Академический Документы
Профессиональный Документы
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MANAGEMENT
BITS Pilani
Pilani Campus
BITS Pilani
Pilani Campus
STEPS
EXAMPLE: INTRODUCTION
OF AIR COOLER
Who Are The Buyers Of Air Coolers?
What Is The Total Current Demand Of Air Coolers?
How Is The Demand Distributed Temporally And
Geographically?
What Is The Break Up Of Demand For Air Coolers Of
Different Sizes?
What Price Will The Customers Be Willing To Pay For
The Improved Air-cooler?
How Can Potential Customers Be Convinced About The
Superiority Of The New Cooler?
3.1.2 COLLECTION OF
SECONDARY INFORMATION
Census
Of
India:
Population,
Demographic
Characteristics, Household Size And Composition And
Maps
National Sample Survey Records: Economic And Social
Aspects Like Pattern Of Consumption, Distribution Of
Households By The Size Of Consumer Expenditure,
Distribution Of Industries
Plan Reports: Plan Proposals, Agricultural And Industrial
Statistics
EVALUATION OF SECONDARY
INFORMATION
Who Gathered The Information? What Was The Objective?
When Was The Information Gathered? When Was It
Published?
How Representative Was The Period For Which The
Information Was Gathered?
What Was The Target Population?
How Was The Sample Chosen?
How Representative Was The Process Of Information
Gathering?
How Accurately Was The Information Edited, Tabulated And
Analyzed?
Was Statistical Analysis Properly Applied?
3.1.3 CONDUCT OF
MARKET SURVEY
Census Survey: Entire Population Is Covered
Sample Survey: A Sample Of Population Is Contacted Or
Observed Or Relevant Information Is Gathered
INFORMATION SOUGHT IN
A MARKET SURVEY
CHARACTERISATION OF
THE MARKET
3.2. DEMAND
FORECASTING
TO ESTIMATE FUTURE DEMAND USING
FORECASTING TECHNIQUES
EXECUTIVE OPINION
METHOD
Soliciting The Opinions Of A Group Of Managers On
Expected Future Sales And Combining Them Into A
Sales Estimate
Fast
Consideration Of A Variety Of Factors Like Economic Climate, Competitive
Environment, Consumer Preferences, Technological Developments
Subjective Estimates
DELPHI METHOD
Eliciting The Opinions Of A Group Of Experts With The
Help Of Mail Survey
A Group Of Experts Is Sent A Questionnaire By Mail And
Asked To Express Their Views
Responses Are Summarised Without Disclosing The
Identity Of The Experts And Sent Back To Experts
Process Continued For One Or More Rounds Till A
Reasonable Agreement Emerges In The Views Of The
Experts
Other Relationships
3.2.2 Exponential
Smoothing Method
Forecasts are made in the light of observed errors
If the forecast value for year t is Ft
If the actual value for year t is St
St
Ft
St-Ft
Ft+1
28
29
-1
F 2= 29 + 0.2 (-1)
29
28.8
0.2
= 28.8
MOVING AVERAGE
METHOD
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT PERIOD IS EQUAL TO
THE AVERAGE OF THE SALES FOR SEVERAL
PRECEDING PERIODS
Ft+1is the forecast for the next period
St is the sales for the current period
n is the period over which averaging is done
PRICE ELASTICITY OF
DEMAND
IT MEASURES THE RESPONSIVENESS OF DEMAND
TO VARIATIONS IN PRICE
EP = Q2 Q1 X (P1 + P2)
P2 P1
Q2 + Q1
If P1 = Rs. 600 Q1= 10000 P2 = 800 Q2= 9000
Then E = (9000 10000) x (600 + 800) = -0.37
800 600
9000 + 10000
INCOME ELASTICITY OF
DEMAND
RESPONSIVENESS OF DEMAND TO VARIATIONS IN
INCOME
EI = Q2 Q1 X I1 + I2
I2 I1
Q2 + Q1
IF Q1 = 30 Q2=55 I1 = 1000
THEN Ei = 4.81
I2 = 1020
MARKET PLAN
Current Marketing Situation:
Market Situation: Size, Growth, Consumer Aspirations, Buying
Behavior
Competitive Situation: Major Competitors-objectives, Strategies,
Strengths
Distribution Situation: Distribution Capabilities Of The Competitors
Macro Environment: Effect Of Social, Political, Economic,
Technological And Other External Variables On The Market
Plant Capacity
Principal Inputs
Investment Outlay And Production Cost
Use By Other Units
Product Mix
Latest Developments
Ease Of Absorption
APPROPRIATENESS OF
TECHNOLOGY
TECHNICAL
ARRANGEMENTS
To Obtain Technical Know-how Needed For The
Proposed Manufacturing Process
Nature Of Support To Be Provided By Collaborators
Process And Performance Guarantees In Terms Of Plant
Capacity, Product Quality And Consumption Of Raw
Materials And Utilities
Period Of Collaboration Agreement
Assistance To Be Provided And Restrictions To Be
Provided By The Collaborator
Raw Materials:
Agricultural Products
Mineral Products
Livestock And Forest Products
Marine Products
PRODUCT CAPACITY
Volume Or Number Of Units That Can Be Manufactured
During The Given Period
Feasible Normal Capacity: Capacity Attainable Under Normal Working
Conditions
Nominal Maximum Capacity: Which Is Technically Attainable , Installed Capacity
Guaranteed By The Supplier Of The Plant
FACTORS AFFECTING
CAPACITY
Technological Requirement
Input Constraints
Investment Cost
Market Conditions
Resources Of The Firm
Government Policy
MACHINERY AND
EQUIPMENT
To Determine The Kind Of Machinery And Equipment
Required For Manufacturing Industry
Outdoor Works
ENVIRONMENTAL
FACTORS
Types Of Effluents And Emissions
Proper Disposal Of Effluents And Treatment Emissions
Environmental And Forest Clearances
SCHEDULE OF PROJECT
IMPLEMENTATION
Nature Of Project
Production Process
Product Quality
Scale Of Operation And Time Phasing
Location