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Bothwell Batidzirai
UNIDO/AU/Brazil First HighLevel Biofuels Seminar in Africa (30 July1 August 2007) Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Contents
Overview Drivers of bioethanol fuel African experiences Lessons learnt Barrier analysis Action plan Conclusions
Ethanol production doubled to 46 Gl in 20002005 Projected to 60-75 Gl in 2010 Growth mainly in US, Brazil, China 13 countries using ethanol fuel in 2003 At least 30 countries have/plan to introduce ethanol fuel programs
Kenya
Mauritius Nigeria South Africa Swaziland
15
30 410 13
Source: FO Lichts, 2007
23
Zimbabwe
Other Africa Total Malawi ~
25
92 638 18 Ml/yr
Zimbabwe blending from 1980-1992 Malawi blending since 1982 Kenya blending since 1983-1993
South Africa new programme in 2007 Ethiopia E5 mandate in Addis in 2007 Nigeria Brazil partnership to create BioCity Sudan new programme in 2007 Pan African Cassava Initiative
New programmes
Success factors
Costly imports, security of supply (regional instability) Clear & consistent policies including incentives & competitive pricing Steady availability of feedstock Availability of irrigation water (Lake Malawi) Plant cost $8mln, savings $32mln (1982-1990) Blending at 15-22%
Success factors
Ethanol from maize programme (155 Ml pa) Mandatory E10 blending legislation pending Biofuels strategy being developed
Using Brazilian model & partnership to start bioethanol programme Presidential Initiative on Cassava & ethanol from cassava plant in Niger with China
Nigeria
Lessons Learnt
Government support critical (not control) Clear, consistent, sustained policies Capital and pricing incentives Close public-private partnership Supportive institutional framework Local construction & early capacity building Simple designs & avoiding too rapid expansion Sustained feedstock availability Preparedness for weather induced feedstock shortages Comprehensive program of action
Barriers
Lack of clear, consistent long term policies Lack of government support Lack of supportive institutional framework Lack of technical expertise Capital intensive nature of projects Lack of access to affordable finance Arable land and water availability (droughts) Limited availability of feedstock Competition with food production Market uncertainty due to fluctuating oil, sugar prices
Action plan
Capacity building
Stakeholder awareness raising on benefits, opportunities, technologies, policies Awareness raising on project development, financing strategies
Training in sustainable feedstock production Training in equipment fabrication, civil works , production and maintenance Training in biotechnologies and yield improvement
Action Plan
Policy development
Establish a consultative industry strategy Develop implementation plan incl institutional structure Develop supporting policies e.g incentives & supporting regulatory framework Establish pricing formula for ethanol
Develop bioethanol research programme Conduct long term research on feedstocks, technologies Establish continuous market and policy review Establish international knowledge sharing forum Promote joint RD&D
Conclusions
Enormous potential for bioethanol fuel Significant benefits already demonstrated Government support critical to project success Mandates and incentives important for market transformation Clear & consistent policy framework important Need for ensuring & monitoring sustainability of programs w.r.t food-fuel dilemma, maintaining environmental integrity