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Team 2:
Joshua Zamarron, James Stariha
Elizabeth Allen, Michael Johnson
Michael Mullin
Industry Analysis
Strong growth rate
Barriers to Enter
Competition
Threat of Substitutes
Power of Buyers
Growth/Profit Potential
Growth Rate
Estimated market value in 2016 is $453 Billion
Government Initiatives
Increased Research and Development funding
Countries becoming major markets
China, India, Europe
Barriers to Enter
Likelihood is weak
Majority startups are spin offs
Based on innovative products of processes
resulting from discoveries in academic research
Long start up periods with little profit
High fixed costs
Competition
More than 1,000 Biotech companies in North
America
Buyer Power
Ranges from Healthcare providers to farmers
and growers
Amgen
Healthcare providers
Hospitals
Growth/Profit Potential
Steps in an ETOP
1. Identify major Environmental factors such as:
economic, political, social, technological,
competitive, geographical, etc.
Economic Factors
Economic factors affect the purchasing power of
potential customers and the firms cost of capital.
Political Factors
Political factors are how and to what degree
government intervenes in the economy.
Social Factors
Social factors impact an organization due to the
social, cultural, demographic, and environmental
profiles in the industry.
Technological Factors
Technological factors impact how an organization or
company operates in relation to equipment used in
the companys environment.
Geographical Factors
Geographical Factors are important to the overall
analysis of a company.
Opportunity
Expanding Prolia franchise could
drive top-line growth, and reduce
Amgens dependency on protein
therapeutics
Acquisitions could strengthen
Amgens pipeline
Focus on the emerging economies
providing growth opportunities
Collaboration with Watson could
help Amgen enter oncology
biosimilars market
Weaknesses
Declining sales of Aranesp and
Epogen
Discontinuation of late stage
clinical trials
Relatively low levels of
technology diversification
increasing dependency on
therapeutic proteins
Threats
Affymaxs Omontys likely to
affect Aranesp and Epogen
sales
Cost containment measures
may affect Amgens sales
growth
Strengths
Expertise in R&D
Top of industry
Breakthroughs in PEGylation and Glycosylation
techniques increased drug effectiveness
Directly responsible for development of next strength
Strengths
Strong IPR position enabling Amgen to offset
biosimilar competition
Highly innovative industry and protecting
proprietary property is essential
Strong R&D means nothing if it is not protected
Successfully defended property numerous times
including 10 claims of infringement on 4 of
Amgens EPO patents that led to a permanent
injunction against Swiss big Pharma Roche from
ever selling its products in the US
Weaknesses
Declining sales of Aranesp and Epogen
Concerns raised about safety of the drugs
FDA issued black boxed warnings of increased
chance of death and other cardiovascular disease
In 2006 sales reached 10 billion
Weaknesses
Relatively low levels of product diversification
3 most successful products are all protein
therapeutics-55% of revenues
Other companies pulling ahead in promising
medicine of protein anti-bodies, small molecule,
and limited MABs drugs
Therapeutic anti-body market is estimated to be
the fastest growing market through 2015
IPR could limit future growth in markets (same that
protected their PEGylation and Glycosylation from
others)
Opportunity
Expanding Prolia Franchise could drive top-line growth
In 2012 FDA released new indicator for Prolia as a treatment to increase
bone mass in men
Showed significant increases in safety and efficacy (%5.7 vs %.9)
Been in the US markets for sometime with sales hovering at $88 million,
first quarter after new indicator sales went up to $120 million
Huge new market for Amgen (12 million conflicted)
Relieve pressure off of Therapeutic protein revenues
Opportunity
Focus on emerging economies providing growth
opportunity
Over past 4 years have expanded from 35
countries to 50
Including Brazil and Turkey
Brazil top ten Pharmaceuticals market in the world
and by 2015 it is estimated to be fifth
With more plans to increase to 75 countries by
2015 (helps with diversity)
Threats
Affymaxs Omontys likely to affect Aranesp and Epogen sales
FDA approved their Peginesatide injection
Likely to outperform Amgens and only need injections once a
month vs. 3 times a week
Combined with the safety concerns already raised future does
not look good
Expertise in R&D
Entering emerging economies
Strong IPR
Expanding Prolia franchise
Declining Aranesp and Epogen
sales
Cost containment measures
Competitive Factors
Competitive forces at work in the industry and
their strength
Novartis AG
Amgens Financial
Analysis
Net income, sales, and operating expenses
Current ratio is 3.8
Asset turnover ratio is 0.32
Debt-to-equity ratio for 2012 is 1.85
Net profit margin is 0.25
Return on equity is 0.22
Return on assets is 0.08
Market Share
Managerial Factors
The Scientific Method
Teams
Diversity
Technical Factors
Manufacturing
Facilities
Collaboration
Senior Management
Robert A. Bradway: Chairman andChief
Executive Officer
Board of Directors
David Baltimore: President Emeritus and Robert
Andrews Millikan Professor of Biology, California
Institute of Technology
Board of Directors
Vance D. Coffman (Lead Independent Director):
RetiredChairman of the Board and CEO, Lockheed
Martin Corporation
Board of Directors
Tyler Jacks: David H. Koch Professor of Biology,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology and director
of the David H. Koch Institute for Integrative
Cancer Research
Board of Directors
Adm. J. Paul Reason, USN (Retired): Former Vice
Chairman and President, Metro Machine
Corporation
Assessment
Importance of Culture