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Prepared for the 56th Annual Meetings of the Industrial Relations Research Association, 2004
Backdrop
1. Economic pressures on employers
Globalization of capital markets and production Advances in information technology Changes in financial markets
2. Institutional changes
Deregulation of industries Decline in unions Decline in minimum wage
90th percentile
Index (1973=1)
1973
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2002
Retail trade
18% of workforce (23.3 million workers) Low wages, few hours, few benefits, little training
Food:
Two new market entrants: category killers (Toys-R-US) and mass discounters (Wal-Mart)
Rapid consolidation of the industry no more mom-and-pop stores Increased power of shareholders in the stock market
buying products from manufacturers distributing them to the retail stores selling them to customers
Upshot
Wal-Mart emphasizes reengineering process, not the workplace The model is extremely efficient, productive, profitable
Wal-Mart outperforms other retailers on almost every measure of productivity, sales, and profits Has had profound impact on industry practice, throughout the supplier chain Now the biggest private employer in the country Near monopoly status in hard goods
Wages graph
Hourly wages of non-managerial retail workers (in 2002 dollars)
$18 $16 $14 $12 85% $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0
1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
95%
Hourly wages
90%
80%
75%
70%
Typical Wal-Mart store: one store manager, four assistant managers, 200 hourly workers
In 2002, general merchandise stores had:
6% 6% 52% 22% Managers and professionals Front-line supervisors Sales workers Office and administrative support
Retailers train workers an average of seven hours, putting the industry last among 14 business sectors
Has not affected the actual work that sales workers do, has not increased demand for skill
Store
workers still ring up sales, stock and neaten shelves, and handle lay-aways
The lesson
The absence of high-performance does not mean lack of performance Alternative strategies have emerged, which do not emphasize human resources but which are nevertheless highly efficient and profitable Non-market intervention will be needed to shift retailers and other service firms away from the Wal-Mart model
(Re)create the legal structures that set the ground rules for what employers can and cannot do i.e. wage floors, right to organize, pay or play health insurance, etc.
At industry level, create intermediary institutions that simultaneously address issues of productivity and workforce training
Different industries need different mixes of these strategies. Retail in particular will need an emphasis on #1.