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Security
Polly Ericksen
Environmental Change Institute
University of Oxford
polly.ericksen@eci.ox.ac.uk
Food security…
Deforestation Agricultural
intensification
Fossil fuel
consumption Freshwater extraction
Urbanisation Fisheries
overexploitation
Land reclamation
Waste production
Climate Change Scenarios
CC SRES estimates
Climate Change Impacts on
Grain Yields
Global production
Cereal production
0
-4
-6
-8
-10
-12
A1 A2 B1 B2
world
ource: EarthTrends, 2008; using data from the the Climate Analysis Indicators Tool (CAIT)
Total GHG emissions for food supply chain
associated with household food consumption in the US
12
FOOD
AVAILABILITY
• Production
• Distribution
• Exchange
Capacity
to cope
FOOD SYSTEM Exposure
with, and to GEC
RESILIENCE /
adapt to,
VULNERABILITY
GEC
SOCIETAL CHANGE
Change in institutions,
resource accessibility,
economic conditions, etc.
Vegetable WTO
gardens at every renegotiated?
house? Revitalized agricultural extension?
Aquaculture?
Payments for agrobiodiversity?