ECE 476

POWER SYSTEM ANALYSIS

Lecture 1
Introduction

Professor Tom Overbye

Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering

About Me

Professional

Received BSEE, MSEE, and Ph.D. all from University of Wisconsin at Madison (83, 88, 91) Worked for eight years as engineer for an electric utility (Madison Gas & Electric) Have been at UI since 1991, doing teaching and doing research in the area of electric power systems Developed commercial power system analysis package, known now as PowerWorld Simulator. This package has been sold to about 400 different corporate entities worldwide DOE investigator for 8/14/2003 blackout

Simple Power System

Every power system has three major components

generation: source of power, ideally with a specified voltage and frequency load: consumes power; ideally with a constant resistive value transmission system: transmits power; ideally as a perfect conductor

Complications

No ideal voltage sources exist Loads are seldom constant Transmission system has resistance, inductance, capacitance and flow limitations Simple system has no redundancy so power system will not work if any component fails

Notation - Power

Power: Instantaneous consumption of energy Power Units Watts = voltage x current for dc (W) kW 1 x 103 Watt MW 1 x 106 Watt GW 1 x 109 Watt Installed U.S. generation capacity is about 900 GW ( about 3 kW per person) Maximum load of Champaign/Urbana about 300 MW

Notation - Energy

Energy: Integration of power over time; energy is what people really want from a power system Energy Units Joule = 1 Watt-second (J) kWh Kilowatthour (3.6 x 106 J) Btu 1055 J; 1 MBtu=0.292 MWh U.S. electric energy consumption is about 3600 billion kWh (about 13,333 kWh per person, which means on average we each use 1.5 kW of power continuously)

Power System Examples

Electric utility: can range from quite small, such as an island, to one covering half the continent

there are four major interconnected ac power systems in North American, each operating at 60 Hz ac; 50 Hz is used in some other countries.

Airplanes and Spaceships: reduction in weight is primary consideration; frequency is 400 Hz. Ships and submarines Automobiles: dc with 12 volts standard Battery operated portable systems

North America Interconnections

Electric Systems in Energy Context

Class focuses on electric power systems, but we first need to put the electric system in context of the total energy delivery system Electricity is used primarily as a means for energy transportation

Use other sources of energy to create it, and it is usually converted into another form of energy when used

About 40% of US energy is transported in electric form Concerns about need to reduce CO2 emissions and fossil fuel depletion are becoming main drivers for change in world energy infrastructure

Sources of Energy - US
CO2 Emissions (millions of metric tons, and per quad) Petroleum: 2598, 64.0 Natural Gas: 1198, 53.0 Coal: 2115, 92.3 1 Quad = 293 billion kWh (actual)

About 86% Fossil Fuels

In 2009 we got about 0.75% of our energy from wind and 0.04% from solar (PV and solar thermal)

1 Quad = 98 billion kWh (used, taking into account efficiency)

Source: EIA Energy Outlook 2011

US Historical Energy Usage

Electric Energy Sources by State

Global Warming and the Power Grid, What is Known: CO2 in Air is Rising
Value was about 280 ppm in 1800; in 2011 it is 394 ppm

Source: http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/ccgg/trends/

As Has Been Worldwide Temperature

Baseline is 1961 to 1990 mean Source: http://www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/info/warming/

Change in U.S Annual Average Temperature

Source: http://www.isws.illinois.edu/atmos/statecli/Climate_change/ustrends.htm

But Average Temperatures are Not Increasing Everywhere Equally

Source: http://www.isws.illinois.edu/atmos/statecli/Climate_change/iltrends.htm

And Where Might Temps Go?

The models show rate of increase values of between 0.15 to 0.4 C per decade. The rate from 1975 to 2005 was about 0.2 C per decade.
Source: http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/futuretc.html#projections

Energy Economics

Electric generating technologies involve a tradeoff between fixed costs (costs to build them) and operating costs

Nuclear and solar high fixed costs, but low operating costs Natural gas/oil have low fixed costs but high operating costs (dependent upon fuel prices) Coal, wind, hydro are in between

Also the units capacity factor is important to determining ultimate cost of electricity Potential carbon tax seen as unlikely soon

Ball park Energy Costs

Nuclear: $15/MWh Coal: $22/MWh Wind: $50/MWh Hydro: varies but usually water constrained Solar: $150 to 200/MWh Natural Gas: 8 to 10 times fuel cost in $/MBtu Note, to get price in cents/kWh take price in $/MWh and divide by 10.

Natural Gas Prices 1990s to 2011

Marginal cost for natural gas fired electricity price in $/MWh is about 7-10 times gas price

Course Syllabus

Introduction and review of phasors & three phase Transmission line modeling Per unit analysis and change of base Models for transformers, generators, and loads Power flow analysis and control Economic system operation/restructuring Short circuit analysis Transient stability System protection Distribution systems

Brief History of Electric Power

Early 1880s Edison introduced Pearl Street dc system in Manhattan supplying 59 customers 1884 Sprague produces practical dc motor 1885 invention of transformer Mid 1880s Westinghouse/Tesla introduce rival ac system Late 1880s Tesla invents ac induction motor 1893 First 3 phase transmission line operating at 2.3 kV

History, contd

1896 ac lines deliver electricity from hydro generation at Niagara Falls to Buffalo, 20 miles away Early 1900s Private utilities supply all customers in area (city); recognized as a natural monopoly; states step in to begin regulation By 1920s Large interstate holding companies control most electricity systems

History, contd

1935 Congress passes Public Utility Holding Company Act to establish national regulation, breaking up large interstate utilities (repealed 2005) 1935/6 Rural Electrification Act brought electricity to rural areas 1930s Electric utilities established as vertical monopolies

Vertical Monopolies

Within a particular geographic market, the electric utility had an exclusive franchise
Generation Transmission Distribution Customer Service In return for this exclusive franchise, the utility had the obligation to serve all existing and future customers at rates determined jointly by utility and regulators It was a cost plus business

Vertical Monopolies

Within its service territory each utility was the only game in town Neighboring utilities functioned more as colleagues than competitors Utilities gradually interconnected their systems so by 1970 transmission lines crisscrossed North America, with voltages up to 765 kV Economies of scale keep resulted in decreasing rates, so most every one was happy

History, contd -- 1970s

1970s brought inflation, increased fossil-fuel prices, calls for conservation and growing environmental concerns Increasing rates replaced decreasing ones As a result, U.S. Congress passed Public Utilities Regulator Policies Act (PURPA) in 1978, which mandated utilities must purchase power from independent generators located in their service territory (modified 2005) PURPA introduced some competition

History, contd 1990s & 2000s

Major opening of industry to competition occurred as a result of National Energy Policy Act of 1992 This act mandated that utilities provide nondiscriminatory access to the high voltage transmission Goal was to set up true competition in generation Result over the last few years has been a dramatic restructuring of electric utility industry (for better or worse!) Energy Bill 2005 repealed PUHCA; modified PURPA

Utility Restructuring

Driven by significant regional variations in electric rates Goal of competition is to reduce rates through the introduction of competition Eventual goal is to allow consumers to choose their electricity supplier

State Variation in Electric Rates

The Goal: Customer Choice

The Result for California in 2000/1

OFF

OFF

The California-Enron Effect

WA MT OR ID WY NV UT CA AZ NM TX CO SD NE IA IL

ND

VT ME MN

WI

MI

NY PA OH
W VA VA

NH MA RI CT NJ DE DC MD

IN

KS
OK

MO AR

KY

TN
MS AL LA GA

NC SC

AK
HI electricity restructuring delayed restructuring

FL

no activity

suspended restructuring

Source : http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricity/chg_str/regmap.html

August 14th, 2003 Blackout

2007 Illinois Electricity Crisis

Two main electric utilities in Illinois are ComEd and Ameren Restructuring law had frozen electricity prices for ten years, with rate decreases for many. Prices rose on January 1, 2007 as price freeze ended; price increases were especially high for electric heating customers who had previously enjoyed rates as low as 2.5 cents/kWh 2009 average residential rate (in cents/kWh) is 9.08 in IL, 7.62 IN, 9.38 WI, 7.37 IA, 15.52 NY, 6.60 WA, 13.20 in CA, 9.82 US average

The Rise of Renewables

Currently about 4% of our electric capacity is wind The up/downs in 2001/2 and 2003/4 were caused by expiring tax credits