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FII
“An institution that is a legal entity established or
incorporated outside India proposing to make investments
in India only in securities.”-SEBI
Types Of FII: -
Higher investment
& consumption
Demand FII flows
Virtuous Cycle
Appreciating INR
Lower Interest
Rate
Higher Money
Supply
FII & the financial system
Conversion of
USD INR INR Appreciates
Higher FII Inflow By Bank
Higher Stock
Market Price
Lower Interest Rate
Higher Consumption
Capital Account
Surplus
Rising Demand
SOURCE:- IBEF
Growth Expected in India
To sustain the GDP growth of more than 8 percent, India requires an
investment of USD 1.5 trillion in the next five years
2010
2010
GDP – USD 900 billion
GDP growth rate – 9%
2008
2008 Services contribution – 60-65 %
GDP – USD 750 billion FDI limit is expected to be 100
percent in major industry sectors
GDP growth rate – 9.5%
2006 such as Telecom,
2006 Services contribution – 60 % Semiconductors, Automobiles,
GDP – USD 590 billion etc.
FDI limit is expected to be close to
GDP growth rate – 9 % 100 percent in major industry Balance of Trade – Should be
sectors such as Telecom, positive with increased level of
Services contribution – 54 % Semiconductors, Automobiles, exports as compared with imports
FDI limit not 100 percent in major etc. Investment goal – USD 370 billion
industry sectors such as Telecom, Balance of Trade – Should
Semiconductors, Automobiles, etc. increase with surging exports as
Balance of Trade – USD (-)46.2 compared with imports
billion Investment goal – USD 305 billion
Investment goal – USD 250 billion
Issues & Problems
Problems of Inflation and Creation of Asset Bubbles,
Impact on Small Investors
Impact on Exports
Promotes short term investment than long term
Impact on Banking Institutions
Impact on Stock Market
Largest Credit –Consumption cycle in India funded by FII
flows
Real economy Impact-Currency, Interest rates, Bad
Credit, Stock Markets-Negative Wealth effects
Disorderly adjustments of imbalances-Financial
Instability
What can be done ?
Permit dollar settlements for FIIs
mitigate risks of currency fluctuations
improve the volume and liquidity of the derivatives market
Increase cap on G-Sec Bond Markets
Benefits of Global flows v/s the cost of instability.
Lock in Period
Revise Normal FII Investment ratio
Participatory Notes- Actual Investor should come into picture
Option of converting Equity into Debt
Strong macro economic policy/reform framework
Strong regulatory framework, Corporate Governance
Strengthening the financial & banking system
Developing & deepening the currency & money markets
Allow INR to appreciate
Thank You