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get the TECH

edge

Sensex the next


Multibagger
.. a technical
view.
Analyse India

Charts !
Plotting through
Line/Candles/Bars

DATE /Timeline
Daily/Weekly/Mt
hly

PRICE

Japanese Candlesticks

Japanese Candlesticks
Negative
Positive

Flag Pattern
150

100 Rs

50 Rs

13 year cycle / Flag and Pole


Pattern.

Sensex
set for
bull run
till
2018 !!

Super
Bull Run :
Dow
Jones : 34
yrs
Sensex :
13 yrs

Consolidati
on
Dow
Jones :
17yrs
Sensex :
13 yrs

Dow Jones Pole and Flag- 17 years cycle

The red circles


show
How the
channel lines
were
maintained on
such long term
charts

NOW LET US SEE


THIS IN COMPARISON
WITH SENSEX

Dow and Sensex ! Flag /Pole !

AFTER 8k Sensex we saw a


breakout similar to Dow
Jones at 1100-1300 !!
Dow doubled in 3 yrs.

CHANNEL
TARGET

Even Sensex tripled in PHASE 1 .

CHANNEL
TARGET
3 times
DONE !!
7k to 21k
roughly

SENSEX position in Phase


2 !!

SENSEX is
here in the
BULL RUN!
LOT LOT
MORE TO GO

DOW JONES !!

COMPARISONS
SENSEX

Pole-: 1932 1966


( 34 yrs)
Channel : 19421966 ( 24 yrs
10.8 times)
Flag: 1966-1983 (
17 yrs of no
growth)
First Phase: 19841987 ( 2 times in
3 yrs)
New High: in 22
mths
Top : in 17 years

Pole-: 1979-1992
( 13 yrs)
Channel : 19881992 ( 4 yrs 10
times)
Flag: 1992-2005( 13
yrs of no growth)
First Phase: 20052008( 3 times in 3
yrs)
NEW HIGH : ???
TOP : ( Ideally by
2018
Minimum 27k-32k or

Some Observations
Sensex completed 1st leg of the 13 year cycle
in 3 years from 2005 -2008 by gaining
almost 300% or 3 times the channel target.
The bull run started from the lows in 2003 to
2008 and lasted almost 5 years or 58-60
months.
The first phase in Dow Jones lasted for 5
years or 60 odd months from 1982-1987.

Some More
Dow Jones hit a new high after 1987 in the next
22 months but the correction was only 61% of
the move.
Sensex has seen a correction to almost 75% of
the upmove and has tested the breakout
channel.
This indicates Sensex may take a longer time hit
a new high.
So we have a long way to go !! Next chart will
SHOW !!!!!!

Although the 13 year cycle theory


seems unbelievable or hum bug.
Would like to post the chart of
Sept 2005 when this theory was
first put up by us at 8000 Sensex
with a presentation named- Post
8000 Boom or Dooom !

DOW JONES (10,273.59, 10,754.60, 10,142.24, 10,422.05, +147.080)

DOW JONES
march 1983
dec 1999

15000

10000

1158

11658

10 times

in 16 years flat !!!


5000

1940

1986

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

Familiar????? Above is Dow Jones and below is


SENSEX
BSE Sensex 30 Co (7,818.90, 8,521.75, 7,818.90, 8,222.59, +417.160)

If INDIA grows

10% p.a compounded for next 13 years


we should see SENSEX at 25k

70000
60000
50000
40000
30000

20% p.a compounded for next 13 years


w e should see SENSEX at 77k

i
20000

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i

1987

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10000

2007

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2018

THANK
YOU

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