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Is arrived at through a projection of future cash receipts and cash disbursements of the firm over various intervals of time. It reveals the timing and amount of expected cash inflows and outflows over the period studied.*
Example: The Continental Sheetmetal Company offers terms of net 30, meaning that payment is due within 30 days after the invoice date. In the company's experience, 90 percent of receivables are collected, on the average, 1 month from the date of the sale, and 10 percent are collected 2 months from the date of the sale, with no bad-debt losses. Moreover, on the average, 10 percent of total sales are cash sales.
Dec.
315,000 243,000
Jan.
225,000 283,500 27,000
Feb.
180,000 202,500 31,500
Mar.
225,000 162,000 22,500
Apr.
270,000 202,500 18,000
May
315,000 243,000 22,500
June
342,000 283,500 27,000
$335,500 $254,000
If the sales forecasts are those shown in the first line of the table shown above, we can compute a schedule of the expected sales receipts based on the foregoing assumptions. * From this example, it is easy to see the effect of a variation in sales on the magnitude and timing of cash receipts, all other things being held constant.*
Dec.
315,000 243,000
Jan.
225,000 283,500 27,000
Feb.
180,000 202,500 31,500
Mar.
225,000 162,000 22,500
Apr.
270,000 202,500 18,000
May
315,000 243,000 22,500
June
342,000 283,500 27,000
$310,500 $234,000 $184,500 $220,500 $265,500 $310,500 25,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 38,000
$40,000
used equipment
$294,000
Dec.
Jan.
$250,000 225,000 283,500 27,000 $310,500 25,000
Feb.
$200,000 180,000 202,500 31,500 $234,000 20,000
Mar.
$250,000 225,000 162,000 22,500 $184,500 25,000
Apr.
$300,000 270,000 202,500 18,000 $220,500 30,000
May
$350,000 315,000 243,000 22,500 $265,500 35,000
June
$380,000 342,000 283,500 27,000 $310,500 38,000
$335,500
$254,000
$209,500
$250,500 $300,500
$348,500
Jan.
$80,000 100,000 80,000 50,000
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May
June
$100,000 $120,000 $140,000 $150,000 $150,000 80,000 80,000 50,000 100,000 90,000 50,000 120,000 90,000 50,000 140,000 95,000 50,000 150,000 100,000 50,000
There is a 1-month lag between the time of purchase and the payment for the purchase* Wages are assumed to increase with the amount of production Wages are generally more stable over time than are purchases.*
Schedule of Cash Disbursements (The Continental Sheetmetal Company ) In addition to cash expenses, we must take into account capital expenditures, dividends, federal income taxes, and any other cash outflows. Because capital expenditures are planned in advance, they usually are predictable for the short-term cash budget. As the forecast becomes more distant, however, prediction of these expenditures becomes less certain. Dividend payments for most companies are stable and are paid on specific dates. Estimation of federal income taxes must be based on projected profits for the period under review. Other cash outlays might consist of the repurchase of stock or payment of long-term debt. *
Jan.
Total cash expenses
Feb.
$210,000 150,000 ______ $360,000
Mar.
$240,000 50,000 20,000 ______ $310,000
Apr.
$260,000
May
$285,000
June
$300,000 20,000 ______ $320,000
$230,000
Capital expenditures
Dividend payments Income taxes Total cash disbursements
30,000 $260,000
30,000 $290,000
______ $285,000
The net cash flow may then be added to beginning cash in January, which is assumed to be $100,000, and the projected cash position computed month by month for the period under review.
The cash budget shown indicates that the company is expected to have a cash deficit in April and May. Its deficit is caused by a decline in collections through March, capital expenditures totaling $200,000 in February and March, and a cash dividend of $20,000 in March. With the increase in collections in May and June, the cash balance without financing rises to $13,500 in June. The cash budget indicates that peak cash requirements occur in April. If the firm has a policy of maintaining a minimum cash balance of $75,000 and of borrowing from its bank to maintain this minimum, it will need to borrow an additional $66,000 in March. Additional borrowings will peak at $105,500 in April, after which they will decline to $61,500 in June, if all goes according to prediction. *
From the standpoint of internal planning, it is far better to allow for a range of possible outcomes than to rely solely on the expected outcome. This allowance is particularly necessary for firms whose business is relatively unstable. If a company bases its plans on only expected cash flows, it is likely to be caught flatfooted if there is a significant deviation from the expected outcome. An unforeseen deficit in cash may be difficult to finance on short notice. Therefore, it is essential for the firm to be honest with itself and attempt to minimize the costs associated with deviations from expected outcomes. It may do this by taking the steps necessary to ensure accuracy and by preparing additional cash budgets to take into account the range of possible outcomes.