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Over 80% of the CVD burden occurs in low (L) and middle income countries (MIC), but there are few data on risk factors for CVD from these countries
Current thinking suggests that only 50% of the risk of CHD is accounted by known risk factors
INTERHEART: Aims
1. To evaluate the association (odds ratio) of risk factors for MI globally, and in each region; and among major ethnic groups in the world. 2. To quantify the impact of each risk factor alone and their combination on the populations risk (population attributable risk, PAR) overall and in each region, ethnic group, in males and females and in young and old.
Methods
Cases: First MI. Controls: Matched to cases by age (+/-5 yr and sex) at each site Data collected from 262 sites in 52 countries: Questionnaire: demographics, lifestyle, health hx, psychosocial, medications Physical measures: height, weight, waist & hip circum, blood pressure, heart rate Blood sample: 20 ml
Statistical methods:
OR and PAR both presented with 99% confidence intervals. All analyses adjusted for age, sex and region.
Germany
Greece Guatemala Hungary India Iran Israel
Mozambique
Nepal New Zealand Netherlands Nigeria Pakistan Philippines
Sri Lanka
Sultanate of Oman Sweden Thailand UAE UK USA
Brazil
Cameroon Canada Chile
Poland
Portugal Qatar
Zimbabwe
Distribution by ethnicity
Latin Am Other 11% CE Eur Oth Asian 1% 14% 6% Col Afr 2% Euro 26%
China/HongKong 21%
Age, years
70 65 60 55 50 45 40
Men Women
ve ra ll W E ur C /E M E id ur E/ Eg yp Af t ri c a S C hi A s na ia SE /H As ong K ia /J ap an S AN A Z m er /M ex N Am er
OR (99% CI)
1
Deciles: Cont Cases Median 1 1210 435 0.43 2 1206 496 0.53 3 1208 610 0.60 4 1207 720 0.66 5 1210 790 0.72 6 1209 893 0.78 7 1207 1063 0.85 8 1208 1196 0.93 9 1208 1366 1.04 10 1209 1757 1.28
OR (99% CI)
1
Cont Cases OR Never 7489 4223 1 1-5 727 469 1.38 6-10 1031 1021 2.10 11-15 446 623 2.99 16-20 1058 1832 3.83 21-25 96 254 5.80 26-30 230 538 5.26 31-40 168 459 6.34 41+ 56 218 9.16
2.4
1.9
3.3
13.0
42.3
68.5
182.9
333.7
128
OR (99% CI) 64 32 16 8
4 2
1
Smk
DM
HTN
+O
+PS
All RFs
INTERHEART: Decreased Risk of AMI with Avoidance of Smoking; Daily Fruits/Veg, Reg Phys Activity & Alcohol
0.35
1.0
0.70
0.86
0.91
0.24
0.21
0.19
OR (99% CI)
0.5
0.25
0.125
All LS 67.8 49.6 45.5 63.2 55.2 62.4 69.9 65.8 56.9 59.8 62.8 54.6
Smoking Fruit/Veg Exercise Alcohol Hypertension Diabetes Abd Obesity All Psych ApoB/ApoA-1 All 9 RF
P for interactions: *p<0.001
INTERHEART: Association of Risk Factors with AMI in Men & Women (1)
Risk Factor Curr Smok Diabetes Hypertension Gender F M F M F M F M Cont. % 9.3 33.0 7.9 7.4 28.3 19.7 33.3 33.3
Abd Obesity
0.25
0.5
2 OR (99% CI)
INTERHEART: Association of Risk Factors with AMI in Men & Women (2)
Risk Factor PS Index Fruits/Veg Exercise Gender Cont. % F M F M F M F M 50.3 39.6 16.5 20.3 11.2 29.1
F M
14.1 21.9
0.25 0.5 1
OR (99% CI)
0.5
4 OR (99% CI)
16
INTERHEART: Summary
1. 2. Nine simple risk factors are strongly associated with AMI worldwide. These risk factors are even more important in the young, and their effects are consistent in men and women, across all ethnic groups and all regions. Abnormal Apo-B/ApoA-1 ratio and smoking are the most important risk factors and account for >2/3 of the PAR. All 9 risk factors account for >90% of the PAR globally and in most regions.
3.
IMPLICATIONS: Implementing preventive strategies based on our current knowledge would avert the majority of premature CHD worldwide.
National Coordinators
Argentina: Paolasso, Diaz; ANZ: Varigos, Hunt; Bahrain: Halim; Bangladesh: Haque; Benin: Agboton; Botswana: Onen; Brazil: Avezum, Piegas; Cameroon: Blackett; Canada: Yusuf, Teo; Chile: Lanas; China: Liu Lisheng; Colombia: Bautista; Croatia: Rumboldt; Czech: Widimsky; Egypt: Khedr; Germany: Wittlinger, Rupprecht; Greece: Karatzas; Guatemala: Luna; HK: Sanderson; Hungary: Keltai; India: Reddy, Pais; Iran: Hasani; Mirkhani; Israel: Lewis, Halon; Italy: Tognoni, Franzosi; Japan: Hori, Sato; Kenya: Ogola, Wangai; Kuwait: Zubaid; Malaysia: Lang; Mexico: RamosCorrales; Mozambique: Damasceno; Nepal: Pandey; Netherlands: Peters; Nigeria: Akinroye; Pakistan: Kazmi; Philippines: Dans; Poland: Ceremuzynski, Budaj; Portugal: Morais; Qatar: Gehani; Russia: Volkova; Seychelles: Panovsky; Singapore: Johan; S Africa: Steyn; Commerford; Sliwa; Spain: Valentin; S Lanka: Mendis, Jayalath; Oman: Al Hinai; Sweden: Rosengren; Thailand: Sitthi-Amorn; UAE: Almahmeed; UK: Fox, Flather; USA: Probstfield; Zimbabwe: Chifamba
Lancet: 2 publications
Electronic version: 04 September 2004 Print version: 11 September 2004