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Analysis of
Banks
Corporate Finance Project
Agenda
Industry Analysis
Company analysis
Credit off-take has been surging ahead over the past decade, aided by strong
economic growth, rising disposable incomes, increasing consumerism and
easier access to credit.
Moody's has upgraded its outlook for the Indian banking system to stable
from negative based on its assessment of five drivers including improvement
in operating environment and stable asset risk and capital scenario.
Government policy like Jan dhan yojana , Bima yojana , OROP will catalyse
the banking sector.
Approval of 11 payment banks and 10 small finance bank will transform the
banking sector.
Company Analysis
ICICI Bank
. Found in 1994 , one of the biggest private sector bank in India .
Shareholding :
ICICI Bank
ICICI Bank
Institutions
29%
9%
Non-Institutions
62%
Axis Bank
Shareholding :
Axis Bank
10%
Indian Promoters
4%
30%
Institutions
Non-Institutions
GDRs
57%
HDFC bank
Manafing Director : Aditya Puri ,took position 1994 making him the
longest serving head of any bank in the country.
Shareholding :
HDFC Bank
Indian Promoters
19%
22%
Institutions
Non-Institutions
Shares held by Custodians and
against which Depository Receipts
have been issued
16%
43%
Cost of Debt
Cost of debtis the overall average rate an organization pays on all its debts, typically consisting
primarily of bonds andbankloans
We can see that HDFC has minimum cost of debt i.e. 5.73 which is because of high saving
deposits . Saving and current account are cheapest source of finance for bank.
CAPM
Risk Free rate
Expected market
Rate
7.76
14.69
Banks
Value of Beta
Cost of Equity
ICICI Bank
1.50
18.155
Axis Bank
1.40
17.46
HDFC Bank
.88
13.85
The risk free rate of return has been taken as the return on India
Government Bond 10 Year
The Expected Market Return has been calculated as the CAGR of BSE
Sensex over a 10 year period.
WACC
ICICI
Debt
HDFC
AXIS
1,72,417.35
45,213.56
79,758.27
7.73
5.73
6.28
Share Capital
1,159.66
501.30
474.10
Cost of Equity
18.155
13.85
17.46
Equity weight
0.006
0.010
0.005
Debt Weight
0.993
0.989
0.994
WACC
7.799
5.819
6.346
Cost of debt
Financial Ratio
We can see most of the financial ratio are approximately same except:
Net NPA to Net advances which is really high for ICICI i.e. 1.61 which show that lot of loans
may go bad and in tern effect the returns of the bank.
Similarly we can see that Interest spread of HDFC is quite high which might effect its credit
growth.
Dividend Analysis
Conclusion
According to our analysis HDFC Bank looks most favorable to invest because of less
i.e. 0.88 value which signify less risk but currently it is traded at 1072 in market in
comparison of ICICI and Axis which is 260 and 452 respectively.
So by comparing the fundamentals and market price , ICICI looks most lucrative
investment except its net NPA to net advances which is high i.e. 1.61
Finally, with digital initiative and under market price of 260 ,ICICI seems to be the
best option for investors.
Thank You