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Basics of Asset Allocation

Paradigm for Wealth Creation


Creating Wealth:
Is not a function of income
Is not a function of investment expertise
Is really a matter of Regular Savings

August 26, 2

The mother of all equations

FV = PV (1 + r)n
FV = Future Value
PV = Present Value
r = Rate of Return/ Coupon Rate
n = No. of compounding periods

August 26, 2

Enhancing Future Value

n
n
FV = PV
(1
+
r)
PV
r
The more you
save, makes
a difference

The more
you earn,
makes a
differenc
e

The
sooner
you start,
makes a
difference

August 26, 2

The Power of Compounding

The more you save, makes a


difference
Growth Rate of 6% p.a.

Total Amount
Saved

Value after
20 years

5,000

1,200,000

2,278,225

3,000

720,000

1,366,935

2,000

480,000

911,290

1,000

240,000

455,645

Amount saved per month

Past performance may or may not be sustained in


future
August 26, 2 5

The Power of Compounding

The sooner you start, makes a


difference
Rs 1000 per month @ 6%
Starting Age

Total Amount Value at the


Saved
age of 60

25

420,000

1,380,290

30

360,000

979,250

35

300,000

679,580

40

240,000

455,645

Past performance may or may not be sustained in


future
August 26, 2 6

The Power of Compounding

The more you earn, makes a


difference
Rs 1000 p.m.

Value after
20 years

Value after
30 years

6%

455,645

979,255

8%

572,660

1,417,610

10%

723,990

2,079,290

12%

919,860

3,080,970

Growth Rate

Past performance may or may not be sustained in


future
August 26, 2 7

Savings Habits matter much more


than the markets!
If someone started saving at age 30, Rs 5000 per
month and got a return of 10% on their
investment the wealth at age 60 would be
Rs one crore three lacs.
If someone delayed savings and started at age
40 and saved Rs 3000 per month and got a return
of 8% on their investment the wealth at age 60
would be
Rs Seventeen lacs.

Is it not the difference between being


wealthy and not being wealthy?
August 26, 2

Comparison of performance of various


asset classes

INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE
(CAGR during 1980-98)

Source :

RBI Report on Currency and Finance (1997-98)


BSE Sensitive Index of Equity Prices - BSE

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10

EQUITIES ARE THE BEST LONG TERM


BET
% OF STUDIED PERIOD IN WHICH
14%
Other investment
outperformed

44%

Stocks
outperformed

56%

1 year

37%

86%

63%

3 year

5 year

Source : RBI Report on Currency and Finance (1997-98)


BSE Sensitive Index of Equity Prices - BSE

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11

One simple truth about all investments

If we need high returns, we


must understand the higher
risk associated with such
investments

The risk reward equation

Everybody wants to go to
heaven (reward), but nobody
wants to die (risk).
But in order to go to heaven,
one must die
However, death does not
ensure an entry into heaven
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14

Asset Allocation

What is Asset Allocation?


Its about diversifying ones portfolio among
asset classes such as bonds, stocks, real estate,
or cash.
Its referred to in terms of the target percentages
for each asset class. For example, a portfolio
could have a mix of 60 percent stocks, 30
percent bonds and 10 percent cash.
Its the financial representation of an investors
personality: the ideal asset allocation is one that
best balances an investors profile and objectives

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16

Significance of Asset Allocation

Significance Relative to Risk

Markowitz: Portfolio
Selection, 1952:
Dividing a portfolio
over asset classes
that do not move
up/ down at the
same time helps
bring down the risk
of the portfolio.

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17

Significance of Asset Allocation

Significance Relative to Risk

Markowitz: Portfolio
Selection, 1952:
Dividing a portfolio
over asset classes
that do not move
up/ down at the
same time helps
bring down the risk
of the portfolio.

August 26, 2

18

Significance of Asset Allocation

Significance Relative to Risk

Markowitz: Portfolio
Selection, 1952:
Dividing a portfolio
over asset classes
that do not move
up/ down at the
same time helps
bring down the risk
of the portfolio.

August 26, 2

19

Significance of Asset Allocation

Significance Relative to Return

Brinson, Hood and


Beebower :
Determinants of
Portfolio
Performance, 1986,
1991: Asset
Allocation helps
explain over 93% of
a portfolios
performance.
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20

Suggesting the Right Allocation


Profile the client for ability and willingness to
take risk
Match with clients objectives
Iron out mismatches, if any

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21

Suggesting the Right Allocation

Mona & Joydeep Sengupta

Financial Goals
Planning to purchase a house
in the next ten years

Investment Strategy
Aggressive Growth Portfolio
Short-term
10%

Creating long-term wealth for


retirement / house

Stocks
75%

Bonds
15%

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22

Suggesting the Right Allocation

Sheela & Shekhar Mathur with Varun (13 years old)

Financial Goals

Investment Strategy
Balanced Portfolio

Providing for children's


education (5 - 8 years)
Planning for childs wedding
(15 - 20 years)

Stocks
50%

Short-term
20%

Planning for retirement


Bonds
30%

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23

Suggesting the Right Allocation

Meera & Akash Chaudary

Financial Goals
Planning for retirement
(5 - 10 years)

Investment Strategy
Conservative Portfolio
Stocks
20%

Bank
Deposits
40%

Bonds
40%

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24

Making Asset Allocation Work

Periodic Rebalancing
EXAMPLE

Equity
Funds

Income
Funds

Frozen Allocation

40%

60%

Bull Market skew

45%

55%

Switch from Growth Funds to


Income Funds to rebalance to

40%

60%

Rebalancing helps investors enter equities at


lows and exit at highs without having to
time the market
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25

Making Asset Allocation Work

Periodic Review
Review of objective - EXAMPLE
Years to goal

Equity Allocation %

TODAY

10

70%

After 5 yrs

60%

After 7 yrs

40%

After 9 yrs

10%

A periodic review of objectives can ensure an


investor is not left at the mercy of the equity
markets when he needs his money
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26

Summing Up
Asset Allocation helps:
1. Control Portfolio Risk
2. Increase the predictability of portfolio
returns
3. Steer the portfolio towards ones financial
goals

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27

Risk Factors
Scheme Classification and Objective: Franklin India Prima Plus (FIPP) is an open end growth scheme
with an objective to provide growth of capital plus regular dividend through a diversified portfolio of
equities, fixed income securities and money market instruments. Templeton India Growth Fund (TIGF) is
an open ended growth scheme whose investment objective is to provide long term capital growth.
Franklin India Bluechip Fund (FIBCF) is an open ended growth scheme with an objective to primarily
provide medium to long term capital appreciation. Risk Factors: All investments in mutual funds and
securities are subject to market risks and the NAV of the scheme may go up or down depending upon the
factors and forces affecting the securities market. There can be no assurance that the schemes'
investment objectives will be achieved. The past performance of the mutual funds managed by the
Franklin Templeton Group and its affiliates is not necessarily indicative of future performance of the
schemes. FIPP, TIGF, FIBCF are only the names of the scheme and does not in any manner indicate the
quality of the scheme, its future prospects or returns. The Mutual Fund is not guaranteeing or assuring
any dividend or returns under the scheme. The investments made by the schemes are subject to external
risks on transferring, pricing, trading volumes, settlement risk, currency risk, interest rate risk etc. of
securities and hence redemptions may be delayed inordinately. Please refer to the Offer Document before
investing. Statutory Details: Templeton Mutual Fund in India has been set up as a trust by Templeton
International Inc. (liability restricted to the seed corpus of Rs.1 lac) with Templeton Trust Services Pvt. Ltd.
as the Trustee (Trustee under the Indian Trust Act 1882) and with Templeton Asset Management (India)
Pvt. Ltd. as the Investment Manager. The Fund offers NAVs, purchases and redemptions on all working
days.

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28

Thank You

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