Green Built Environment Evolution to Revolution

David Fullbrook

Baby Boomers Legacy

1957-Born 1962-Silent Spring 1973-Started Work 1973-Oil Crisis 1975-Global Warming 1979-2nd Oil Crisis 1989- Montreal Protocol 1992-Rio Earth Summit 2012-Rio+20 2nd Earth Summit 2020?- Retirement 2037?-Death 2020?-Peak oil and irreversible climate change

1995-Moved to NZ

Weve become lazy, We live in high energy use homes, We drive to work in air-conditioned cars We work in sealed office buildings, All of which respond to our most slovenly instincts And disconnect us from the environment. Its time to reconnect and re-engage.

Short History of Sustainable Design

Regenerative Design

Sustainable Design

Green Rated Design Passive Design

Low Energy Design

Current Level of Environmental Sustainability for the Built Environment

Economic Equitable

Social

Viable Environmental

Sustainable Civilised
Livable Cultural

Future Level of Environmental Sustainability for the Built Environment

Economic Resilient

Social Equitable

Cultural Environment Civilised Livable

Baby Boomer at the crossroads

At the current rate of emissions we only have 3 decades of available carbon budget left.(IPCC 2013)

Revolution not Evolution

19 C Industrial revolution.

20 C Technological and consumer revolution

21 C Environmental revolution

Our current approach of concentrating on flash new buildings will not get us there
Level of Sustainability %New Build to Existing pa. %of new build to this standard Saving on GHGs by this standard % of GHG Emissions attributable to Buildings Cumulative effect on NZ Greenhouse Gas emissions pa

Green Star Living Building Challenge

3% 3%

10% 0.01%

50% 100%

20% 20%

0.03% 0.006%

We need to incentivize major upgrading of the great unwashed existing building stock over 30 years

Main Services Upgrade Fit Out Fit Out Fit Out

Whole Building Upgrade

Fit Out

Fit Out

10 Yrs.

20 Yrs.

30 Yrs. Timeline

40 Yrs.

50 Yrs.

Relative impact on sustainability

Design

Controls Commissioning and Fine Tuning

Behaviors and Aftercare

Third

Third

Third

Scale Jumping Think Big / Not Small

Neighbourhoods Districts Campuses Portfolios Production processes Cities Regions NZ Inc

People - The catalyst for change

People not buildings control climate change

Lifestyle and ecological footprint

Lifestyles and Ecological Footprint
4.0 3.5
Number of Earths Required

3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0

8 Tribes Lifestyles

Changing patterns of consumption

Predictably Irrational Bias, Self Image, Status, Emotional Target better alternatives, Make sustainability more sexy

Economic Human Self Interested, Price Driven Price Signals

Locked in Socio Economic Barriers, No choice, Technological Construct environments that support sustainable living

Socially Organised Way of Life, Values Sustainable/Green Lifestyles Grassroots activation

After Paul C Stern

What will the future look like?

Bullitt Centre
Highly efficient faade Shallow floor plan and high floor to floor height. High levels of natural light and mixed mode ventilation Heavy timber Construction Irresistible stair No Red List Materials

Bullitt Centre
Net Zero energy Rooftop PV Ground source heat pump heating and cooling Mixed mode ventilation Net Zero Water composting toilets, greywater treatment and rainwater harvesting/treatment.

Wynyard Quarter
New sustainable development framework High Density Mixed Use 5 Star/7Star with hurdles 80/30kWh/m Exemplars 6 star/8star/Living Building Challenge Ground Lease/Sky Lease $6m PV array across innovation Precinct

Wynyard Quarter
Passive design master plan 95% stormwater treated Brownfield site 70/30 -30/70 modal split Public open space provisions Sustainability storytelling

What will it cost and whats the value?

Nowadays people know the cost of everything and the value of nothing Oscar Wilde

Potential economic impacts of climate change

Stern report predicted loss in Global GDP of 5-20% every year due to future climate change effects. Global costs of natural disasters aggravated by climate change could double to 150 billion euros per year in ten years. Insurance cost equivalent to a World Trade Centre attack every year. (Source Swiss Re.) In New Zealand the flooding and storms of 2004 cost over $400m. The 2007-2008 Draught - $2.3 bn. The 2012-2013 Draught - $3bn. 0.5 1.0% GDP

What do we invest in?

$120-150bn of largely publically owned infrastructure assets although reducing by asset sales $15bn of infrastructure investment in 3 year cycles. $6.2bn of roading investment $0.3bn of public transport and cycling/walking infrastructure

The value case for different levels of sustainability

Global Consensus

National Government

Joining the dots

Regional Government Local Government Environment Infrastructure Land use /planning Sustainability Frameworks Rates Infrastructure Land use /planning Sustainability Frameworks Buildings Individual

Climate change agreements Kyoto 2

Energy security of supply

Climate Change Environmental commitments and policies movement

Personal choice Personal actions Community commitment

Regulation

Taxation

Rates

Getting Involved Environmentally Significant Behaviour

Environmental Activism Support for environmental movement. Household behaviour Workplace and professional behaviour Community Action