Lecture:4

Date:11/02/2014

Energy Planning Process

Constraints of Pakistan
Security problem Terrorism Lack of Funds International Restrictions Political Gaps

Common Practices in Developed Countries

Exploration of the context of the current and future situation Formulation of particular problems and opportunities Create a range of models to predict the likely impact of different scenarios

Common Practices in Developed Countries

Results are analyzed and structured in an easily interpreted format The results are then interpreted in order to determine the scope Quality assurance process which actively interrogates each stage of the energy planning process

Common Practices in Developed Countries

The last stage of the process is to take action. This may consist of the development, publication and implementation of a range of policies, regulations & procedures.

Common Practices in Developing Countries

Lack of knowledge on energy resources Lack of equipments and facilities Political unstability Limited thinking and policies

Decision Making Steps

Establishing community: creating and nurturing the relationships Perception: recognizing that a problem exists Interpretation: identifying competing explanations for the problem

Decision Making Steps

Judgment: sifting through various possible actions Motivation: examining the competing commitments Action: following through with action that supports the more justified decision

Decision Making Steps

Reflection in action Reflection on action

Other Decision Making Processes

Outline your goal and outcome. Gather data. Develop alternatives (i.e., brainstorming) List pros and cons of each alternative. Make the decision. Immediately take action to implement it. Learn from and reflect on the decision.

Developing Energy Plan

Designate a lead office and find a champion. Establish partnerships Find the hooks in the vision, goals, policies of your city Conduct an energy and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions audit of your city / local authority

Developing Energy Plan

Analyze your information and develop a draft plan Build public and internal support Finalize the plan Implement and finance the plan Monitor and evaluate the plan Publicize and communicate the benefits

Top-Down Approach
A top-down approach (also known as stepwise design and in some cases used as a synonym of decomposition) is essentially the breaking down of a system to gain insight into its compositional sub-systems

Top-Down Approach

Bottom-Up Approach
A bottom-up approach is the piecing together of systems to give rise to more complex systems, thus making the original systems subsystems of the emergent system

Bottom-Up Approach

Endogenous And Exogenous Vairabels

Some economic variables are determined by our models, while others are usually assumed to be determined by factors outside of our models. We call the former endogenous variablesand the latter exogenous variables

Method Vs Model
Method can be thought as big approach consisting of many models

Model Method

Model

Model