rs. 550 Crore
• Import of goods Rs. 650 Crore
• Export of services Rs. 150 Crore
• Import of services Rs. 70 Crore
• Unrequited receipts Rs. 100 Crore
• Unrequited payments Rs. 80 Crore
• Capital receipts Rs. 200 Crore
• Capital payments Rs. 200 Crore.
Balance Of Payment
Account
Credits Debits
• Current A/c: • Current A/c:
2) Export of goods 550 2) Import of goods 650
3) Export of services 150 3) Import of services 70
4) Unrequited receipts 100 4) Unrequited payments 80

• Capital A/c: • Capital A/c:


7) Capital receipts 200 7) Capital payments 200

To ta l r ec eip ts To ta l p ay men ts
10 00 10 00
EQUILIBRIUM IN BOP
ACCOUNTS
Total receipts equals total payments arising
out of transfer of
– Goods and services
– Other transactions
These transactions are classified as:-
– Autonomous transactions
– Induced transactions or Accommodating
capital flows
• In the curr ent account autonomous
transactions are the export and import of
goods and services

• When export is not equal to import, short


run capital movements such as international
borrowing and lending take place, which are
called induced or accommodating
transactions
• In the cap ital accou nt the export and
import of long term capital are autonomous
transactions

• The short term capital movements viz. gold


movements and accommodating capital
movements on account of autonomous
transactions are induced transactions.
Example of Autonomous and
Accommodating transactions
Credits Debits
• Cu rre nt A /c • Cu rre nt A /c
Au ton om ou s t ra nsa cti on s Aut on omo us tr an sac ti ons
• Export of goods 550 4. Import of goods 800
• Export of services 150 5. Import of services 50
• Unrequited receipts 6. Unrequited payments
Gifts 75 Gifts 20
Indemnity 25 Remittance 60
• Ca pit al A /c • Ca pit al A /c
Acc om mod at ing Acc om mod ati ng
tr ans ac tio ns tra ns ac tio ns
• Borrowings 200 11.Lending 70
Re cei pt s 10 00 Pa yme nt s 10 00
Disequilibrium
• Total receipts and total payments
inequality shows disequilibrium of balance
of payments account
• Total receipt and payment arising from
autonomous transactions determine the
deficit or surplus in the balance of
payments
• If payments>receipts, BOP shows Deficit
• If payments<receipts, BOP shows Surplus
KINDS OF BOP
DISEQUILIBRIUM
• Fundamental Disequilibrium

• Cyclical Disequilibrium

• Structural Disequilibrium
CAUSES OF
DISEQUILIBRIUM
• Increase in imports

• Slow progress in exports

• Burden of interest payments

• International developments

• Deficit in capital account


Corrective Measures
• Devaluation
• Export promotion
• Import restrictions
• Import substitution
• Government intervention
• Supply of credit
• Special treatment to NRIs
• Announcement of trade policies
• Foreign aid
• Improvements in production efficiency
BOP Adjustments

• INDIRECT MEASURES
Income measures
Fiscal Policy
Monetary Policy
Price measures

• DIRECT MEASURE
Exchange control
Variations in India’s
deficit position

• 1991-1995:- Equal growth of exports &


imports
• 1995-1999:- Growth of imports& stagnation
of exports(widening of trade deficits)
• 1999-2000:- Exports recovered while imports
surged(continued rise in trade deficits)
• 2000-2001:- Rise in exports &stagnation of
imports(normal level of trade deficit)
India’s current BOP position
• Remained comfortable during 2007-08

• Increase in net inflows by FIIs

• Increase in FDI inflows

• Increase in net surplus

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